AFG Form 10K


SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 10-K

 

Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

   

For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2005

Commission File No. 1-13653

   

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

   

Incorporated under the Laws of Ohio

IRS Employer I.D. No. 31-1544320

   

One East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, Ohio 45202

(513) 579-2121

 

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

   

Title of Each Class

Name of Each Exchange on which Registered

Common Stock

New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq National Market

7-1/8% Senior Debentures due December 15, 2007

New York Stock Exchange

7-1/8% Senior Debentures due April 15, 2009

New York Stock Exchange

7-1/8% Senior Debentures due February 3, 2034

New York Stock Exchange

   

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:  None

Other securities for which reports are submitted pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Act:

        Senior Convertible Notes due June 2, 2033

        Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.  Yes  X   No      

        Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.  Yes       No  X  

        Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months, and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes  X   No      

        Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of Registrant's knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.  [X]

        Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is an accelerated filer.  Yes  X   No      

        Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is a shell company.  Yes       No  X  

        State the aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates computed by reference to the price at which the common equity was last sold, or the average bid and asked price of such common equity, as of the last business day of the Registrant's most recently completed second fiscal quarter: $1.8 billion (based upon
non-affiliate holdings of 54,361,802 shares and a market price of $33.52 per share at June 30, 2005).

        Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the Registrant's classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: 78,171,344 shares (excluding 9,953,392 shares owned by a subsidiary) as of February 1, 2006.

_________________

Documents Incorporated by Reference:

Proxy Statement for 2006 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (portions of which are incorporated by reference into
Part III hereof).


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

INDEX TO ANNUAL REPORT

ON FORM 10-K

 

Page 

Part I

 

  Item  1 - Business

1 

  Item 1A - Risk Factors

16 

  Item 1B - Unresolved Staff Comments

none 

  Item  2 - Properties

20 

  Item  3 - Legal Proceedings

20 

  Item  4 - Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

none 

Part II

 

  Item  5 - Market for Registrant's Common Equity, Related Stockholder

 

               Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

22 

  Item  6 - Selected Financial Data

23 

  Item  7 - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial

 

               Condition and Results of Operations

24 

  Item 7A - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

46 

  Item  8 - Financial Statements and Supplementary Data

48 

  Item  9 - Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on

 

               Accounting and Financial Disclosure

none 

  Item 9A - Controls and Procedures

49 

  Item 9B - Other Information

none 

Part III

 

  Item 10 - Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant

S-1 

  Item 11 - Executive Compensation

S-1 

  Item 12 - Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners

 

               and Management and Related Stockholder Matters

S-1 

  Item 13 - Certain Relationships and Related Transactions

S-1 

  Item 14 - Principal Accountant Fees and Services

S-1 

Part IV

 

  Item 15 - Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules

S-1 

 

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This Form 10-K, chiefly in Items 1, 3, 5, 7 and 8, contains certain forward-looking statements that are subject to numerous assumptions, risks or uncertainties. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements. Some of the forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "anticipates", "believes", "expects", "estimates", "intends", "plans", "seeks", "could", "may", "should", "will" or the negative version of those words or other comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings and investment activities; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate increases; and improved loss experience.

Actual results could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of factors including:

  • changes in economic conditions, including interest rates, performance of securities markets, and the availability of capital;
  • regulatory actions;
  • changes in legal environment affecting AFG or its customers;
  • tax law changes;
  • levels of natural catastrophes, terrorist events (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war and other major losses;
  • development of insurance loss reserves and other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims;
  • the unpredictability of possible future litigation;
  • trends in persistency, mortality and morbidity;
  • availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations;
  • competitive pressures, including the ability to obtain rate increases; and
  • changes in debt and claims paying ratings.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this report. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

 

PART I

ITEM 1

Business

Please refer to "Forward-Looking Statements" following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.

Introduction

American Financial Group, Inc. ("AFG") is a holding company that, through subsidiaries, is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and variable annuities and various forms of supplemental insurance. AFG was incorporated as an Ohio corporation in 1997; its predecessor holding company originated in 1955. Its insurance subsidiaries have been operating as far back as the 1800's. Its address is One East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, Ohio 45202; its phone number is (513) 579-2121. SEC filings, news releases, AFG's Code of Ethics applicable to directors, officers and employees and other information may be accessed free of charge through AFG's Internet site at: www.afginc.com.

(Information on AFG's Internet site is not part of this Form 10-K.)

At February 1, 2006, AFG's Chairman of the Board (Carl H. Lindner) and its Co-CEOs (Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner, sons of the Chairman) beneficially owned 11.8%, 7.3% and 7.3%, respectively, of AFG's outstanding Common Stock. Another son (Keith E. Lindner) publicly reported in November 2005 that he beneficially owned shares representing 8.8% of AFG's outstanding Common Stock.

Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

The property and casualty group reports to a single senior executive and is comprised of multiple business units that operate autonomously but with certain central controls and full accountability. The decentralized approach allows each unit the autonomy necessary to respond to local and specialty market conditions while capitalizing on the efficiencies of centralized investment and administrative support functions. AFG's property and casualty insurance operations employed approximately 4,800 persons as of December 31, 2005.

The property and casualty group operates in a highly competitive industry that is affected by many factors that can cause significant fluctuations in its results of operations. The industry has historically been subject to pricing cycles characterized by periods of intense competition and lower premium rates (a "downcycle") followed by periods of reduced competition, reduced underwriting capacity due to lower policyholders' surplus and higher premium rates (an "upcycle"). After being in an extended downcycle during the 1990s, the property and casualty insurance industry experienced an upcycle with significant market firming and price increases in certain specialty markets during 2000 into 2003. Rate increases moderated during the latter part of 2003 and that trend continued during 2004 and 2005.

The primary objectives of AFG's property and casualty insurance operations are to achieve solid underwriting profitability and provide excellent service to its policyholders. Underwriting profitability is measured by the combined ratio, which is a sum of the ratios of underwriting losses, loss adjustment expenses ("LAE"), underwriting expenses and policyholder dividends to premiums. A combined ratio under 100% is indicative of an underwriting profit. The combined ratio does not reflect investment income, other income or federal income taxes.

While many costs included in underwriting may be readily determined (commissions, administrative expenses, and many of the losses on claims reported), the process of determining overall underwriting results is also highly dependent upon the use of estimates in the case of losses incurred or expected but not yet reported or developed. Actuarial procedures and projections are used to obtain "point estimates" of ultimate losses. While the process is imprecise and develops

1

amounts which are subject to change over time, management believes that the liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are adequate.

AFG's statutory combined ratio averaged 100.0% for the period 2003 to 2005 (or 97.1% excluding a 2005 charge of $179 million related to asbestos, environmental and other mass tort matters) as compared to 100.1% for the property and casualty industry over the same period (Source: "Best's Review/Preview - Property/Casualty" - January 2006 Edition). AFG believes that its specialty niche focus, product line diversification and underwriting discipline have contributed to the Company's ability to consistently outperform the industry's underwriting results. Management's philosophy is to refrain from writing business that is not expected to produce an underwriting profit even if it is necessary to limit premium growth to do so.

Generally, while financial data is reported on a statutory basis for insurance regulatory purposes, it is reported in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") for shareholder and other investment purposes. In general, statutory accounting results in lower capital and surplus and lower net earnings than result from application of GAAP. Major differences include charging policy acquisition costs to expense as incurred rather than spreading the costs over the periods covered by the policies; reporting investment-grade bonds and redeemable preferred stocks at amortized cost rather than fair value; netting of reinsurance recoverables and prepaid reinsurance premiums against the corresponding liabilities; and charging to surplus certain assets, such as furniture and fixtures and agents' balances over 90 days old.

Unless indicated otherwise, the financial information presented for the property and casualty insurance operations herein is presented based on GAAP. Statutory information is provided for industry comparisons or where comparable GAAP information is not readily available.

Performance measures such as underwriting profit or loss and related combined ratios are often used by property and casualty insurers to help users of their financial statements better understand the Company's performance. See Note C - "Segments of Operations" to the financial statements for the reconciliation of AFG's operating profit by significant business segment to the Statement of Earnings.

2

The following table shows the performance of AFG's property and casualty insurance operations (dollars in millions):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

 

Gross written premiums (a)

$3,640 

$3,646 

$3,508 

Ceded reinsurance (a)

(1,192)

(1,417)

(1,496)

Net written premiums

$2,448 

$2,229 

$2,012 

       

Net earned premiums

$2,366 

$2,110 

$1,909 

Loss and LAE

1,510 

1,416 

1,353 

Asbestos, environmental and other

     

  mass tort reserves

179 

-    

-    

Underwriting expenses

   652 

   582 

   534 

Underwriting gain

$   25 

$  112 

$   22 

       

GAAP ratios:

     

  Loss and LAE ratio

71.4%

67.2%

70.9%

  Underwriting expense ratio

  27.6 

  27.6 

  28.0 

  Combined ratio (b)

  99.0%

  94.8%

  98.9%

       

Statutory ratios:

     

  Loss and LAE ratio

74.7%

68.5%

72.1%

  Underwriting expense ratio

  27.9 

  27.8 

  28.2 

  Combined ratio (b)

 102.6%

  96.3%

 100.3%

       

Industry statutory combined ratio (c)

     

  All lines

102.0%

98.1%

100.2%

  Commercial lines

102.5%

100.2%

101.9%

   

(a)

Excludes the following premiums that were written under special
arrangements on behalf of, and fully reinsured to, Infinity (following its
sale in February 2003) and the purchaser of the Japanese division (sold in
2001): 2005 - $59 million; 2004 - $91 million; and 2003 - $122 million.
Includes $332 million in gross written premiums and $174 million in ceded
reinsurance from the personal lines business prior to its sale in 2003.

(b)

The combined ratios include 7.6 percentage points for GAAP and 7.7
percentage points for statutory in 2005 related to the strengthening of
reserves for asbestos, environmental and other mass tort exposures and
2.2 percentage points for GAAP and 2.3 percentage points for statutory in
2005 and 1.8 percentage points in 2004 related to hurricanes. The 2003
combined ratios include 2.3 percentage points related to an arbitration
decision for GAI's share of a 1995 property fire and business interruption
claim.

(c)

Ratios are derived from "Best's Review/Preview - Property/Casualty"
(January 2006 Edition).

   

As with other property and casualty insurers, AFG's operating results can be adversely affected by unpredictable catastrophe losses. Certain natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, floods, forest fires, etc.) and other incidents of major loss (explosions, civil disorder, terrorist events, fires, etc.) are classified as catastrophes by industry associations. Losses from these incidents are usually tracked separately from other business of insurers because of their sizable effects on overall operations. AFG generally seeks to reduce its exposure to such events through individual risk selection, including minimizing coastal exposures, and the purchase of reinsurance. Total net losses to AFG's insurance operations from catastrophes, primarily hurricanes, were $60 million in 2005; $36 million in 2004; and $17 million in 2003.

In late 2002 and early 2003, AFG transferred nearly all of its personal lines business to a newly-formed subsidiary, Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation ("Infinity"). AFG sold 61% of Infinity in a February 2003 public offering and its remaining stake in Infinity in December 2003. In April 2003, AFG sold two subsidiaries that marketed automobile insurance directly to customers. The businesses sold wrote primarily nonstandard private passenger automobile liability and physical damage insurance, and to a lesser extent, homeowners' insurance.

3

AFG is focused on growth opportunities in what it believes to be more profitable specialty businesses where AFG personnel are experts in particular lines of business or customer groups. The following are examples of such specialty businesses:

Property and Transportation

 
 

  Inland and Ocean Marine

Provides coverage primarily for builder's risk, contractor's equipment, excess property, motor truck cargo, marine cargo, boat dealers, marina operators/dealers and excursion vessels.

   

  Agricultural-related

Provides federally reinsured multi-peril crop (allied lines) insurance covering most perils as well as crop hail, equine mortality and other coverages for full-time operating farms/ranches and agribusiness operations on a nationwide basis.

   

  Commercial Automobile

Markets customized insurance programs for various transportation operations (such as busses and trucks), and a specialized physical damage product for the trucking industry.

   

Specialty Casualty

 
   

  Executive and Professional     Liability

Markets coverage for attorneys and for directors and officers of businesses and not-for-profit organizations.

   

  Umbrella and Excess Liability

Provides higher layer liability coverage in excess of primary layers.

   

  Excess and Surplus

Specially designed insurance products offered to those that can't find coverage in standard markets.

   

Specialty Financial

 
   

  Fidelity and Surety

Provides fidelity and crime coverage for government, mercantile and financial institutions and surety coverage for various types of contractors and public and private corporations.

   

  Collateral Protection

Provides coverage for insurance risk management programs for lending and leasing institutions.

   

California Workers' Compensation

 
   

  Workers' Compensation

Writes coverage for prescribed benefits payable to employees (principally in California) who are injured on the job.

   

Management believes specialization is the key element to the underwriting success of these business units. Each unit has separate management with significant operating autonomy to oversee the important operational functions of its business such as underwriting, pricing, marketing, policy processing and claims service. These specialty businesses are opportunistic and their premium volume will vary based on prevailing market conditions. AFG continually evaluates expansion in existing markets and opportunities in new specialty markets that meet its profitability objectives.

4

The U.S. geographic distribution of these businesses' statutory direct written premiums in 2005 compared to 2001 is shown below. Amounts exclude business written under special arrangements on behalf of, and fully reinsured to, the purchasers of the divisions sold.

 

2005 

2001 

   

2005 

2001 

California

20.8%

24.4%

 

Pennsylvania

2.7%

2.1%

Texas

8.3 

8.8 

 

Ohio

2.5 

2.5 

Florida

7.2 

5.3 

 

Georgia

2.4 

2.2 

Illinois

5.0 

3.7 

 

Michigan

2.1 

2.5 

New York

4.6 

5.9 

 

Missouri

2.1 

*  

New Jersey

2.9 

2.6 

 

Indiana

2.0 

*  

Oklahoma

2.8 

3.6 

 

Other

 34.6 

 36.4 

         

100.0%

100.0%

                                     

(*) less than 2%, included in "Other"

             

The following table sets forth a distribution of statutory net written premiums for AFG's specialty insurance businesses by NAIC annual statement line for 2005 compared to 2001.

 

2005 

2001 

Other liability

23.2%

22.5%

Workers' compensation

16.5 

18.1 

Inland marine

11.0 

11.2 

Auto liability

8.2 

8.2 

Allied lines

7.9 

6.2 

Auto physical damage

7.1 

5.9 

Collateral protection

5.7 

7.0 

Commercial multi-peril

5.2 

6.9 

Fidelity and surety

5.0 

5.0 

Product liability

4.2 

*  

Ocean marine

2.7 

3.4 

Other

  3.3 

  5.6 

 

100.0%

100.0%

                                     

   

(*) less than 2%, included in "Other"

   
     

For a discussion of the performance of AFG's specialty businesses see Management's Discussion and Analysis - "Results of Operations - Property and Casualty Insurance - Underwriting."

The following table shows independent ratings and 2005 net written premiums (in millions) of AFG's major property and casualty insurance subsidiaries. Such ratings are generally based on concerns of policyholders and agents and are not directed toward the protection of investors. AFG believes that maintaining an S&P rating of at least "A-" is important to compete successfully in certain lines of business.

         
         
 

   Ratings   

Net Written 

 

Company                      

AM Best

S&P

   Premiums 

 

Great American Pool(*)

A   

$1,436 

 

Republic Indemnity

A-  

344 

 

Mid-Continent

A   

308 

 

American Empire Surplus Lines

A   

124 

 

National Interstate

A   

n/a

211 

 

Other

   

    25 

 
     

$2,448 

 
         

(*)    The Great American Pool represents Great American Insurance

       Company ("GAI") and 10 subsidiaries.

(n/a)  Not applicable.

 

5

Reinsurance

Consistent with standard practice of most insurance companies, AFG reinsures a portion of its business with other insurance companies and assumes a relatively small amount of business from other insurers. Ceding reinsurance permits diversification of risks and limits the maximum loss arising from large or unusually hazardous risks or catastrophic events. The availability and cost of reinsurance are subject to prevailing market conditions, which may affect the volume and profitability of business that is written. AFG is subject to credit risk with respect to its reinsurers, as the ceding of risk to reinsurers generally does not relieve AFG of its liability to its insureds until claims are fully settled.

AFG regularly monitors the financial strength of its reinsurers. This process periodically results in the transfer of risks to more financially secure reinsurers. Substantially all reinsurance is ceded to companies with investment grade or better S&P ratings or is secured by "funds withheld" or other collateral. Under "funds withheld" arrangements, AFG retains ceded premiums to fund ceded losses as they become due from the reinsurer. Excluding Infinity, Mitsui and Ohio Casualty (discussed below), recoverables from the following companies were individually between 5% and 10% of AFG's total reinsurance recoverable (net of payables to reinsurers) at December 31, 2005: Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation, American Re-Insurance Company, X.L. Reinsurance America, Inc., Berkley Insurance Company and General Reinsurance Corporation.

During 2004, AFG negotiated commutations or lump-sum cash settlements totaling $58.3 million with certain of its reinsurance carriers who have experienced deteriorating financial condition. AFG's $28.9 million loss on these commutations represents the differential between the consideration received from the reinsurers and the related reduction of reinsurance recoverable.

Reinsurance is provided on one of two bases, facultative or treaty. Facultative reinsurance is generally provided on a risk by risk basis. Individual risks are ceded and assumed based on an offer and acceptance of risk by each party to the transaction. AFG purchases facultative reinsurance, both pro rata and excess of loss, depending on the risk and available reinsurance markets. Treaty reinsurance provides for risks meeting prescribed criteria to be automatically ceded and assumed according to contract provisions. The following table presents (by type of coverage) the amount of each loss above the specified retention maximum generally covered by treaty reinsurance programs (in millions):

 

Retention    

Reinsurance    

Coverage

  Maximum    

Coverage(a)    

California Workers' Compensation

$ 1.0    

$149.0    

Other Workers' Compensation

2.0    

48.0    

Commercial Umbrella

7.1    

32.9    

Property - General

2.0    

28.0    

Property - Catastrophe (other than earthquake)

17.9    

102.1    

Property - Catastrophe (earthquake)

20.4    

194.6    

   

(a)

Reinsurance covers substantial portions of losses in excess of retention.

 

However, in general, losses resulting from terrorism are not covered.

   

In addition to the coverage shown above, AFG reinsures a portion of its crop insurance business through the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation ("FCIC"). The FCIC offers both proportional (or "quota share") and non-proportional coverages. The proportional coverage provides that a fixed percentage of risk is assumed by the FCIC. The non-proportional coverage allows AFG to select desired retention of risk on a state-by-state, county, crop or plan basis. AFG typically reinsures 20% to 25% of gross written premium with the FCIC. AFG also purchases quota share reinsurance in the private market. This quota share provides for a ceding commission to AFG and a profit sharing provision. AFG currently reinsures 50% of premiums not reinsured by the FCIC in the private market. For all remaining exposures, AFG purchases stop loss protection coverage.

6

Included in the Balance Sheet caption "recoverables from reinsurers and prepaid reinsurance premiums" were approximately $283 million on paid losses and LAE and $2.2 billion on unpaid losses and LAE at December 31, 2005. These amounts are net of allowances of approximately $7 million for doubtful collection of reinsurance recoverables. The collectibility of a reinsurance balance is based upon the financial condition of a reinsurer as well as individual claim considerations.

Reinsurance premiums ceded and assumed are presented in the following table (in millions):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Reinsurance ceded

$1,251 

$1,508 

$1,618 

Reinsurance assumed - including

     

  involuntary pools and associations

65 

62 

100 

In connection with the transfer of a portion of GAI's personal lines business to Infinity in 2003 and the sales of the Japanese division to Mitsui in 2001 and the commercial lines division to Ohio Casualty in 1998, GAI agreed to issue and renew policies related to the businesses transferred until each purchaser received the required approvals and licensing to begin writing business on their own behalf. The Infinity agreement was effective until January 1, 2006. The Mitsui and Ohio Casualty agreements ended at the end of 2003 and in early 2001, respectively. Under these agreements, GAI ceded 100% of these premiums to the respective purchaser. In 2005, 2004, and 2003, premiums of $59 million, $91 million and $122 million, respectively, were ceded under these agreements. At December 31, 2005, AFG's recoverables from reinsurers included $456 million related to these transactions.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves

The consolidated financial statements include the estimated liability for unpaid losses and LAE of AFG's insurance subsidiaries. This liability represents estimates of the ultimate net cost of all unpaid losses and LAE and is determined by using case-basis evaluations, actuarial projections and management's judgment. These estimates are subject to the effects of changes in claim amounts and frequency and are periodically reviewed and adjusted as additional information becomes known. In accordance with industry practices, such adjustments are reflected in current year operations. Generally, reserves for reinsurance assumed and involuntary pools and associations are reflected in AFG's results at the amounts reported by those entities.

7

The following table presents the development of AFG's liability for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance, on a GAAP basis for the last ten years. The top line of the table shows the estimated liability (in millions) for unpaid losses and LAE recorded at the balance sheet date for the indicated years. The second line shows the re-estimated liability as of December 31, 2005. The remainder of the table presents intervening development as percentages of the initially estimated liability. The development results from additional information and experience in subsequent years. The middle line shows a cumulative deficiency (redundancy), which represents the aggregate percentage increase (decrease) in the liability initially estimated. The lower portion of the table indicates the cumulative amounts paid as of successive periods as a percentage of the original loss reserve liability. For purposes of this table, reserves of businesses sold are considered paid at the date of sale. For example, the percenta ge of the December 31, 2002 reserve liability paid in 2003 includes approximately 20 percentage points for reserves of Infinity at its sale date in February 2003. See Note Q to the Financial Statements for an analysis of changes in AFG's estimated liability for losses and LAE, net and gross of reinsurance, over the past three years on a GAAP basis.

 

 

1995  

1996  

1997  

1998  

1999  

2000  

2001  

2002  

2003  

2004  

2005  

Liability for unpaid losses

                     

and loss adjustment expenses:

                     

  As originally estimated

$3,393  

$3,404  

$3,489  

$3,305  

$3,224  

$3,192  

$3,253  

$3,400  

$2,850  

$3,103  

$3,548  

  As re-estimated at

    December 31, 2005

3,949  

3,992  

4,041  

3,575  

3,631  

3,821  

3,972  

4,018  

3,237  

3,284  

N/A  

Liability re-estimated:

  One year later

98.7% 

100.9% 

104.5% 

97.8% 

98.1% 

105.1% 

105.2% 

104.9% 

104.9% 

105.8% 

  Two years later

98.5% 

105.9% 

104.6% 

96.3% 

100.1% 

105.1% 

111.3% 

110.3% 

113.6% 

  Three years later

103.9% 

105.2% 

102.9% 

97.4% 

99.0% 

109.9% 

115.2% 

118.2% 

  Four years later

103.1% 

103.6% 

105.4% 

96.0% 

102.6% 

113.1% 

122.1% 

  Five years later

102.9% 

106.9% 

105.7% 

99.2% 

105.7% 

119.7% 

  Six years later

106.8% 

107.7% 

108.1% 

102.0% 

112.6% 

  Seven years later

107.7% 

109.8% 

110.2% 

108.1% 

  Eight years later

109.6% 

111.5% 

115.8% 

  Nine years later

111.0% 

117.3% 

  Ten years later

116.4% 

Cumulative deficiency

  (redundancy):

    Aggregate

16.4

17.3

15.8

 8.1

12.6

19.7

22.1

18.2

13.6

 5.8

N/A  

    Excluding special A&E

    charges, settlements and

    reallocations in 1996,

    1998, 2001, 2002 and 2005

(1.4%)

 1.9

 0.8

(1.2%)

 3.0

10.0

15.7

12.9

 7.3

 0.1% 

N/A  

Cumulative paid as of:

  One year later

33.1% 

33.8% 

41.7% 

28.3% 

34.8% 

38.3% 

33.6% 

43.1% 

27.7% 

25.8% 

  Two years later

51.6% 

58.0% 

56.6% 

51.7% 

52.7% 

52.2% 

62.9% 

62.1% 

47.3% 

  Three years later

67.2% 

66.7% 

70.8% 

62.4% 

60.0% 

71.4% 

76.3% 

74.1% 

  Four years later

72.0% 

77.3% 

78.6% 

65.6% 

72.5% 

81.6% 

84.9% 

  Five years later

80.4% 

82.8% 

81.1% 

73.9% 

80.6% 

87.5% 

  Six years later

84.7% 

84.6% 

86.9% 

80.8% 

84.6% 

  Seven years later

86.0% 

89.6% 

92.8% 

83.8% 

  Eight years later

90.3% 

95.1% 

95.0% 

  Nine years later

95.5% 

97.1% 

  Ten years later

97.3% 

    The following is a reconciliation of the net liability to the gross liability

for unpaid losses and LAE.

1995  

1996  

1997  

1998  

1999  

2000  

2001  

2002  

2003  

2004  

2005  

  As originally estimated:

    Net liability shown above

$3,393  

$3,404  

$3,489  

$3,305  

$3,224  

$3,192  

$3,253  

$3,400  

$2,850  

$3,103  

$3,548  

    Add reinsurance

      recoverables

   704  

   720  

   736  

 1,468  

 1,571  

 1,324  

 1,525  

 1,804  

 2,059  

 2,234  

 2,243  

    Gross liability

$4,097  

$4,124  

$4,225  

$4,773  

$4,795  

$4,516  

$4,778  

$5,204  

$4,909  

$5,337  

$5,791  

  As re-estimated at

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  December 31, 2005:

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

    Net liability shown above

$3,949  

$3,992  

$4,041  

$3,575  

$3,631  

$3,821  

$3,972  

$4,018  

$3,237  

$3,284  

    Add reinsurance

      recoverables

 1,255  

 1,284  

 1,372  

 1,969  

 2,136  

 2,024  

 2,198  

 2,356  

 2,492  

 2,385  

    Gross liability

$5,204  

$5,276  

$5,413  

$5,544  

$5,767  

$5,845  

$6,170  

$6,374  

$5,729  

$5,669  

N/A  

Gross cumulative deficiency:

    Aggregate

27.1

27.9

28.1

16.2

20.3

29.4

29.1

22.5

16.7

 6.2

N/A  

    Excluding special A&E

    charges, settlements and

    reallocations in 1996,

    1998, 2001, 2002 and 2005

 8.1

11.5

12.0

 8.2

12.3

21.0

24.2

18.5

 12.5

 2.4

N/A  

8

In evaluating the re-estimated liability and cumulative deficiency (redundancy), it should be noted that each percentage includes the effects of changes in amounts for prior periods. For example, AFG's $179 million of special charges ($169 million for A&E and $10 million for other mass tort claims) related to losses recorded in 2005, but incurred before 1995, is included in the re-estimated liability and cumulative deficiency (redundancy) percentage for each of the previous years shown. Conditions and trends that have affected development of the liability in the past may not necessarily exist in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on this table.

A significant portion of the adverse development in the tables is due to A&E exposures for which AFG has been held liable under general liability policies written years ago, even though such coverage was not intended. Other factors affecting development in recent years included changes in the legal environment, including more liberal coverage decisions and higher jury awards, higher legal fees, the general state of the economy and medical cost inflation.

The differences between the liability for losses and LAE reported in the annual statements filed with the state insurance departments in accordance with statutory accounting principles ("SAP") and that reported in the accompanying consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP at December 31, 2005 are as follows (in millions):

Liability reported on a SAP basis, net of $204 million

 

  of retroactive reinsurance

$3,556 

    Reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance

2,243 

    Other

    (8)

   

Liability reported on a GAAP basis

$5,791 

   

Asbestos and Environmental Reserves ("A&E")  AFG's property and casualty group, like many others in the industry, has A&E claims arising in most cases from general liability policies written in years before 1987. The establishment of reserves for such A&E claims presents unique and difficult challenges and is subject to uncertainties significantly greater than those presented by other types of claims. For a discussion of these uncertainties, see Management's Discussion and Analysis -"Uncertainties - Asbestos and Environmental-related Reserves" and Note O - "Commitments and Contingencies" to the Financial Statements.

In the third quarter of 2005, AFG completed a comprehensive study of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its property and casualty group. AFG has undertaken periodic reviews of its A&E reserves with the aid of an independent actuarial firm and specialty outside counsel. As a result of its study, AFG recorded a pre-tax charge of $169 million, net of $32 million in reinsurance recoverables. For a discussion of the A&E reserve strengthening, see Management's Discussion and Analysis - "Results of Operations - Asbestos and Environmental Reserve Charge."

The following table (in millions) is a progression of A&E reserves.

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

       

Reserves at beginning of year

$330.6 

$399.9 

$441.7 

  Incurred losses and LAE

169.3 

-  

-  

  Paid losses and LAE

(38.9)

(45.4)

(39.2)

  Reserves transferred with sale of a subsidiary

-  

(49.4)

    -  

  Reserves not previously classified as A&E

    -  

  25.5 

  (2.6)

Reserves at end of year, net of

     

    reinsurance recoverable

461.0 

330.6 

399.9 

       

Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance

  79.4 

  55.9 

  82.4 

       

Gross reserves at end of year

$540.4 

$386.5 

$482.3 

9

The survival ratio, which is an industry measure of A&E claim reserves, is derived by dividing reserves for A&E exposures by average annual paid losses over the past three years. At December 31, 2005, AFG's survival ratio is approximately 21.0 times paid losses for the asbestos reserves (15.6 times excluding amounts associated with the A.P. Green settlement) and 11.5 times paid losses for total A&E reserves (9.0 times excluding A.P. Green), see Legal Proceedings for a discussion of the A.P. Green settlement. In December 2004, A.M. Best reported its estimate that the property and casualty insurance industry's three year survival ratio for A&E reserves was approximately 8.5 times paid losses at December 31, 2003.

Other Mass Tort Reserves  In addition to A&E claims, AFG faces exposure from other types of mass tort claims including those relating to breast implants, lead, silica, exposure to industrial chemicals, and other latent injuries. Similar to A&E, other mass tort claims are subject to uncertainties that are significantly greater than those presented by other types of claims.

AFG's reserves for other mass torts, net of $2.8 million in reinsurance recoverable, were $17.8 million at December 31, 2005. AFG recorded a pre-tax charge of $10 million in the third quarter of 2005 to increase its liability for other mass torts. Other mass tort paid losses and LAE were $3.6 million in 2005, $2.4 million in 2004 and $4.3 million in 2003.

Marketing

The property and casualty insurance group directs its sales efforts primarily through independent property and casualty insurance agents and brokers, although portions are written through employee agents. Independent agents and brokers generally receive a commission on the sale of each policy. Some agents and brokers are eligible for a bonus commission based on the profitability of all of the policies placed with AFG by the broker or agent in a particular year. The property and casualty insurance group writes insurance through several thousand agents and brokers.

Competition

AFG's property and casualty insurance businesses compete with other individual insurers, state funds and insurance groups of varying sizes, some of which are mutual insurance companies possessing competitive advantages in that all their profits inure to their policyholders. They also compete with self-insurance plans, captive programs and risk retention groups. Due to the specialty nature of these coverages, competition is based primarily on service to policyholders and agents, specific characteristics of products offered and reputation for claims handling. Price, commissions and profit sharing terms are also important factors. Management believes that sophisticated data analysis for refinement of risk profiles, extensive specialized knowledge and loss prevention service have helped AFG compete successfully.

Annuity and Supplemental Insurance Operations

General

AFG's annuity and supplemental insurance operations are conducted through Great American Financial Resources, Inc. ("GAFRI"), an 82% owned subsidiary. GAFRI's primary insurance subsidiaries include Great American Life Insurance Company ("GALIC"), Annuity Investors Life Insurance Company ("AILIC"), Loyal American Life Insurance Company ("Loyal") and United Teacher Associates Insurance Company ("UTA"). These companies market retirement products, primarily fixed and variable annuities, and various forms of supplemental insurance. All of these companies sell their products through independent producers.

In January 2006, GAFRI sold its subsidiary, Great American Life Assurance Company of Puerto Rico ("GAPR"), for $37.5 million in cash. Excluding GAPR, GAFRI and its subsidiaries employed approximately 800 persons at December 31, 2005.

10

Following is certain information concerning GAFRI's subsidiaries (excluding GAPR)(dollars in millions).

   

2005

     
   

Statutory

Policies

AM Best

S&P   

Company

Principal Products         

 Premiums 

In Force

 Rating

 Rating  

           

GALIC

Fixed and indexed annuities

$669     

395,000

A   

A-   

AILIC

Fixed, variable annuities

208     

79,000

A   

A-   

UTA

Supplemental insurance

232     

220,000

A-  

Not rated

LOYAL

Supplemental insurance

38     

185,000

A   

Not rated

           

GAFRI's statutory premiums over the last three years were as follows (in millions):

 

        Premiums       

 

2005

2004

2003

       

Traditional single premium fixed annuities

$  437

$  401

$  526

403(b) fixed annuities

242

255

213

Variable annuities

92

105

122

Indexed-annuities

78

6

7

Supplemental insurance

254

229

218

Life insurance

    44

    47

    50

  Total

$1,147

$1,043

$1,136

       

GAFRI believes that the ratings assigned by independent insurance rating agencies are important because agents, potential policyholders and school districts often use a company's rating as an initial screening device in considering annuity products. GAFRI believes that (i) a rating in the "A" category by A.M. Best is necessary to successfully market tax-deferred annuities to public education employees and other not-for-profit groups and (ii) a rating in the "A" category by at least one rating agency is necessary to successfully compete in other annuity markets. GAFRI's insurance entities also compete in markets other than the sale of tax-deferred annuities. Ratings are an important competitive factor; GAFRI believes that these entities can successfully compete in these markets with their respective ratings.

GAFRI's operations could be materially and adversely affected by ratings downgrades. In connection with recent reviews by independent rating agencies, management indicated that it intends to maintain lower ratios of debt to capital than it has in recent years and intends to maintain the capital of its significant insurance subsidiaries at levels currently indicated by the rating agencies as appropriate for the current ratings. Items that could adversely affect capital levels include (i) an extended period of low interest rates and a resulting significant narrowing of annuity "spread" (the difference between earnings received by GAFRI on its investments less amount credited to policyholders' annuity accounts); (ii) investment impairments; (iii) a sustained decrease in the stock market; (iv) adverse mortality or morbidity; and (v) higher than planned dividends paid due to liquidity needs of GAFRI's holding companies.

Annuities

GAFRI's principal retirement products are Flexible Premium Deferred Annuities ("FPDAs") and Single Premium Deferred Annuities ("SPDAs"). Annuities are long-term retirement saving instruments that benefit from income accruing on a tax-deferred basis. The issuer of the annuity collects premiums, credits interest or earnings on the policy and pays out a benefit upon death, surrender or annuitization. FPDAs are characterized by premium payments that are flexible in both amount and timing as determined by the policyholder and are generally made through payroll deductions. SPDAs are generally issued in exchange for a one-time lump-sum premium payment.

Annuity contracts are generally classified as fixed rate (including indexed) or variable. With a traditional fixed rate annuity, GAFRI seeks to maintain a desired spread between the yield on its investment portfolio and the rate it credits. GAFRI accomplishes this by: (i) offering crediting rates that it has the option to change

11

after any initial guarantee period (subject to minimum interest rate guarantees); (ii) designing annuity products that encourage persistency; and (iii) maintaining an appropriate matching of assets and liabilities.

The majority of GAFRI's FPDAs are sold in qualified markets under sections 403(b), 457 and 401(k) of the Internal Revenue Code. In the 403(b) and 457 markets, schools, government agencies and certain other not-for-profit organizations may allow employees to save for retirement through contributions made on a before-tax basis. In the 401(k) market, both for-profit and not-for-profit organizations may establish qualified retirement plans whereby employees are eligible to save for retirement through contributions made primarily on a before-tax basis. Federal income taxes are not payable on pretax contributions or earnings until amounts are withdrawn.

In addition to traditional fixed rate annuities, GAFRI offers indexed annuities and variable annuities. An indexed annuity provides policyholders with a crediting rate tied, in part, to the performance of an existing market index while protecting against the related downside risk through a guarantee of principal (excluding surrender charges). GAFRI purchases call options designed to offset substantially all of the increases in the liabilities associated with indexed annuities.

With a variable annuity, the earnings credited to the policy vary based on the investment results of the underlying investment options chosen by the policyholder, generally without any guarantee of principal except in the case of death of the insured annuitant. Premiums directed to the underlying investment options maintained in separate accounts are invested in funds managed by various independent investment managers. GAFRI earns a fee on amounts deposited into separate accounts. Subject to contractual provisions, policyholders may also choose to direct all or a portion of their premiums to various fixed rate options, in which case GAFRI earns a spread on amounts deposited.

Supplemental Insurance Products

Loyal and UTA offer a variety of supplemental insurance products through independent agents. Principal products include coverage for Medicare supplement, cancer, long-term care, accidental injury, short-term disability and hospital indemnity.

Although GALIC no longer issues new life insurance policies, it continues to service and accept renewal premiums on its in-force block of approximately 185,000 policies and $32 billion gross ($10 billion net) of life insurance in force.

Marketing

GAFRI sells its fixed rate annuities primarily through a network of 165 managing general agents ("MGAs") who, in turn, direct approximately 1,650 actively producing independent agents. The top 15 MGAs accounted for approximately two-thirds of GAFRI's fixed rate annuity premiums in 2005. No one MGA represented more than 15% of total fixed annuity premiums in 2005.

GAFRI offers its variable annuity as an ancillary product solely through its 403(b) and 401(k) sales channels. Nearly one-half of GAFRI's variable annuity sales in 2005 were made through a wholly-owned subsidiary, Great American Advisors, Inc. ("GAA"). GAA is a broker/dealer licensed in all 50 states to sell stocks, bonds, options, mutual funds and variable insurance contracts through independent representatives and financial institutions. GAA also acts as the principal underwriter and distributor for GAFRI's variable annuity products.

GAFRI is licensed to sell its fixed annuity products in all 50 states; it is licensed to sell its variable products in all states except New York and Vermont. In 2005, no individual state accounted for more than 10% of GAFRI's annuity premiums other than California (16%), Washington (13%) and Texas (10%). At December 31, 2005, GAFRI had approximately 370,000 annuity policies in force.

12

Competition

GAFRI's insurance companies operate in highly competitive markets. They compete with other insurers and financial institutions based on many factors, including: (i) ratings; (ii) financial strength; (iii) reputation; (iv) service to policyholders and agents; (v) product design (including interest rates credited and premium rates charged); (vi) commissions; and (vii) number of school districts in which a company has approval to sell. Since policies are marketed and distributed primarily through independent agents, the insurance companies must also compete for agents.

No single insurer dominates the markets in which GAFRI's insurance companies compete. Competitors include (i) individual insurers and insurance groups, (ii) mutual funds and (iii) other financial institutions. In a broader sense, GAFRI's insurance companies compete for retirement savings with a variety of financial institutions offering a full range of financial services. Financial institutions have demonstrated a growing interest in marketing investment and savings products other than traditional deposit accounts.

Sales of annuities, including renewal premiums, are affected by many factors, including: (i) competitive annuity products and rates; (ii) the general level and volatility of interest rates, including the shape of the yield curve; (iii) the favorable tax treatment of annuities; (iv) commissions paid to agents; (v) services offered; (vi) ratings from independent insurance rating agencies; (vii) other alternative investments; (viii) performance of the equity markets; (ix) media coverage of annuities; (x) regulatory developments regarding suitability and the sales process; and (xi) general economic conditions.

Other Operations

Through subsidiaries, AFG is engaged in a variety of other operations, including The Golf Center at Kings Island in the Greater Cincinnati area; commercial real estate operations in Cincinnati (office buildings and The Cincinnatian Hotel), New Orleans (Le Pavillon Hotel), Cape Cod (Chatham Bars Inn), New Hampshire (Mountain View Grand Resort), Chesapeake Bay (Skipjack Cove Yachting Resort and Bay Bridge Marina), Charleston (Charleston Harbor Resort and Marina), Palm Beach (Sailfish Marina and Resort) and apartments in Louisville, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. These operations employed approximately 500 full-time employees at December 31, 2005.

Investment Portfolio

General  A summary of AFG's fixed maturity investments and other stocks is shown in Note D to the financial statements. Portfolio yields are shown below.

 

2005  

2004  

2003  

       

Yield on Fixed Income Securities (a):

     

  Excluding realized gains and losses

5.7% 

5.7% 

6.2% 

  Including realized gains and losses

5.6% 

6.1% 

6.6% 

       

Yield on Stocks (a):

     

  Excluding realized gains and losses

3.8% 

6.1% 

6.5% 

  Including realized gains and losses

11.9% 

72.5% 

10.1% 

       

Yield on Investments (a)(b):

     

  Excluding realized gains and losses

5.6% 

5.7% 

6.2% 

  Including realized gains and losses

5.8% 

7.9% 

6.6% 

       

(a)  Based on amortized cost; excludes effects of changes in unrealized gains.

(b)  Excludes "Real Estate and Other Investments."

13

The table below compares total returns on AFG's fixed income and equity securities to comparable public indices. While there are no directly comparable indices to AFG's portfolio, the two shown below are widely used benchmarks in the industry. Both AFG's performance and the indices include changes in unrealized gains and losses.

 

2005  

2004  

2003  

       

Total return on AFG's fixed income securities

3.4% 

6.0% 

5.9% 

Lehman Universal Bond Index

2.7% 

5.0% 

5.8% 

       

Total return on AFG's equity securities

5.8% 

31.5% 

23.7% 

Standard & Poors 500 Index

4.9% 

10.9% 

28.7% 

       

Fixed Maturity Investments

AFG's bond portfolio is invested primarily in taxable bonds. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") assigns quality ratings which range from Class 1 (highest quality) to Class 6 (lowest quality). The following table shows AFG's available for sale bonds and redeemable preferred stocks, by NAIC designation (and comparable Standard & Poor's Corporation rating) as of December 31, 2005 (dollars in millions).

         

 NAIC

 

Amortized

  Fair Value  

Rating

Comparable S&P Rating

     Cost

 Amount

  %  

         

  1

AAA, AA, A

$11,274

$11,270

79%

  2

BBB

  2,125

  2,152

 15 

 

   Total investment grade

 13,399

 13,422

 94 

  3

BB

345

348

  4

B

390

404

  5

CCC, CC, C

113

118

  6

D

     25

     35

  * 

 

   Total noninvestment grade

    873

    905

  6 

 

   Total

$14,272

$14,327

100%

                     

     

 (*) less than 1%

     
         

AFG's primary investment objective for fixed maturities is to earn interest and dividend income rather than to realize capital gains. AFG invests in bonds and redeemable preferred stocks that have primarily intermediate-term maturities. This practice is designed to allow flexibility in reacting to fluctuations of interest rates.

Equity Investments

At December 31, 2005, AFG held $557 million in stocks, the largest of which represents an investment in National City Corporation, a Cleveland-based commercial bank. In July 2004, AFG received National City shares in the merger of Provident Financial Group and National City and realized a pretax gain of $214 million on the transaction.

Regulation

AFG's insurance company subsidiaries are subject to regulation in the jurisdictions where they do business. In general, the insurance laws of the various states establish regulatory agencies with broad administrative powers governing, among other things, premium rates, solvency standards, licensing of insurers, agents and brokers, trade practices, forms of policies, maintenance of specified reserves and capital for the protection of policyholders, deposits of securities for the benefit of policyholders, investment activities and relationships between insurance subsidiaries and their parents and affiliates. Material transactions between insurance subsidiaries and their parents and affiliates generally must receive prior approval of the applicable insurance regulatory authorities and be disclosed. In addition, while differing from state to state, these regulations typically restrict the maximum amount of dividends that may be paid by an insurer to its shareholders in any twelve-month period without advan ce regulatory approval. Such limitations are generally based on net earnings or statutory surplus. Under applicable

14

restrictions, the maximum amount of dividends available to AFG in 2006 from its insurance subsidiaries without seeking regulatory clearance is approximately $299 million.

Legislation has been proposed to establish a procedure for larger, commercial insurers to be regulated under an optional federal charter. The implications of this proposal on AFG's insurance operations cannot be determined at this time.

In October 2004, the New York State Attorney General brought suit against Marsh and McLennan Companies, Inc. alleging, among other things, that the firm had manipulated the insurance market through specified conduct, including bid rigging and price fixing. The New York State Attorney General also stated that the evidence implicated certain insurance companies, none of which were AFG subsidiaries. As a result of the actions of the Attorney General, the insurance departments and attorneys general of a number of states, including Ohio, have announced investigations and have issued subpoenas and/or information requests to many insurance companies domiciled or licensed to do business in such states. While AFG is not a party to any of the litigation and has not received a subpoena in connection with this matter, it, along with other companies in the industry, has been asked to provide information to the insurance departments in a number of states where AFG does business. AFG cannot estimate the scope or bre adth of the issues that may be investigated, the results, or timeframe in which the reviews might be completed. AFG also cannot predict the impact, if any, that these matters may have on its business or the property and casualty insurance industry generally.

In response to inquiries from several insurance departments, AFG has engaged in an extensive internal review of its business arrangements with insurance producers. After a significant amount of ongoing investigation and document review, AFG has identified only two policy quotations requested by Marsh & McLennan which may have been used by Marsh in a manner similar to the actions described in the New York Attorney General's complaint against that company. The amount of these Great American quotes was less than $1 million.

Most states have created insurance guaranty associations to provide for the payment of claims of insurance companies that become insolvent. Annual assessments for AFG's insurance companies have not been material.

The NAIC is an organization comprised of the chief insurance regulator for each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia. One of the NAIC's major roles is to develop model laws and regulations affecting insurance company operations and encourage uniform regulation through the adoption of such model laws in all states.

15

 

ITEM 1A

Risk Factors

Following is a discussion of the most significant risk factors to investors in AFG securities.

Intense competition could adversely affect AFG's profitability.

The specialty insurance business is highly competitive and, except for regulatory considerations, there are relatively few barriers to entry. AFG's specialty insurance businesses compete with other individual insurers, state funds and insurance groups of varying sizes, some of which are mutual insurance companies possessing competitive advantages in that all their profits inure to their policyholders. AFG also competes with self-insurance plans, captive programs and risk retention groups. Major competitors in some or all of AFG's specialty lines include American International Group Inc., Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Chubb Corp., W.R. Berkley Corp., CNA Financial Corp., Philadelphia Consolidated Holdings Corp., Markel Corp., Hartford Financial Services Group, The St. Paul Travelers Companies Inc., and Zenith National Insurance Corp.

AFG's annuity and supplemental insurance businesses compete with individual insurers and insurance groups, mutual funds and other financial institutions. Competitors include ING Life Insurance and Annuity Company, Life Insurance Company of the Southwest, Midland National Life Insurance Company, Allianz Life Insurance Company of North America, Fidelity and Guaranty Life Insurance Company, Mutual of Omaha Insurance Company and Bankers Life and Casualty Company.

Competition is based on many factors, including service to policyholders and agents, product design, reputation for claims handling, ratings and financial strength. Price, commissions, profit sharing terms and interest crediting rates are also important factors. Some of AFG's competitors have more capital and greater resources than AFG, and may offer a broader range of products and lower prices than AFG offers. If competition limits AFG's ability to write new or renewal business at adequate rates, its results of operations will be adversely affected.

AFG's revenues could be negatively affected if it is not able to attract and retain independent agents.

AFG's reliance on the independent agency market makes it vulnerable to a reduction in the amount of business written by agents. Many of AFG's competitors also rely significantly on the independent agency market. Accordingly, AFG must compete with other insurance carriers for independent agents' business. Some of its competitors offer a wider variety of products, lower price for insurance coverage or higher commissions. Loss of a substantial portion of the business that AFG writes through independent agents could adversely affect AFG's revenues and profitability.

AFG is subject to comprehensive regulation, and its ability to earn profits may be restricted by these regulations.

As previously discussed under "Regulation," AFG is subject to comprehensive regulation by government agencies in the states where its insurance company subsidiaries are domiciled and where these subsidiaries issue policies and handle claims. AFG must obtain prior approval for certain corporate actions. The regulations may limit AFG's ability to obtain rate increases or take other actions designed to increase AFG's profitability.

In addition, state insurance department examiners perform periodic financial and market conduct examinations of insurance companies. Such regulation is generally intended for the protection of policyholders rather than securityholders.

There can be no assurance that existing insurance-related laws and regulations will not become more restrictive in the future or that new restrictive laws will not be enacted and, therefore, it is not possible to predict the potential effects of these laws and regulations. The costs of compliance or the failure to comply with existing or future regulations could harm AFG's financial results and its reputation with customers.

16

The failure of AFG's insurers to maintain a commercially acceptable financial strength rating would have a significant negative effect on their ability to compete successfully.

As discussed under "Property and Casualty Insurance Operations" and "Annuity and Supplemental Insurance Operations - General," financial strength ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and

may be expected to have an effect on an insurance company's sales. A downgrade in AFG's insurers' claims-paying and financial strength ratings could significantly reduce AFG's business volumes, adversely impact AFG's ability to access the capital markets and increase AFG's borrowing costs.

AFG's results may fluctuate as a result of cyclical changes in the specialty insurance industry.

As previously discussed under "Property and Casualty Insurance Operations," the underwriting profitability of the property and casualty insurance industry has been historically cyclical in nature. The trend of AFG's underwriting results typically follows that of the industry and a prolonged downcycle could adversely affect AFG's results of operations.

AFG's property and casualty reserves may be inadequate, which could significantly affect AFG's financial results.

AFG's property and casualty insurance subsidiaries record reserve liabilities for the estimated payment of losses and loss adjustment expenses for both reported and unreported claims. Due to the inherent uncertainty of estimating reserves, it has been necessary in the past, and will continue to be necessary in the future, to revise estimated liabilities as reflected in AFG's reserves for claims and related expenses. For example, in 2005, 2004 and 2003, AFG recorded charges of $181 million (primarily the A&E charge), $140 million and $167 million, respectively, to increase reserves relating to prior accident years. The historic development of reserves for losses and loss adjustment expense may not necessarily reflect future trends in the development of these amounts. Accordingly, it is not appropriate to extrapolate redundancies or deficiencies based on historical information. To the extent that reserves are inadequate and are strengthened, the amount of such increase is treated as a charge to earnings in the period in which the deficiency is recognized.

AFG's results could be negatively impacted by severe weather conditions or other catastrophes.

AFG recorded significant catastrophe losses in 2005 and 2004, primarily due to hurricanes. Catastrophes can be caused by natural events, such as hurricanes, windstorms, earthquakes, tornadoes, hailstorms, severe winter weather, explosions and fire, and by man-made events, such as terrorist attacks and riots. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of the amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. However, a severe catastrophe or a series of catastrophes could result in losses exceeding AFG's reinsurance protection and may have a material adverse impact on its results of operations or financial condition.

Volatility in crop prices could negatively impact AFG's financial results.

Weather conditions and the level of crop prices in the commodities market heavily impact AFG's crop insurance business. These factors are inherently unpredictable and could result in significant volatility in the results of the crop insurance business from one year to the next.

A significant decline in used car prices could negatively impact AFG's financial results.

AFG's residual value business is heavily impacted by the level of used car prices. A significant decrease in the market value of used automobiles could result in significant losses and may have a material adverse impact on AFG's results of operations or its financial condition.

17

The inability to obtain reinsurance or to collect on ceded reinsurance could adversely impact AFG's results.

AFG relies on the use of reinsurance to limit the amount of risk it retains. The following amounts of gross property and casualty premiums have been ceded to other insurers: 2005 - $1.3 billion (34%); 2004 - $1.5 billion (41%); and 2003 - $1.6 billion (46%). The availability and cost of reinsurance are subject to prevailing market conditions, which are beyond AFG's control and which may affect

AFG's level of business and profitability. AFG is also subject to credit risk with respect to its reinsurers, as the ceding of risk to reinsurers does not relieve AFG of its liability to insureds.

Variations from the actuarial assumptions used to establish certain assets and liabilities in AFG's annuity and supplemental insurance business could negatively impact AFG's reported financial results.

The earnings on certain products sold by AFG's annuity and supplemental insurance business depend significantly upon the extent to which actual experience is consistent with the assumptions used in setting reserves and establishing and amortizing deferred policy acquisition costs ("DPAC"). These assumptions relate to investment yields (and spreads over fixed annuity crediting rates), mortality, surrenders, annuitizations and, on some policies, morbidity. Developing such assumptions is complex and involves information obtained from company-specific and industry-wide data, as well as general economic information. These assumptions, and therefore AFG's results of operations, could be negatively impacted by changes in any of the factors listed above. For example, AFG recorded pretax charges in 2005 of (i) $15.8 million to DPAC and annuity liabilities due primarily to the negative effect of lower interest rates on expected future profits of its fixed annuity operations and (ii) $13.6 million related to an unexpected increase in mortality in its run-off life operations.

The continued threat of terrorism and ongoing military and other actions may adversely affect AFG's financial results.

The continued threat of terrorism, both within the United States and abroad, and the ongoing military and other actions and heightened security measures in response to these types of threats, may cause significant volatility and declines in the equity markets in the United States, Europe and elsewhere, loss of life, property damage, additional disruptions to commerce and reduced economic activity. Actual terrorist attacks could cause losses from insurance claims related to AFG's property and casualty and life insurance operations with adverse financial consequences. In addition, some of the assets in AFG's investment portfolios may be adversely affected by declines in the capital markets and economic activity caused by the continued threat of terrorism, ongoing military and other actions and heightened security measures.

Adverse securities market conditions can have significant negative effects on AFG's investment portfolio.

AFG's results of operations depend in part on the performance of its invested assets. As of December 31, 2005, 90% of AFG's investment portfolio was invested in fixed maturity securities and 3% in equity securities. Certain risks are inherent in connection with fixed maturity securities including loss upon default and price volatility in reaction to changes in interest rates and general market factors. See Item 7A, "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Fixed Maturity Portfolio."

AFG cannot predict whether and the extent to which industry sectors in which it maintains investments may suffer losses as a result of potential decreased commercial and economic activity, or how any such decrease might impact the ability of companies within the affected industry sectors to pay interest or principal on their securities, or how the value of any underlying collateral might be affected.

Investment returns are an important part of AFG's overall profitability. Accordingly, adverse fluctuations in the fixed income or equity markets could adversely impact AFG's profitability, financial condition or cash flows.

18

As a holding company, AFG is dependent on the results of operations of its insurance company subsidiaries to meet its obligations and pay future dividends.

AFG is a holding company and a legal entity separate and distinct from its insurance company subsidiaries. As a holding company without significant operations of its own, AFG's principal sources of funds are dividends and other distributions from its insurance company subsidiaries. As discussed under "Regulation," state insurance laws limit the ability of insurance companies to pay dividends or other distributions and require insurance companies to maintain specified levels of statutory capital and surplus. AFG's rights to participate in any distribution of assets of its insurance company subsidiaries are subject to prior claims of policyholders and creditors (except to the extent that its rights, if any, as a creditor are recognized). Consequently, AFG's ability to pay debts, expenses and cash dividends to its shareholders may be limited.

AFG may be adversely impacted by a downgrade in the ratings of its debt securities.

AFG's debt securities are rated by Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch, independent corporate credit rating agencies. AFG's senior indebtedness is currently rated BBB by Standard & Poor's, Baa3 by Moody's and BBB+ by Fitch. Securities ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating organization. A security rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. An unfavorable change in either of these ratings could make it more expensive to access the capital markets and may increase the interest rate charged under AFG's current multi-bank credit line.

AFG is a party to litigation which, if decided adversely, could impact its financial results.

AFG and its subsidiaries are named as defendants in a number of lawsuits. See "Property and Casualty Insurance Operations - Asbestos and Environmental Reserves ("A&E"),""Legal Proceedings," and "Management's Discussion and Analysis - Uncertainties." Litigation, by its very nature, is unpredictable and the outcome of these cases is uncertain. AFG is unable to predict the precise nature of the relief that may be sought or granted in any lawsuits or the effect that pending or future cases may have on AFG's business, operations, profitability or financial condition.

Certain shareholders exercise substantial control over AFG's affairs, which may impede a change of control transaction.

Carl H. Lindner is Chairman of the Board of Directors of AFG, and his sons, Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner, are each Co-Chief Executive Officers and Directors of AFG. Carl H. Lindner, Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner beneficially own 11.8%, 7.3% and 7.3% of AFG's outstanding Common Stock as of February 1, 2006. Another son, Keith E. Lindner, reported in November 2005 that he beneficially owned shares representing 8.8% of AFG's outstanding Common Stock. As a result, certain members of the Lindner family have the ability to exercise significant influence over AFG's management, including over matters requiring shareholder approval.

The price of AFG common stock may fluctuate significantly, which may make it difficult for holders to resell common stock when they want or at a price they find attractive.

The price of AFG's common stock as listed on the NYSE and Nasdaq National Market constantly changes. During 2004 and 2005, AFG's common stock traded at prices ranging between $26.28 and $39.49. It is expected that the market price of AFG's common stock will continue to fluctuate. AFG's common stock price can fluctuate as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond its control. These factors include but are not limited to:

  • actual or anticipated variations in quarterly operating results;
  • actual or anticipated changes in the dividends paid on AFG common stock;
  • rating agency actions;
  • recommendations by securities analysts;
  • significant acquisitions or business combinations, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments by or involving AFG or its competitors;

19

  • operating and stock price performance of other companies that investors deem comparable to AFG;
  • news reports relating to trends, concerns and other issues in AFG's lines of business; and
  • geopolitical conditions such as acts or threats of terrorism or military conflicts.

 

ITEM 2

Properties

Subsidiaries of AFG own several buildings in downtown Cincinnati. AFG and its affiliates occupy about half of the aggregate 650,000 square feet of commercial and office space in these buildings.

AFG's insurance subsidiaries lease the majority of their office and storage facilities in numerous cities throughout the United States, including Great American's and GAFRI's home offices in Cincinnati. A GAFRI subsidiary owns a 40,000 square foot office building in Austin, Texas, most of which is used by the company for its operations.

AFG subsidiaries own transferable rights to develop approximately 1.3 million square feet of floor space in the Grand Central Terminal area in New York City. The development rights were derived from ownership of the land upon which the terminal is constructed. Since the beginning of 1999, AFG has sold approximately 420,000 square feet of such air rights for total consideration of $22.2 million.

ITEM 3

Legal Proceedings

Please refer to "Forward-Looking Statements" following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.

AFG and its subsidiaries are involved in various litigation, most of which arose in the ordinary course of business, including litigation alleging bad faith in dealing with policyholders and challenging certain business practices of insurance subsidiaries. Except for the following, management believes that none of the litigation meets the threshold for disclosure under this Item.

AFG's insurance company subsidiaries and its 100%-owned subsidiary, American Premier Underwriters ("American Premier"), are parties to litigation and receive claims asserting alleged injuries and damages from asbestos, environmental and other substances and workplace hazards and have established loss accruals for such potential liabilities. The ultimate loss for these claims may vary materially from amounts currently recorded as the conditions surrounding resolution of these claims continue to change.

American Premier is a party or named as a potentially responsible party in a number of proceedings and claims by regulatory agencies and private parties under various environmental protection laws, including the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act ("CERCLA"), seeking to impose responsibility on American Premier for hazardous waste or discharge remediation costs at certain railroad sites formerly owned by its predecessor, Penn Central Transportation Company ("PCTC"), and at certain other sites where hazardous waste or discharge allegedly generated by PCTC's railroad operations and American Premier's former manufacturing operations is present. It is difficult to estimate American Premier's liability for remediation costs at these sites for a number of reasons, including the number and financial resources of other potentially responsible parties involved at a given site, the varying availability of evidence by which to allocate responsi bility among such parties, the wide range of costs for possible remediation alternatives, changing technology and the period of time over which these matters develop. Nevertheless, American Premier believes that its accruals for potential environmental liabilities are adequate to cover the probable amount of such liabilities, based on American Premier's estimates of remediation costs and related expenses and its estimates of the portions of such costs that will be borne

20

by other parties. Such estimates are based on information currently available to American Premier and are subject to future change as additional information becomes available. In 2004, American Premier reached an agreement on the allocation of environmental clean-up costs at its former railroad site in Paoli, Pennsylvania. The settlement became final and agreed upon amounts were paid in early 2005. American Premier intends to seek reimbursement from others for portions of remediation costs incurred.

As previously reported, Great American Insurance Company and certain other insurers were parties to asbestos-related coverage litigation under insurance policies issued during the 1970's and 1980's to Bigelow-Liptak Corporation and related companies, subsequently known as A.P. Green Industries, Inc. ("A.P. Green"). These claims alleged that the refractory materials manufactured, sold or installed by A.P. Green contained asbestos and resulted in bodily injury from exposure to asbestos. A.P. Green sought to recover defense and indemnity expenses related to those claims from a number of insurers, including Great American, and in an effort to maximize coverage asserted that Great American's policies were not subject to aggregate limits on liability, and that each insurer was liable for all sums that A.P. Green became legally obliged to pay.

In February 2002, A.P. Green filed petitions for bankruptcy under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code in the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Pennsylvania (In Re Global Industrial Technologies, Inc., et al, filed February 14, 2002).

In 2003, Great American Insurance Company entered into an agreement, which was approved by the bankruptcy court, for the settlement of coverage litigation related to A.P. Green asbestos claims. The settlement is for $123.5 million (Great American has the option to pay in cash or over time with 5.25% interest). The agreement allows up to 10% of the settlement to be paid in AFG Common Stock. The settlement agreement is conditioned upon confirmation of a plan of reorganization that includes an injunction prohibiting the assertion against Great American of any present or future asbestos personal injury claims under policies issued to A.P. Green and related companies. No assurance can be made that all conditions will be met; no payments are required until completion of the process. The bankruptcy court has scheduled hearings on the confirmation of the plan of reorganization beginning June 5, 2006.

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PART II

ITEM 5

Market for Registrant's Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters

and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

Please refer to "Forward-Looking Statements" following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.

AFG Common Stock has been listed and traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq National Market under the symbol AFG. The information presented in the table below represents the high and low sales prices per share reported on the NYSE Composite Tape.

 

      2005     

      2004     

 

High

Low

High

Low

         

First Quarter

$31.88

$29.90

$30.93

$26.28

Second Quarter

33.96

27.96

31.00

28.94

Third Quarter

35.13

32.25

30.95

28.75

Fourth Quarter

39.49

32.07

32.58

27.60

         

There were approximately 9,200 shareholders of record of AFG Common Stock at February 1, 2006. In 2005 and 2004, AFG declared and paid quarterly dividends of $.125 per share. In December 2005, AFG announced its intent to increase its annual dividend to $.55 per share of common stock, or $.1375 per share quarterly. AFG paid its first dividend at that rate in January 2006. The ability of AFG to pay dividends will be dependent upon, among other things, the availability of dividends and payments under intercompany tax allocation agreements from its insurance company subsidiaries.

Under AFG's shareholder-approved Stock Option Plan, 199,166 shares of AFG Common Stock were tendered in connection with the exercise of stock options for a total of 278,264 shares in the fourth quarter of 2005 (3,819 at $34.55 in October; 86,110 at $36.47 in November; and 109,237 at $38.69 in December).

Equity Compensation Plan Information

The following reflects certain information about shares of AFG Common Stock authorized for issuance (at December 31, 2005) under compensation plans.

Number of securities

available for future

Number of securities

issuance under equity

to be issued upon

Weighted-average

compensation plans

exercise of

exercise price of

(excluding securities

Equity Compensation Plans

outstanding options

outstanding options

reflected in column (a))

 

(a)

(b)

(c)

Approved by shareholders

6,389,288

$28.14

7,500,508(1)      

Not approved by

  shareholders

none

n/a

452,968(2)      

       

(1)  Includes 5.2 million shares available for issuance under AFG's Stock Incentive

     Plans, 2.1 million shares issuable under AFG's Employee Stock Purchase Plan and

     130,520 shares issuable under AFG's Nonemployee Directors' Compensation Plan.

 

(2)  Represents shares issuable under AFG's Deferred Compensation Plan. Under this Plan,

     certain employees of AFG and its subsidiaries may defer up to 80% of their annual

     salary and/or bonus. Participants may elect to have the value of deferrals (i) earn

     a fixed rate of interest, set annually by the Board of Directors, or (ii) fluctuate

     based on the market value of AFG Common Stock, as adjusted to reflect stock splits,

     distributions, dividends, and a 7-1/2% match to participant deferrals.

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ITEM 6

Selected Financial Data

The following table sets forth certain data for the periods indicated (dollars in millions, except per share data).

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

2002 

2001 

Earnings Statement Data:

     

 

 

Total Revenues

$4,038 

$3,906 

$3,360 

$3,745 

$3,919 

Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

357 

590 

301 

176 

86 

Earnings from Continuing Operations

208 

368 

321 

124 

15 

Discontinued Operations (a)

(1)

(2)

(33)

(20)

Cumulative Effect of Accounting Changes (b)

 -   

(6)

(40)

(10)

Net Earnings (Loss)

207 

360 

294 

85 

(15)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic Earnings (Loss) Per Common Share:

         

  Earnings from Continuing Operations

$2.70 

$5.00 

$4.53 

$1.80 

$.22 

  Discontinued Operations

(.02)

(.03)

(.48)

.02 

(.29)

  Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change

-   

(.08)

.09 

(.59)

(.15)

  Net Earnings (Loss) Available to Common Shares

2.68 

4.89 

4.14 

1.23 

(.22)

           

Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Common Share:

         

  Earnings from Continuing Operations

$2.64 

$4.92 

$4.51 

$1.79 

$.22 

  Discontinued Operations

(.02)

(.03)

(.48)

.02 

(.29)

  Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change

-   

(.08)

.09 

(.59)

(.15)

  Net Earnings (Loss) Available to Common Shares

2.62 

4.81 

4.12 

1.22 

(.22)

           

Cash Dividends Paid Per Share of Common Stock

$.50 

$.50 

$.50 

$.50 

$1.00 

           

Ratio of Earnings to Fixed Charges (c):

         

  Including Annuity Benefits

1.82 

2.43 

1.69 

1.36 

1.13 

  Excluding Annuity Benefits

4.81 

7.07 

3.71 

2.40 

1.49 

           

Balance Sheet Data:

         

Total Assets

$22,816 

$22,560 

$20,312 

$19,628 

$17,538 

Long-term Debt

943 

1,029 

837 

945 

879 

Minority Interest

 261 

220 

188 

471 

455 

Shareholders' Equity

2,458 

2,431 

2,076 

1,726 

1,498 

           

(a)

Reflects the results of Transport Insurance Company, which was sold in 2004. The loss in 2005 represents the settlement of disputed amounts under the sales contract.

   

(b)

Reflects the implementation of required accounting changes.

   

(c)

Fixed charges are computed on a "total enterprise" basis. For purposes of calculating the ratios, "earnings" have been computed by adding to pretax earnings the fixed charges and the minority interest in earnings of subsidiaries having fixed charges and the undistributed equity in losses of investees. Fixed charges include interest (including or excluding interest credited to annuity policyholders' accounts as indicated), amortization of debt premium/discount and expense, preferred dividend and distribution requirements of subsidiaries and a portion of rental expense deemed to be representative of the interest factor.

   
 

Although the ratio of earnings to fixed charges excluding interest on annuities is not required or encouraged to be disclosed under Securities and Exchange Commission rules, some investors and lenders may not consider interest credited to annuity policyholders' accounts a borrowing cost for an insurance company, and accordingly, believe this ratio is meaningful.

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ITEM 7

Management's Discussion and Analysis

of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

____________________________________________________________________________________

INDEX TO MD&A

 

Page

 

Page

General

24 

  Results of Operations

37 

Overview

24 

    General

37 

Critical Accounting Policies

25 

    Income Items

37 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

25 

    Expense Items

43 

  Ratios

25 

    Other Items

44 

  Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity

26 

  Recent Accounting Standards

45 

  Contractual Obligations

28 

   

  Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

28 

   

  Investments

28 

   

  Uncertainties

31 

   

____________________________________________________________________________________

Please refer to "Forward-Looking Statements" following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.

GENERAL

Following is a discussion and analysis of the financial statements and other statistical data that management believes will enhance the understanding of AFG's financial condition and results of operations. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements beginning on page F-1.

OVERVIEW

Financial Condition

AFG is organized as a holding company with almost all of its operations being conducted by subsidiaries. AFG, however, has continuing cash needs for administrative expenses, the payment of principal and interest on borrowings, shareholder dividends, and taxes. Therefore, certain analyses are best done on a parent only basis while others are best done on a total enterprise basis. In addition, because most of its businesses are financial in nature, AFG does not prepare its consolidated financial statements using a current-noncurrent format. Consequently, certain traditional ratios and financial analysis tests are not meaningful.

At December 31, 2005, AFG (parent) had over $160 million in cash and securities and no amounts borrowed under its bank line of credit.

Results of Operations

Through the operations of its subsidiaries, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance and in the sale of retirement annuities and supplemental insurance products. With the sale of Infinity in 2003, AFG narrowed the focus of its property and casualty business to its specialized commercial products for businesses.

The property and casualty business is cyclical in nature with periods of high competition resulting in low premium rates, sometimes referred to as a "soft market" or "downcycle" followed by periods of reduced competition and higher premium rates, referred to as a "hard market" or "upcycle." The 1990's were a soft market period; prices started to harden in 2000 and accelerated significantly following the terrorist attacks in 2001. Rate increases for AFG's specialty businesses moderated during the latter part of 2003 and that trend continued during 2004. While certain specialty operations experienced higher rate levels in 2005, overall average pricing was flat for the year.

24

AFG's net earnings for 2005 were $206.6 million ($2.62 per share). Included in net earnings were the following items, net of tax and minority interest:

  • A reserve charge of $121.6 million for asbestos, environmental and other mass tort exposures within AFG's run-off operations.
  • Underwriting losses of $34.2 million from hurricanes.
  • Gains of $45.9 million on the sale of real estate and other assets.
  • A charge of $29.3 million related to the residual value business.
  • A charge of $15.6 million reducing deferred acquisition costs and increasing insurance liabilities of the annuity and run-off life operations.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Significant accounting policies are summarized in Note A to the financial statements. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles requires management to make estimates and assumptions that can have a significant effect on amounts reported in the financial statements. As more information becomes known, these estimates and assumptions could change and thus impact amounts reported in the future. The areas where management believes the degree of judgment required to determine amounts recorded in the financial statements make accounting policies critical are as follows:

  • the establishment of insurance reserves, especially asbestos and environmental-related reserves,
  • the recoverability of deferred acquisition costs,
  • the establishment of asbestos and environmental reserves of former non-insurance operations, and
  • the determination of "other-than-temporary" impairment on investments.

See "Liquidity and Capital Resources - Uncertainties" for a discussion of insurance reserves and contingencies related to American Premier's former operations and "Liquidity and Capital Resources - Investments" for a discussion of impairments on investments. Deferred policy acquisition costs ("DPAC") and certain liabilities related to annuities and universal life insurance products are amortized in relation to the present value of expected gross profits on the policies. Assumptions considered in determining expected gross profits involve significant judgment and include management's estimates of assumed interest rates and investment spreads, surrenders, annuitizations, renewal premiums and mortality. Should actual experience require management to change its assumptions regarding the emergence of future revenues and profits (commonly referred to as "unlocking"), a charge or credit would be recorded to adjust DPAC or annuity liabilities to the levels they wou ld have been if the new assumptions had been used from the inception date of each policy.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Ratios  AFG's debt to total capital ratio on a consolidated basis is shown below (dollars in millions). Management expects that continued earnings and debt repurchases will reduce this ratio below 25% during 2006.

   

  December 31,  

   

2005 

2004 

Consolidated debt (1)

 

$1,000 

$1,106 

Total capital (2)

 

3,703 

3,575 

Ratio of debt to total capital

 

27.0%

30.9%

       

(1)  Includes payable to subsidiary trusts.

(2)  Includes consolidated debt, minority interest and

     shareholders' equity (excluding unrealized gains      (losses) related to fixed maturity investments).

 

AFG's ratio of earnings to fixed charges, including annuity benefits as a fixed charge, was 1.82 for the year ended December 31, 2005 (2.25 excluding the A&E and other mass tort charges). Excluding annuity benefits, this ratio was 4.81 for 2005 (6.83 excluding the A&E and other mass tort charges). Although the ratio excluding interest on annuities is not required or encouraged to be disclosed under Securities and Exchange Commission rules, it is presented because interest credited to annuity policyholder accounts is not always considered a borrowing cost for an insurance company.

25

The NAIC's model law for risk based capital ("RBC") applies to both life and property and casualty companies. RBC formulas determine the amount of capital that an insurance company needs so that it has an acceptable expectation of not becoming financially impaired. At December 31, 2005, the capital ratios of all AFG insurance companies substantially exceeded the RBC requirements. The lowest capital ratio of any operating AFG subsidiary was over 3-1/2 times its authorized control level RBC.

Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity

Parent Holding Company Liquidity  Management believes AFG has sufficient resources to meet its liquidity requirements. If funds generated from operations, including dividends and tax payments from subsidiaries, are insufficient to meet fixed charges in any period, AFG would be required to utilize parent company cash and marketable securities ($163 million at December 31, 2005) or to generate cash through borrowings, sales of other assets, or similar transactions.

In November 2004, AFG replaced its existing credit line with a $300 million credit facility. No amounts have been borrowed under this credit facility through December 31, 2005. Amounts borrowed bear interest at rates ranging from 1% to 2% over LIBOR based on AFG's credit rating. AFG believes that this credit agreement provides ample liquidity and can be used to obtain funds for operating subsidiaries or, if necessary, for the parent company.

During 2005, AFG repurchased $15.6 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2007 and $71.2 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2009 for $92.6 million in cash. Through February 2006, AFG repurchased an additional $22.1 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2009 for $23.5 million in cash.

In 2004, AFG raised approximately $193 million through the issuance of common stock and 30-year Senior Debentures. The proceeds were used to retire trust preferred securities with a higher effective interest rate and for investment purposes. In addition, American Premier, sold an additional 1.3 million previously issued and outstanding AFG common shares. These shares were held for the benefit of certain unsecured creditors of American Premier's predecessor, The Penn Central Transportation Company. Proceeds from that sale ($41.5 million) were placed in escrow and used to pay American Premier's environmental claims related to its former railroad operations.

All debentures issued by AFG (and GAFRI) are rated investment grade by three nationally recognized rating agencies. Under a currently effective shelf registration statement, AFG can issue up to an aggregate of $517 million in additional equity or debt securities including 2.3 million shares of common stock remaining under a 2004 equity distribution agreement with UBS Securities LLC. The shelf registration provides AFG with flexibility to access the capital markets from time to time as market and other conditions permit.

For statutory accounting purposes, equity securities of non-affiliates are generally carried at market value. At December 31, 2005, AFG's insurance companies owned publicly traded equity securities with a market value of $556 million. In addition, Great American Insurance Company owns GAFRI and National Interstate Corporation (NYSE: "NATL") common stock with a market value of $960 million and a statutory carrying value of $689 million. Decreases in market prices could adversely affect the insurance group's capital, potentially impacting the amount of dividends available or necessitating a capital contribution. Conversely, increases in market prices could have a favorable impact on the group's dividend-paying capability.

Under tax allocation agreements with AFG, its 80%-owned U.S. subsidiaries generally compute tax provisions as if filing separate returns based on book taxable income computed in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. Under tax allocation agreements in effect through 2005, the resulting provision (or credit) was currently payable to (or receivable from) AFG. Under a new agreement that became effective in 2006, subsidiaries will generally pay or recover taxes on a separate company tax return basis.

26

Subsidiary Liquidity  GAFRI has a $165 million credit facility that matures in 2008. Amounts borrowed bear interest at rates ranging from 1% to 2% over LIBOR based on GAFRI's credit rating. There were no amounts borrowed under this agreement at December 31, 2005. In addition, GAFRI can issue approximately $250 million in additional equity or debt securities under a currently effective shelf registration.

In the fourth quarter of 2005, GAFRI repurchased $20.8 million of its 8-7/8% preferred securities for $22.6 million in cash. Through February 2006, GAFRI repurchased an additional $51.5 million of its 6-7/8% Notes for $53.4 million.

The liquidity requirements of AFG's insurance subsidiaries relate primarily to the liabilities associated with their products as well as operating costs and expenses, payments of dividends and taxes to AFG and contributions of capital to their subsidiaries. Historically, cash flows from premiums and investment income have provided more than sufficient funds to meet these requirements without requiring a sale of investments or contributions from AFG. Funds received in excess of cash requirements are generally invested in additional marketable securities. In addition, the insurance subsidiaries generally hold a significant amount of highly liquid, short-term investments.

The excess cash flow of AFG's property and casualty group allows it to extend the duration of its investment portfolio somewhat beyond that of its claim reserves.

In January 2005, NATL, a majority-owned subsidiary that specializes in property and casualty insurance for the passenger transportation industry, issued 3,350,000 shares of its common stock in an initial public offering. A portion of the $40.4 million of net proceeds from this offering were used to repay NATL's $15 million promissory note to another AFG subsidiary. The remainder was used for other general corporate purposes. After the offering, AFG owns approximately 54% of NATL.

In GAFRI's annuity business, where profitability is largely dependent on earning a "spread" between invested assets and annuity liabilities, the duration of investments is generally maintained close to that of liabilities. In a rising interest rate environment, significant protection from withdrawals exists in the form of temporary and permanent surrender charges on GAFRI's annuity products. With declining rates, GAFRI receives some protection (from spread compression) due to the ability to lower crediting rates, subject to guaranteed minimums.

AFG believes its insurance subsidiaries maintain sufficient liquidity to pay claims and benefits and operating expenses, as well as meet commitments in the event of unforeseen events such as reserve deficiencies, inadequate premium rates or reinsurer insolvencies.

27

Contractual Obligations  The following table shows an estimate (based on historical patterns and expected trends) of payments to be made for insurance reserve liabilities, as well as scheduled payments for major contractual obligations (in millions).

   

Within

   

More than

 

  Total

One Year

2-3 Years

4-5 Years

  5 Years

Annuity, Life, Accident &

         

  Health Liabilities (a)

$ 9,505

$1,129

$2,410

$2,191

$3,775

Property and Casualty Unpaid

         

  Losses and Loss Adjustment

         

  Expenses (b)

5,791

2,000

2,000

700

1,091

Long-Term Debt

869

20

299

207

343

Payable to Subsidiary Trusts

57

-   

-   

-   

57

Operating Leases

    141

    30

    51

    34

    26

    Total

$16,363

$3,179

$4,760

$3,132

$5,292

           

(a)  Reserve projections for insurance liabilities include anticipated cash
     benefit payments only. Projections do not include any impact for future
     earnings or additional premiums.

(b)  Dollar amounts and time periods are estimates based on historical net
     payment patterns applied to the gross reserves and do not represent actual
     contractual obligations. Based on the same assumptions, AFG projects
     reinsurance recoveries related to these reserves totaling $2.2 billion
     as follows: Within 1 year - $800 million; 2-3 years - $800 million;
     4-5 years - $300 million; and thereafter - $343 million. Actual
     payments and their timing could differ significantly from these estimates.

 

Between January 1 and February 28, 2006, AFG repurchased $22.1 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2009 and GAFRI repurchased $51.5 million of its 6-7/8% Notes due 2008. The scheduled principal payments in the above table have been adjusted to reflect these repurchases. The AFG Convertible Debentures due in 2033 are included in the above table at the first put date (2008).

As discussed in Note B to the financial statements, AFG will pay additional amounts for its Farmers Crop acquisition based on customer retention. Payments are not expected to exceed $30 million over the next three years. AFG has no material contractual purchase obligations or other long-term liabilities at December 31, 2005.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements  See Note R - "Additional Information - Financial Instruments with Off-Balance Sheet Risk" to the financial statements.

Investments  AFG attempts to optimize investment income while building the value of its portfolio, placing emphasis upon long-term performance.

Approximately two-thirds of AFG's consolidated assets are invested in marketable securities. AFG's investment portfolio at December 31, 2005, contained $14.3 billion in "Fixed maturities" classified as available for sale and $557 million in "Other stocks", all carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses reported as a separate component of shareholders' equity on an after-tax basis. At December 31, 2005, AFG had pretax net unrealized gains of $54.3 million on fixed maturities and $55.2 million on other stocks.

Fixed income investment funds are generally invested in securities with intermediate-term maturities with an objective of optimizing total return while allowing flexibility to react to changes in market conditions. At December 31, 2005, the average life of AFG's fixed maturities was about 6-1/2 years.

Approximately 94% of the fixed maturities held by AFG were rated "investment grade" (credit rating of AAA to BBB) by nationally recognized rating agencies at December 31, 2005. Investment grade securities generally bear lower yields and

lower degrees of risk than those that are unrated or noninvestment grade. Management believes that the high quality investment portfolio should generate a stable and predictable investment return.

28

Investments in mortgage backed securities ("MBSs") represented 32% of AFG's fixed maturities at December 31, 2005. MBSs are subject to significant prepayment risk due to the fact that, in periods of declining interest rates, mortgages may be repaid more rapidly than scheduled as borrowers refinance higher rate mortgages to take advantage of lower rates. Substantially all of AFG's MBSs are investment grade quality, with approximately 98% rated "AAA" at December 31, 2005.

Summarized information for the unrealized gains and losses recorded in AFG's Balance Sheet at December 31, 2005, is shown in the following table (dollars in millions). Approximately $105 million of available for sale "Fixed maturities" had no unrealized gains or losses at December 31, 2005.

 

Securities

Securities

 

With   

With   

 

Unrealized

Unrealized

 

   Gains  

  Losses  

Available for sale Fixed Maturities

   

  Fair value of securities

$6,037 

$8,184 

  Amortized cost of securities

$5,826 

$8,341 

  Gross unrealized gain (loss)

$  211 

($  157)

  Fair value as % of amortized cost

104%

98%

  Number of security positions

1,228 

1,188 

  Number individually exceeding

   

    $2 million gain or loss

  Concentration of gains (losses) by

   

    type or industry (exceeding 5% of

   

    unrealized):

   

      Mortgage-backed securities

$ 16.2 

($ 70.7)

      Banks, savings and credit institutions

31.6 

(9.8)

      Gas and electric services

28.1 

(4.8)

      U.S. government and government agencies

13.2 

(17.2)

      Telephone communications

13.5 

(2.5)

      State and municipal

10.7 

(10.0)

  Percentage rated investment grade

90%

96%

 

 

 

The table below sets forth the scheduled maturities of AFG's available for sale fixed maturity securities at December 31, 2005, based on their fair values. Asset backed securities and other securities with sinking funds are reported at average maturity. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may be called or prepaid by the issuers.

 

Securities 

Securities 

 

with    

with    

 

Unrealized 

Unrealized 

Maturity

   Gains   

  Losses   

  One year or less

5%    

2%    

  After one year through five years

22     

24     

  After five years through ten years

46     

25     

  After ten years

 14     

  4     

 

87     

55     

  Mortgage-backed securities

 13     

 45     

 

100%    

100%    

     

AFG realized aggregate losses of $10.4 million during 2005 on $480.9 million in sales of fixed maturity securities (seven issues/issuers) that had individual unrealized losses greater than $500,000 at December 31, 2004. One of the securities was a $319.8 million U.S. Treasury Note due in 2007 that declined in value by $4.3 million (1.3%) from year-end 2004 to the sale date. The remaining six securities were "AAA" rated mortgage-backed securities, two of which increased in fair value by an aggregate of $677,000 and four of which decreased in fair value by an aggregate of $832,000 from year-end 2004 to the sale date.

Although AFG had the ability to continue holding these investments, its intent to hold them changed due primarily to deterioration in the issuers' creditworthiness or decisions to lessen credit exposure to a particular issuer or industry. Intent to hold may also change due to asset/liability management decisions, market movements and changes in views about appropriate asset allocation.

29

The table below (dollars in millions) summarizes the unrealized gains and losses on fixed maturity securities by dollar amount.

     

Fair 

 

Aggregate 

Aggregate 

Value as 

 

Fair 

Unrealized 

% of Cost 

 

    Value 

Gain (Loss) 

    Basis 

Fixed Maturities                   

     
       

Securities with unrealized gains:

     

  Exceeding $500,000 (105 issues)

$1,305 

$ 99 

108%

  Less than $500,000 (1,123 issues)

 4,732 

 112 

102 

 

$6,037 

$211 

104%

       

Securities with unrealized losses:

  Exceeding $500,000 (64 issues)

$1,586 

($ 52)

97%

  Less than $500,000 (1,124 issues)

 6,598 

( 105)

98 

 

$8,184 

($157)

98%

       

The following table summarizes (dollars in millions) the unrealized loss for all fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses by issuer quality and length of time those securities have been in an unrealized loss position.

     

Fair 

 

Aggregate 

Aggregate 

Value as 

 

Fair 

Unrealized 

% of Cost 

 

    Value 

Gain (Loss) 

    Basis 

Fixed Maturities with Unrealized

     

  Losses at December 31, 2005      

     

    

     

Investment grade with losses for:

     

  One year or less (901 issues)

$6,529 

($103)

98%

  Greater than one year (229 issues)

 1,363 

(  45)

97 

 

$7,892 

($148)

98%

    

     

Non-investment grade with losses for:

     

  One year or less (49 issues)

$  262 

($  7)

97%

  Greater than one year (9 issues)

    30 

(   2)

94 

 

$  292 

($  9)

97%

       

When a decline in the value of a specific investment is considered to be "other than temporary," a provision for impairment is charged to earnings (accounted for as a realized loss) and the cost basis of that investment is reduced. The determination of whether unrealized losses are "other than temporary" requires judgment based on subjective as well as objective factors. Factors considered and resources used by management include:

  1. whether the unrealized loss is credit-driven or a result of changes in market interest rates,
  2. the extent to which fair value is less than cost basis,
  3. historical operating, balance sheet and cash flow data contained in issuer SEC filings and news releases,
  4. near-term prospects for improvement in the issuer and/or its industry,
  5. third party research and communications with industry specialists,
  6. internally generated financial models and forecasts,
  7. discussions with issuer management, and
  8. ability and intent to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for any anticipated recovery in fair value.

Based on its analysis of the factors enumerated above, management believes (i) AFG will recover its cost basis in the securities with unrealized losses and (ii) that AFG has the ability and intent to hold the securities until they mature or recover in value. Should either of these beliefs change with regard to a particular security, a charge for impairment would likely be required. While it is not possible to accurately predict if or when a specific security will become impaired,

charges for other than temporary impairment could be material to results of operations in a future period. Management believes it is not likely that future impairment charges will have a significant effect on AFG's liquidity.

30

Net realized gains (losses) on securities sold and charges for "other than temporary" impairment on securities held were as follows (in millions):

         
 

Net Realized 

Charges for     

   
 

Gains on Sales 

Impairment     

Other(a)

 Total  

2005

$ 37.2 

($16.1)    

$2.8   

$ 23.9  

2004

320.0 

(16.7)    

(1.3)  

302.0  

2003

117.1 

(58.4)    

0.2   

58.9  

(a)  Includes adjustments to reflect the impact of realized gains and losses on the

     amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and to carry derivatives at

     fair value.

Uncertainties  As more fully explained in the following paragraphs, management believes that the areas posing the greatest risk of material loss are the adequacy of its insurance reserves and American Premier's contingencies arising out of its former operations.

Property and Casualty Insurance Reserves The liabilities for unpaid claims and for expenses of investigation and adjustment of unpaid claims are based upon: (a) the accumulation of case estimates for losses reported prior to the close of the accounting periods on direct business written ("case reserves"); (b) estimates received from ceding reinsurers and insurance pools and associations; (c) estimates of unreported losses (including possible development on known claims) based on past experience("IBNR"); (d) estimates based on experience of expense for investigating and adjusting claims; and (e) the current state of law and coverage litigation. Using these items as well as historical trends adjusted for changes in underwriting standards, policy provisions, product mix and other factors, management, including Company actuaries, determines a single or "point" estimate that it records as its best estimat e of the liabilities. Recorded amounts are analyzed and tested on a quarterly basis by Company actuaries. Ranges of loss reserves are not developed by Company actuaries.

Estimating the liability for unpaid losses and LAE is inherently judgmental and is influenced by factors that are subject to significant variation. Through the use of analytical reserve development techniques, management considers items such as the effect of inflation on medical, hospitalization, material, repair and replacement costs, general economic trends and the legal environment.

While current factors and reasonably likely changes in variable factors are considered in estimating the liability for unpaid losses, there is no method or system that can eliminate the risk of actual ultimate results differing from such estimates. As shown in the reserve development table (loss triangle) on page 8, the original estimates of AFG's liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance, over the past 10 years have developed through December 31, 2005, to be deficient (for eight years) by as much as 15.7% and redundant (for two years) by as much as 1.4% (excluding the effect of special charges for asbestos, environmental and other mass tort exposures). The average of such redundancies and deficiencies has been slightly (less than 5%) deficient. Management believes this development illustrates the variability in factors considered in estimating its insurance reserves.

Quarterly reviews of unpaid loss and LAE reserves are prepared using standard actuarial techniques. These may include (but may not be limited to):

  • Case Incurred Development Method
  • Paid Development Method
  • Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method
  • Incremental Paid LAE to Paid Loss Methods

31

Supplementary statistical information is reviewed to determine which methods are most appropriate to use or if adjustments are needed to particular methods. Such information includes:

  • Open and closed claim counts
  • Average case reserves and average incurred on open claims
  • Closure rates and statistics related to closed and open claim percentages
  • Average closed claim severity
  • Ultimate claim severity
  • Reported loss ratios
  • Projected ultimate loss ratios
  • Loss payment patterns

Within each line, Company actuaries review the results of individual tests, supplementary statistical information, and input from underwriting, operating and claim management, to select their point estimate of the ultimate liability. This estimate may be one test, or a weighted average of several tests, or a judgmental selection as the actuaries determine is appropriate. The actuarial review is performed each quarter as a test of the reasonableness of management's point estimate.

The level of detail in which data is analyzed varies among the different lines of business. Data is generally analyzed by major product or by coverage within product, using countrywide data; however, in some situations, data may be reviewed by state for a few large volume states. Appropriate segmentation of the data is determined based on data volume, data credibility, mix of business, and other actuarial considerations. Overall, Company actuaries review over 500 identified line components. Point estimates are selected based on test indications and judgment.

The following table shows (in millions) the breakdown of AFG's property and casualty reserves between case reserves, IBNR reserves and LAE reserves (estimated amounts required to adjust, record and settle claims, other than the claim payments themselves).

 

Gross Loss Reserves at December 31, 2005 

       

Total 

 

  Case 

  IBNR 

 LAE 

Reserve 

Statutory Line of Business

       

Other liability - occurrence

$  546 

$1,309 

$427 

$2,282 

Workers' Compensation

712 

370 

71 

1,153 

Other liability - claims-made

284 

268 

141 

693 

Commercial multiple peril

153 

133 

102 

388 

Commercial Auto/Truck Liability/Medical

125 

155 

64 

344 

Special property (fire, allied lines,

       

  inland marine, earthquake)

191 

77 

27 

295 

Other lines

   198 

   339 

 116 

   653 

    Total Statutory Reserves

2,209 

2,651 

948 

5,808 

         

Adjustments for GAAP:

       

Loss reserve discounting

(19)

(19)

Reclassify extracontractual reserves

(19)

(19)

Canadian foreign currency translation

(15)

(15)

Reserves of foreign operations

    12 

    22 

   2 

    36 

Total Adjustments for GAAP

   (41)

    22 

   2 

   (17)

         

Total GAAP Reserves

$2,168 

$2,673 

$950 

$5,791 

         

Following is a discussion of certain variables affecting the estimation of the more significant lines of business (asbestos, environmental and other mass tort liabilities are separately discussed below). Many other variables may also impact ultimate claim costs.

An important assumption underlying reserve estimates is that the cost trends implicitly built into development patterns will continue into the future. To estimate the sensitivity of recorded reserves to an unexpected change in the trends, 1% was added to the trend that is embedded in the factors used to determine the

32

reserves for ultimate liabilities. This unexpected change could arise from a variety of sources including a general increase in economic inflation, inflation from social programs, new medical technologies, or other factors such as those listed below in connection with our largest lines of business. Utilizing the effect of a 1% change in cost trends enables changes greater than 1% to be estimated by extrapolation. Each additional 1% change in the cost trend would increase the effect on net earnings by an amount slightly (about 6%) greater than the effect of the previous 1%. For example, if a 1% change in cost trends would change net earnings by $20 million, a 2% change would change net earnings by $41 million. The estimated cumulative impact that a one percent change would have on our net earnings is shown below (in millions).

Line of business 

 

Other Liability - Occurrence

$26

Workers Compensation

18

Other Liability - Claims made

9

Commercial Multi-peril

5

Other Liability - Occurrence

This line of business consists of coverages protecting the insured against legal liability resulting from negligence, carelessness, or a failure to act causing property damage or personal injury to others. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for other liability - occurrence include:

  • Litigious climate
  • Unpredictability of judicial decisions regarding coverage issues
  • Magnitude of jury awards
  • Outside counsel costs
  • Timing of claims reporting

The judicial climate in some states has had some effect on certain claims in recent years with more liberal coverage decisions, expanded concepts of liability and higher jury awards. Significant case reserve strengthening has occurred in several books of business within this line. Management believes these stronger case reserves will cause future development on known claims to be less than recent historical patterns.

Workers' Compensation

This line of business provides coverage to employees who may be injured in the course of employment. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for workers' compensation include:

  • Legislative actions and regulatory interpretations
  • Future medical cost inflation
  • Timing of claims reporting

AFG's workers' compensation business is written primarily in California. Significant reforms passed by the California state legislature in 2003 and in 2004 have favorably impacted settlement payments. The magnitude of future cost savings depends on the implementation and interpretation of the reforms throughout the California workers' compensation system over the next several years.

Other Liability - Claims Made

This line of business consists mostly of directors and officers' liability, and professional liability, mostly for lawyers. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for other liability - claims made include:

  • Litigious climate
  • The economy
  • Variability of stock prices

The general state of the economy and the variability of the stock price of the insured can affect the frequency and severity of shareholder class action suits that trigger coverage under directors' and officers' liability policies. This has caused some adverse development in the past and is judgmentally considered in reserving for this line of business.

33

Commercial Multi-Peril

This line of business consists of two or more coverages protecting the insured from various property and liability risk exposures. The commercial multi-peril line of business includes coverage similar to other liability - occurrence, so in general, variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for commercial multi-peril include those mentioned above for other liability - occurrence. In addition, this line also includes reserves for a run-off book of homebuilders business. Variables unique to estimating the liabilities for this coverage include:

  • Changing legal/regulatory interpretations of coverage
  • Statutes of limitations and statutes of repose in filing claims
  • Changes in policy forms and endorsements

Over the years, certain portions of the homebuilders business has experienced adverse interpretations of coverage, coupled with certain statutory changes relating to liability, that caused an increase in the emergence of claims from older years. Management believes that changes in policy forms and endorsements implemented in 1998 will reduce AFG's exposure to such adverse interpretations.

Recoverables from Reinsurers  AFG is subject to credit risk with respect to its reinsurers, as reinsurance contracts do not relieve AFG of its liability to policyholders. To mitigate this risk, substantially all reinsurance is ceded to companies with investment grade or better S&P ratings or is secured by "funds withheld" or other collateral.

In 2004, AFG recorded a loss of $28.9 million to commute $87.2 million of reinsurance recoverables with certain of its reinsurers who have experienced deteriorating financial condition. In the first quarter of 2005, AFG completed an additional agreement to help further mitigate its exposure to such reinsurers. AFG has recorded reserves for doubtful collection of reinsurance recoverables on a case by case and overall basis. These estimates are subject to significant judgment and may vary significantly depending upon the reinsurers continued willingness and ability to pay amounts due.

Asbestos and Environmental-related ("A&E") Reserves  Asbestos and environmental reserves consisted of the following (in millions):

 

  December 31,  

 

2005

2004

Asbestos

$366.0

$259.4

Environmental

  95.0

  71.2

A&E reserves, net of reinsurance recoverable

461.0

330.6

Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance

  79.4

  55.9

Gross A&E reserves

$540.4

$386.5

     

Asbestos reserves include claims asserting alleged injuries and damages from exposure to asbestos. Environmental reserves include claims relating to polluted waste sites.

Asbestos claims against manufacturers, distributors or installers of asbestos products were presented under the products liability section of their policies which typically had aggregate limits that capped an insurer's liability. In recent years, a number of asbestos claims are being presented as "non-products" claims, such as those by installers of asbestos products and by property owners or operators who allegedly had asbestos on their property, under the premises or operations section of their policies. Unlike products exposures, these non-products exposures typically had no aggregate limits, creating potentially greater exposure for insurers. Further, in an effort to seek additional insurance coverage, some insureds with installation activities who have substantially eroded their products coverage are presenting new asbestos claims as non-products operations claims or attempting to reclassify previously settled products claims as non-products claims to restore a portion of previously exhausted prod ucts aggregate limits. We, along with other insurers, are and will be subject to such non-products claims. It is difficult to predict whether insureds will be successful in asserting claims under non-products coverage or whether we and other insurers will be successful in asserting additional defenses. Therefore, the future impact of such efforts is uncertain.

34

Approximately one-half of AFG's net asbestos reserves relate to policies written directly by AFG subsidiaries. Claims from these policies generally are product oriented claims with only a limited amount of non-product exposures, and are dominated by small to mid-sized commercial entities that are mostly regional policyholders with few national target defendants. The remainder is assumed reinsurance business that includes exposures for the periods 1954 to 1983. The asbestos and environmental assumed claims are ceded by various insurance companies under reinsurance treaties. A majority of the individual assumed claims have exposures of less than $100,000 to AFG. Asbestos losses assumed include some of the industry known manufacturers, distributors and installers. Pollution losses include industry known insured names and sites.

Establishing reserves for A&E claims relating to policies and participations in reinsurance treaties and former operations is subject to uncertainties that are significantly greater than those presented by other types of claims. For this group of claims, traditional actuarial techniques that rely on historical loss development trends cannot be used and a meaningful range of loss cannot be estimated. Case reserves and expense reserves are established by the claims department as specific policies are identified. In addition to the case reserves established for known claims, management establishes additional reserves for claims not yet known or reported and for possible development on known claims. These additional reserves are management's best estimate based on periodic detailed "ground up" studies adjusted for payments and identifiable changes, supplemented by management's review of industry information about such claims, with due consideration to individual claim situations. Estimating ultimate liability for asbestos claims presents a unique and difficult challenge to the insurance industry due to, among other things, inconsistent court decisions, an increase in bankruptcy filings as a result of asbestos-related liabilities, novel theories of coverage, and judicial interpretations that often expand theories of recovery and broaden the scope of coverage. The casualty insurance industry is engaged in extensive litigation over these coverage and liability issues as the volume and severity of claims against asbestos defendants continue to increase.

Emerging trends, such as those named below, could impact AFG's reserves and payments:

  • There is a growing interest at the state and federal level to attempt to legislatively address asbestos liabilities and the manner in which asbestos claims are resolved. These developments are fluid and could result in a comprehensive solution or piecemeal state by state solutions.
  • The manner by which bankruptcy courts are addressing asbestos liabilities is in flux.
  • AFG's insureds may make claims alleging significant non-products exposures.

While management believes that AFG's reserves for A&E claims are a reasonable estimate of ultimate liability for such claims, actual results may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded due to the difficulty in predicting the number of future claims, the impact of recent bankruptcy filings, and unresolved issues such as whether coverage exists, whether policies are subject to aggregate limits on coverage, whether claims are to be allocated among triggered policies and implicated years, and whether claimants who exhibit no signs of illness will be successful in pursuing their claims. A 1% variation in loss cost trends, caused by any of the factors previously described, would change net income by approximately $24 million.

From time to time, AFG has engaged independent firms to work closely with its claims staff to study the A&E reserves of its insurance company subsidiaries. The most recent study was completed in the third quarter of 2005 and resulted in AFG recording a pretax charge of $169 million to increase its A&E reserves. Absent legislative reforms, which may alter the need for an independent review, management expects to conduct another routine study in 2007. For a discussion of the A&E reserve strengthening, see Management's Discussion and Analysis - "Results of Operations - Asbestos and Environmental Reserve Charge."

In February 2003, Great American Insurance Company entered into an agreement for the settlement of asbestos related coverage litigation under insurance polices issued during the 1970's and 1980's to Bigelow-Liptak Corporation and related companies, subsequently known as A.P. Green Industries, Inc. The settlement is for $123.5 million (Great American has the option to pay in cash or over time with

35

5.25% interest), all of which was covered by reserves established prior to 2003, and anticipated reinsurance recoverables for this matter. The agreement allows up to 10% of the settlement to be paid in AFG Common Stock. The settlement has received the approval of the bankruptcy court supervising the reorganization of A.P. Green. It remains subject to the confirmation by the bankruptcy court of a plan of reorganization that includes an injunction prohibiting the assertion against Great American of any present or future asbestos personal injury claims under policies issued to A.P. Green and related companies. No assurance can be made that a plan of reorganization will be confirmed; no payments are required until completion of the process. The bankruptcy court has scheduled hearings on the confirmation of the plan of reorganization beginning June 5, 2006.

AFG tracks its A&E claims by policyholder. The following table shows, by type of claim, the number of policyholders that did not receive any payments in the calendar year separate from policyholders that did receive a payment. Policyholder counts represent policies written by AFG subsidiaries and do not include assumed reinsurance. The significant decline in policyholder counts in 2004 reflects the sale of Transport Insurance Company.

 

2005 

2004

2003

Number of policyholders with no payments:

     

   Asbestos

147 

158

226

   Environmental

298 

276

324

 

445 

434

550

       

Number of policyholders with payments:

     

   Asbestos

96 

80

74

   Environmental

 18 

 17

 30

 

114 

 97

104

       

Total

559 

531

654

       

Amounts paid (net of amounts received from reinsurers) for asbestos and environmental claims, including loss adjustment expenses, were as follows (in millions):

 

2005

2004

2003

Asbestos

$16.6

$12.2

$23.6

Environmental

 22.3

 33.2

 15.6

Total

$38.9

$45.4

$39.2

       

Other Mass Tort Reserves  In connection with the 2005 A&E study, AFG reviewed its reserves for other mass torts. This review resulted in a pretax charge of $10 million. Other mass tort reserves consisted of the following (in millions):

 

 December 31,  

 

2005

2004 

Reserves, net of reinsurance recoverable

$17.8

$11.3 

Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance

  2.8

  3.9 

Gross reserves

$20.6

$15.2 

     

Other mass tort claims include alleged injuries and damages from exposure to lead, silica and various chemical substances, as well as other toxic hazards. Similar to A&E, other mass tort claims are subject to uncertainties that are significantly greater than those presented by other types of claims. While management believes that AFG's reserves for other mass tort claims are a reasonable estimate of ultimate liability for such claims, actual results may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded due to the difficulty in predicting the number of future claims and unresolved issues such as whether coverage exists.

Contingencies related to American Premier's Former Operations  At December 31, 2005, American Premier had liabilities aggregating $89.3 million for various environmental and occupational injury and disease claims and other contingencies arising out of the railroad operations and certain manufacturing operations disposed of by American Premier and its predecessor. For a discussion of the uncertainties in determining American Premier's ultimate liability, see Note O - "Commitments and Contingencies" to the Financial Statements.

36

 

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - THREE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2005

General  The following table shows AFG's net earnings and diluted earnings per share as stated in the Statement of Earnings as well as the after-tax effect of other items included in these GAAP measures that are listed below to assist investors in analyzing their impact on the trend in operating results (in millions, except per share amounts):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

       

Net earnings

$206.6 

$359.9 

$293.8 

After tax income (expense) items included in

     

  net earnings:

     

    Asbestos, environmental and other mass tort charges

(121.6)

(33.8)

-   

    Major gains on real estate sales

45.9 

-   

-   

    Unlocking charge and write-off of deferred policy

     

      acquisition costs

(15.6)

-   

(8.1)

    Charges resulting from arbitration and

     

      litigation settlements

-   

-   

(51.6)

    Special tax benefits

-   

-   

141.5 

    Net earnings (losses) from investee corporations

(5.1)

(3.2)

9.1 

    Realized investment gains

11.3 

192.2 

50.8 

    Discontinued operations

(1.3)

(2.4)

(33.6)

    Cumulative effect of accounting changes

-   

(5.6)

6.3 

       

Diluted per share amounts:

     

    Net earnings

$2.62 

$4.81 

$4.12 

    Asbestos, environmental and other mass tort charges

(1.55)

(.45)

-   

    Major gains on real estate sales

.58 

-   

-   

    Unlocking charge and write-off of deferred policy

     

      acquisition costs

(.20)

-   

(.12)

    Charges resulting from arbitration and

     

      litigation settlements

-   

-   

(.74)

    Special tax benefits

-   

-   

2.01 

    Investee corporations

(.06)

(.04)

.13 

    Realized investment gains

.14 

2.57 

.73 

    Discontinued operations

(.02)

(.03)

(.48)

    Cumulative effect of accounting changes

-   

(.08)

.09 

       

Excluding the effects of items shown in the table above, net earnings increased in 2005 and 2004 due primarily to improved property and casualty underwriting results and higher operating earnings in the annuity and supplemental insurance operations.

Property and Casualty Insurance - Underwriting  AFG reports its Specialty insurance business in the following components: (i) Property and Transportation, (ii) Specialty Casualty, (iii) Specialty Financial, and (iv) California Workers' Compensation.

To understand the overall profitability of particular lines, the timing of claims payments and the related impact of investment income must be considered. Certain "short-tail" lines of business (primarily property coverages) generally have quick loss payouts, which reduce the time funds are held, thereby limiting investment income earned thereon. On the other hand, "long-tail" lines of business (primarily liability coverages and workers' compensation) generally have payouts that are either structured over many years or take many years to settle, thereby significantly increasing investment income earned on related premiums received.

Underwriting profitability is measured by the combined ratio, which is a sum of the ratios of underwriting losses, loss adjustment expenses, underwriting expenses and policyholder dividends to premiums. A combined ratio under 100% is indicative of an underwriting profit. The combined ratio does not reflect investment income, other income or federal income taxes.

While AFG desires and seeks to earn an underwriting profit on all of its business, it is not always possible to do so. As a result, AFG attempts to expand in the most profitable areas and control growth or even reduce its involvement in the least profitable ones.

37

Over the last several years, AFG has been realigning its property and casualty business mix and focusing on rate adequacy in order to improve its operating profitability. Management has continued to direct capital in order to take advantage of certain specialty market opportunities. Management believes these actions have been successful and that the current mix of specialty businesses positions the Company for solid growth and continuing improved profitability in the foreseeable future.

AFG's combined ratio has been better than the industry average for nineteen of the last twenty years and excluding AFG's special A&E charges, for all twenty years. Management believes that AFG's insurance operations have performed better than the industry as a result of product line diversification, stringent underwriting discipline and, more recently, a specialty niche focus.

Premiums and combined ratios for AFG's property and casualty insurance operations were as follows (dollars in millions):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Gross Written Premiums (GAAP)

 

Specialty:

     

  Property and transportation

$1,357 

$1,337 

$1,142 

  Specialty casualty

1,406 

1,453 

1,413 

  Specialty financial

493 

468 

396 

  California workers' compensation

382 

380 

290 

  Other

    (1)

     1 

     2 

    Total Specialty

3,637 

3,639 

3,243 

Personal and other (a)

     3 

     7 

   265 

 

$3,640 

$3,646 

$3,508 

Net Written Premiums (GAAP)

     

Specialty:

     

  Property and transportation

$  909 

$  683 

$  515 

  Specialty casualty

743 

740 

679 

  Specialty financial

384 

395 

302 

  California workers' compensation

344 

339 

271 

  Other

    65 

    67 

    87 

    Total Specialty

2,445 

2,224 

1,854 

Personal and other (a)

     3 

     5 

   158 

 

$2,448 

$2,229 

$2,012 

Combined Ratios (GAAP)

     

Specialty:

     

  Property and transportation (b)

83.0%

80.7%

87.8%

  Specialty casualty

91.3 

99.8 

98.2 

  Specialty financial (c)

121.3 

108.9 

108.4 

  California workers' compensation

70.0 

89.5 

92.0 

    Total Specialty (d)

91.2 

94.1 

96.0 

Aggregate (including discontinued lines)(d)(e)

99.0%

94.8%

98.9%

 

(a)  Includes the operations of Infinity through its sale in mid-February

     2003 and the direct auto business through its sale at the end of April 2003.

(b)  Includes 3.8 points in 2005 and 4.7 points in 2004 for the effect of

     hurricane losses.

(c)  Includes 12.4 points in 2005 for the effect of a charge related to the

     residual value business. Includes 1.9 points in 2005 and 0.9 points in 2004

     for the effect of hurricane losses.

(d)  Includes 2.2 points in 2005 and 1.8 points in 2004 for the effect of

     hurricane losses.

(e)  Includes 7.6 points in 2005 for the effect of strengthening the A&E and other

     mass tort loss reserves by $179 million and 2.3 points in 2003 for the effect of

     an arbitration decision relating to a claim arising from a business in runoff.

 

Gross written premiums for the specialty business were about the same as in 2004, while net written premiums were 10% higher, reflecting the effect of increased premium retention in certain Property and Transportation businesses. While certain operations experienced solid volume growth, overall premium levels for the Specialty insurance operations continued to be impacted by the moderating rate environment. Overall average rates for 2005 were about the same as 2004.

38

The property and casualty specialty insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $208 million for 2005, substantially higher than 2004. These results included a $45 million charge against the residual value business and $53 million for hurricane losses offset by strong profitability within the crop insurance operations and favorable reserve development within several operations.

Gross written premiums of the Specialty business increased 12% for 2004 compared to 2003 reflecting volume growth in crop, California workers' compensation, collateral protection and other profitable product lines and the impact of continuing rate increases. Specialty rate increases averaged approximately 6% during 2004. The 20% increase in net written premiums during 2004 also reflects a decrease in reinsurance ceded.

These businesses reported an underwriting profit of $123 million for 2004, including $37 million (1.8 points) for the effect of hurricane losses. Overall, the combined ratio for 2004 improved 1.9 points compared to 2003.

Property and transportation  gross written premiums were slightly higher than in 2004 as new premiums resulting from the recent acquisition of Farmers Crop Insurance Alliance and solid volume growth in the transportation, inland marine and equine businesses more than offset the effect of lower commodity prices earlier in the year which were used to establish crop insurance coverages and lower volume resulting from competitive pricing within the excess property insurance operations. Net written premiums increased 33% from 2004 reflecting a reduction in reinsurance ceded, principally in the crop insurance and inland marine operations. This group reported a combined ratio of 83.0%, 2.3 points higher than in 2004. While the crop insurance operations achieved strong profitability in 2005, the results were lower than the record profitability recorded in 2004. The transportation, marine and other agricultural operations also generated strong underwriting profits in 2005.

Gross written premiums increased about 17% during 2004 reflecting primarily volume increases in the crop, equine and transportation insurance businesses. Net written premiums increased 33% for 2004 reflecting an overall reduction in reinsurance ceded. The combined ratio for 2004 included 4.7 points for the effect of hurricane losses. Even with the hurricane losses, the combined ratio improved 7.1 points over 2003 reflecting exceptionally strong profitability in the crop business.

Specialty casualty  gross written premiums decreased 3% in 2005 while net written premiums remained about the same, reflecting lower volume resulting from stronger competition in many of the commercial casualty markets. This group generated an underwriting profit of $63.4 million for 2005 with its combined ratio improving 8.5 points to 91.3%. This significant improvement is the result of a substantial decrease in unfavorable development in the executive liability operations along with strong underwriting profits from the excess and surplus lines and from coverage for not-for-profit businesses.

Net written premiums increased 9% for 2004 compared to 2003 while gross written premiums were relatively flat. The increase is primarily a result of a decrease in reinsurance ceded and rate increases. The 2004 combined ratio includes 1.2 points for the effect of a charge related to the commutation of a reinsurance agreement. In addition, both 2004 and 2003 contain significant amounts of adverse prior year development. Despite these items, solid underwriting profits from other operations allowed this group to end 2004 with a combined ratio of 99.8%.

Specialty financial  gross written premiums grew 5% in 2005 compared to 2004 as a result of volume growth in the profitable fidelity and crime and several other lender services lines. Net written premiums decreased 3% in 2005 from 2004 reflecting the effect of the commutation of a reinsurance agreement in 2004 coupled with an increase in premiums ceded in 2005. This group's combined ratio for 2005 was 121.3% and included 12.4 points for the residual value charge and 1.9 points for hurricane losses. Losses from the residual value business were partially offset by strong profitability in the fidelity and crime and financial institutions operations.

39

Gross written premiums increased 18% for 2004 due to substantial volume growth in collateral protection products for financial institutions. The 31% increase in net written premiums also reflects a decrease in reinsurance ceded, including the impact of premiums returned in connection with the commutation of a reinsurance agreement. The impact of the commutation increased the 2004 combined ratio by about 4.1 points, driving it slightly higher than 2003.

California workers' compensation  gross and net written premiums for 2005 were about the same as 2004 as volume growth was offset by lower rates. The combined ratio for 2005 improved 19.5 points from 2004 reflecting the benefit of the improving claims environment resulting from the workers' compensation reforms enacted in California. The 2005 underwriting results included favorable prior year reserve development of $24.4 million, or 7.0 points. Rate decreases in California, which are responsive to the improving claims environment, averaged about 16% in 2005.

Gross and net written premiums grew 31% and 25%, respectively, in 2004 compared to 2003, reflecting significant volume growth. The 2004 combined ratio improved 2.5 points as this group continued to experience improving claims results due to the workers' compensation reform enacted in California. The reforms have enabled the group to offer coverage at lower rates while maintaining solid underwriting profits.

Personal  The Personal group wrote private passenger auto insurance and, to a lesser extent, homeowners' insurance. The Personal group's results represent primarily Infinity's underwriting results through the public offering in mid-February 2003 and the direct-to-consumer auto business, which was sold in April 2003. AFG's remaining personal lines business generated about 3% of net written premiums in 2003. Beginning in 2004, substantially all of the remaining former Personal business is included in Specialty transportation (2005 net written premium of $23 million and underwriting loss of $369,000; 2004 net written premium of $27 million and underwriting profit of $3 million).

Asbestos and Environmental Reserve Charge  AFG recently completed a comprehensive study of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating primarily to the run-off operations of its property and casualty group. AFG has undertaken periodic reviews of its A&E reserves with the aid of an independent actuarial firm and specialty outside counsel. As a result of its study, AFG recorded a 2005 third quarter pre-tax charge of $169 million, net of $32 million in reinsurance recoverables. This charge resulted in an increase in asbestos reserves of $124 million and environmental reserves of $45 million. At December 31, 2005, AFG's A&E reserves were $461 million, net of reinsurance recoverables. At that date, AFG's three year survival ratio was 21.0 times paid losses for the asbestos reserves and 11.5 times paid losses for the total A&E reserves (15.6 and 9.0 times paid losses, respectively, excluding amounts as sociated with the 2003 settlement of asbestos related coverage litigation for A.P. Green Industries).

This study reviewed open and closed A&E claims at June 30, 2005. With respect to asbestos, it considered both direct insurance and assumed reinsurance, products and non-products exposure, paid claims history, the pattern of new claims, settlements and projected development. As has been reported by others, the asbestos legal climate remains very difficult to predict. While some progress has been made in state asbestos tort reform, that progress has been somewhat offset by increased claims costs, increased defense costs, the assertion of non-products theories and an increasing number of claims against small to mid-sized insureds.

A primary driver of the increase in AFG's asbestos reserves is the use by independent actuaries of evolving methodologies, including developing parameters for estimating loss adjustment expenses and reducing reliance on extrapolation techniques. In addition, the independent actuaries have indicated that their views have evolved regarding estimation of the potential exposure for both products and non-products claims. In the actuaries' view, this refined approach has increased estimates of the Company's indicated ultimate losses. The estimates of industry ultimate losses and AFG's historic premium market share have not changed since the 2001 study. In addition, there has been no significant change in AFG's payment patterns. In the 2005 study, the actuaries also have given additional weight to claims associated with peripheral defendants bringing direct insurance claims. The increase in the number of direct insurance claims from peripheral defendants has increased the projections of future defense cost and loss exposure.

40

While tort reform is helping in some jurisdictions, the legal climate in many jurisdictions continues to deteriorate, with larger verdict values being experienced. Expanding coverage interpretations by some courts also has led to increased exposure to some policies in certain jurisdictions.

With respect to the environmental claims, the study considered both direct insurance and assumed reinsurance, projected exposure at both National Priorities List ("NPL") sites and non-NPL sites, historic payment patterns, patterns of new claims, settlements and projected development. The increase in environmental reserves is primarily due to an increase in clean up costs at certain sites above prior expectations and a recent unexpected increase in the number of new claims that have been reported to the Company. In addition, projected development on a few claims exceeded estimates in the previous 2001 study.

Other Mass Tort Charge  In connection with the review of A&E reserves in 2005, AFG reviewed its other mass tort exposures and recorded a $10 million pre-tax charge. At December 31, 2005, AFG's other mass tort reserves were $18 million, net of reinsurance recoverables.

Loss development  As shown in Note Q under "Insurance Reserves," AFG's property and casualty operations recorded loss development of $181 million in 2005, $140 million in 2004 and $167 million in 2003 related to prior accident years. Major areas of favorable (adverse) development were as follows (in millions):

 

2005 

2004 

2003  

Property and transportation

$ 14 

($ 16)

($ 32) 

Specialty casualty

(29)

(75)

(82) 

Specialty financial

(5)

(13)

2  

California workers' compensation

24 

(22)

(1) 

Other specialty

  (3)

  (2)

  -   

 

(128)

(113) 

Asbestos, environmental and other

     

  mass torts

(179)

-  

-   

       

Arbitration settlement

-  

-  

(44) 

Other

  (3)

 (12)

 (10

 

($181)

($140)

($167

       

The favorable development in Property and transportation in 2005 related primarily to lower than expected claim frequency and severity in specialty commercial automobile and ocean marine products. This improvement was partially offset by continued adverse development on runoff homebuilders' liability business, which was the primary reason for the adverse development in 2004 and 2003. In 2004, the adverse development was partially offset by favorable development in inland marine and agricultural-related coverages.

The adverse development in Specialty casualty in 2005 was mainly in the professional liability and runoff casualty businesses partially offset by favorable development in the excess and surplus and not-for-profit businesses. Professional liability, which mostly covers lawyers, has had higher than expected increases in claim severity. Adverse development in excess casualty runoff impacted all three years, reflecting higher frequency and severity of claims related to the 1999 through 2001 accident years. Adverse development in 2004 and 2003 included amounts related to executive liability and the commutation of reinsurance. Adverse executive liability development resulted primarily from increased severity on two claims (one in each year) under directors' and officers' liability policies, as both settlement and defense costs from shareholder lawsuits increased beyond estimates. Adverse development in 2003 included amounts related to other liability coverage, due primarily to an unexpected shift in the ju dicial climate in some previously conservative states.

The adverse development in Specialty financial in 2005 and 2004 related to higher than expected severity on claims from accident years 2000 to 2003.

41

The favorable development in California workers' compensation in 2005 reflects the impact of the workers' compensation reform legislation passed in 2003 and 2004. The adverse development in 2004 reflects the effect of additional information received on individual claims from prior years.

The arbitration settlement represents a charge in 2003 for an unfavorable decision resulting from Great American's share of a 1995 property fire and business interruption claim. Great American was a 9.5% participant with a number of other companies in the insurance pool that insured the loss during the 1995 coverage year.

Life, Accident and Health Premiums and Benefits  The increase in life, accident and health premiums and benefits in 2005 and 2004 reflects the addition of new distribution sources for GAFRI's supplemental insurance products.

Investment Income  Changes in investment income reflect fluctuations in market rates and changes in average invested assets. The increase in investment income for 2005 and 2004 reflects an increase of about $1.4 billion (10%) in average cash and investments in each year. The increase in 2004 was somewhat offset by lower average yields on fixed income securities. AFG's yield on fixed income securities, excluding realized gains, was about 5.7% in 2005 and 2004 and 6.2% in 2003.

Gains (Losses) on Securities  In July 2004, AFG received common and preferred shares equivalent to 8.1 million common shares of National City Corporation in exchange for its ownership interest in Provident Financial Group and realized a $214.3 million pretax gain on the transaction.

Realized gains (losses) on sales of securities include provisions for other than temporary impairment of securities still held of $16.1 million in 2005, $16.7 million in 2004 and $58.4 million in 2003. Impairment charges over the last three years reflect primarily writedowns of certain asset-backed securities and in 2004 and 2003 the downturn in the airline industry.

Gains (Losses) on Sales of Subsidiaries and Investees  In January 2006, GAFRI completed the previously announced sale of its subsidiary, Great American Life Assurance Company of Puerto Rico, for $37.5 million in cash. Results for GAFRI in 2005 included a $3.4 million estimated loss on the sale.

During 2003, AFG recognized a gain of $56.5 million on the December 2003 sale of its remaining interest in Infinity which more than offset the $39.4 million loss it recognized when it sold a 61% interest in Infinity in February 2003. Additional net gains of $2.7 million were recognized in 2003 on the sale of three small insurance subsidiaries and the settlement of disputed amounts under a contract covering a prior year sale.

Real Estate Operations  AFG's subsidiaries are engaged in a variety of real estate operations including hotels, apartments, office buildings and recreational facilities; they also own several parcels of land. Revenues and expenses of these operations, including gains and losses on disposal, are included in AFG's Statement of Earnings as shown below (in millions).

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Other income

$190.0 

$106.4 

$96.5 

Other operating and general expenses

89.5 

82.1 

73.7 

Interest charges on borrowed money

2.0 

2.0 

2.3 

Minority interest expense, net

4.4 

2.6 

1.9 

The increase in income from real estate operations reflects $73.6 million in pretax gains on the sales of coal reserves and a hotel, and to a lesser extent, acquisition of new properties. Other income also includes net pretax gains on the sale of other real estate assets of $12.0 million in 2005, $12.7 million in 2004 and $10.3 million in 2003.

42

Other Income

2005 compared to 2004  Other income increased $95.8 million (30%) in 2005 compared to 2004 due primarily to pretax gains of $73.6 million on the coal reserves and hotel sales mentioned above, a $10.1 million increase in other income from real estate (reflecting acquisitions) and a $12.7 million increase in revenues earned by AFG's warranty business.

2004 compared to 2003  Other income increased $51.9 million (19%) for 2004 compared to 2003 due primarily to a $14.5 million increase in revenues earned by AFG's warranty business, a $10.6 million increase in fee income in certain other property and casualty insurance operations, and an $11.4 million increase in policy fees earned in the annuity and supplemental insurance operations.

Annuity Benefits  Annuity benefits reflect amounts accrued on annuity policyholders' funds accumulated. On its deferred annuities (annuities in the accumulation phase), GAFRI generally credits interest to policyholders' accounts at their current stated interest rates. Furthermore, for "two-tier" deferred annuities (annuities under which a higher interest amount can be earned if a policy is annuitized rather than surrendered), GAFRI accrues additional reserves for (i) persistency and premium bonuses and (ii) excess benefits expected to be paid for future deaths and annuitizations. Changes in crediting rates, actual surrender, death and annuitization experience or modifications in actuarial assumptions can affect this accrual.

In the fourth quarter of 2005, GAFRI conducted its annual review of the actual results and future assumptions underlying its annuity operations, including assumptions related to future interest rates and persistency. Primarily as a result of the continuing low interest rate environment, GAFRI adjusted or "unlocked" the actuarial assumptions related to its annuity business in force and recorded a pretax charge of approximately $11.6 million to insurance liabilities related to that business. In 2004, these liabilities were increased by approximately $5 million due to trends in actual experience. Management believes that significant changes in projected investment yields could result in charges (or credits) to earnings in the period the projections are modified.

The increase in annuity benefits in 2004 compared to 2003 also reflects the acquisition of the block of National Health Insurance Company business.

Annuity and Supplemental Insurance Acquisition Expenses  Annuity and supplemental insurance acquisition expenses include amortization of annuity, supplemental insurance and run-off life business deferred policy acquisition costs ("DPAC") as well as a portion of commissions on sales of insurance products. Annuity and supplemental insurance acquisition expenses also include amortization of the present value of future profits of businesses acquired.

As part of the 2005 annual review of actual results and future assumptions discussed above under "Annuity Benefits," GAFRI recorded net charges of $4.2 million to annuity and supplemental insurance acquisition expenses primarily related to spread narrowing partially offset by the expected improved future persistency related to GAFRI's annuities, due to the impact of the current interest rate environment. Also in 2005, GAFRI recorded a $13.6 million write-off of DPAC due to an unexpected increase in mortality in GAFRI's run-off life operations. Annuity and supplemental insurance acquisition expenses for 2004 were reduced by $5.1 million related to favorable trends in actual experience. In 2003, these expenses included net charges of $15.2 million related to spread narrowing.

The vast majority of GAFRI's DPAC asset relates to its fixed annuity, variable annuity and run-off life insurance lines of business. Continued spread compression, decreases in the stock market and adverse mortality could lead to further write-offs of DPAC in the future.

43

Interest on Borrowed Money  Changes in interest expense result from fluctuations in market rates as well as changes in borrowings. AFG has generally financed its borrowings on a long-term basis which has resulted in higher current costs.

Interest expense for 2005 increased $1.3 million compared to 2004 due primarily to a higher effective interest rate on GAFRI's interest rate swap. See Note A - "Accounting Policies - Derivatives" to the Financial Statements for a discussion of GAFRI's interest rate swap.

Interest expense for 2004 increased $14.6 million compared to 2003 due primarily to higher average indebtedness and paydowns of lower variable-rate bank debt with the proceeds from fixed-rate debt offerings in 2003. The majority of the proceeds from debt issued in 2004 was used to retire higher coupon trust preferred securities. Accordingly, the increase in interest expense for 2004 was substantially offset by the $14 million reduction in interest on subsidiary trust obligations (see below).

Interest on Subsidiary Trust Obligations  Interest on subsidiary trust obligations issued prior to 2003 was included in minority interest expense in 2003. Interest on subsidiary trust obligations decreased $2.9 million for 2005 compared to 2004 and $14 million for 2004 compared to 2003 due primarily to GAFRI's November 2005 repurchase of $20.8 million of 8-7/8% preferred securities, the March 2004 redemption of AFG's 9-1/8% trust preferred securities and GAFRI's 9-1/4% trust preferred securities and GAFRI's first quarter 2004 repurchases of $27.2 million of 8-7/8% preferred securities.

Other Operating and General Expenses

2005 compared to 2004  Other operating and general expenses for 2005 include a $9.5 million pretax charge to increase reserves related to environmental liabilities at GAFRI's former manufacturing operations and $8.0 million in losses on debt retirements. In 2004, other operating and general expenses include a $52 million charge based on American Premier's settlement of litigation related to environmental clean-up costs at a former railroad site, a $4 million goodwill write-off in the annuity and supplemental insurance operations and $2.2 million in losses on debt retirements. Excluding these items, other operating and general expenses were about the same in 2005 compared to 2004.

2004 compared to 2003  Other operating and general expenses for 2003 include a pretax charge of $35.5 million related to an agreement to settle a lawsuit alleging antitrust violations by a number of California workers' compensation insurers, including an AFG subsidiary. Excluding this item, and the above-mentioned litigation charge and goodwill write-off in 2004, other operating and general expenses increased $53.9 million (13%) for 2004 compared to 2003 due primarily to a $30.3 million increase in expenses of AFG's warranty business and a $9.5 million increase in expenses in certain other property and casualty insurance operations.

Income Taxes  The 2003 provision for income taxes includes a benefit of $136 million related to the AFG/AFC merger for the effect of the elimination of deferred tax liabilities associated with AFC's holding of AFG stock and reflects $5.5 million in tax benefits related to AFG's basis in Infinity stock. See Note L to the Financial Statements for more information on the effects of the AFG/AFC merger and an analysis of items affecting AFG's effective tax rate.

Investee Corporations

Manufacturing Business  Equity in earnings (losses) of investees includes losses of a manufacturing business that was formerly a subsidiary. Equity in net earnings (losses) of investees includes $1.2 million in 2005 compared to $3.2 million in 2004 and $3.1 million in 2003 in losses from this business. In addition, equity in net earnings (losses) of investees for 2005 includes a $3.9 million after-tax impairment writedown on this business.

Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation  AFG's proportionate share ($12.2 million) of Infinity's earnings is included in equity in net earnings (losses) of investees for the period between the initial sale of 61% of Infinity in February 2003 and AFG's sale of its remaining shares in December 2003.

44

Cumulative Effect of Accounting Changes  In January 2004, AFG recorded a $1.8 million charge (after tax and minority interest) resulting from GAFRI's implementation of Statement of Position ("SOP") 03-1, "Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts." This charge resulted primarily from a change in accounting for persistency bonuses and two-tier annuities.

In July 2004, AFG recorded a $3.8 million after-tax charge resulting from implementation of EITF 03-16, "Accounting for Investments in Limited Liability Companies." This charge reflects the cumulative effect of changing from the cost method to the equity method of accounting for AFG's investment in a limited liability company. This charge reduced AFG's investment in this entity to zero.

Effective December 31, 2003, AFG implemented Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") Interpretation No.46 ("FIN 46"), "Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities." This interpretation sets forth the requirements for determining the status of entities that do not share economic risk and reward through typical equity ownership, but rather through contractual relationships that distribute economic risks and rewards among various parties. Once an entity is determined to be a variable interest entity, it is required to be consolidated by the primary beneficiary, which is deemed to be the party that is exposed to a majority of the expected losses, or benefits from a majority of the expected residual returns, or both.

See Note A to the Financial Statements - "Accounting Policies" - "Managed Investment Entity" and "Payable to Subsidiary Trusts." The cumulative effect of implementing FIN 46 was an increase in income of $6.3 million.

RECENT ACCOUNTING STANDARDS

The following accounting standards are to be implemented by AFG in 2006 or 2007.

Accounting

   

Standard   

Subject of Standard

 

SFAS 123(R)

Share-Based Payment

 

SFAS 154

Accounting Changes and Error Corrections

 

SOP 05-1

Accounting for Modifications of Insurance Contracts

 
     

The implementation of SFAS No. 123(R) is discussed under "Stock-Based Compensation" in Note A to the Financial Statements. SFAS No. 154 requires that voluntary changes in accounting principles and corrections of errors be reported by retroactively restating prior periods' financial statements unless it is impractical to do so. The standard is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2005. SOP 05-1, "Accounting by Insurance Enterprises for Deferred Acquisition Costs in Connection with Modifications or Exchanges of Insurance Contracts," provides guidance on accounting for deferred policy acquisition costs on certain internal replacements of insurance and investment contracts. SOP 05-1 defines an internal replacement as a modification in product benefits, features, rights or coverages that occurs by the exchange of a contract for a new contract, or by amendment, endorsement, or rider to a contract, or by the election of a feature or coverage within a co ntract. The SOP is effective for internal replacements occurring in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006. AFG is currently assessing the impact of implementing this standard.

Proposed Accounting Standard

The FASB has proposed an amendment to SFAS No. 128, "Earnings per Share." Currently, SFAS No. 128 allows companies issuing securities that can be settled in cash or stock (such as AFG's convertible notes) to exclude the issuable shares from the calculation of diluted earnings per share when there is a stated intent and ability to deliver cash in lieu of stock upon settlement or conversion. The proposed statement would require companies to assume settlement in stock (despite the ability and intent to settle in cash) and include those shares in the calculation of diluted earnings per share. Should the FASB proposal be adopted as proposed, AFG anticipates that it will amend the convertible note indenture to eliminate the option to settle the accreted value of the notes in shares, and thereby mitigate the proposal's impact on dilution.

45

ITEM 7A

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Market risk represents the potential economic loss arising from adverse changes in the fair value of financial instruments. AFG's exposures to market risk relate primarily to its investment portfolio and annuity contracts, which are exposed to interest rate risk and, to a lesser extent, equity price risk. To a much lesser extent, AFG's long-term debt is also exposed to interest rate risk.

Fixed Maturity Portfolio  The fair value of AFG's fixed maturity portfolio is directly impacted by changes in market interest rates. AFG's fixed maturity portfolio is comprised of substantially all fixed rate investments with primarily intermediate-term maturities. This practice is designed to allow flexibility in reacting to fluctuations of interest rates. The portfolios of AFG's insurance operations are managed with an attempt to achieve an adequate risk-adjusted return while maintaining sufficient liquidity to meet policyholder obligations. AFG's annuity and run-off life operations attempt to align the duration of their invested assets to the projected cash flows of policyholder liabilities.

The following table provides information about AFG's "available for sale" fixed maturity investments at December 31, 2005 and 2004, that are sensitive to interest rate risk. The table shows principal cash flows (in millions) and related weighted average interest rates by expected maturity date for each of the five subsequent years and for all years thereafter. Callable bonds and notes are included based on call date or maturity date depending upon which date produces the most conservative yield. Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") and sinking fund issues are included based on maturity year adjusted for expected payment patterns. Actual cash flows may differ from those expected.

 

December 31, 2005 

   

December 31, 2004 

 

Principal

     

Principal

 
 

Cash Flows

Rate 

   

Cash Flows

Rate 

2006

$   670

5.5%

 

2005

$   595

6.3%

2007

717

6.0 

 

2006

906

5.6 

2008

1,152

5.3 

 

2007

1,150

5.3 

2009

1,104

5.3 

 

2008

1,392

5.4 

2010

1,762

5.4 

 

2009

1,355

5.6 

Thereafter

  8,800

5.6 

 

Thereafter

  7,526

5.7 

             

Total

$14,205

5.6%

Total

$12,924

5.6%

Fair Value

$14,327

Fair Value

$13,411

Annuity Contracts  Substantially all of GAFRI's fixed rate annuity contracts permit GAFRI to change crediting rates (subject to minimum interest rate guarantees as determined by applicable law) enabling management to react to changes in market interest rates. In late 2003, GAFRI began issuing products with guaranteed minimum crediting rates of less than 3% in states where required approvals have been received. Actuarial assumptions used to estimate DPAC and certain annuity liabilities, as well as GAFRI's ability to maintain spread, could be impacted if the current interest rate environment continues for an extended period, or if increases in interest rates cause policyholder behavior to differ significantly from current expectations.

Projected payments (in millions) in each of the subsequent five years and for all years thereafter on GAFRI's fixed annuity liabilities at December 31 were as follows.

                 
               

Fair 

 

First 

Second 

 Third 

Fourth 

Fifth 

Thereafter 

 Total 

 Value 

2005

$907 

$  945 

$1,013 

$897 

$880 

$3,775 

$8,417 

$8,060 

2004

939 

1,088 

981 

874 

800 

3,450 

8,132 

7,809 

                 

At December 31, 2005, the average stated crediting rate on the in-force block of GAFRI's principal fixed annuity products was approximately 3.8%. The current stated crediting rates (excluding bonus interest) on new sales of GAFRI's products generally range from 3.0% to 4.0%. GAFRI estimates that its effective weighted-average crediting rate on its in-force business over the next five years will

46

approximate 3.6%. This rate reflects actuarial assumptions as to (i) expected investment spreads, (ii) deaths, (iii) annuitizations, (iv) surrenders and (v) renewal premiums. Actual experience and changes in actuarial assumptions may result in different effective crediting rates than those above.

GAFRI's indexed annuities represent less than 3% of GAFRI's insurance reserves at December 31, 2005. These annuities provide policyholders with a crediting rate tied, in part, to the performance of an existing stock market index. GAFRI attempts to mitigate the risk in the index-based component of these products through the purchase of call options on the appropriate index. GAFRI's strategy is designed so that an increase in the liabilities, due to an increase in the market index, will be substantially offset by unrealized and realized gains on the call options purchased by GAFRI. Under SFAS No. 133, both the index-based component of the annuities and the related call options are considered derivatives and adjusted to fair value through current earnings as annuity benefits. Adjusting these derivatives to fair value had a net effect of less than 1% of annuity benefits in 2005 and 2004.

Debt and Preferred Securities  The following table shows scheduled principal payments (in millions) on fixed-rate long-term debt of AFG and its subsidiaries and related weighted average interest rates for each of the subsequent five years and for all years thereafter.

 

December 31, 2005 

   

December 31, 2004 

 

Scheduled

     

Scheduled

 
 

Principal

     

Principal

 
 

 Payments

Rate 

   

 Payments

Rate 

2006

$   18.8

6.7%

 

2005

$    8.4

8.5%

2007

59.9

7.1 

 

2006

18.6

6.7 

2008

238.7

4.6 

 

2007

75.4

7.1 

2009

204.9

7.1 

 

2008

290.0

5.0 

2010

2.1

8.4 

 

2009

298.1

7.1 

Thereafter

   343.4

7.3 

 

Thereafter

   331.5

7.4 

             

Total

$  867.8

6.5%

Total

$1,022.0

6.6%

Fair Value

$  934.1

Fair Value

$1,093.2

Between January 1 and February 28, 2006, AFG repurchased $22.1 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2009 and GAFRI repurchased $51.5 million of its 6-7/8% Notes due 2008. The scheduled principal payments in the above table have been adjusted to reflect these repurchases. The AFG Convertible Debentures issued in 2003 are included in the above table at the first put date (2008). GAFRI has entered into interest rate swaps, which effectively convert its 6-7/8% fixed-rate Notes due in 2008 (included in the table above) to a floating rate of 3-month LIBOR plus 2.9%.

No amounts were borrowed under the AFG or GAFRI bank lines at December 31, 2005 or 2004.

There were $57.0 million and $77.8 million of subsidiary trust preferred securities (payable to subsidiary trusts) with a weighted average interest rate of 8.3% and 8.0% outstanding at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively. None of these are scheduled for maturity or mandatory redemption during the next five years.

47

 

ITEM 8

Financial Statements and Supplementary Data

 

Page

   

Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

F-1

   

Consolidated Balance Sheet:

 

    December 31, 2005 and 2004

F-2

   

Consolidated Statement of Earnings:

 

    Years ended December 31, 2005, 2004, and 2003

F-3

   

Consolidated Statement of Changes in Shareholders' Equity:

 

    Years ended December 31, 2005, 2004, and 2003

F-4

   

Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows:

 

    Years ended December 31, 2005, 2004, and 2003

F-5

   

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

F-6

   
   

"Selected Quarterly Financial Data" has been included in Note P to the

Consolidated Financial Statements.

 
   

Please refer to "Forward-Looking Statements" following the Index in front of this Form 10-K.

48

 

ITEM 9A

Controls and Procedures

AFG's management, with participation of its Co-Chief Executive Officers and its principal financial officer, has evaluated AFG's disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rule 13a-15) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on that evaluation, AFG's Co-CEOs and principal financial officer concluded that the controls and procedures are effective. In the ordinary course of business, AFG and its subsidiaries routinely enhance their information systems by either upgrading or implementing new systems such as the new SFAS 109 accounting software system implemented in the fourth quarter of 2005. There has been no change in AFG's internal control over financial reporting during the fourth fiscal quarter of 2005 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, AFG's internal control over financial reporting. There have been no significant changes in AFG's internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect these controls subseq uent to the date of their evaluation.

 

MANAGEMENT'S REPORT ON INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING

AFG's management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting, as such term is defined in Securities Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f). Under the supervision and with the participation of management, including AFG's principal executive officers and principal financial officer, AFG conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, based on the criteria set forth in "Internal Control - Integrated Framework" issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission.

In conducting AFG's evaluation of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting, AFG has excluded the 2005 acquisition of the multi-peril crop and crop hail business of Farmers Alliance Mutual Insurance Company. This acquisition constituted less than 1% of total assets as of December 31, 2005 and less than 1% of total revenues and net earnings for the year then ended. Refer to Note B to the consolidated financial statements for further discussion of this acquisition.

There are inherent limitations to the effectiveness of any system of internal controls and procedures, including the possibility of human error and the circumvention or overriding of the controls and procedures. Accordingly, even effective internal controls and procedures can only provide reasonable assurance of achieving their control objectives.

Based on AFG's evaluation, management concluded that internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2005. Management's assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005 has been audited by Ernst & Young LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm, as stated in their report, which is set forth below.

49

REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM

ON INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING

Board of Directors and Shareholders

American Financial Group, Inc.

We have audited management's assessment, included in the accompanying Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting, that American Financial Group, Inc. maintained effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, based on criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (the COSO criteria). American Financial Group, Inc.'s management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting and for its assessment about the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on management's assessment and an opinion on the effectiveness of the Company's internal control over financial reporting based on our audit.

We conducted our audit in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. Our audit included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, evaluating management's assessment, testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control, and performing such other procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable basis for our opinion.

A company's internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A company's internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (3) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauth orized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company's assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.

Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.

As indicated in the accompanying Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting, management's assessment of and conclusion on the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting did not include the internal controls of the multi-peril crop and crop hail business of Farmers Alliance Mutual Insurance Company, which is included in the 2005 consolidated financial statements of American Financial Group, Inc. and constituted less than 1% of total assets as of December 31, 2005, and less than 1% of total revenues and net earnings for the year then ended. Management did not assess the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting at this entity because the Company acquired this entity during 2005. Our audit of internal control over financial reporting of American Financial Group, Inc. also did not include an evaluation of the internal control over financial reporting of this acquired entity.

In our opinion, management's assessment that American Financial Group, Inc. maintained effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, is fairly stated, in all material respects, based on the COSO criteria. Also, in our opinion, American Financial Group, Inc. maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, based on the COSO criteria.

We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the consolidated balance sheets of American Financial Group, Inc. as of December 31, 2005 and 2004, and the related consolidated statements of earnings, changes in shareholders' equity and cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2005, and our report dated February 28, 2006, expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.

   
 

ERNST & YOUNG LLP

   

Cincinnati, Ohio

 

February 28, 2006

 

50

REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM

 

Board of Directors and Shareholders

American Financial Group, Inc.

We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheet of American Financial Group, Inc. and subsidiaries as of December 31, 2005 and 2004, and the related consolidated statements of earnings, changes in shareholders' equity and cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2005. Our audits also included the financial statement schedules listed in the Index at Item 15(a). These financial statements and schedules are the responsibility of the Company's management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements and schedules based on our audits.

We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit includes examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements. An audit also includes assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.

In our opinion, the financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated financial position of American Financial Group, Inc. and subsidiaries at December 31, 2005 and 2004, and the consolidated results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2005, in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Also, in our opinion, the related financial statement schedules, when considered in relation to the basic financial statements taken as a whole, present fairly in all material respects the information set forth therein.

As discussed in Note A to the consolidated financial statements, the Company changed its consolidation policy related to variable interest entities in 2003, and changed its method of accounting for certain nontraditional long duration insurance contracts and separate accounts and for limited liability companies in 2004, all related to implementing new accounting standards.

We also have audited in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the effectiveness of American Financial Group, Inc.'s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, based upon criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission and our report dated February 28, 2006, expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.

 

 

                                          ERNST & YOUNG LLP

 

 

Cincinnati, Ohio

February 28, 2006

 

F-1

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET

(Dollars In Thousands)

 

 

        December 31,        

 

2005 

2004 

Assets:

   

 Cash and cash equivalents

$   471,849 

$   861,742 

 Investments:

   

  Fixed maturities:

   

   Available for sale - at fair value

   

   (amortized cost - $14,272,314 and $13,035,165)

14,326,614 

13,411,365 

   Trading - at fair value

271,851 

292,233 

  Other stocks - at fair value

 

 

   (cost - $501,459 and $456,053)

556,659 

537,153 

  Policy loans

258,744 

250,211 

  Real estate and other investments

    338,254 

    283,929 

      Total cash and investments

16,223,971 

15,636,633 

 Recoverables from reinsurers and prepaid

 

 

  reinsurance premiums

3,263,128 

3,440,592 

 Agents' balances and premiums receivable

574,882 

518,464 

 Deferred policy acquisition costs

1,139,515 

1,114,433 

 Other receivables

388,078 

359,746 

 Investments of managed investment entity

-    

392,624 

 Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

643,506 

620,007 

 Prepaid expenses, deferred charges and other assets

416,030 

311,146 

 Goodwill

    166,882 

    165,882 

     
 

$22,815,992 

$22,559,527 

     

Liabilities and Capital:

   

 Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

$ 5,790,709 

$ 5,337,270 

 Unearned premiums

1,643,954 

1,612,035 

 Annuity benefits accumulated

8,417,298 

8,132,106 

 Life, accident and health reserves

1,088,016 

1,021,986 

 Payables to reinsurers

298,664 

513,565 

 Long-term debt

942,743 

1,028,673 

 Payable to subsidiary trusts

56,960 

77,800 

 Debt of managed investment entity

-    

371,368 

 Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

643,506 

620,007 

 Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other

   

  liabilities

  1,215,490 

  1,194,584 

      Total liabilities

20,097,340 

19,909,394 

     

 Minority interest

261,110 

219,586 

 

 

 

 Shareholders' Equity:

 

 

  Common Stock, no par value

 

 

    - 200,000,000 shares authorized

 

 

    - 78,067,514 and 76,634,204 shares outstanding

78,068 

76,634 

  Capital surplus

1,194,600 

1,145,873 

  Retained earnings

1,134,074 

976,340 

  Unrealized gain on marketable securities, net

     50,800 

    231,700 

      Total shareholders' equity

  2,457,542 

  2,430,547 

     

$22,815,992 

$22,559,527 

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

F-2

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF EARNINGS

(In Thousands, Except Per Share Data)

 

         Year ended December 31,       

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Income:

     

  Property and casualty insurance premiums

$2,366,497 

$2,110,302 

$1,909,206 

  Life, accident and health premiums

371,006 

351,365 

331,887 

  Investment income

865,337 

800,226 

773,188 

  Realized gains (losses) on:

     

    Securities

23,860 

301,957 

58,891 

    Subsidiaries and investees

(3,403)

-    

19,824 

  Revenues of managed investment entity

651 

23,843 

-    

  Other income

   414,335 

   318,572 

   266,647 

 

4,038,283 

3,906,265 

3,359,643 

 

 

 

 

Costs and Expenses:

 

 

 

  Property and casualty insurance:

 

 

 

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses

1,689,106 

1,416,290 

1,353,177 

    Commissions and other underwriting expenses

652,425 

582,462 

534,161 

  Annuity benefits

341,593 

313,627 

294,940 

  Life, accident and health benefits

286,526 

264,714 

250,713 

  Annuity and supplemental insurance

     

    acquisition expenses

153,849 

118,467 

121,322 

  Interest charges on borrowed money

73,227 

71,893 

57,320 

  Interest on subsidiary trust obligations

6,315 

9,218 

1,473 

  Expenses of managed investment entity

774 

20,151 

-    

  Other operating and general expenses

   477,654 

   519,905 

   445,531 

 

 3,681,469 

 3,316,727 

 3,058,637 

Operating earnings before income taxes

356,814 

589,538 

301,006 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

   115,843 

   186,089 

   (47,454)

 

 

 

 

Net operating earnings

240,971 

403,449 

 348,460 

 

 

 

 

Minority interest expense, net of tax

(28,051)

(32,410)

(36,393)

Equity in net earnings (losses) of investees,

     

  net of tax

    (5,085)

    (3,174)

     9,084 

Earnings from continuing operations

207,835 

367,865 

321,151 

Discontinued operations

(1,255)

(2,412)

(33,636)

Cumulative effect of accounting changes

      -    

    (5,593)

     6,300 

 

 

 

 

Net Earnings

$  206,580 

$  359,860 

$  293,815 

 

 

 

 

Premium over stated value paid on redemption

     

  of subsidiaries' preferred shares

-    

-    

(4,121)

       

Net earnings available to Common Shares

$  206,580 

$  359,860 

$  289,694 

       

Basic earnings per Common Share:

 

 

 

  Continuing operations

$2.70 

$5.00 

$4.53 

  Discontinued operations

(.02)

(.03)

(.48)

  Cumulative effect of accounting changes

  -   

 (.08)

  .09 

  Net earnings available to Common Shares

$2.68 

$4.89 

$4.14 

       

Diluted earnings per Common Share:

 

 

 

  Continuing operations

$2.64 

$4.92 

$4.51 

  Discontinued operations

(.02)

(.03)

(.48)

  Cumulative effect of accounting changes

  -   

 (.08)

  .09 

  Net earnings available to Common Shares

$2.62 

$4.81 

$4.12 

       

Average number of Common Shares:

 

 

 

  Basic

77,218 

73,631 

69,937 

  Diluted

78,513 

74,825 

70,272 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends per Common Share

$.50 

$.50 

$.50 

       

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

F-3

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

(Dollars In Thousands)

 

       

Unrealized 

 
   

Common Stock 

 

Gain on 

 
 

    Common 

and Capital 

Retained 

Marketable 

 
 

    Shares 

     Surplus 

  Earnings 

Securities 

     Total 

           

Balance at January 1, 2003

69,129,352 

$  992,171 

$  409,777 

$323,900 

$1,725,848 

           
           

Net earnings

-    

-    

293,815 

-    

293,815 

Change in unrealized

-    

-    

-    

(21,300)

   (21,300)

  Comprehensive income

       

272,515 

           

Dividends on Common Stock

-    

-    

(34,750)

-    

(34,750)

Shares issued:

       

 

  AFG/AFC merger

3,299,563 

75,032 

(4,048)

-    

70,984 

  Exercise of stock options

35,000 

771 

-    

-    

771 

  Dividend reinvestment plan

165,428 

3,412 

-    

-    

3,412 

  Employee stock purchase plan

41,940 

914 

-    

-    

914 

  Retirement plan contributions

376,234 

7,740 

-    

-    

7,740 

  Deferred compensation distributions

3,300 

71 

-    

-    

71 

  Directors fees paid in stock

5,272 

115 

-    

-    

115 

Elimination of tax effect of prior

         

  intercompany dividends

-    

34,000 

-    

-    

34,000 

Repurchase of trust preferred securities

-    

-    

(73)

-    

(73)

Other

        (4)

    (5,386)

      -    

    -    

    (5,386)

           

Balance at December 31, 2003

73,056,085 

$1,108,840 

$  664,721 

$302,600 

$2,076,161 

           
           

Net earnings

-    

$     -    

$  359,860 

$   -    

$  359,860 

Change in unrealized

-    

-    

-    

(70,900)

   (70,900)

  Comprehensive income

       

288,960 

           

Dividends on Common Stock

-    

-    

(36,722)

-    

(36,722)

Shares issued:

       

 

  Public offerings

2,679,000 

81,866 

-    

-    

81,866 

  Exercise of stock options

1,352,698 

34,875 

-    

-    

34,875 

  Dividend reinvestment plan

59,499 

1,596 

-    

-    

1,596 

  Employee stock purchase plan

28,255 

838 

-    

-    

838 

  Retirement plan contributions

140,323 

4,206 

-    

-    

4,206 

  Deferred compensation distributions

34,218 

977 

-    

-    

977 

  Directors fees paid in stock

11,666 

339 

-    

-    

339 

Shares tendered in option exercises

(727,540)

(11,109)

(11,519)

-    

(22,628)

Other

      -    

        79 

      -    

    -    

        79 

           

Balance at December 31, 2004

76,634,204 

$1,222,507 

$  976,340 

$231,700 

$2,430,547 

           
           

Net earnings

-    

$     -    

$  206,580 

$   -    

$  206,580 

Change in unrealized

-    

-    

-    

(180,900)

  (180,900)

  Comprehensive income

       

25,680 

           

Dividends on Common Stock

-    

-    

(38,544)

-    

(38,544)

Shares issued:

         

  Exercise of stock options

1,669,435 

48,475 

-    

-    

48,475 

  Dividend reinvestment plan

183,188 

5,441 

-    

-    

5,441 

  Employee stock purchase plan

26,427 

861 

-    

-    

861 

  Retirement plan contributions

138,516 

4,507 

-    

-    

4,507 

  Deferred compensation distributions

7,374 

222 

-    

-    

222 

  Directors fees paid in stock

9,320 

300 

-    

-    

300 

Shares tendered in option exercises

(600,950)

(9,627)

(10,302)

-    

(19,929)

Capital transactions of subsidiaries

-    

(8,029)

-    

-    

(8,029)

Other

      -    

     8,011 

      -    

    -    

     8,011 

           

Balance at December 31, 2005

78,067,514 

$1,272,668 

$1,134,074 

$ 50,800 

$2,457,542 

 

 

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

F-4

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS

(In Thousands)

 

         Year ended December 31,       

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Operating Activities:

     

  Net earnings

$  206,580 

$  359,860 

$  293,815 

  Adjustments:

     

    Cumulative effect of accounting changes

-    

5,593 

(6,300)

    Equity in net (earnings) losses of investees

5,085 

3,174 

(9,084)

    Minority interest

28,051 

32,410 

16,470 

    Depreciation and amortization

213,035 

174,220 

176,857 

    Annuity benefits

341,593 

 313,627 

294,940 

    Realized gains on investing activities

(103,408)

(316,421)

(35,633)

    Net purchases/sales of trading securities

14,252 

(94,790)

12,259 

    Deferred annuity and life acquisition costs

(128,130)

(120,132)

(148,247)

    Decrease (increase) in reinsurance and

     

      other receivables

188,087 

(305,630)

(515,698)

    Decrease (increase) in other assets

22,243 

84,459 

(85,511)

    Increase in insurance claims and reserves

564,873 

620,784 

717,010 

    Increase (decrease) in payable to reinsurers

(414,839)

105,605 

 (21,398)

    Increase in other liabilities

50,121 

138,000 

56,277 

    Other, net

    34,807 

     6,913 

     3,743 

      Net cash provided by operating activities

 1,022,350 

 1,007,672 

   749,500 

       

Investing Activities:

 

 

 

  Purchases of and additional investments in:

 

 

 

    Fixed maturity investments

(4,134,913)

(5,608,918)

(8,013,349)

    Equity securities

(276,504)

(188,466)

(147,836)

    Subsidiaries

(17,500)

(10,382)

-    

    Real estate, property and equipment

(79,469)

(56,373)

(29,699)

  Maturities and redemptions of fixed maturity

 

 

 

    investments

1,088,033 

1,270,334 

1,833,418 

  Sales of:

 

 

 

    Fixed maturity investments

1,756,954 

3,642,660 

4,745,708 

    Equity securities

265,828 

254,411 

59,987 

    Subsidiaries and investees

1,747 

-    

461,386 

    Real estate, property and equipment

126,633 

21,457 

16,649 

  Cash and cash equivalents of businesses

 

 

 

    acquired or sold, net

51,227 

(72,058)

(112,666)

  Collection of receivable from investee

-    

-    

55,000 

  Decrease (increase) in other investments

   (37,865)

       148 

       578 

    Net cash used in investing activities

(1,255,829)

  (747,187)

(1,130,824)

       

Financing Activities:

 

 

 

  Fixed annuity receipts

854,391 

686,249 

788,174 

  Annuity surrenders, benefits and withdrawals

(936,088)

(729,759)

(572,013)

  Net transfers from variable annuity assets

11,367 

1,436 

966 

  Additional long-term borrowings

29,716 

195,392 

337,208 

  Reductions of long-term debt

(122,409)

(11,621)

(454,775)

  Issuances of trust preferred securities

-    

-    

33,943 

  Repurchases of trust preferred securities

(22,611)

(188,961)

 (11,322)

  Issuances of Common Stock

25,813 

91,480 

1,516 

  Subsidiaries' issuances of stock in

     

    public offerings

40,391 

-    

10,632 

  Cash dividends paid on Common Stock

(33,103)

(35,126)

(31,338)

  Other, net

    (3,881)

    (1,385)

       782 

    Net cash provided by (used in) financing

     

      activities

  (156,414)

     7,705 

   103,773 

       

Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents

(389,893)

268,190 

(277,551)

       

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

   861,742 

   593,552 

   871,103 

       

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

$  471,849 

$  861,742 

$  593,552 

 

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

F-5

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

_________________________________________________________________________________

INDEX TO NOTES

A.

Accounting Policies

K.

Shareholders' Equity

B.

Acquisitions and Sales of Subsidiaries

L.

Income Taxes

C.

Segments of Operations

M.

Discontinued Operations

D.

Investments

N.

Equity in Net Earnings (Losses)

E.

Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

 

of Investees

F.

Managed Investment Entity

O.

Commitments and Contingencies

G.

Goodwill

P.

Quarterly Operating Results

H.

Long-Term Debt

Q.

Insurance

I.

Payable to Subsidiary Trusts

R.

Additional Information

J.

Minority Interest

S.

Subsequent Event (unaudited)

_________________________________________________________________________________

  1. Accounting Policies
  2. Basis of Presentation  The consolidated financial statements include the accounts of American Financial Group, Inc. ("AFG") and its subsidiaries. Certain reclassifications have been made to prior years to conform to the current year's presentation. All significant intercompany balances and transactions have been eliminated. All acquisitions have been treated as purchases. The results of operations of companies since their formation or acquisition are included in the consolidated financial statements.

    The preparation of the financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Changes in circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially from those estimates.

    Subsidiary Realignment  In 2003, AFG merged with two of its subsidiaries, American Financial Corporation ("AFC") and AFC Holding Company resulting in AFC's Series J Preferred stock being acquired and retired in exchange for approximately 3.3 million shares of AFG Common Stock (aggregate value of $75 million). In addition, approximately $170 million in deferred tax liabilities associated with AFC's holding of AFG stock were eliminated.

    Investments  Fixed maturity securities and equity securities classified as "available for sale" are reported at fair value with unrealized gains and losses reported as a separate component of shareholders' equity. Fixed maturities classified as "trading" are reported at fair value with changes in unrealized holding gains or losses during the period included in investment income. Loans receivable are carried primarily at the aggregate unpaid balance. Premiums and discounts on mortgage-backed securities are amortized over a period based on estimated future principal payments, including prepayments. Prepayment assumptions are reviewed periodically and adjusted to reflect actual prepayments and changes in expectations.

    Gains or losses on securities are determined on the specific identification basis. When a decline in the value of a specific investment is considered to be other than temporary, a provision for impairment is charged to earnings (included in realized gains (losses)) and the cost basis of that investment is reduced.

    In 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board's ("FASB") Emerging Issues Task Force ("EITF") reached a final consensus on Issue 03-16, "Accounting for Investments in Limited Liability Companies" under which limited liability companies ("LLCs") are deemed to be the same as limited partnerships for which the equity method of accounting is generally required for ownership levels of "more than 3 to 5 percent." EITF 03-16 became effective for periods beginning after June 15, 2004. The cumulative effect of changing from the cost method to the equity method of accounting for AFG's investment in an LLC is shown separately in the Statement of Earnings.

    F-6

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    Derivatives  Derivatives included in AFG's Balance Sheet consist primarily of (i) the interest component of certain life reinsurance contracts (included in other liabilities), (ii) interest rate swaps (included in debt), and (iii) the equity-based component of certain annuity products (included in annuity benefits accumulated) and related call options (included in other investments) designed to be consistent with the characteristics of the liabilities and used to mitigate the risk embedded in those annuity products. Changes in the fair value of derivatives are included in current earnings.

    The terms of the interest rate swaps match those of the debt; therefore, the swaps are considered to be (and are accounted for as) 100% effective fair value hedges. Both the swaps and the hedged debt are adjusted for changes in fair value by offsetting amounts. Accordingly, since the swaps are included with long-term debt in the Balance Sheet, the only effect on AFG's financial statements is that the interest expense on the hedged debt is recorded based on the variable rate.

    Managed Investment Entity  Through the first quarter of 2005, AFG consolidated one of its collateralized debt obligations ("CDO") under revised FASB Interpretation ("FIN") No. 46. Since AFG had no right to use the CDO assets and the CDO liabilities could be extinguished only by using CDO assets, the assets and liabilities of the CDO are shown separate from AFG's other assets and liabilities in the Balance Sheet. Income and expenses of the CDO are shown separately in the Statement of Earnings; related minority interest is included in "Minority Interest Expense." In the first half of 2005, the CDO liquidated its investment portfolio and distributed the proceeds to its senior debt and equity investors, including AFG.

    Goodwill  Goodwill represents the excess of cost of subsidiaries over AFG's equity in their underlying net assets. Goodwill is not amortized, but is subject to an impairment test at least annually.

    Insurance  As discussed under "Reinsurance" below, unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premiums have not been reduced for reinsurance recoverable.

    Reinsurance  Amounts recoverable from reinsurers are estimated in a manner consistent with the claim liability associated with the reinsured policies. AFG's insurance subsidiaries report as assets (a) the estimated reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses, including an estimate for losses incurred but not reported, and (b) amounts paid to reinsurers applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force. Payable to reinsurers includes ceded premiums due to reinsurers as well as ceded premiums retained by AFG's property and casualty insurance subsidiaries under contracts to fund ceded losses as they become due. AFG's insurance subsidiaries also assume reinsurance from other companies. Income on reinsurance assumed is recognized based on reports received from ceding companies.

    Subsidiaries of AFG's 82%-owned subsidiary, Great American Financial Resources, Inc. ("GAFRI"), cede life insurance policies to a third party on a funds withheld basis where GAFRI retains the assets (securities) associated with the reinsurance contracts. Interest is credited to the reinsurer based on the actual investment performance of the retained assets. Effective October 1, 2003, GAFRI implemented Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 133 Implementation Issue B36 ("B36"). Under B36, these reinsurance contracts are considered to contain embedded derivatives (that must be adjusted to fair value) because the yield on the payables is based on specific blocks of the ceding companies' assets, rather than the overall creditworthiness of the ceding company. GAFRI determined that changes in the fair value of the underlying portfolios of fixed maturity securities is an appropriate measure of the value of the embedded derivative. As permitt ed under B36, GAFRI reclassified the securities related to these transactions from "available for sale" to "trading." The $16.1 million cumulative effect of adjusting to fair value the derivatives embedded in the payables at October 1, 2003, was offset by

    F-7

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    the initial effect of transferring the related securities from available for sale to trading. Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2003, the adjustment to fair value on the embedded derivatives offsets the investment income recorded on the adjustment to fair value of the related trading portfolios.

    Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs ("DPAC")  Policy acquisition costs (principally commissions, premium taxes and other marketing and underwriting expenses) related to the production of new business are deferred. For the property and casualty companies, DPAC is limited based upon recoverability without any consideration for anticipated investment income and is charged against income ratably over the terms of the related policies.

    DPAC related to annuities and universal life insurance products is deferred to the extent deemed recoverable and amortized, with interest, in relation to the present value of expected gross profits on the policies. To the extent that realized gains and losses result in adjustments to the amortization of DPAC related to annuities, such adjustments are reflected as components of realized gains. DPAC related to annuities is also adjusted, net of tax, for the change in amortization that would have been recorded if the unrealized gains (losses) from securities had actually been realized. This adjustment is included in "Unrealized gains (losses) on marketable securities, net" in the shareholders' equity section of the Balance Sheet.

    DPAC related to traditional life and health insurance is amortized over the expected premium paying period of the related policies, in proportion to the ratio of annual premium revenues to total anticipated premium revenues. DPAC includes the present value of future profits on business in force of insurance companies acquired by GAFRI, which represents the portion of the costs to acquire companies that is allocated to the value of the right to receive future cash flows from insurance contracts existing at the date of acquisition. The present value of future profits is amortized with interest in relation to expected gross profits of the acquired policies for annuities and universal life products and in relation to the premium paying period for traditional life and health insurance products.

    Annuity and Supplemental Insurance Acquisition Expenses  Annuity and supplemental insurance acquisition expenses on the Statement of Earnings consists primarily of amortization of DPAC related to the annuity, supplemental insurance and run-off life businesses. This line item also includes certain marketing and commission costs that are expensed as paid.

    Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses  The net liabilities stated for unpaid claims and for expenses of investigation and adjustment of unpaid claims are based upon (a) the accumulation of case estimates for losses reported prior to the close of the accounting period on direct business written; (b) estimates received from ceding reinsurers and insurance pools and associations; (c) estimates of unreported losses based on past experience; (d) estimates based on experience of expenses for investigating and adjusting claims and (e) the current state of the law and coverage litigation. Establishing reserves for asbestos, environmental and other mass tort claims involves considerably more judgment than other types of claims due to, among other things, inconsistent court decisions, an increase in bankruptcy filings as a result of asbestos-related liabilities, novel theories of coverage , and judicial interpretations that often expand theories of recovery and broaden the scope of coverage.

    Loss reserve liabilities are subject to the impact of changes in claim amounts and frequency and other factors. Changes in estimates of the liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses are reflected in the Statement of Earnings in the period in which determined. Despite the variability inherent in such estimates, management believes that the liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are adequate.

    F-8

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    Annuity Benefits Accumulated  Annuity receipts and benefit payments are recorded as increases or decreases in "annuity benefits accumulated" rather than as revenue and expense. Increases in this liability for interest credited are charged to expense and decreases for surrender charges are credited to other income.

    Life, Accident and Health Reserves  Liabilities for future policy benefits under traditional life, accident and health policies are computed using the net level premium method. Computations are based on the original projections of investment yields, mortality, morbidity and surrenders and include provisions for unfavorable deviations. Reserves established for accident and health claims are modified as necessary to reflect actual experience and developing trends.

    Variable Annuity Assets and Liabilities  Separate accounts related to variable annuities represent the fair value of deposits invested in underlying investment funds on which GAFRI earns a fee. Investment funds are selected and may be changed only by the policyholder, who retains all investment risk.

    Premium Recognition  Property and casualty premiums are earned generally over the terms of the policies on a pro rata basis. Unearned premiums represent that portion of premiums written which is applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force. On reinsurance assumed from other insurance companies or written through various underwriting organizations, unearned premiums are based on reports received from such companies and organizations. For traditional life, accident and health products, premiums are recognized as revenue when legally collectible from policyholders. For interest-sensitive life and universal life products, premiums are recorded in a policyholder account, which is reflected as a liability. Revenue is recognized as amounts are assessed against the policyholder account for mortality coverage and contract expenses.

    Payable to Subsidiary Trusts  Under FIN 46, AFG deconsolidated wholly-owned subsidiary trusts (formed prior to 2003) because they are "variable interest entities" in which AFG is not considered to be the primary beneficiary. These subsidiary trusts were formed to issue preferred securities and, in turn, purchase a like amount of subordinated debt from their parent company which provides interest and principal payments to fund the respective trust obligations. Accordingly, the subordinated debt due to the trusts is shown as a liability in the Balance Sheet, and beginning in 2004, the related interest expense is shown in the Statement of Earnings as "interest on subsidiary trust obligations." Prior to 2004, this interest was included in the Statement of Earnings as "minority interest expense, net of tax." Implementation of FIN 46 with respect to the preferred securities had no effect on earnings.

    Minority Interest  For balance sheet purposes, minority interest represents the interests of noncontrolling shareholders in consolidated entities. For income statement purposes, minority interest expense represents such shareholders' interest in the earnings of those entities. See "Payable to Subsidiary Trusts" above.

    Income Taxes  Deferred income taxes are calculated using the liability method. Under this method, deferred income tax assets and liabilities are determined based on differences between financial reporting and tax bases and are measured using enacted tax rates. Deferred tax assets are recognized if it is more likely than not that a benefit will be realized.

    F-9

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    Stock-Based Compensation  As permitted under SFAS No. 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation," AFG accounts for stock options and other stock-based compensation plans using the intrinsic value based method prescribed by Accounting Principles Board Opinion ("APB") No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees." Under AFG's stock option plan, options are granted to officers, directors and key employees at exercise prices equal to the fair value of the shares at the dates of grant. No compensation expense is recognized for stock option grants.

    The following table illustrates the effect on net earnings (in thousands) and earnings per share had compensation cost been recognized and determined based on the "fair values" at grant dates consistent with the method prescribed by SFAS No. 123. See Note K - "Shareholders' Equity" for further information on stock options.

    For SFAS No. 123 purposes, the "fair value" of $9.66 per option granted in 2005, $8.92 in 2004 and $5.62 in 2003 was calculated using the Black-Scholes option pricing model and the following assumptions: expected dividend yield of 2%; expected volatility of 28% for 2005, 29% for 2004 and 30% for 2003; risk-free interest rate of 4.3% for 2005, 3.7% for 2004 and 3.6% for 2003; and expected option life of 8.4 years in 2005, 7.5 years in 2004 and 7.4 years in 2003. There is no single reliable method to determine the actual value of options at grant date. Accordingly, actual value of the option grants may be higher or lower than the SFAS No. 123 "fair value".

     

    2005 

    2004 

    2003 

           

    Net earnings available to common shares,

         

      as reported

    $206,580 

    $359,860 

    $289,694 

    Pro forma stock option expense, net of tax

      (7,131)

      (6,694)

      (7,323)

           

    Adjusted net earnings

    $199,449 

    $353,166 

    $282,371 

           

    Earnings per share (as reported):

         

      Basic

    $2.68 

    $4.89 

    $4.14 

      Diluted

    $2.62 

    $4.81 

    $4.12 

           

    Earnings per share (adjusted):

         

      Basic

    $2.58 

    $4.80 

    $4.04 

      Diluted

    $2.55 

    $4.74 

    $4.03 

           

    In December 2004, the FASB issued SFAS No. 123(R), "Share-Based Payment." SFAS No. 123(R) revises SFAS No. 123 and eliminates the use of the intrinsic value method prescribed by APB 25. Under SFAS No. 123(R), companies must recognize compensation expense for all new share-based awards (including employee stock options), and the nonvested portions of prior awards, based on their fair value at the date of grant. AFG will implement the new standard as of January 1, 2006, on a modified prospective basis. After that date, all share-based grants will be recognized as compensation expense over the vesting period. AFG intends to use the Black-Scholes pricing model to measure the fair value of employee stock options. Had AFG adopted SFAS No. 123(R) in prior periods, the impact on net earnings and earnings per share would have been similar to the pro forma amounts discussed above.

    Benefit Plans  AFG provides retirement benefits to qualified employees of participating companies through the AFG Retirement and Savings Plan, a defined contribution plan. AFG makes all contributions to the retirement fund portion of the plan and matches a percentage of employee contributions to the savings fund. Company contributions are expensed in the year for which they are declared.

    AFG and many of its subsidiaries provide health care and life insurance benefits to eligible retirees. AFG also provides postemployment benefits to former or inactive employees (primarily those on disability) who were not deemed retired under other company plans. The projected future cost of providing these benefits is expensed over the period the employees earn such benefits.

    F-10

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    Earnings Per Share  Basic earnings per share is calculated using the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding during the period. The calculation of diluted earnings per share includes the following dilutive effect of common stock options: 2005 - 1,295,000 shares; 2004 - 1,194,000 shares; and 2003 - 335,000 shares.

    Statement of Cash Flows  For cash flow purposes, "investing activities" are defined as making and collecting loans and acquiring and disposing of debt or equity instruments and property and equipment. "Financing activities" include obtaining resources from owners and providing them with a return on their investments, borrowing money and repaying amounts borrowed. Annuity receipts, benefits and withdrawals are also reflected as financing activities. All other activities are considered "operating". Short-term investments having original maturities of three months or less when purchased are considered to be cash equivalents for purposes of the financial statements.

  3. Acquisitions and Sales of Subsidiaries

Great American Life Assurance Company of Puerto Rico  In the fourth quarter of 2005, GAFRI reached an agreement to sell its subsidiary, Great American Life Assurance Company of Puerto Rico ("GAPR"), for $37.5 million in cash and recorded an estimated $3.4 million pretax loss. The sale was completed in January 2006.

Farmers Crop Insurance Alliance, Inc.  On September 30, 2005, AFG acquired the multi-peril crop insurance and the crop hail insurance business written through Farmers Crop Insurance Alliance, Inc. for $17.5 million in cash. AFG will pay additional amounts of up to 10% of annual premiums over the next three years based on certain customer retention criteria. Approximately $16.5 million of the initial Farmers Crop purchase price was recorded as intangible renewal rights and is being amortized over an estimated retention period of four years on a straight-line basis. Any future payments (not expected to exceed $30 million) based on customer retention will also be recorded as intangible renewal rights. While there is uncertainty as to the amount of premiums that ultimately will be retained due to the departure of several Farmers' employees in the months preceding the acquisition, AFG expects this busi ness will generate gross written premiums of $200 million to $300 million in 2006.

National Interstate Initial Public Offering  An AFG majority-owned subsidiary, National Interstate Corporation ("NATL"), issued 3.4 million of its common shares in a February 2005 initial public offering. NATL used $15 million of the $40.4 million in proceeds to repay a loan to an AFG subsidiary and the balance for general corporate purposes. At December 31, 2005, AFG owned approximately 54% of NATL's common stock compared to 66% at December 31, 2004.

Transport Insurance Company  In November 2004, AFG completed the sale of Transport Insurance Company. See Note M - "Discontinued Operations."

National Health Annuity Business  In May 2004, GAFRI acquired the fixed annuity business of National Health Insurance Company (over 30,000 policies). This transaction increased both annuity benefits accumulated and cash and investments by approximately $750 million.

Fidelity Excess and Surplus Insurance Company  In 2003, AFG sold Fidelity Excess and Surplus Insurance Company, an inactive subsidiary, for $28.9 million, realizing a pretax gain of $4.3 million. AFG retained all liability for Fidelity's business related to the period AFG owned the company.

F-11

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

Direct automobile insurance business  In 2003, AFG sold two of its subsidiaries that market automobile insurance directly to customers for $32.2 million, realizing a pretax gain of $3.4 million on the sale. The transaction included the transfer of the right of Great American Insurance Company ("GAI"), an AFG subsidiary, to renew certain of its personal automobile insurance business written on a direct basis in selected markets.

Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation  In public offerings in 2003, AFG sold all the shares of Infinity Property and Casualty Corporation ("Infinity", its personal automobile insurance business) for a total of $400 million, realizing a net pretax gain of $17.1 million.

  1. Segments of Operations  AFG manages its business as three segments: (i) property and casualty insurance, (ii) annuity and supplemental insurance, and (iii) other, which includes holding company assets and costs and the assets and operations of a CDO that AFG managed.
  2. AFG reports its property and casualty insurance business in the following Specialty sub-segments: (i) Property and transportation, which includes inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related business and commercial automobile, (ii) Specialty casualty, which includes executive and professional liability, umbrella and excess liability and excess and surplus, (iii) Specialty financial, which includes fidelity and surety bonds and collateral protection and (iv) California workers' compensation. AFG's annuity and supplemental insurance business markets primarily retirement annuities and various forms of supplemental insurance. AFG's reportable segments and their components were determined based primarily upon similar economic characteristics, products and services.

    AFG's businesses operate throughout the United States. In 2005, 2004, and 2003, just over 2% of AFG's revenues were derived from the sale of life and supplemental health products in Puerto Rico; just over 1% of its revenues were derived from the sale of property and casualty insurance in Mexico, Canada and Europe.

    F-12

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    The following tables (in thousands) show AFG's assets, revenues and operating earnings before income taxes by significant business segment and sub-segment.

     

    2005  

    2004  

    2003  

    Assets

    Property and casualty insurance (a)

    $10,501,448  

    $10,182,551  

    $ 9,230,244  

    Annuity and supplemental insurance

    11,913,575  

    11,702,547  

    10,292,616  

    Other

        400,969  

        674,429  

        789,175  

     

    $22,815,992  

    $22,559,527  

    $20,312,035  

    Revenues (b)

         

    Property and casualty insurance:

         

      Premiums earned:

         

        Specialty

         

          Property and transportation

    $   857,711  

    $   611,266  

    $   480,597  

          Specialty casualty

    733,874  

    717,102  

    656,725  

          Specialty financial

    363,063  

    358,289  

    262,280  

          California workers' compensation

    347,456  

    338,534  

    262,691  

          Other

    60,732  

    71,366  

    83,295  

        Other lines (c)

          3,661  

         13,745  

        163,618  

     

    2,366,497  

    2,110,302  

    1,909,206  

      Investment income

    287,647  

    261,290  

    252,860  

      Realized gains

    17,313  

    239,223  

    75,193  

      Other

        242,272  

        193,160  

        166,071  

     

    2,913,729  

    2,803,975  

    2,403,330  

    Annuity and supplemental insurance:

         

      Investment income

    574,402  

    537,989  

    516,564  

      Life, accident and health premiums

    371,006  

    351,365  

    331,887  

      Realized gains (losses)

    9,474  

    59,739  

    (4,704) 

      Other

        135,568  

        109,699  

         87,271  

     

    1,090,450  

    1,058,792  

    931,018  

    Other

         34,104  

         43,498  

         25,295  

     

    $ 4,038,283  

    $ 3,906,265  

    $ 3,359,643  

           

    Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

         

    Property and casualty insurance:

         

      Underwriting:

         

        Specialty

         

          Property and transportation

    $   145,747  

    $   118,497  

    $    58,612  

          Specialty casualty

    63,424  

    1,482  

    11,560  

          Specialty financial

    (77,117) 

    (32,071) 

    (21,866) 

          California workers' compensation

    104,156  

    35,502  

    20,919  

          Other (d)

    (28,407) 

    (569) 

    (162) 

        Other lines (e)

       (182,837

        (11,291

        (47,195

     

    24,966  

    111,550  

    21,868  

      Investment income, realized gains

        and other (f)

        312,522  

        452,738  

        255,891  

     

    337,488  

    564,288  

    277,759  

    Annuity and supplemental insurance (g)

    96,459  

    158,178  

    87,335  

    Other (h)

        (77,133

       (132,928

        (64,088

     

    $   356,814  

    $   589,538  

    $   301,006  

           

    (a)  Not allocable to sub-segments.

    (b)  Revenues include sales of products and services as well as other income earned by

         the respective segments.

    (c)  Includes 2003 earned premiums of $163.6 million related to the personal and direct

         auto businesses that were sold in 2003. Beginning in 2004, the remaining former

         personal business was transferred to Specialty property and transportation.

    (d)  Includes a charge of $19.9 million for adjustments related to deferred gains on

         retroactive reinsurance, and $7.0 million in hurricane losses from assumed

         reinsurance in 2005.

    (e)  Includes a third quarter 2005 charge of $179.3 million to increase asbestos,

         environmental and other mass tort reserves and a 2003 charge of $43.8 million for an

         arbitration decision relating to a 1995 property claim from a discontinued business.

    (f)  Includes a 2003 charge of $35.5 million related to the settlement of litigation.

    (g)  Includes a third quarter 2005 charge of $9.5 million related to environmental

         liabilities at GAFRI's former manufacturing operations.

    (h)  Includes holding company expenses and a third quarter 2004 charge of $52 million

         resulting from the settlement of litigation.

    F-13

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

  3. Investments  Fixed maturities and other stocks classified as available for sale at December 31 consisted of the following (in millions):

                 
 

                   2005                  

                  2004                   

 

Amortized

Fair

Gross Unrealized 

Amortized

Fair

Gross Unrealized 

 

     Cost

 Value

  Gains

Losses 

     Cost

 Value

  Gains

Losses 

                 

Fixed maturities:

               

  United States Government

   and government agencies

               

   and authorities

$ 1,016.5

$ 1,012.6

$ 13.2

($ 17.1)

$ 1,684.3

$ 1,694.0

$ 18.3

($ 8.6)

  States, municipalities and

               

   political subdivisions

1,192.3

1,193.0

10.7

(10.0)

1,009.2

1,030.4

22.7

(1.5)

  Foreign government

171.7

174.3

3.1

(0.5)

141.4

145.2

3.8

-  

  Public utilities

1,005.7

1,028.9

27.1

(3.9)

944.7

994.0

51.5

(2.2)

  Mortgage-backed securities

4,567.1

4,512.6

16.2

(70.7)

3,564.1

3,582.2

40.4

(22.3)

  All other corporate

6,271.3

6,355.7

138.9

(54.5)

5,643.5

5,913.8

280.8

(10.5)

  Redeemable preferred stocks

     47.7

     49.5

   1.9

  (0.1)

     48.0

     51.8

   4.8

 (1.0)

                 
                 
 

$14,272.3

$14,326.6

$211.1

($156.8)

$13,035.2

$13,411.4

$422.3

($46.1)

                 
                 

Other stocks

$   501.5

$   556.7

$ 73.3

($ 18.1)

$   456.1

$   537.2

$ 84.2

($ 3.1)

The following tables show gross unrealized losses on fixed maturities and other stocks by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position at December 31, 2005 and 2004.

       Twelve Months or Less         

      More Than Twelve Months        

Unrealized 

Fair

Fair Value as 

Unrealized 

Fair

Fair Value as 

 

      Loss 

 Value

    % of Cost 

      Loss 

 Value

    % of Cost 

     
                   

2005                         

                 

Fixed maturities:

                 

  United States Government

                 

   and government agencies

                 

   and authorities

($  7.1)

$  390.3

98%

($10.0)

$  377.1

97%

     

  States, municipalities and

   

 

   

 

     

   political subdivisions

(8.0)

720.9

99%

(2.0)

89.9

98%

     

  Foreign government

(0.5)

48.7

99%

-  

0.9

100%

     

  Public utilities

(3.1)

230.5

99%

(0.8)

30.4

97%

     

  Mortgage-backed securities

(51.7)

3,185.8

98%

(19.0)

512.0

96%

     

  All other corporate

(39.6)

2,203.7

98%

(14.9)

383.4

96%

     

  Redeemable preferred stocks

  (0.1)

    10.3

99%

   -  

      - 

- %

     
                   
 

($110.1)

$6,790.2

98%

($46.7)

$1,393.7

97%

     
                   

Other stocks

($ 13.4)

$  246.3

95%

($ 4.7)

$   40.4

90%

     
                   

2004                         

                 

Fixed maturities:

                 

  United States Government

   and government agencies

                 

   and authorities

($  6.8)

$1,012.3

99%

($ 1.8)

$ 55.8

97%

  States, municipalities and

   

 

   

 

     

   political subdivisions

(0.7)

  136.6

99%

(0.8)

26.9

97%

     

  Foreign government

-  

    3.0

100%

-  

- %

     

  Public utilities

(1.8)

  123.7

99%

(0.4)

16.9

98%

     

  Mortgage-backed securities

(8.4)

  887.2

99%

(13.9)

441.2

97%

     

  All other corporate

(8.9)

  638.0

99%

(1.6)

47.9

97%

     

  Redeemable preferred stocks

  (1.0)

    13.0

93%

   -  

    - 

- %

     
                   
 

($ 27.6)

$2,813.8

99%

($18.5)

$588.7

97%

     
                   

Other stocks

($  2.5)

$   25.4

91%

($ 0.6)

$ 24.9

98%

     

At December 31, 2005, the gross unrealized losses relate to nearly 1,200 securities with no single unrealized loss in excess of $2.4 million. Investment grade securities (as determined by nationally recognized rating agencies) represented about 94% and 96% of the total unrealized loss and fair value, respectively. Of the mortgage-backed securities, more than 98% of the unrealized losses relate to AAA rated securities. Management believes that AFG will recover its cost basis in the securities having unrealized losses at December 31, 2005 and AFG has the ability and intent to hold such securities until they recover in value or mature.

F-14

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

The table below sets forth the scheduled maturities of fixed maturities as of December 31, 2005. Asset-backed securities and other securities with sinking funds are reported at average maturity. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may be called or prepaid by the issuers. Mortgage-backed securities had an average life of approximately
6-1/2 years at December 31, 2005.

       
 

Amortized

   Fair Value    

 

     Cost

   Amount

  %  

  Maturity             

     

One year or less

$   472.5

$   479.2

  3%

After one year through five years

3,286.1

3,310.1

 23 

After five years through ten years

4,779.3

4,826.0

 34 

After ten years

  1,167.3

  1,198.7

  8 

 

9,705.2

9,814.0

 68 

Mortgage-backed securities

  4,567.1

  4,512.6

 32 

    Total

$14,272.3

$14,326.6

100%

Certain risks are inherent in connection with fixed maturity securities, including loss upon default, price volatility in reaction to changes in interest rates, and general market factors and risks associated with reinvestment of proceeds due to prepayments or redemptions in a period of declining interest rates.

There were no investments (other than U.S. Treasury Notes) that exceeded 10% of Shareholders' Equity at December 31, 2005 or 2004.

Realized gains (losses) and changes in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed maturity and equity security investments are summarized as follows (in thousands):

 

Fixed 

Equity 

Tax 

 
 

Maturities 

Securities 

 Effects 

   Total 

         

2005

       

Realized - Continuing operations

($ 15,417)

$ 39,277 

($  6,066)

$ 17,794 

Change in Unrealized

(321,900)

(25,900)

120,300 

(227,500)

         

2004

       

Realized - Continuing operations

49,728 

252,229 

(105,589)

196,368 

Realized - Discontinued operations

2,744 

-    

(960)

1,784 

Change in Unrealized

(1,600)

(115,300)

41,100 

(75,800)

         

2003

       

Realized - Continuing operations

51,647 

7,244 

(20,514)

38,377 

Realized - Discontinued operations

1,600 

11 

(564)

1,047 

Change in Unrealized

(79,400)

70,600 

3,000 

(5,800)

         

Gross gains and losses (excluding impairment writedowns) on available for sale fixed maturity investment transactions included in the Statement of Cash Flows consisted of the following (in millions):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

       

Gross Gains

$29.6 

$91.9 

$152.2 

Gross Losses

(33.4)

(23.5)

(42.7)

F-15

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Marketable Securities, Net  In addition to adjusting equity securities and fixed maturity securities classified as "available for sale" to fair value, SFAS 115 requires that certain other balance sheet amounts be adjusted to the extent that unrealized gains and losses from securities would result in adjustments had those gains or losses actually been realized. The following table shows the components of the unrealized gain (loss) on marketable securities, net of tax, and its effect on various balance sheet captions (in millions).

     
 

2005 

2004 

Increase (decrease) in assets

   

Fixed maturities - available for sale

$54.3 

$376.2 

Other stocks

55.2 

81.1 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

(17.3)

(59.5)

Deferred income taxes (included in other assets)

(31.0)

(139.2)

     

(Increase) decrease in liabilities and minority interest

   

Minority interest

(10.0)

(34.2)

Annuity benefits and other liabilities

 (0.4)

   7.3 

 

$50.8 

$231.7 

  1. Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs  Included in deferred policy acquisition costs in AFG's Balance Sheet are $54.1 million and $72.7 million at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively, representing the present value of future profits ("PVFP") related to acquisitions by AFG's annuity and life business. The PVFP amounts are net of $82.5 million and $73.2 million of accumulated amortization. Amortization of the PVFP was $9.3 million in 2005, $7.4 million in 2004 and $8.5 million in 2003. During each of the next five years, the PVFP is expected to decrease at a rate of approximately one-sixth of the balance at the beginning of each respective year.
  2. Managed Investment Entity  From 1999 to mid-2005, AFG had an investment in, and acted as investment manager for, a CDO of which AFG was determined to be the "primary beneficiary." Under FIN 46, AFG was required to consolidate the CDO beginning December 31, 2003. The cumulative effect of this change in accounting was an increase in income of $6.3 million in 2003.
  3. AFG is the investment manager and has investments in four other CDOs with an aggregate carrying value of $13 million at December 31, 2005 (included in fixed maturities), which are not required to be consolidated. These CDOs were formed between 2000 and 2005 and had approximately $1.6 billion in investments at December 31, 2005.

  4. Goodwill  Changes in the carrying value of goodwill during 2004 and 2005, by reporting segment, are presented in the following table (in thousands):

 

Property and 

Annuity and 

 
 

    Casualty 

Supplemental 

   Total 

Balance December 31, 2003

$150,211 

$18,119 

$168,330 

Goodwill from acquisitions

1,696 

-    

1,696 

Impairment charge

-    

(4,000)

(4,000)

Other

    -    

   (144)

    (144)

Balance December 31, 2004

 151,907 

 13,975 

 165,882 

Goodwill from acquisition

    -    

  1,000 

   1,000 

Balance December 31, 2005

$151,907 

$14,975 

$166,882 

       

GAFRI recorded a goodwill impairment charge of $4.0 million (included in "Other operating and general expenses") during the third quarter of 2004 related to an insurance agency subsidiary. A review for impairment was prompted by a decrease in estimated future earnings from this agency. Fair value of the agency was estimated using the present value of expected future cash flows.

F-16

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

  1. Long-Term Debt  Long-term debt consisted of the following at December 31 (in thousands):

 

2005 

2004 

Holding Company:

   

  AFG 7-1/8% Senior Debentures due April 2009,

   

    less discount of $671 and $1,112

   

    (imputed rate - 7.2%)

$226,052 

$  296,843 

  AFG Senior Convertible Debentures due June 2033

 

 

    (imputed rate - 4.0%)

189,857 

189,857 

  AFG 7-1/8% Senior Debentures due February 2034

115,000 

115,000 

  AFG 7-1/8% Senior Debentures due December 2007

59,493 

75,100 

  Other

   3,768 

     8,283 

 

 

 

 

594,170 

 685,083 

Subsidiaries:

 

 

  GAFRI 7-1/2% Senior Debentures due November 2033

112,500 

112,500 

  GAFRI 6-7/8% Senior Notes due June 2008

100,000 

100,000 

  GAFRI 7-1/4% Senior Debentures due January 2034

86,250 

86,250 

  Notes payable secured by real estate

33,112 

26,471 

  American Premier Underwriters, Inc. ("American Premier")

 

 

    10-7/8% Subordinated Notes due May 2011,

 

 

    including premium of $404 and $460

 

 

    (imputed rate - 9.6%)

8,125 

8,181 

  Other

   8,586 

    10,188 

 

 

 

 

$942,743 

$1,028,673 

     

At December 31, 2005, sinking fund and other scheduled principal payments on debt for the subsequent five years (adjusted for repurchases through February 2006) were as follows: 2006 - $19.6 million, 2007 - $60.7 million, 2008 - $48.8 million, 2009 - $205.0 million and 2010 - $2.1 million.

During 2005, AFG repurchased $15.6 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2007 and $71.2 million of its 7-1/8% Debentures due 2009 for $92.6 million in cash. Through February 2006, AFG repurchased an additional $22.1 million of its
7-1/8% Debentures due 2009 for $23.5 million in cash and GAFRI repurchased $51.5 million of its 6-7/8% Notes for $53.4 million in cash.

In the first quarter of 2004, AFG issued $115 million principal amount of 7-1/8% senior debentures due 2034 and GAFRI issued $86.3 million principal amount of
7-1/4% senior debentures due 2034. Proceeds from both offerings were used to redeem at face value a portion of the outstanding trust preferred securities.

AFG's Senior Convertible Notes were issued at a price of 37.153% of the principal amount due at maturity. Interest is payable semiannually at a rate of 4% of issue price per year through June 2008, after which interest at 4% annually will be accrued and added to the carrying value of the Notes. The Notes are redeemable at AFG's option at any time on or after June 2, 2008, at accreted value ranging from $371.53 per Note to $1,000 per Note at maturity. Holders may require AFG to purchase all or a portion of their Notes on five year anniversaries beginning in 2008, at the accreted value. Generally, holders may convert each Note into 11.5016 shares of AFG Common Stock (at $32.30 per share currently) (i) if the average market price of AFG Common Stock to be received upon conversion exceeds 120% of the accreted value ($38.76 per share currently) for a specified period, (ii) if the credit rating of the Notes is significantly lowered, or (iii) if AFG calls the notes for redemption. AFG intends to deliver cash in lieu of Common Stock upon conversion of the Notes; accordingly, shares that would have been issued upon conversion of the Notes are not treated as dilutive.

To achieve its desired balance between fixed and variable rate debt, GAFRI has entered into interest rate swaps that effectively convert its 6-7/8% fixed-rate Senior Notes to a floating rate of 3-month LIBOR plus 2.9%. In connection with

F-17

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

the 2006 debt repurchases discussed above, GAFRI paid $1.5 million to effectively cancel (settle) the portion of the interest rate swaps that covered the repurchased debt.

In 2004, AFG and GAFRI replaced their existing credit agreements with revolving credit facilities under which they can borrow up to $300 million and $165 million, respectively. Amounts borrowed bear interest at rates ranging from 1% to 2% over LIBOR based on the respective borrower's credit ratings. AFG's credit agreement will expire in November 2008 or in September 2007 if AFG has not retired or refinanced its 7-1/8% Debentures due in 2007. GAFRI's bank line will expire in 2008.

Cash interest payments on debt and trust preferred securities were $73 million in 2005, $75 million in 2004 and $70 million in 2003. Interest expense in the Statement of Earnings includes interest credited on funds held by AFG's insurance subsidiaries under reinsurance contracts and other similar agreements as follows: 2005 - $5.4 million; 2004 - $5.2 million; and 2003 - $7.8 million.

  1. Payable to Subsidiary Trusts (Issuers of Preferred Securities)  The preferred securities supported by the payable to subsidiary trusts consisted of the following (in thousands).

Date of

 

Amount Outstanding

Optional             

Issuance     

Issue (Maturity Date)     

12/31/05

12/31/04

Redemption Dates     

March 1997

GAFRI  8-7/8% Pfd   (2027)

$21,960

$42,800

On or after 3/1/2007 

May 2003

GAFRI   7.35% Pfd   (2033)

20,000

20,000

On or after 5/15/2008

May 2003

NATL Variable Pfd   (2033)

15,000

15,000

On or after 5/23/2008

NATL and GAFRI effectively provide unconditional guarantees of their respective trusts' obligations. In the fourth quarter of 2005, GAFRI repurchased $20.8 million of its 8-7/8% preferred securities for $22.6 million in cash. In the first quarter of 2004, GAFRI repurchased $27.2 million of its 8-7/8% preferred securities for $28.5 million in cash. The AFG 9-1/8% trust preferred securities and the GAFRI 9-1/4% trust preferred securities were redeemed at face value in the first quarter of 2004.

  1. Minority Interest  Minority interest expense represents the interest of non-controlling investors in the earnings or losses of consolidated subsidiaries. Included in minority interest expense in 2004 is $3.5 million for the interest of minority holders in the CDO entity that AFG consolidated prior to its liquidation in 2005. Minority interest expense for 2003 includes $14.2 million in accrued distributions by consolidated subsidiaries on trust preferred securities (as discussed in Note A, such distributions are now accounted for as interest) and $5.8 million in dividends on subsidiary preferred stock that was retired late in 2003.
  2. Shareholders' Equity  AFG sold 2,679,000 shares of its Common Stock through public offerings in the fourth quarter of 2004 at an average price of $30.56 per share, net of commissions and fees. In addition, American Premier sold 1,361,711 previously issued and outstanding AFG common shares that it was holding for the benefit of certain creditors and other claimants pursuant to the 1978 plan of reorganization of its predecessor, The Penn Central Transportation Company. The $41.5 million in proceeds were placed in escrow to be used to settle such claims. In November 2003, in conjunction with the AFG/AFC merger, AFG issued 3.3 million shares of Common Stock in exchange for all of the outstanding shares of AFC Series J preferred stock.

AFG is authorized to issue 12.5 million shares of Voting Preferred Stock and 12.5 million shares of Nonvoting Preferred Stock, each without par value.

Stock Incentive Plans  Under AFG's 2005 Stock Incentive Plan, employees of AFG and its subsidiaries are eligible to receive equity awards in the form of stock options, stock appreciation rights, restricted stock awards, restricted stock units and stock awards. This plan will replace AFG's existing stock option plan in 2006.

F-18

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

At December 31, 2005, there were 11.6 million shares of AFG Common Stock reserved for issuance under AFG's stock incentive plans. Options are granted with an exercise price equal to the market price of AFG Common Stock at the date of grant. Options generally become exercisable at the rate of 20% per year commencing one year after grant; those granted to non-employee directors of AFG are fully exercisable upon grant. Options generally expire ten years after the date of grant. Data for stock options issued under AFG's stock incentive plans is presented below:

        2005        

        2004        

        2003        

   

Average

 

Average

 

Average

   

Exercise

 

Exercise

 

Exercise

 

   Shares 

   Price

   Shares 

   Price

   Shares 

   Price

Outstanding at beginning of year

7,219,093 

$27.59 

7,715,656 

$26.56

6,982,562 

$27.58

             

  Granted

914,250 

$30.42 

896,950 

$30.01

956,250 

$18.54

  Exercised

(1,669,435)

$26.71 

(1,352,698)

$23.31

(35,000)

$21.12

  Forfeited

  (74,620)

$35.10 

  (40,815)

$26.25

 (188,156)

$25.02

Outstanding at end of year

6,389,288 

$28.14 

7,219,093 

$27.59

7,715,656 

$26.56

             

Options exercisable at year-end

4,028,068 

$28.68 

4,938,143 

$29.03

5,404,330 

$28.51

             

Options available for grant at

           

  year-end

5,247,116 

 

1,086,746 

 

1,942,881 

 

No compensation cost has been recognized for stock option grants. For information about the SFAS No. 123 "fair value" of options granted, see Note A - "Accounting Policies - Stock-based Compensation." AFG realizes a tax benefit upon the exercise of non-qualified stock options and disqualifying dispositions of incentive stock options ("ISOs") based on the difference between the market value of the common stock and the option exercise price (or sales price for ISOs) on the date the options are exercised (or sold for ISOs). Such benefits are credited to capital surplus and amounted to $3.9 million in 2005, $3.3 million in 2004 and $32,000 in 2003.

The following table summarizes information about stock options outstanding at December 31, 2005:

 

      Options Outstanding        

 Options Exercisable 

   

Average

Average

 

Average

Range of        

 

Exercise

Remaining

 

Exercise

Exercise Prices 

   Shares

   Price

     Life

   Shares

   Price

$18.45 - $20.00 

2,001,333

$19.26

5.6 years

1,516,803

$19.52

$20.01 - $25.00 

21,500

$22.74

7.2   "  

19,100

$22.77

$25.01 - $30.00 

866,529

$25.86

6.0   "  

554,389

$25.91

$30.01 - $35.00 

1,854,550

$30.35

8.4   "  

292,400

$30.90

$35.01 - $40.00 

1,368,876

$36.78

2.3   "  

1,368,876

$36.78

$40.01 - $45.19 

276,500

$42.40

2.2   "  

276,500

$42.40

           
           

F-19

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Marketable Securities, Net  The change in unrealized gain (loss) on marketable securities included the following (in millions):

   

    Tax 

Minority 

 
 

Pretax 

Effects 

Interest 

 Net  

         

                   2005                   

       

Unrealized holding losses on

       

  securities arising during the period

($289.4)

$102.1 

$22.1 

($165.2)

Realized gains included in net income

(  23.9)

   6.1 

  2.1 

 (15.7)

Change in unrealized gain on marketable

       

  securities, net

($313.3)

$108.2 

$24.2 

($180.9)

         

                   2004                   

       

Unrealized holding gains on

       

  securities arising during the period

$202.9 

($ 70.7)

($12.2)

$120.0 

Realized gains included in net income and

       

  unrealized loss of subsidiary sold

(304.4)

 106.5 

  7.0 

(190.9)

Change in unrealized gain on marketable

       

  securities, net

($101.5)

$ 35.8 

($ 5.2)

($ 70.9)

         

                   2003                   

       

Unrealized holding gains on

       

  securities arising during the period

$ 86.5 

($ 30.6)

$ 1.0 

$ 56.9 

Adoption of FIN 46

(2.1)

0.8 

0.1 

(1.2)

Transfer to Trading Securities

(16.1)

5.6 

1.9 

(8.6)

Realized gains included in net income and

       

  unrealized gains of subsidiaries sold

(104.5)

  36.7 

 (0.6)

 (68.4)

Change in unrealized gain on marketable

       

  securities, net

($ 36.2)

$ 12.5 

$ 2.4 

($ 21.3)

  1. Income Taxes  The following is a reconciliation of income taxes at the statutory rate of 35% and income taxes as shown in the Statement of Earnings (in thousands):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Earnings (loss) before income taxes:

     

  Operating

$356,814 

$589,538 

$301,006 

  Minority interest expense

(28,051)

(32,410)

(44,013)

  Equity in net earnings (losses) of investees

(7,823)

(4,883)

13,975 

  Discontinued operations

(1,930)

(3,756)

(51,795)

  Accounting changes

    -    

  (8,821)

   6,300 

       

Total

$319,010 

$539,668 

$225,473 

       

Income taxes at statutory rate

$111,654 

$188,884 

$ 78,916 

Effect of:

     

  Adjustment to prior year taxes

2,321 

(2,608)

(143,500)

  Minority interest

9,833 

9,968 

7,764 

  Subsidiaries not in AFG's tax return

5,610 

-    

-    

  Tax exempt interest

(7,891)

(6,332)

(4,970)

  Effect of foreign operations

(6,703)

(4,194)

(4,416)

  Other

  (2,394)

  (5,910)

  (2,136)

Total Provision (Credit)

112,430 

179,808 

(68,342)

       

Amounts applicable to:

     

  Minority interest expense

-    

-    

7,620 

  Equity in net (earnings) losses of investees

2,738 

1,709 

(4,891)

  Discontinued operations

675 

1,344 

18,159 

  Accounting changes

    -    

   3,228 

    -    

Provision (credit) for income taxes as shown

     

  on the Statement of Earnings

$115,843 

$186,089 

($ 47,454)

       

The AFG/AFC merger in November 2003 resulted in the elimination of $170 million in deferred tax liabilities associated with AFC's holding of AFG stock. From 1980 through March 1995, AFC accounted for its investment in AFG's predecessor using the equity method of accounting. During this period, as AFC's book basis

F-20

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

in the investment increased, AFC recorded a deferred tax liability (aggregating $136 million) on the excess of book over tax basis in this investment. In April 1995, AFC received AFG shares in exchange for its investment in AFG's predecessor. AFC retained the deferred tax liability related to this investment because AFC and AFG were in separate tax groups. Between 1995 and 2003, dividends on the AFG shares were treated as "return of capital" for tax purposes, thereby reducing AFC's tax basis and resulting in increases (aggregating $34 million) in the liability for deferred income taxes. In AFG's consolidated financial statements, the increase in deferred taxes resulted in a corresponding decrease to capital surplus because AFG's dividends to AFC were, in substance, capital contributions. The 2003 merger eliminated AFC's investment in AFG in a tax-free transaction thereby allowing the reversal of the related deferred tax liabilities.

Total earnings before income taxes include income (losses) subject to tax in foreign jurisdictions of ($33.8 million) in 2005, $26.6 million in 2004 and $27.4 million in 2003.

The total income tax provision (credit) consists of (in thousands):

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Current taxes:

     

  Federal

$ 66,261 

$ 64,012 

$ 43,028 

  Foreign

832 

1,849 

3,115 

  State

3,028 

2,234 

707 

Deferred taxes:

     

  Federal

44,856 

112,542 

(116,338)

  Foreign

  (2,547)

    (829)

   1,146 

       
 

$112,430 

$179,808 

($ 68,342)

       

For income tax purposes, AFG and certain members of its consolidated tax group had the following carryforwards available at December 31, 2005 (in millions):

 

 Expiring   

Amount

Operating Loss

2006 - 2010 

$  1.0

 

2011 - 2020 

74.1

 

2021 - 2022 

69.3

Capital Loss

2006 - 2008 

3.2

Other - Tax Credits

 

2.8

     

Deferred income tax assets and liabilities reflect temporary differences between the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities recognized for financial reporting purposes and the amounts recognized for tax purposes. The significant components of deferred tax assets and liabilities included in the Balance Sheet at December 31, were as follows (in millions):

 

2005 

2004 

Deferred tax assets:

   

  Net operating loss carryforwards

$ 50.5 

$ 52.1 

  Capital loss carryforwards

1.1 

38.3 

  Insurance claims and reserves

310.8 

308.2 

  Other, net

 179.0 

 162.3 

 

541.4 

560.9 

  Valuation allowance for deferred

   

    tax assets

 (50.0)

 (50.0)

 

491.4 

510.9 

Deferred tax liabilities:

   

  Deferred acquisition costs

(334.9)

(324.5)

  Investment securities

 (23.2)

(110.8)

 

(358.1)

(435.3)

     

Net deferred tax asset

$133.3 

$ 75.6 

F-21

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

The gross deferred tax asset has been reduced by a valuation allowance related to a portion of AFG's net operating loss carryforwards ("NOL") that is subject to the separate return limitation year ("SRLY") tax rules. A SRLY NOL can be used only by the entity that created it and only in years that both the entity and the consolidated group have taxable income. The likelihood of realizing this asset will be reviewed periodically; any adjustments required to the valuation allowance will be made in the period in the developments on which they are based become known.

The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 provides a special one-time dividends received deduction on the repatriation of certain foreign earnings. AFG subsidiaries paid $91.5 million in dividends that qualified for this special tax treatment during 2005. Since deferred taxes had previously been accrued on most of these earnings, only $846,000 in additional income tax was recognized on the earnings remitted.

Cash payments for income taxes, net of refunds, were $91.9 million, $55.1 million and $51.8 million for 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

  1. Discontinued Operations  In the fourth quarter of 2004, AFG completed the sale of Transport Insurance Company, an inactive property and casualty subsidiary with only run-off liabilities. In December 2003, AFG recorded a $55 million impairment charge to reduce its investment in Transport for its estimated loss on sale, which was determined based on negotiations with potential buyers.
  2. Transport's results are reflected as discontinued for all periods presented in the Statement of Earnings. A summary of Transport's discontinued operations follow (in millions):

     

    2005 

    2004 

    2003 

    Operations:

         

    Revenue

    $ -  

    $5.4 

    $  6.1 

           

    Pretax earnings (loss)

    -  

    (1.5)

    3.2 

    Provision (benefit) for income taxes

      -  

     (.6)

       1.1 

    Earnings (loss) from discontinued operations

    -  

    (.9)

    2.1 

    Loss on sale, net of tax

    (1.3)

    (1.5)

     (35.7)

    Discontinued operations

    ($1.3)

    ($2.4)

    ($ 33.6)

           

  3. Equity in Net Earnings (Losses) of Investees  Equity in net earnings (losses) of investees includes AFG's share of the losses from a manufacturing business ($1.2 million in 2005, $3.2 million in 2004 and $3.1 million in 2003). In addition, equity in net earnings (losses) of investee for 2005 includes a $3.9 million after tax impairment writedown related to this business. From the date of the initial sale of 61% of Infinity in February 2003 through the date of the sale of its remaining interest in Infinity in December 2003, AFG accounted for its ownership interest in Infinity as an investee using the equity method. Equity in Infinity's net earnings during this period was $12.2 million.
  4. Commitments and Contingencies  Loss accruals (included in other liabilities) have been recorded for various environmental and occupational injury and disease claims and other contingencies arising out of the railroad operations disposed of by American Premier's predecessor, Penn Central Transportation Company ("PCTC"), prior to its bankruptcy reorganization in 1978 and certain manufacturing operations disposed of by American Premier.

In November 2004, American Premier reached an agreement with two other responsible parties on the allocation of environmental clean-up costs at a former railroad site in Paoli, Pennsylvania. Based on the settlement, American Premier recorded a charge (included in "Other operating and general expenses") of $52 million to increase its liabilities for environmental exposures. Although American Premier has been advised by counsel that it should be able to recover a significant amount of these costs from a financially viable third party, no recovery asset has been recorded for its Paoli Yard costs.

F-22

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

At December 31, 2005, American Premier had liabilities for environmental and personal injury claims aggregating $89.3 million. The environmental claims consist of a number of proceedings and claims seeking to impose responsibility for hazardous waste remediation costs related to certain sites formerly owned or operated by the railroad and manufacturing operations. Remediation costs are difficult to estimate for a number of reasons, including the number and financial resources of other potentially responsible parties, the range of costs for remediation alternatives, changing technology and the time period over which these matters develop. The personal injury claims include pending and expected claims, primarily by former employees of PCTC, for injury or disease allegedly caused by exposure to excessive noise, asbestos or other substances in the workplace.

GAFRI recently completed an in-depth review of projected costs associated with its former manufacturing operations. Based upon information provided by environmental and other consultants, GAFRI recorded a pretax charge of $9.5 million in the third quarter of 2005. At December 31, 2005, GAFRI had a liability of approximately $15 million for environmental costs and certain other matters associated with the sales of these former operations.

AFG's insurance subsidiaries continue to receive claims related to environmental exposures, asbestos and other mass tort claims. As more fully described in Item 7, establishing reserves for these claims is subject to uncertainties that are significantly greater than those presented by other types of claims. The liability for asbestos and environmental reserves at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively, was $540 million and $386 million; related recoverables from reinsurers (net of allowances for doubtful accounts) at those dates were $79 million and $56 million, respectively. The liability for other mass tort reserves at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively, was $21 million and $15 million; related recoverables from reinsurers (net of allowances for doubtful accounts) at those dates were $3 million and $4 million, respectively.

While management believes AFG has recorded adequate reserves for the items discussed in this note, the outcome is uncertain and could result in liabilities exceeding amounts AFG has currently recorded. Additional amounts could have a material adverse effect on AFG's future results of operations and financial condition.

  1. Quarterly Operating Results (Unaudited)  The operations of certain of AFG's business segments are seasonal in nature. While insurance premiums are recognized on a relatively level basis, claim losses related to adverse weather (snow, hail, hurricanes, tornadoes, etc.) may be seasonal. Quarterly results necessarily rely heavily on estimates. These estimates and certain other factors, such as the nature of investees' operations and discretionary sales of assets, cause the quarterly results not to be necessarily indicative of results for longer periods of time.
  2. F-23

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    The following are quarterly results of consolidated operations for the two years ended December 31, 2005 (in millions, except per share amounts).

     

    1st 

    2nd 

    3rd 

    4th 

    Total 

     

    Quarter 

    Quarter 

    Quarter 

    Quarter 

        Year 

               

                       2005                         

             

    Revenues

    $932.0 

    $994.6 

    $1,092.8

    $1,018.9 

    $4,038.3 

    Earnings (loss) from:

             

      Continuing operations

    62.9 

    81.6 

    (26.4)

    89.8 

    207.9 

      Discontinued operations

    -  

    -  

    -  

    (1.3)

    (1.3)

      Net earnings (loss)

    62.9 

    81.6 

    (26.4)

    88.5 

    206.6 

               

    Basic earnings (loss) per common share:

             

      Continuing operations

    $0.82 

    $1.06 

    ($0.34)

    $1.16 

    $2.70 

      Discontinued operations

    -   

    -   

    -   

    (0.02)

    (0.02)

      Net earnings (loss) available to Common Shares

    $0.82 

    $1.06 

    ($0.34)

    $1.14 

    $2.68 

               

    Diluted earnings (loss) per common share:

             

      Continuing operations

    $0.81 

    $1.04 

    ($0.34)

    $1.14 

    $2.64 

      Discontinued operations

    -   

    -   

    -   

    (0.02)

    (0.02)

      Net earnings (loss) available to Common Shares

    $0.81 

    $1.04 

    ($0.34)

    $1.12 

    $2.62 

               

    Average number of Common Shares:

             

      Basic

    76.7 

    77.1 

    77.3 

    77.7 

    77.2 

      Diluted

    77.8 

    78.2 

    78.7 

    79.2 

    78.5 

               

                       2004                         

         

     

     

    Revenues

    $874.3 

    $901.4 

    $1,153.5 

    $977.1 

    $3,906.3 

    Earnings (loss) from:

             

      Continuing operations

    74.4 

    56.3 

    143.0 

    94.2 

    367.9 

      Discontinued operations

    .6 

    (.4)

    (1.0)

    (1.6)

    (2.4)

      Cumulative effect of accounting change

    (1.8)

     -   

    (3.8)

    -   

    (5.6)

      Net earnings

    73.2 

    55.9 

    138.2 

    92.6 

    359.9 

               

    Basic earnings (loss) per common share:

             

      Continuing operations

    $1.02 

    $.77 

    $1.94 

    $1.26 

    $5.00 

      Discontinued operations

    .01 

    (.01)

    (.01)

    (.02)

    (.03)

      Cumulative effect of accounting change

    (.03)

    -   

    (.05)

    -   

    (.08)

      Net earnings available to Common Shares

    $1.00 

    $.76 

    $1.88 

    $1.24 

    $4.89 

               

    Diluted earnings (loss) per common share:

             

      Continuing operations

    $1.00 

    $.76 

    $1.91 

    $1.25 

    $4.92 

      Discontinued operations

    .01 

    (.01)

    (.01)

    (.02)

    (.03)

      Cumulative effect of accounting change

    (.03)

    -   

    (.05)

    -   

    (.08)

      Net earnings available to Common Shares

    $.98 

    $.75 

    $1.85 

    $1.23 

    $4.81 

               

    Average number of Common Shares:

             

      Basic

    73.2 

    73.4 

    73.6 

    74.3 

    73.6 

      Diluted

    74.3 

    74.7 

    74.8 

    75.5 

    74.8 

               

    Quarterly earnings per share do not add to year-to-date amounts due to changes in shares outstanding.

    Results for the fourth quarter of 2005 include pretax charges of (i) $45.0 million associated with the residual value business, (ii) $29.4 million to deferred acquisition costs and insurance liabilities related to the annuity and run-off life operations, (iii) $18.3 million for adjustments to deferred gains on retroactive reinsurance, and (iv) $12.6 million in hurricane losses. These items were partially offset by pretax gains of $42.6 million from the sales of Ohio and Pennsylvania coal properties and a Texas hotel.

    Results for the third quarter of 2005 include a $179.3 million pretax charge to strengthen asbestos, environmental and other mass tort insurance reserves, $40 million in pretax losses related to hurricanes and a $30.9 million pretax gain on the sale of Illinois coal reserves.

    Results for the third quarter of 2004 include a $214.3 million pretax gain on the sale of Provident Financial Group, partially offset by a $52 million charge based on American Premier's settlement of litigation related to environmental clean-up costs at a former railroad site and $35 million in hurricane losses.

    F-24

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    AFG has realized gains (losses) on sales of subsidiaries in recent years (see Note B). Realized gains (losses) on securities, affiliates and other investments amounted to (in millions):

     

    1st 

    2nd 

    3rd 

    4th 

    Total 

     

    Quarter 

    Quarter 

    Quarter 

    Quarter 

      Year 

    2005

    ($ 5.5)

    $22.1 

    $ 10.7 

    ($ 6.8)

    $ 20.5 

    2004

    36.2 

     0.7 

    223.6 

    41.5 

    302.0 

  3. Insurance  Securities owned by insurance subsidiaries having a carrying value of approximately $1 billion at December 31, 2005, were on deposit as required by regulatory authorities.
  4. Insurance Reserves  The liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses for long-term scheduled payments under certain workers' compensation insurance has been discounted at about 7%, an approximation of long-term investment yields. As a result, the total liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses at December 31, 2005, has been reduced by $34 million.

    The following table provides an analysis of changes in the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance (and grossed up), over the past three years on a GAAP basis (in millions). In addition to the asbestos, environmental and other mass tort charge in 2005, adverse development in the specialty casualty sub-segment was offset by positive development in the property and transportation and California workers' compensation sub-segments. Adverse development in 2004 and 2003 was primarily due to the specialty casualty segment as well as an arbitration settlement in 2003.

     

    2005 

    2004 

    2003 

           

    Balance at beginning of period

    $3,103 

    $2,850 

    $3,400 

           

    Provision for losses and LAE occurring

         

      in the current year

    1,490 

    1,282 

    1,203 

    Net increase in provision for claims

         

      of prior years:

         

        2005 special A&E and other mass tort charge

    179 

    -    

    -    

        Other

         2 

       140 

       167 

          Total losses and LAE incurred (*)

    1,671 

    1,422 

    1,370 

    Payments for losses and LAE of:

         

      Current year

    (423)

    (377)

    (389)

      Prior years

      (803)

      (726)

      (849)

          Total payments

    (1,226)

    (1,103)

    (1,238)

           

    Reserves of businesses sold

      -    

       (66)

      (682)

    Balance at end of period

     3,548 

     3,103 

     2,850 

           

    Add back reinsurance recoverables, net

         

      of allowance

     2,243 

     2,234 

     2,059 

           

    Gross unpaid losses and LAE included

         

      in the Balance Sheet

    $5,791 

    $5,337 

    $4,909 

     

    (*)  Before adjustments for deferred gains on retroactive reinsurance of

         $18 million in 2005, $1 million in 2004 and ($15 million) in 2003.

         Includes losses of Transport Insurance Company which have been

         reclassified to discontinued operations: 2004 -$7 million and

         2003 - $2 million.

    F-25

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

    Net Investment Income  The following table shows (in millions) investment income earned and investment expenses incurred by AFG's insurance group.

     

    2005 

    2004 

    2003 

    Insurance group investment income:

         

      Fixed maturities

    $842.5 

    $774.9 

    $753.6 

      Equity securities

    18.6 

    23.1 

    13.1 

      Other

        .5 

        .7 

        .4 

     

    861.6 

    798.7 

    767.1 

    Insurance group investment expenses (*)

     (23.8)

     (27.2)

     (39.7)

           
     

    $837.8 

    $771.5 

    $727.4 

           

    (*)  Included primarily in "Other operating and general expenses" in the

         Statement of Earnings.

    Statutory Information  AFG's insurance subsidiaries are required to file financial statements with state insurance regulatory authorities prepared on an accounting basis prescribed or permitted by such authorities (statutory basis). Net earnings and policyholders' surplus on a statutory basis for the insurance subsidiaries were as follows (in millions):

           

    Policyholders' 

     

       Net Earnings     

         Surplus    

     

    2005 

    2004 

    2003 

    2005 

    2004 

               

    Property and casualty companies

    $178 

    $390 

    $94 

    $2,187 

    $2,071 

    Life insurance companies

    114 

    122 

    78 

    651 

    623 

    Reinsurance  In the normal course of business, AFG's insurance subsidiaries cede reinsurance to other companies to diversify risk and limit maximum loss arising from large claims. To the extent that any reinsuring companies are unable to meet obligations under agreements covering reinsurance ceded, AFG's insurance subsidiaries would remain liable. The following table shows (in millions) (i) amounts deducted from property and casualty written and earned premiums in connection with reinsurance ceded, (ii) written and earned premiums included in income for reinsurance assumed and (iii) reinsurance recoveries deducted from losses and loss adjustment expenses.

     

    2005   

    2004   

    2003   

           

    Direct premiums written

    $3,634   

    $3,675   

    $3,530   

    Reinsurance assumed

    65   

    62   

    100   

    Reinsurance ceded

    (1,251)  

    (1,508)  

    (1,618)  

           

    Net written premiums

    $2,448   

    $2,229   

    $2,012   

    Direct premiums earned

    $3,592   

    $3,643   

    $3,455   

    Reinsurance assumed

    66   

    77   

    79   

    Reinsurance ceded

    (1,292)  

    (1,610)  

    (1,625)  

           

    Net earned premiums

    $2,366   

    $2,110   

    $1,909   

           

    Reinsurance recoveries

    $  874   

    $1,203   

    $1,155   

           

    GAFRI has reinsured approximately $23 billion and $26 billion in face amount of life insurance (excluding GAPR) as of December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively. Life premiums ceded (excluding GAPR) were $68 million, $86 million and $85 million for 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

    F-26

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

  5. Additional Information  Total rental expense for various leases of office space and equipment was $31 million, $35 million and $38 million for 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

Future minimum rentals, related principally to office space, required under operating leases having initial or remaining noncancelable lease terms in excess of one year at December 31, 2005, were as follows: 2006 - $30 million; 2007 - $27 million; 2008 - $24 million; 2009 - $19 million; 2010 - $15 million; and $26 million thereafter. In addition, AFG has 99-year land leases (approximately 91 years remaining) at one of its real estate properties. Minimum lease payments under these leases are expected to total approximately $300,000 in 2006 and are adjusted annually for inflation.

Other operating and general expenses included charges for possible losses on agents' balances, other receivables and other assets in the following amounts: 2005 - $11.1 million; 2004 - $15.1 million; and 2003 - $1.3 million. Losses and loss adjustment expenses included charges for possible losses on reinsurance recoverables of $0.4 million in 2005, $12.7 million in 2004, and $4.7 million in 2003. The aggregate allowance for all such losses amounted to approximately $35 million and $82 million at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

Fair Value of Financial Instruments The following table presents (in millions) the

carrying value and estimated fair value of AFG's financial instruments at

December 31.

 

       2005        

        2004       

 

Carrying

Fair 

Carrying

Fair 

 

   Value

  Value 

   Value

  Value 

Assets:

       

Fixed maturities

$14,598

$14,598 

$13,704

$13,704 

Other stocks

557

557 

537

537 

         

Liabilities:

       

Annuity benefits accumulated

$ 8,417

$ 8,060 

$ 8,132

$ 7,809 

Long-term debt

943

1,012 

1,029

1,101 

Payable to subsidiary trusts

57

59 

78

82 

         

Shareholders' Equity

$ 2,458

$ 2,991 

$ 2,431

$ 2,399 

         

Fair values are based on prices quoted in the most active market for each security. If quoted prices are not available, fair value is estimated based on discounted cash flow models, fair value of comparable securities, or similar methods. The fair value of the liability for annuities in the payout phase is assumed to be the present value of the anticipated cash flows, discounted at current interest rates. Fair value of annuities in the accumulation phase is assumed to be the policyholders' cash surrender amount. Fair value of shareholders' equity is based on the quoted market price of AFG's Common Stock.

Financial Instruments with Off-Balance-Sheet Risk  On occasion, AFG and its subsidiaries have entered into financial instrument transactions that may present off-balance-sheet risks of both a credit and market risk nature. These transactions include commitments to fund loans, loan guarantees and commitments to purchase and sell securities or loans. At December 31, 2005, AFG and its subsidiaries had commitments to fund credit facilities and contribute limited partnership capital totaling up to $28 million.

F-27

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

Restrictions on Transfer of Funds and Assets of Subsidiaries  Payments of dividends, loans and advances by AFG's subsidiaries are subject to various state laws, federal regulations and debt covenants that limit the amount of dividends, loans and advances that can be paid. Under applicable restrictions, the maximum amount of dividends available to AFG in 2006 from its insurance subsidiaries without seeking regulatory clearance is approximately $299 million. Additional amounts of dividends, loans and advances require regulatory approval.

Benefit Plans  AFG expensed approximately $20 million in 2005 and $17 million in 2004 and $20 million in 2003 for its retirement and employee savings plans.

Transactions With Affiliates  In December 2004, AFG's Chairman and one of his brothers purchased 600,000 and 200,000 shares, respectively, of AFG's Common Stock as part of a public offering.

AFG owns a 29% interest in an aircraft; the remaining interests in the aircraft are owned by AFG's chairman and his two brothers. Costs of operating the aircraft are being borne proportionately.

In 2000, GAFRI received an $18.9 million subordinated note in connection with the sale of its minority ownership interest in an ethanol company back to that company. Following the sale, AFG's Chairman beneficially owns 100% of the ethanol company. The note bore interest at 12-1/4% and was repaid as follows: $6 million in 2001, $1 million in 2002 and the remaining $11.9 million in 2003. In December 2003, the ethanol company repaid a GAFRI subsidiary $4.0 million under a subordinated note that bore interest at 14%. In 2004, AFG's Chairman assumed AFG's obligation for a line of credit under which the ethanol company could borrow up to $10 million; AFG no longer has any interest or investment in the ethanol company.

In connection with the sale of the remaining shares of Infinity in December 2003, AFG paid Infinity $13.5 million to commute a prior indemnification and cost reimbursement obligation. AFG purchased at fair value $4.7 million in marketable securities from Infinity during 2003. During 2003, Infinity paid AFG $9.0 million for rent, information technology, investment, accounting, legal, actuarial and other services. In 2003, Infinity repaid a $55 million note due to AFG plus $2.5 million in interest.

During 2003, AFG subsidiaries invested $20 million in preferred stock and warrants of an unrelated party who utilized the proceeds to repay loans from several banks, including $3.4 million in loans and fees to the Provident Bank. At the time of the transaction, AFG's Chairman and members of his immediate family owned approximately one-fourth of Provident's parent company; AFG owned 14% of the parent company.

  1. Subsequent Event (Unaudited)  In January 2006, AFG recorded a pretax gain of $23.6 million on the sale of its 15% interest in The Cincinnati Reds, LLC.

F-28

PART III

The information required by the following Items will be included in AFG's definitive Proxy Statement for the 2006 Annual Meeting of Shareholders which will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission within 120 days after the end of Registrant's fiscal year and is incorporated herein by reference.

   

ITEM 10

Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant

   

ITEM 11

Executive Compensation

   

ITEM 12

Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and

 

Related Stockholder Matters

   

ITEM 13

Certain Relationships and Related Transactions

   

ITEM 14

Principal Accountant Fees and Services

 

PART IV

ITEM 15

Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules

 

(a)  Documents filed as part of this Report:

 

        1.  Financial Statements are included in Part II, Item 8.

 
   

        2.  Financial Statement Schedules:

 

              A.  Selected Quarterly Financial Data is included in Note P to

 

                  the Consolidated Financial Statements.

 
   

              B.  Schedules filed herewith for 2005, 2004 and 2003:

 
 

Page

                   I - Condensed Financial Information of Registrant

 S-2

   

                   V - Supplemental Information Concerning

 

                         Property-Casualty Insurance Operations

 S-4

   

                  All other schedules for which provisions are made in the applicable
                  regulation of the Securities and Exchange Commission have been
                  omitted as they are not applicable, not required, or the
                  information required thereby is set forth in the Financial
                  Statements or the notes thereto.

   

        3.  Exhibits - see Exhibit Index on page E-1.

 
   

S-1

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. - PARENT ONLY

SCHEDULE I - CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT

(In Thousands)

                                                                                   

Condensed Balance Sheet

 

       December 31       

 

2005 

2004 

Assets:

   

  Cash and cash equivalents

$   20,887 

$  107,435 

  Investment in securities

141,804 

360 

  Investment in subsidiaries (a)

2,812,265 

2,898,354 

  Other investments

34,813 

34,813 

  Other assets

   121,354 

   146,298 

     
 

$3,131,123 

$3,187,260 

Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity:

   

  Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other

   

    liabilities

$   79,411 

$   71,630 

  Long-term debt

594,170 

685,083 

  Shareholders' equity

 2,457,542 

 2,430,547 

     
 

$3,131,123 

$3,187,260 

     

(a)  Investment in subsidiaries includes intercompany receivables and
     payables.

 

Condensed Statement of Earnings

 

    Year Ended December 31,     

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Income:

     

  Dividends from subsidiaries

$271,000 

$ 65,000 

$    282 

  Equity in undistributed earnings

     

    of subsidiaries

181,208 

594,445 

366,735 

  Realized gains (losses) on investments

(6,248)

2,994 

40 

  Investment and other income

   2,873 

     729 

   4,230 

 

448,833 

663,168 

371,287 

       

Costs and Expenses:

     

  Interest charges on intercompany borrowings

44,212 

31,866 

30,992 

  Interest charges on other borrowings

42,421 

44,654 

34,757 

  Loss on retirement of debt

6,216 

555 

155 

  Other operating and general expenses

  35,044 

  33,848 

  34,415 

 

 127,893 

 110,923 

 100,319 

       

Earnings from continuing operations

     

  before income taxes and accounting changes

320,940 

552,245 

270,968 

Provision (credit) for income taxes

 113,105 

 184,380 

 (50,183)

Earnings from continuing operations

207,835 

367,865 

321,151 

       

Discontinued operations

(1,255) 

(2,412)

(33,636)

Cumulative effect of accounting changes

   -     

  (5,593)

   6,300 

       

Net Earnings

$206,580 

$359,860 

$293,815 

 

S-2

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. - PARENT ONLY

SCHEDULE I - CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT - CONTINUED

(In Thousands)

Condensed Statement of Cash Flows

 

       
 

     Year Ended December 31,     

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

Operating Activities:

     

  Net earnings

$206,580 

$359,860 

$293,815 

  Adjustments:

     

    Cumulative effect of accounting changes

-    

5,593 

(6,300)

    Equity in earnings of subsidiaries

(288,066)

(429,988)

(217,986)

    Depreciation and amortization

3,262 

3,705 

2,451 

    Realized (gains) losses on investing

     

      activities

6,243 

(3,257)

(1)

    Loss on retirement of debt

6,216 

555 

155 

    Change in balances with affiliates

(29,281)

(118,597)

316,039 

    Decrease (increase) in other assets

 21,467 

148,760 

(127,907)

    Increase in other liabilities

8,449 

2,941 

2,053 

    Dividends from subsidiaries

89,968 

65,000 

282 

    Other

   3,958 

   4,033 

     829 

      Net cash provided by operating activities

  28,796 

  38,605 

 263,430 

       

Investing Activities:

     

  Capital contributions to subsidiaries

(10,394)

(10,135)

(165,000)

  Purchases of investments

(4,372)

(996)

-    

  Sales of investments

78 

4,933 

      42 

  Other

    (298)

    (275)

    (326)

    Net cash used in investing activities

 (14,986)

  (6,473)

(165,284)

       

Financing Activities:

     

  Additional long-term borrowings

100 

111,261 

220,482 

  Reductions of long-term debt

(97,630)

(5,850)

(288,282)

  Issuances of Common Stock

30,275 

95,380 

4,499 

  Repurchases of trust preferred securities

-    

(95,459)

(3,324)

  Cash dividends paid

(33,103)

(35,126)

(31,338)

  Other

    -    

    -    

  (1,170)

    Net cash provided by (used in)

     

      financing activities

(100,358)

  70,206 

 (99,133)

       

Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents

(86,548)

102,338 

(987)

       

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

 107,435 

   5,097 

   6,084 

       

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

$ 20,887 

$107,435 

$  5,097 

       
       
 

S-3

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE V - SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONCERNING

PROPERTY-CASUALTY INSURANCE OPERATIONS

THREE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2005

(IN MILLIONS)

 

COLUMN A  

COLUMN B   

COLUMN C    

COLUMN D  

COLUMN E 

COLUMN F  

COLUMN G   

COLUMN H       

COLUMN I   

COLUMN J  

COLUMN K 





AFFILIATION
WITH   
REGISTRANT




DEFERRED   
POLICY    
ACQUISITION 
COSTS     


(a)      
RESERVES FOR 
UNPAID CLAIMS 
AND CLAIMS  
ADJUSTMENT  
EXPENSES   




(b)     
DISCOUNT  
DEDUCTED IN
COLUMN C  





(c)   
UNEARNED 
PREMIUMS 






EARNED   
PREMIUMS  





NET     
INVESTMENT  
INCOME    


CLAIMS AND CLAIM    
ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES  
INCURRED RELATED TO  



AMORTIZATION 
OF DEFERRED 
POLICY    
ACQUISITION 
COSTS    



PAID    
CLAIMS   
AND CLAIM  
ADJUSTMENT 
EXPENSES  






PREMIUMS 
WRITTEN 


CURRENT  
YEARS   

(d)   
PRIOR  
YEARS  

 

      CONSOLIDATED PROPERTY-CASUALTY ENTITIES

                       

2005   

$304     

$5,791    

$34     

$1,644  

$2,366   

$270     

$1,490   

$181  

$504    

$1,226   

$2,448  

                       

2004   

$273     

$5,337    

$31     

$1,612  

$2,110   

$237     

$1,282   

$140  

$451    

$1,103   

$2,229  

                       

2003   

$1,909   

$219     

$1,203   

$167  

$395    

$1,238   

$2,012  

    (a)  Grossed up for reinsurance recoverables of $2,243 and $2,234 at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

    (b)  Discounted at approximately 7%.

    (c)  Grossed up for prepaid reinsurance premiums of $479 and $522 at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

    (d)  Includes amounts recorded in discontinued operations: 2004 - $7 million; and 2003 - $2 million.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Signatures

 

     Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, American Financial Group, Inc. has duly caused this Report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, duly authorized.

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

   
   

Signed: March 2, 2006

BY:s/CARL H. LINDNER III          

 

     Carl H. Lindner III

 

     Co-Chief Executive Officer

   
   
 

BY:s/S. CRAIG LINDNER             

 

     S. Craig Lindner

 

     Co-Chief Executive Officer

______________________________________

     Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this Report has been signed below by the following persons on behalf of the Registrant and in the capacities and on the dates indicated:

      Signature

     Capacity

Date

     
     
     

s/CARL H. LINDNER      

Chairman of the Board

March 2, 2006

  Carl H. Lindner

  of Directors

 
     
     

s/CARL H. LINDNER III  

Director

March 2, 2006

  Carl H. Lindner III

   
     
     

s/S. CRAIG LINDNER     

Director

March 2, 2006

  S. Craig Lindner

   
     
     

s/THEODORE H. EMMERICH 

Director*

March 2, 2006

  Theodore H. Emmerich

   
     
     

s/JAMES E. EVANS       

Director

March 2, 2006

  James E. Evans

   
     
     

s/TERRY S. JACOBS      

Director*

March 2, 2006

  Terry S. Jacobs

   
     
     

s/WILLIAM R. MARTIN    

Director*

March 2, 2006

  William R. Martin

   
     
     

s/KENNETH C. AMBRECHT  

Director

March 2, 2006

  Kenneth C. Ambrecht

   
     
     

s/WILLIAM W. VERITY    

Director

March 2, 2006

  William W. Verity

   
     
     

s/KEITH A. JENSEN      

Senior Vice President

March 2, 2006

  Keith A. Jensen

(principal financial and accounting officer)

 
     

* Member of the Audit Committee

   

INDEX TO EXHIBITS

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Number

       Exhibit Description

 
     

  3(a)

Amended and Restated Articles of

 
 

Incorporation, filed as Exhibit 3(a)

 
 

to AFG's Form 10-K for 1997.

     (*)

     

  3(b)

Code of Regulations, filed as Exhibit 3(b)

 
 

to AFG's Form 10-K for 1997.

     (*)

     

  4

Instruments defining the rights of

Registrant has no

 

security holders.

outstanding debt issues

   

exceeding 10% of the

   

assets of Registrant and

   

consolidated subsidiaries.

     
 

Material Contracts:

 
     

 10(a)

  2005 Stock Incentive Plan included in AFG's

 
 

  2005 Proxy.

     (*)

     

 10(b)

  Stock Option Plan, filed as Exhibit 10(a)

 
 

  to AFG's Form 10-K for 1998.

     (*)

     

 10(c)

  Form of stock option agreements, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 10(b) to AFG's Form 10-K for 1998.

     (*)

     

 10(d)

  2006 Co-Chief Executive Officer Bonus Plan, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 99.1 to AFG's Form 8-K filed on March 2, 2006.

     (*)

     

 10(e)

  2006 Senior Executive Bonus Plan, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 99.2 to AFG's Form 8-K filed on March 2, 2006.

     (*)

     

 10(f)

  2005 Co-CEO and Co-President Bonus Plan, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 10(a) to AFG's March 31, 2005 Form 10-Q.

     (*)

     

 10(g)

  2005 Senior Executive Bonus Plan, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 10(b) to AFG's March 31, 2005 Form 10-Q.

     (*)

     

 10(h)

  Amended and restated Nonqualified Auxiliary RASP,

 
 

  filed as Exhibit 10(d) to AFG's Form 10-K for 2003.

     (*)

     

 10(i)

  Keith E. Lindner Salary Continuation Agreement,

 
 

  filed as Exhibit 10(c) to AFG's March 31, 2004

 
 

  Form 10-Q.

     (*)

     

 10(j)

  Fred J. Runk Separation Agreement, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 99.2 to AFG's Form 8-K filed on

 
 

  November 30, 2004.

     (*)

     

 10(k)

  Retirement program for outside directors,

 
 

  filed as Exhibit 10(e) to AFG's Form 10-K

 
 

  for 1995.

     (*)

     

 10(l)

  Directors' Compensation Plan, included in

 
 

  AFG's 2004 Proxy Statement.

     (*)

     

 10(m)

  Deferred Compensation Plan, filed as

 
 

  Exhibit 10 to AFG's Registration Statement

 
 

  on Form S-8 on December 2, 1999.

     (*)

E-1

INDEX TO EXHIBITS - CONTINUED

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Number

       Exhibit Description

 
     
 

Material Contracts (continued):

 
     

 10(n)

  Equity Distribution Agreement, dated November 17,

 
 

  2004, among American Financial Group, Inc. and

 
 

  American Premier Underwriters, Inc., as sellers,

 
 

  and UBS Securities LLC, filed as Exhibit 99 to

 
 

  AFG's Form 8-K filed on November 18, 2004.

     (*)

     

 10(o)

  Credit Agreement, dated November 19, 2004, among

 
 

  American Financial Group, Inc., as Borrower,

 
 

  and several lenders, filed as Exhibit 99 to

 
 

  AFG's Form 8-K filed on November 22, 2004.

     (*)

     

 12

Computation of ratios of earnings

 
 

to fixed charges.

 
     

 21

Subsidiaries of the Registrant.

 
     

 23

Consent of independent auditors.

 
     

 31(a)

Sarbanes-Oxley Section 302(a) Certification of

 
 

Co-Chief Executive Officer.

 
     

 31(b)

Sarbanes-Oxley Section 302(a) Certification of

 
 

Co-Chief Executive Officer.

 
     

 31(c)

Sarbanes-Oxley Section 302(a) Certification of

 
 

Chief Financial Officer.

 
     

 32

Sarbanes-Oxley Section 906 Certification of Co-Chief

 
 

Executive Officers and Chief Financial Officer.

 
     

  (*)  Incorporated herein by reference.

 

E-2

AFG Form 10K

AMERCIAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

EXHIBIT 12 - COMPUTATION OF RATIOS OF EARNINGS TO FIXED CHARGES

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

 

                  Year Ended December 31,                 

 

2005 

2004 

2003 

2002 

2001 

           

Pretax income (loss) excluding

         

  discontinued operations

$320,940 

$552,245 

$270,968 

$128,154 

$ 17,505 

Minority interest in subsidiaries

         

  having fixed charges(*)

28,096 

28,882 

44,013 

33,839 

43,187 

Less undistributed equity in (earnings)

         

  losses of investees

7,823 

4,883 

(13,975)

13,830 

25,462 

Fixed charges:

         

  Interest on annuities

341,593 

313,627 

294,940 

300,966 

294,654 

  Interest expense

73,054 

71,738 

57,177 

60,271 

60,616 

  Interest on subsidiary trust

         

    obligations

6,315 

9,218 

1,473 

-    

-    

  Debt discount and expense

3,890 

3,841 

2,084 

879 

1,072 

  Portion of rentals representing

         

    interest

  10,285 

  11,751 

  12,703 

  16,483 

  16,900 

           

      EARNINGS

$791,996 

$996,185 

$669,383 

$554,422 

$459,396 

           
           

Fixed charges:

         

  Interest on annuities

$341,593 

$313,627 

$294,940 

$300,966 

$294,654 

  Interest expense

73,054 

71,738 

57,177 

60,271 

60,616 

  Interest on subsidiary trust

         

    obligations

6,315 

9,218 

1,473 

-    

-    

  Debt discount and expense

3,890 

3,841 

2,084 

879 

1,072 

  Portion of rentals representing

         

    interest

10,285 

11,751 

12,703 

16,483 

16,900 

  Pretax preferred dividend

         

    requirements of subsidiaries

    -    

    -    

  27,543 

  28,184 

  32,296 

           

      FIXED CHARGES

$435,137 

$410,175 

$395,920 

$406,783 

$405,538 

           
           

Ratio of Earnings to Fixed Charges

1.82 

2.43 

1.69 

1.36 

1.13 

           
           
           

Earnings in Excess of Fixed Charges

$356,859 

$586,010 

$273,463 

$147,639 

$ 53,858 

           
           
           

(*)  Amounts include subsidiary preferred dividends and accrued distributions on
     preferred securities of consolidated trusts for years prior to 2004.

E-3

AFG Form 10K

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

EXHIBIT 21 - SUBSIDIARIES OF THE REGISTRANT

 

The following is a list of subsidiaries of AFG at December 31, 2005. All corporations are subsidiaries of AFG and, if indented, subsidiaries of the company under which they are listed.

   

Percentage of

Name of Company

Incorporated

  Ownership  

American Money Management Corporation

Ohio

100    

APU Holding Company

Ohio

100    

  American Premier Underwriters, Inc.

Pennsylvania

100    

  Premier Lease & Loan Services Insurance Agency, Inc.

Washington

100    

  Premier Lease & Loan Services of Canada, Inc.

Washington

100    

  Republic Indemnity Company of America

California

100    

    Republic Indemnity Company of California

California

100    

Great American Holding, Inc.

Ohio

100    

  American Empire Surplus Lines Insurance Company

Delaware

100    

    American Empire Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  Mid-Continent Casualty Company

Oklahoma

100    

    Mid-Continent Insurance Company

Oklahoma

100    

    Oklahoma Surety Company

Oklahoma

100    

Great American Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  AFC Coal Properties, Inc.

Ohio

100    

  Brothers Property Corporation

Ohio

80    

  Farmers Crop Insurance Alliance, Inc.

Kansas

100    

  GAI Warranty Company

Ohio

100    

    GAI Warranty Company of Florida

Florida

100    

  Great American Alliance Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  Great American Assurance Company

Ohio

100    

  Great American Contemporary Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  Great American Custom Insurance Services, Inc.

Ohio

100    

    Professional Risk Brokers, Inc.

Illinois

100    

  Great American E&S Insurance Company

Delaware

100    

  Great American Fidelity Insurance Company

Delaware

100    

  Great American Financial Resources, Inc.

Delaware

82    

    AAG Holding Company, Inc.

Ohio

100    

      American Annuity Group Capital Trust II

Delaware

100    

      Great American Life Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

        Annuity Investors Life Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

        Loyal American Holding Corporation

Ohio

100    

          Loyal American Life Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

        Manhattan National Life Insurance Company

Illinois

100    

        United Teacher Associates Insurance Company

Texas

100    

    Great American Life Assurance Company

   

      of Puerto Rico, Inc.

Puerto Rico

100(a) 

  Great American Insurance Company of New York

New York

100    

  Great American Management Services, Inc.

Ohio

100    

  Great American Protection Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  Great American Security Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  Great American Spirit Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

  National Interstate Corporation

Ohio

54    

    National Interstate Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

      National Interstate Insurance Company of Hawaii, Inc.

Hawaii

100    

    National Interstate Capital Trust I

Delaware

100    

  Worldwide Casualty Insurance Company

Ohio

100    

     

    The names of certain subsidiaries are omitted, as such subsidiaries in the

aggregate would not constitute a significant subsidiary.

 
 

(a)  Sold in January 2006.

E-4

AFG Form 10K

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

EXHIBIT 23 - CONSENT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM

 

We consent to the incorporation by reference in the following Registration Statements and related Prospectuses of American Financial Group, Inc. of our reports dated February 28, 2006, with respect to the consolidated financial statements and schedules of American Financial Group, Inc., American Financial Group, Inc. management's assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting, and the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting of American Financial Group, Inc., included in the Annual Report (Form 10-K) for the year ended December 31, 2005.

 

 

Registration

 

Form

Number      

Description

     

S-8

33-58825

Stock Option Plan

     

S-8

33-58827

Employee Stock Purchase Plan

     

S-3

333-102567

Dividend Reinvestment Plan

     

S-8

333-117062

Nonemployee Directors' Compensation Plan

     

S-8

333-14935

Retirement and Savings Plan

     

S-8

333-91945

Deferred Compensation Plan

     

S-8

333-74282

GAFRI Retirement and Savings Plan

     

S-3

333-117010

$600 million of Debt and Equity Securities

     

S-8

333-125304

2005 Stock Incentive Plan

     
     
     
     
   

                              ERNST & YOUNG LLP

Cincinnati, Ohio

   

February 28, 2006

   

E-5

AFG Form 10K

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

EXHIBIT 31(a)

SARBANES-OXLEY SECTION 302(a) CERTIFICATIONS

I, Carl H. Lindner III, certify that:

   

1.

I have reviewed this annual report on Form 10-K of American Financial Group, Inc.;

   

2.

Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;

   

3.

Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;

   

4.

The registrant's other certifying officers and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f))for the registrant and have:

   
 

a)

Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;

     
 

b)

Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;

     
 

c)

Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant's disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and

     
 

d)

Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant's most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant's internal control over financial reporting; and

   

5.

The registrant's other certifying officers and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant's auditors and the audit committee of registrant's board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions):

     
 

a)

All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant's ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and

     
 

b)

Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting.

   

March 2, 2006

BY: /s/Carl H. Lindner III           

 

    Carl H. Lindner III

 

    Co-Chief Executive Officer

 

    (principal executive officer)

E-6

AFG Form 10K

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

EXHIBIT 31(b)

SARBANES-OXLEY SECTION 302(a) CERTIFICATIONS

I, S. Craig Lindner, certify that:

   

1.

I have reviewed this annual report on Form 10-K of American Financial Group, Inc.;

   

2.

Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;

   

3.

Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;

   

4.

The registrant's other certifying officers and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f))for the registrant and have:

   
 

a)

Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;

     
 

b)

Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;

     
 

c)

Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant's disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and

     
 

d)

Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant's most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant's internal control over financial reporting; and

   

5.

The registrant's other certifying officers and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant's auditors and the audit committee of registrant's board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions):

     
 

a)

All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant's ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and

     
 

b)

Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting.

   

March 2, 2006

BY: /s/S. Craig Lindner           

 

    S. Craig Lindner

 

    Co-Chief Executive Officer

 

    (principal executive officer)

E-7

AFG Form 10K

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

EXHIBIT 31(c)

SARBANES-OXLEY SECTION 302(a) CERTIFICATIONS

I, Keith A. Jensen, certify that:

   

1.

I have reviewed this annual report on Form 10-K of American Financial Group, Inc.;

   

2.

Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;

   

3.

Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;

   

4.

The registrant's other certifying officers and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f))for the registrant and have:

   
 

a)

Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;

     
 

b)

Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;

     
 

c)

Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant's disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and

     
 

d)

Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant's most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant's internal control over financial reporting; and

   

5.

The registrant's other certifying officers and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant's auditors and the audit committee of registrant's board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent functions):

     
 

a)

All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant's ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and

     
 

b)

Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant's internal control over financial reporting.

   

March 2, 2006

BY: /s/Keith A. Jensen            

 

    Keith A. Jensen

 

    Senior Vice President

 

    (principal financial and

 

      accounting officer)

E-8

AFG Form 10K

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

 

EXHIBIT 32

CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER AND CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

Pursuant to section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

In connection with the filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission of the Annual Report of American Financial Group, Inc. (the "Company") on Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2005 (the "Report"), the undersigned officers of the Company, certify, pursuant to section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, that to the best of their knowledge:

(1)  The Report fully complies with the requirements of section 13(a)
     or 15(d) of the Securities Act of 1934; and

(2)  The information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all
     material respects, the financial condition and results of
     operations of the Company.

   
   
   
   

March 2, 2006                 
Date

BY: s/S. Craig Lindner              
    S. Craig Lindner
    Co-Chief Executive Officer

   
   
   
   

March 2, 2006                 
Date

BY: s/Carl H. Lindner III           
    Carl H. Lindner III
    Co-Chief Executive Officer

   
   
   
   

March 2, 2006                 
Date

BY: s/Keith A. Jensen               
    Keith A. Jensen
    Senior Vice President
    (principal financial and
      accounting officer)

   
   
   
   

A signed original of this written statement will be retained by the Registrant and

furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission or its staff upon request.

E-9