UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of
The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 31, 2017
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Ohio | 1-13653 | 31-1544320 | ||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH | 45202 | |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
☐ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
☐ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
☐ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2).
Emerging growth company ☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Section 2 Financial Information
Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.
Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the Company) relating to the announcement of the Companys results of operations for the third quarter of 2017 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Companys website. The press release was issued on October 31, 2017. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.
The information contained herein shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.
Section 9 Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(a) | Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable. |
(b) | Pro forma financial information. Not applicable. |
(c) | Shell company transactions. Not applicable |
(d) | Exhibits |
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. | ||||
Date: November 1, 2017 | ||||
By: | /s/ Karl J. Grafe | |||
Karl J. Grafe | ||||
Vice President |
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Exhibit 99.1
American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Results
| Net earnings $0.13 per share; includes $0.82 per share of after-tax A&E reserve strengthening |
| Core net operating earnings $1.06 per share, includes $0.95 per share of after-tax catastrophe losses |
| Specialty P&C combined ratio of 99.3% includes 8.4 points of catastrophe losses |
| Full year 2017 core net operating earnings guidance revised to $5.90 $6.20 per share |
CINCINNATI October 31, 2017 American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2017 third quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $11 million ($0.13 per share) compared to $109 million ($1.23 per share) for the 2016 third quarter. Net earnings for the quarter include after-tax charges of $74 million ($0.82 per share) to strengthen the Companys asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserves, expenses of $2 million ($0.03 per share) related to the redemption of AFGs 5.75% Senior Notes and $8 million ($0.08 per share) in after-tax realized losses on securities. Comparatively, net earnings in the 2016 third quarter included net after-tax charges of $25 million ($0.28 per share). Details may be found in the table below. Book value per share was $61.06 per share at September 30, 2017. Annualized return on equity was 1.0% and 9.9% for the third quarters of 2017 and 2016, respectively.
Core net operating earnings were $95 million ($1.06 per share) for the 2017 third quarter, compared to $134 million ($1.51 per share) in the 2016 third quarter. The decrease was primarily the result of lower operating earnings in our Specialty Property and Casualty (P&C) insurance operations, principally from previously announced catastrophe losses in the quarter. Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains related to fixed maturities, was $55.08 at September 30, 2017. Core net operating earnings for the third quarters of 2017 and 2016 generated annualized core returns on equity of 8.1% and 12.2%, respectively.
AFGs net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, rating agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFGs management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFGs management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.
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In millions, except per share amounts | Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||
Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders: |
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Core operating earnings before income taxes(a) |
$ | 158 | $ | 217 | $ | 582 | $ | 574 | ||||||||
Pretax non-core items: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(12 | ) | 2 | (1 | ) | (32 | ) | |||||||||
Gain on sale of subsidiaries |
| | | 2 | ||||||||||||
Gain on sale of apartment property |
| | | 32 | ||||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(113 | ) | (41 | ) | (113 | ) | (41 | ) | ||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| | | (65 | ) | |||||||||||
Loss on retirement of debt |
(4 | ) | | (11 | ) | | ||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes |
29 | 178 | 457 | 470 | ||||||||||||
Provision (credit) for income taxes: |
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Core operating earnings |
63 | 79 | 189 | 202 | ||||||||||||
Non-core items |
(45 | ) | (14 | ) | (43 | ) | (12 | ) | ||||||||
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Total provision (credit) for income taxes |
18 | 65 | 146 | 190 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests |
11 | 113 | 311 | 280 | ||||||||||||
Less net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests: |
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Core operating earnings |
| 4 | 2 | 14 | ||||||||||||
Non-core items |
| | | 2 | ||||||||||||
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Total net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests |
| 4 | 2 | 16 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 11 | $ | 109 | $ | 309 | $ | 264 | ||||||||
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Net earnings: |
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Core net operating earnings(a) |
$ | 95 | $ | 134 | $ | 391 | $ | 358 | ||||||||
Non-core items |
(84 | ) | (25 | ) | (82 | ) | (94 | ) | ||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 11 | $ | 109 | $ | 309 | $ | 264 | ||||||||
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Components of Earnings Per Share: |
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Core net operating earnings |
$ | 1.06 | $ | 1.51 | $ | 4.35 | $ | 4.04 | ||||||||
Non-core Items: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(0.08 | ) | 0.02 | (0.01 | ) | (0.21 | ) | |||||||||
Gain on sale of subsidiaries |
| | | 0.01 | ||||||||||||
Gain on sale of apartment property |
| | | 0.17 | ||||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(0.82 | ) | (0.30 | ) | (0.82 | ) | (0.30 | ) | ||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| | | (0.73 | ) | |||||||||||
Loss on retirement of debt |
(0.03 | ) | | (0.08 | ) | | ||||||||||
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Diluted Earnings Per Share |
$ | 0.13 | $ | 1.23 | $ | 3.44 | $ | 2.98 | ||||||||
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Footnotes (a) and (b) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFGs Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: We are pleased to report substantial core net operating earnings during the quarter, notwithstanding challenges faced by the industry as a whole, including an unprecedented level of natural disasters and a continued low interest rate environment. Our thoughts and prayers remain with those who have been impacted by the catastrophic events these past few months. We are grateful to our claims professionals and insurance specialists who are helping our policyholders recover, restore their businesses and rebuild their communities.
It is times like these that demonstrate the solid fundamentals underlying our business and the value within our diversified specialty insurance franchise. For the nine months ended September 30, 2017, AFGs growth in adjusted book value per share plus dividends was 8.3%. Additionally, excess capital was approximately $1.1 billion (including parent company cash of approximately $435 million) at September 30, 2017. Our excess capital will be deployed into AFGs core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. In addition, share repurchases, particularly when executed at attractive valuations, and returning capital to shareholders through dividends are an important and effective component of our capital management strategy. We will evaluate our excess capital position again in the fourth quarter of 2017. The special cash dividend paid in May 2017 does not preclude our consideration of additional special dividends and opportunistic share repurchases.
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Based on results for the first nine months of 2017, we now expect AFGs core net operating earnings in 2017 to be in the range of $5.90 to $6.20 per share, revised downward from the range of $6.40 to $6.90 announced previously. This revised range gives effect to our results of operations through the first nine months of 2017, as well as our expectations for fourth quarter catastrophe losses, including the California wildfires. Our core earnings per share guidance assumes no change in the corporate tax rate of 35%, and excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, as well as other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.
Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations
Operating earnings in AFGs P&C insurance operations were $95 million in the third quarter of 2017, compared to $153 million in the prior year period, a decrease of $58 million, or 38%. Lower P&C underwriting profit was partially offset by lower other expenses (primarily due to the impact of the noncontrolling interest in National Interstate in the third quarter of 2016).
The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $9 million in the 2017 third quarter, compared to $78 million in the third quarter of 2016, with each of our Specialty P&C Groups reporting lower year-over-year underwriting profit, due primarily to significantly higher catastrophe losses. The third quarter 2017 combined ratio of 99.3% was 6.1 points higher than the 93.2% reported in the comparable prior year period. Results in the third quarter of 2017 include 8.4 points in catastrophe losses, compared to 1.2 points in the 2016 third quarter. Third quarter 2017 results include 2.9 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 1.1 points in the comparable prior year period.
Gross and net written premiums were up 11% and 13%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2017, when compared to the same period in 2016. Pricing across our entire P&C Group was up 1% for the quarter.
The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $6 million in the third quarter of 2017, compared to $44 million in the third quarter of 2016. Lower underwriting profits in our crop, property & inland marine and ocean marine businesses were the primary drivers of these lower results. The comparable 2016 quarter included very strong profitability in our crop business. Catastrophe losses for this group were $25 million in the third quarter of 2017, compared to $7 million in the comparable prior year period.
Gross and net written premiums for the third quarter of 2017 were 8% and 7% higher, respectively, than the comparable 2016 period. The increase was largely the result of higher year-over-year premiums in our agricultural and transportation businesses. This growth was partially offset by lower premiums resulting from an exit from the customs bond business, which was part of our ocean marine operations. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 2% on average for the third quarter of 2017.
The Specialty Casualty Group reported a 2017 third quarter underwriting profit of $2 million, compared to $13 million in the third quarter of 2016. Higher underwriting profitability in our excess and surplus lines, targeted markets, workers compensation and professional liability businesses was more than offset by lower underwriting profitability within Neon, primarily the result of third quarter catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses for this group were $56 million and $2 million, respectively, in the third quarters of 2017 and 2016, respectively.
Gross and net written premiums increased 18% and 24%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2017 when compared to the same prior year period. New accounts written in our targeted markets businesses were the primary driver of the increase. Additionally, higher premiums in our workers compensation businesses, primarily the result of rate increases in Florida, coupled with growth in our executive liability, excess and surplus businesses and Neon, contributed to the year-over-year growth. In addition, net written premiums were higher as the result of timing of reinsurance placements within Neon. Renewal pricing for this group increased by 1% in the third quarter.
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The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting loss of $3 million in the third quarter of 2017, compared to an underwriting profit of $19 million in the third quarter of 2016. The decrease was due primarily to catastrophe losses in the lender-placed mortgage property book. Most of the other businesses in this group continued to achieve strong underwriting margins. Catastrophe losses for this group were $31 million and $5 million in the third quarters of 2017 and 2016, respectively.
Gross written premiums decreased by 3% and net written premiums increased 1% in the 2017 third quarter when compared to the same 2016 period. Lower premiums in our financial institution business, which were largely ceded, were partially offset by higher premiums in our surety business. Renewal pricing in this group decreased by 1% for the quarter.
Carl Lindner III stated, Catastrophe losses played a large role in reducing underwriting profits across each of our Specialty P&C groups in the third quarter. Im very pleased, however, with the strong growth across our portfolio of businesses and otherwise strong underwriting profitability reported during the quarter. We have updated our 2017 P&C net written premium and combined ratio guidance based on results through the first nine months of the year, and with consideration to fourth quarter catastrophe estimates related to the California wildfires. We now estimate growth in net written premium to be between 6% and 9% and expect an overall 2017 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 94% to 95%.
Further details about AFGs Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Third Quarter Catastrophe Losses
AFG announced an initial $105 million pretax loss estimate for third quarter 2017 catastrophe events on October 3, 2017. The impact of these catastrophe events on AFGs third quarter 2017 results of operations by sub-segment of the Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Group, which has not changed since the preannounced information, is as follows:
Dollars in millions | Property & Transportation |
Specialty Casualty |
Specialty Financial |
Specialty Other |
Specialty P&C Insurance Group |
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Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | 2 | $ | 2 | $ | 2 | $ | | $ | 6 | ||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
23 | 54 | 29 | 1 | 107 | |||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe loss |
$ | 25 | $ | 56 | $ | 31 | $ | 1 | $ | 113 | ||||||||||
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Underwriting expense (commission expense reduction) |
(8 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
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Pretax loss |
$ | 105 | ||||||||||||||||||
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After-tax loss |
$ | 87 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Loss per AFG share |
$ | 0.95 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Annuity Segment
As shown in the following table, AFGs Annuity Segment contributed $102 million in pretax operating earnings in the third quarter of 2017 compared to $107 million in the third quarter of 2016. Earnings before the impact of fair value accounting on fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs) were $106 million in both the third quarters of 2017 and 2016, as shown in the table that follows:
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Components of Annuity Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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Dollars in millions | 2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs |
$ | 106 | $ | 106 | | $ | 305 | $ | 292 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs |
(4 | ) | 1 | nm | (22 | ) | (56 | ) | nm | |||||||||||||||
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Pretax annuity operating earnings |
$ | 102 | $ | 107 | (5 | %) | $ | 283 | $ | 236 | 20 | % | ||||||||||||
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Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs AFGs quarterly average annuity investments and reserves grew approximately 11% and 12%, respectively, year-over-year; however, the benefit of this growth was offset by the runoff of higher yielding investments. Both quarterly periods included the positive impact from a strong stock market and the higher than expected income from certain investments required to be marked to market though earnings.
Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs Under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), a portion ($2.3 billion at September 30, 2017) of the reserves for FIAs is considered an embedded derivative and is recorded at fair value using assumptions for items such as projected interest rates, option costs and surrenders. In addition to the interest expense related to the embedded derivative reserve, the amounts shown in the table above under Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs include the impact of variances from those assumptions, as well as changes in the stock market. Many of these adjustments are not economic in nature, but rather impact the timing of reported results.
In the third quarter of 2017, the benefit of a higher stock market was more than offset by lower interest rates, resulting in a $4 million unfavorable impact to annuity operating earnings. In the third quarter of 2016, the impact from changes in the stock market and interest rates was a positive $1 million.
Annuity Premiums AFGs Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $876 million in the third quarter of 2017, compared to $941 million in the third quarter of 2016. This decrease resulted from AFGs adherence to pricing discipline in a relatively low and decreasing interest rate environment during the year, as well as from aggressive pricing by certain of its competitors.
Craig Lindner stated, I am pleased with our annuity operating earnings in the quarter. We continue to focus on achieving appropriate returns on new business, effectively managing the interest spread on our inforce business and prudently managing our expenses. Disciplined product pricing and development of products that are consumer-friendly are important to our strategy, which includes growing our business only when we can achieve desired long-term returns. We believe we continue to be well-positioned in a changing regulatory environment.
For earnings before the impact of fair value accounting for FIAs, AFG is increasing its 2017 full year expectations to a range of $395 to $410 million, up from our previous guidance of $385 to $405 million. This guidance assumes modest increases in the stock market and interest rates in the fourth quarter, as well as a more normalized expectation of earnings from certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings.
Including the impact of fair value accounting for FIAs, we continue to believe that full year 2017 pretax annuity operating earnings will be in the range of $370 to $390 million.
Finally, based on premiums through the first nine months of the year and our recent levels of sales, we expect that premiums for the full year of 2017 will be slightly lower than the $4.4 billion reported in 2016.
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Fluctuations in the returns on investments that are required to be marked to market through earnings, or large changes in interest rates and/or the stock market, as compared to the Companys expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segments results. These earnings expectations do not reflect any potential earnings impact from our annual fourth quarter review (unlocking) of the major actuarial assumptions in our fixed annuity business.
More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in AFGs Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Department of Labor (DOL) Rule The DOL Fiduciary Rule became effective on June 9, 2017, although the DOL delayed certain requirements until January 1, 2018. As a result, insurance-only agents are able to continue selling fixed-indexed annuities through the end of 2017, provided the agent acts in the customers best interest, makes no misleading statements and receives only reasonable compensation. The DOL recently released a proposal to delay full implementation of the rule until July 1, 2019. There is uncertainty as to whether the rule will take effect in its current form at that date. AFGs management continues to believe that full implementation is likely to cause some short-term disruption in annuity premiums. Nonetheless, management does not believe the new rule will have a material impact on AFGs results of operations.
A&E Reserves
During the third quarter of 2017, AFG completed a comprehensive external study of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its P&C Group and its exposures related to former railroad and manufacturing operations and sites. The comprehensive external study resulted in non-core after-tax special charges of $74 million ($113 million pretax) to increase AFGs A&E reserves.
The P&C Groups asbestos reserves were increased by $53 million (net of reinsurance) and its environmental reserves were increased by $36 million (net of reinsurance). At September 30, 2017, the P&C Groups insurance reserves include A&E reserves of $408 million, net of reinsurance recoverables. At September 30, 2017, the property and casualty insurance segments three-year survival ratios were 17.5 times paid losses for asbestos reserves, 11.8 times paid losses for environmental reserves and 14.6 times paid losses for total A&E reserves. These ratios compare favorably with industry data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence as of December 31, 2016, which indicate that industry survival ratios were 6.2 for asbestos, 7.1 for environmental, and 6.4 for total A&E reserves.
Over the past few years, the focus of AFGs asbestos claims litigation has shifted to smaller companies and companies with ancillary exposures. AFGs insureds with these exposures have been the driver of our P&C asbestos reserve increases in recent years. AFG is seeing modestly increasing estimates for indemnity and defense compared to prior studies. Overall, the rate of new asbestos cases received is down modestly. AFGs comprehensive external study incorporates, among other factors, the increase in projected industry ultimate losses attributable to asbestos exposures, as well as revised estimates for future claims emergence, which has resulted in an increase in our provision for future asbestos claims.
The increase in P&C environmental reserves was primarily associated with updated estimates of site investigation costs with respect to existing sites and newly identified sites. AFG is seeing increased legal defense costs in environmental claims generally, as well as a number of claims and sites where the estimated investigation and remediation costs have increased. Certain individual claims are taking a longer time to settle than originally estimated, causing us to increase our reserves to reflect related increased costs. As in past years, there were no new or emerging broad industry trends that were identified in this study.
In addition, the study encompassed reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures of our former railroad and manufacturing operations. As a result of the study, AFG increased its reserve for these asbestos and
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environmental exposures by $24 million, due primarily to relatively small movements across several sites that primarily reflect changes in the scope and costs of investigation. In addition, we have seen a small increase in claims arising from exposure to deleterious substances other than asbestos, which has caused us to increase our estimated future liability.
Investments
AFG recorded third quarter 2017 net realized losses on securities of $8 million after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), compared to net realized gains on securities of $1 million in the comparable prior year period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $533 million, after tax, after DAC at September 30, 2017, an increase of $227 million since year-end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 90% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 98% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners designation of NAIC 1 or 2, its highest two categories.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2017, P&C net investment income was approximately 4% higher than the comparable 2016 period.
More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Loss on Retirement of Debt
On August 25, 2017, AFG redeemed all $125 million principal amount of its outstanding 5.75% Senior Notes due August 2042, at 100% of principal plus accrued and unpaid interest. The redemption resulted in after-tax expenses of $2 million ($0.03 per share) related to unamortized debt issue costs.
The redemption of 5.75% Senior Notes was financed, in part, by the $345 million of net proceeds from the June 2017 offering of $350 million of 4.50% Senior Notes due June 15, 2047. It is expected that the redemption of the 5.75% Senior Notes (along with the redemption of AFGs $230 million of 6.375% Senior Notes in June) and the issuance of the 4.50% Senior Notes in June 2017 will result in annual pretax interest savings to AFG of $6 million ($0.04 per share after-tax), beginning in 2018.
About American Financial Group, Inc.
American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets of approximately $60 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Groups roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Companys expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future
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premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.
Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFGs investment portfolio; the availability of capital; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and mortality; competitive pressures, including as a result of the outcome of U.S. business tax reform efforts; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFGs credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFGs operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy (including those associated with the United Kingdoms expected withdrawal from the European Union, or Brexit) relating to AFGs international operations; and other factors identified in AFGs filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.
Conference Call
The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2017 third quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, November 1, 2017. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 95945506. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.
A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on November 8, 2017. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 95945506.
The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFGs website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions at the Webcasts and Presentations link.
The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until November 8, 2017 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.
Contact:
Diane P. Weidner, IRC
Asst. Vice President Investor Relations
(513) 369-5713
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Websites:
www.AFGinc.com
www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com
# # #
(Financial summaries follow)
This earnings release and AFGs Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFGs website: www.AFGinc.com.
AFG17-20
Page 9
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA
(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||
Revenues |
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P&C insurance net earned premiums |
$ | 1,267 | $ | 1,159 | $ | 3,354 | $ | 3,184 | ||||||||
Life, accident & health net earned premiums |
6 | 6 | 17 | 18 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income |
471 | 433 | 1,366 | 1,267 | ||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on: |
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Securities |
(12 | ) | 2 | (1 | ) | (32 | ) | |||||||||
Subsidiaries |
| | | 2 | ||||||||||||
Income of managed investment entities: |
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Investment income |
54 | 48 | 155 | 141 | ||||||||||||
Gain on change in fair value of assets/liabilities |
1 | 11 | 12 | 9 | ||||||||||||
Other income |
48 | 46 | 154 | 172 | ||||||||||||
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Total revenues |
1,835 | 1,705 | 5,057 | 4,761 | ||||||||||||
Costs and expenses |
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P&C insurance losses & expenses |
1,352 | 1,121 | 3,301 | 3,071 | ||||||||||||
Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses |
276 | 251 | 812 | 797 | ||||||||||||
Interest charges on borrowed money |
21 | 19 | 65 | 56 | ||||||||||||
Expenses of managed investment entities |
45 | 38 | 137 | 109 | ||||||||||||
Other expenses |
112 | 98 | 285 | 258 | ||||||||||||
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Total costs and expenses |
1,806 | 1,527 | 4,600 | 4,291 | ||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes |
29 | 178 | 457 | 470 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes(c) |
18 | 65 | 146 | 190 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings including noncontrolling interests |
11 | 113 | 311 | 280 | ||||||||||||
Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests |
| 4 | 2 | 16 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 11 | $ | 109 | $ | 309 | $ | 264 | ||||||||
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Diluted Earnings per Common Share |
$ | 0.13 | $ | 1.23 | $ | 3.44 | $ | 2.98 | ||||||||
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Average number of diluted shares |
90.0 | 88.5 | 89.7 | 88.4 |
September 30, 2017 |
December 31, 2016 |
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Selected Balance Sheet Data: |
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Total cash and investments |
$ | 45,253 | $ | 41,433 | ||||
Long-term debt |
$ | 1,284 | $ | 1,283 | ||||
Shareholders equity(d) |
$ | 5,379 | $ | 4,916 | ||||
Shareholders equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(d) |
$ | 4,852 | $ | 4,617 | ||||
Book value per share |
$ | 61.06 | $ | 56.55 | ||||
Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities) |
$ | 55.08 | $ | 53.11 | ||||
Common Shares Outstanding |
88.1 | 86.9 |
Footnotes (c) and (d) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
Page 10
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS
(Dollars in Millions)
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 2,104 | $ | 1,899 | 11 | % | $ | 4,931 | $ | 4,540 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
$ | 1,433 | $ | 1,268 | 13 | % | $ | 3,590 | $ | 3,303 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
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Ratios (GAAP): |
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Loss & LAE ratio |
71.4 | % | 62.9 | % | 64.0 | % | 61.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
27.9 | % | 30.3 | % | 31.2 | % | 31.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Specialty Combined Ratio |
99.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 95.2 | % | 92.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Combined Ratio P&C Segment |
106.4 | % | 96.3 | % | 97.9 | % | 96.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Supplemental Information:(e) |
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Gross Written Premiums: |
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Property & Transportation |
$ | 1,073 | $ | 991 | 8 | % | $ | 2,062 | $ | 1,927 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
850 | 722 | 18 | % | 2,350 | 2,108 | 11 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
181 | 186 | (3 | %) | 519 | 505 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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$ | 2,104 | $ | 1,899 | 11 | % | $ | 4,931 | $ | 4,540 | 9 | % | |||||||||||||
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Net Written Premiums: |
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Property & Transportation |
$ | 624 | $ | 585 | 7 | % | $ | 1,341 | $ | 1,278 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
624 | 504 | 24 | % | 1,725 | 1,526 | 13 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
150 | 149 | 1 | % | 440 | 418 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other |
35 | 30 | 17 | % | 84 | 81 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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$ | 1,433 | $ | 1,268 | 13 | % | $ | 3,590 | $ | 3,303 | 9 | % | |||||||||||||
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Combined Ratio (GAAP): |
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Property & Transportation |
98.9 | % | 91.1 | % | 94.3 | % | 92.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
99.5 | % | 97.4 | % | 97.1 | % | 95.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
102.2 | % | 86.4 | % | 90.4 | % | 84.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group |
99.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 95.2 | % | 92.9 | % |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||
Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse: |
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Property & Transportation |
$ | (8 | ) | $ | (5 | ) | $ | (36 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | ||||
Specialty Casualty |
(23 | ) | (2 | ) | (34 | ) | (16 | ) | ||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(5 | ) | (6 | ) | (22 | ) | (17 | ) | ||||||||
Other Specialty |
(2 | ) | (1 | ) | 2 | (4 | ) | |||||||||
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Specialty Group Excluding A&E and Neon Charge |
(38 | ) | (14 | ) | (90 | ) | (71 | ) | ||||||||
Special A&E Reserve Charge P&C Run-off |
89 | 36 | 89 | 36 | ||||||||||||
Neon Exited Lines Charge and Other |
1 | | 3 | 57 | ||||||||||||
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Total Reserve Development |
$ | 52 | $ | 22 | $ | 2 | $ | 22 | ||||||||
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Points on Combined Ratio: |
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Property & Transportation |
(1.5 | ) | (1.2 | ) | (3.0 | ) | (2.8 | ) | ||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
(4.0 | ) | (0.3 | ) | (2.1 | ) | (1.1 | ) | ||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(3.1 | ) | (3.9 | ) | (5.0 | ) | (4.0 | ) | ||||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group |
(2.9 | ) | (1.1 | ) | (2.6 | ) | (2.1 | ) | ||||||||
Total P&C Segment |
4.2 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
Footnote (e) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
Page 11
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
ANNUITY SEGMENT
(Dollars in Millions)
Components of Statutory Premiums
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity Premiums: |
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Financial Institutions |
$ | 442 | $ | 532 | (17 | %) | $ | 1,906 | $ | 1,792 | 6 | % | ||||||||||||
Retail |
386 | 358 | 8 | % | 1,371 | 1,359 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Education Market |
41 | 42 | (2 | %) | 133 | 144 | (8 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Variable Annuities |
7 | 9 | (22 | %) | 22 | 29 | (24 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
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Total Annuity Premiums |
$ | 876 | $ | 941 | (7 | %) | $ | 3,432 | $ | 3,324 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||
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Components of Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
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Net investment income |
$ | 375 | $ | 351 | 7 | % | $ | 1,082 | $ | 1,010 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||
Other income |
26 | 26 | | 79 | 76 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
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Total revenues |
401 | 377 | 6 | % | 1,161 | 1,086 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Costs and Expenses: |
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Annuity benefits |
215 | 189 | 14 | % | 635 | 640 | (1 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
54 | 53 | 2 | % | 153 | 127 | 20 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
30 | 28 | 7 | % | 90 | 83 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Total costs and expenses |
299 | 270 | 11 | % | 878 | 850 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Operating earnings before income taxes |
$ | 102 | $ | 107 | (5 | %) | $ | 283 | $ | 236 | 20 | % | ||||||||||||
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Supplemental Fixed Annuity Information
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Operating earnings before impact of fair value accounting on FIAs |
$ | 106 | $ | 106 | | $ | 305 | $ | 292 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting |
(4 | ) | 1 | nm | (22 | ) | (56 | ) | nm | |||||||||||||||
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Operating earnings before income taxes |
$ | 102 | $ | 107 | (5 | %) | $ | 283 | $ | 236 | 20 | % | ||||||||||||
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Average fixed annuity reserves* |
$ | 32,029 | $ | 28,538 | 12 | % | $ | 31,141 | $ | 27,778 | 12 | % | ||||||||||||
Net interest spread* |
2.69 | % | 2.85 | % | 2.63 | % | 2.75 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Net spread earned before impact of fair value accounting* |
1.36 | % | 1.46 | % | 1.32 | % | 1.37 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Net spread earned after impact of fair value accounting* |
1.31 | % | 1.47 | % | 1.23 | % | 1.10 | % |
* | Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business. |
Page 12
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Notes to Financial Schedules
a) | Components of core net operating earnings (in millions): |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||
Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes: |
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P&C insurance segment |
$ | 95 | $ | 153 | $ | 427 | $ | 450 | ||||||||
Annuity segment, before impact of fair value accounting |
106 | 106 | 305 | 292 | ||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting |
(4 | ) | 1 | (22 | ) | (56 | ) | |||||||||
Run-off long-term care and life segment |
2 | 1 | 4 | | ||||||||||||
Interest & other corporate expenses |
(41 | ) | (48 | ) | (134 | ) | (126 | ) | ||||||||
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Core operating earnings before income taxes |
158 | 213 | 580 | 560 | ||||||||||||
Related income taxes* |
63 | 79 | 189 | 202 | ||||||||||||
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Core net operating earnings |
$ | 95 | $ | 134 | $ | 391 | $ | 358 | ||||||||
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* | The following table details the drivers of AFGs effective tax rate on core operating earnings as compared to the statutory tax rate of 35%: |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||
Statutory tax rate |
35 | % | 35 | % | 35 | % | 35 | % | ||||||||
Tax exempt interest |
(4 | %) | (3 | %) | (3 | %) | (3 | %) | ||||||||
Dividends received deduction |
(1 | %) | (1 | %) | (1 | %) | (1 | %) | ||||||||
Stock-based compensation |
| % | | % | (2 | %) | | % | ||||||||
Change in valuation allowance |
10 | % | 3 | % | 3 | % | 3 | % | ||||||||
Other |
| % | 3 | % | 1 | % | 2 | % | ||||||||
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Effective tax rate on core operating earnings |
40 | % | 37 | % | 33 | % | 36 | % | ||||||||
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b) | Reflects the following effects of special A&E charges during the third quarter and first nine months of 2017 and 2016 (dollars in millions, except per share amounts): |
Pretax | After-tax | EPS | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||
A&E Charges: |
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P&C insurance run-off operations |
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Asbestos |
$ | 53 | $ | 5 | $ | 34 | $ | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
Environmental |
36 | 31 | 24 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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$ | 89 | $ | 36 | $ | 58 | $ | 23 | $ | 0.64 | $ | 0.26 | |||||||||||||
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Former railroad & manufacturing operations |
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Asbestos |
$ | 4 | $ | | $ | 3 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||
Environmental |
20 | 5 | 13 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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$ | 24 | $ | 5 | $ | 16 | $ | 3 | $ | 0.18 | $ | 0.04 | |||||||||||||
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Total A&E |
$ | 113 | $ | 41 | $ | 74 | $ | 26 | $ | 0.82 | $ | 0.30 | ||||||||||||
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Page 13
c) | The following table details the drivers of AFGs effective tax rate on GAAP earnings before income taxes as compared to the statutory tax rate of 35%: |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2017 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||
Statutory tax rate |
35 | % | 35 | % | 35 | % | 35 | % | ||||||||
Tax exempt interest |
(17 | %) | (3 | %) | (4 | %) | (4 | %) | ||||||||
Dividends received deduction |
(7 | %) | (1 | %) | (1 | %) | (1 | %) | ||||||||
Stock-based compensation |
(3 | %) | | % | (3 | %) | | % | ||||||||
Change in valuation allowance |
55 | % | 4 | % | 4 | % | 9 | % | ||||||||
Other |
(1 | %) | 2 | % | 1 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||
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Effective tax rate |
62 | % | 37 | % | 32 | % | 40 | % | ||||||||
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d) | Shareholders Equity at September 30, 2017 includes $533 million ($6.05 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $6 million ($0.07 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. Shareholders Equity at December 31, 2016 includes $306 million ($3.52 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $7 million ($0.08 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. |
e) | Supplemental Notes: |
| Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages. |
| Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers compensation insurance. |
| Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including equipment leasing and collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance. |
| Other includes an internal reinsurance facility. |
Page 14
Exhibit 99.2
American Financial Group, Inc. | ||
Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2017 | ||
October 31, 2017 | ||
American Financial Group, Inc. Corporate Headquarters Great American Insurance Group Tower 301 E Fourth Street Cincinnati, OH 45202 513 579 6739 |
American Financial Group, Inc. Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2017 |
Section |
Page | |||
Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2017 |
2 | |||
Financial Highlights |
3 | |||
Summary of Earnings |
4 | |||
Earnings Per Share Summary |
5 | |||
Property and Casualty Insurance Segment |
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Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
6 | |||
Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
7 | |||
Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
8 | |||
Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
9 | |||
Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
10 | |||
Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
11 | |||
Annuity Segment |
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Annuity Earnings (GAAP) |
12 | |||
Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP) |
13 | |||
Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP) |
14 | |||
Annuity Premiums (Statutory) |
15 | |||
Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) |
16 | |||
Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt |
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Consolidated Balance Sheet |
17 | |||
Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary |
18 | |||
Capitalization |
19 | |||
Additional Supplemental Information |
20 | |||
Consolidated Investment Supplement |
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Total Cash and Investments |
21 | |||
Net Investment Income |
22 | |||
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated |
23 | |||
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio |
24 | |||
Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating |
25 | |||
Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated |
26 | |||
Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio |
27 | |||
Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating |
28 | |||
Appendix |
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A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type |
29 |
Page 2
American Financial Group, Inc. Financial Highlights (in millions, except per share information) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Highlights |
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Net earnings |
$ | 11 | $ | 145 | $ | 153 | $ | 385 | $ | 109 | $ | 309 | $ | 264 | ||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
95 | 145 | 151 | 176 | 134 | 391 | 358 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets |
60,163 | 58,618 | 57,464 | 55,072 | 54,845 | 60,163 | 54,845 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted shareholders equity (a) |
4,852 | 4,837 | 4,815 | 4,617 | 4,487 | 4,852 | 4,487 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty net written premiums |
1,433 | 1,130 | 1,027 | 1,083 | 1,268 | 3,590 | 3,303 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity statutory premiums |
876 | 1,266 | 1,290 | 1,111 | 941 | 3,432 | 3,324 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Per share data |
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Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 0.13 | $ | 1.61 | $ | 1.72 | $ | 4.33 | $ | 1.23 | $ | 3.44 | $ | 2.98 | ||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings per share |
1.06 | 1.61 | 1.69 | 1.98 | 1.51 | 4.35 | 4.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted book value per share (a) |
55.08 | 54.97 | 54.98 | 53.11 | 51.68 | 55.08 | 51.68 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash dividends per common share |
0.3125 | 1.8125 | 0.3125 | 1.3125 | 0.2800 | 2.4375 | 0.8400 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial ratios |
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Annualized return on equity (b) |
1.0 | % | 12.3 | % | 13.3 | % | 34.4 | % | 9.9 | % | 8.9 | % | 8.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
Annualized core operating return on equity (b) |
8.1 | % | 12.3 | % | 13.1 | % | 15.7 | % | 12.2 | % | 11.2 | % | 11.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty: |
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Loss & LAE ratio |
71.4 | % | 59.5 | % | 59.5 | % | 63.7 | % | 62.9 | % | 64.0 | % | 61.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
27.9 | % | 33.7 | % | 32.7 | % | 26.7 | % | 30.3 | % | 31.2 | % | 31.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio - Specialty |
99.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 92.2 | % | 90.4 | % | 93.2 | % | 95.2 | % | 92.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Net spread on fixed annuities: |
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Net interest spread |
2.69 | % | 2.61 | % | 2.58 | % | 2.70 | % | 2.85 | % | 2.63 | % | 2.75 | % | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned: |
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Before impact of fair value accounting |
1.36 | % | 1.32 | % | 1.31 | % | 1.42 | % | 1.46 | % | 1.32 | % | 1.37 | % | ||||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting (c) |
(0.05 | %) | (0.21 | %) | (0.03 | %) | 0.40 | % | 0.01 | % | (0.09 | %) | (0.27 | %) | ||||||||||||||
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After impact of fair value accounting |
1.31 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.28 | % | 1.82 | % | 1.47 | % | 1.23 | % | 1.10 | % | ||||||||||||||
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(a) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 18. |
(b) | Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income. |
(c) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
Page 3
American Financial Group, Inc. Summary of Earnings ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 8 | $ | 72 | $ | 78 | $ | 110 | $ | 78 | $ | 158 | $ | 227 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
94 | 96 | 86 | 85 | 93 | 276 | 265 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other income (expense) |
(7 | ) | (5 | ) | 5 | (15 | ) | (18 | ) | (7 | ) | (42 | ) | |||||||||||||||
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Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings |
95 | 163 | 169 | 180 | 153 | 427 | 450 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings |
102 | 85 | 96 | 132 | 107 | 283 | 236 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Run-off Long-Term Care and Life earnings |
2 | 2 | | 2 | 1 | 4 | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense of parent holding companies |
(21 | ) | (23 | ) | (21 | ) | (21 | ) | (19 | ) | (65 | ) | (56 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Other expense |
(20 | ) | (23 | ) | (26 | ) | (29 | ) | (29 | ) | (69 | ) | (70 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Pre-tax core operating earnings |
158 | 204 | 218 | 264 | 213 | 580 | 560 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense |
63 | 59 | 67 | 88 | 79 | 189 | 202 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Core net operating earnings |
95 | 145 | 151 | 176 | 134 | 391 | 358 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Non-core items, net of tax: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(8 | ) | 5 | 2 | 32 | 1 | (1 | ) | (19 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of subsidiaries |
| | | | | | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of apartment property |
| | | | | | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges: |
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Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations |
(58 | ) | | | | (23 | ) | (58 | ) | (23 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations |
(16 | ) | | | | (3 | ) | (16 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| | | | | | (65 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger |
| | | 66 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring |
| | | 111 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss on retirement of debt |
(2 | ) | (5 | ) | | | | (7 | ) | | ||||||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
$ | 11 | $ | 145 | $ | 153 | $ | 385 | $ | 109 | $ | 309 | $ | 264 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 4
American Financial Group, Inc. Earnings Per Share Summary (in millions, except per share information) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
$ | 95 | $ | 145 | $ | 151 | $ | 176 | $ | 134 | $ | 391 | $ | 358 | ||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
$ | 11 | $ | 145 | $ | 153 | $ | 385 | $ | 109 | $ | 309 | $ | 264 | ||||||||||||||
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Average number of diluted shares |
89.984 | 89.799 | 89.342 | 88.774 | 88.461 | 89.712 | 88.447 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted earnings per share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings per share |
$ | 1.06 | $ | 1.61 | $ | 1.69 | $ | 1.98 | $ | 1.51 | $ | 4.35 | $ | 4.04 | ||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(0.08 | ) | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.36 | 0.02 | (0.01 | ) | (0.21 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of subsidiaries |
| | | | | | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of apartment property |
| | | | | | 0.17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges: |
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Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations |
(0.64 | ) | | | | (0.26 | ) | (0.64 | ) | (0.26 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations |
(0.18 | ) | | | | (0.04 | ) | (0.18 | ) | (0.04 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| | | | | | (0.73 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tax benefit related to National Interstate merger |
| | | 0.74 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Tax benefit related to Neon restructuring |
| | | 1.25 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss on retirement of debt |
(0.03 | ) | (0.05 | ) | | | | (0.08 | ) | | ||||||||||||||||||
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Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 0.13 | $ | 1.61 | $ | 1.72 | $ | 4.33 | $ | 1.23 | $ | 3.44 | $ | 2.98 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 5
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Transportation |
$ | 6 | $ | 21 | $ | 43 | $ | 75 | $ | 44 | $ | 70 | $ | 91 | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
2 | 29 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 65 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(3 | ) | 23 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 42 | 64 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Other Specialty |
4 | | (1 | ) | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit -Specialty |
9 | 73 | 79 | 110 | 78 | 161 | 227 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other core charges, included in loss and LAE |
1 | 1 | 1 | | | 3 | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit - Core |
8 | 72 | 78 | 110 | 78 | 158 | 227 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE |
(89 | ) | | | | (36 | ) | (89 | ) | (36 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, included in loss and LAE |
| | | | | | (57 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, included in underwriting expenses |
| | | | | | (8 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | (81 | ) | $ | 72 | $ | 78 | $ | 110 | $ | 42 | $ | 69 | $ | 126 | |||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | 6 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 6 | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
107 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 132 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 113 | $ | 18 | $ | 7 | $ | 12 | $ | 14 | $ | 138 | $ | 43 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | 52 | $ | (22 | ) | $ | (28 | ) | $ | 10 | $ | 22 | $ | 2 | $ | 22 | ||||||||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Transportation |
98.9 | % | 94.2 | % | 87.3 | % | 83.9 | % | 91.1 | % | 94.3 | % | 92.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
99.5 | % | 94.7 | % | 97.0 | % | 97.4 | % | 97.4 | % | 97.1 | % | 95.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
102.2 | % | 84.4 | % | 85.0 | % | 86.0 | % | 86.4 | % | 90.4 | % | 84.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other Specialty |
85.1 | % | 98.3 | % | 105.8 | % | 94.9 | % | 91.5 | % | 95.8 | % | 90.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
Combined ratio - Specialty |
99.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 92.2 | % | 90.4 | % | 93.2 | % | 95.2 | % | 92.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other core charges |
0.1 | % | 0.2 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, loss and LAE |
0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 1.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, underwriting expenses |
0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges |
7.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 3.0 | % | 2.6 | % | 1.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
106.4 | % | 93.4 | % | 92.3 | % | 90.4 | % | 96.3 | % | 97.9 | % | 96.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
93.8 | % | 93.7 | % | 94.3 | % | 88.4 | % | 93.1 | % | 93.9 | % | 93.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance |
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Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
65.9 | % | 60.0 | % | 61.6 | % | 61.7 | % | 62.8 | % | 62.7 | % | 61.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
4.2 | % | (2.0 | %) | (2.7 | %) | 0.9 | % | 2.0 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
8.4 | % | 1.7 | % | 0.7 | % | 1.1 | % | 1.2 | % | 3.9 | % | 1.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
78.5 | % | 59.7 | % | 59.6 | % | 63.7 | % | 66.0 | % | 66.7 | % | 63.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 6
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 2,104 | $ | 1,503 | $ | 1,324 | $ | 1,441 | $ | 1,899 | $ | 4,931 | $ | 4,540 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(671 | ) | (373 | ) | (297 | ) | (358 | ) | (631 | ) | (1,341 | ) | (1,237 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
1,433 | 1,130 | 1,027 | 1,083 | 1,268 | 3,590 | 3,303 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(166 | ) | (65 | ) | (5 | ) | 61 | (109 | ) | (236 | ) | (119 | ) | |||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
1,267 | 1,065 | 1,022 | 1,144 | 1,159 | 3,354 | 3,184 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
905 | 634 | 608 | 729 | 729 | 2,147 | 1,940 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
353 | 358 | 335 | 305 | 352 | 1,046 | 1,017 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 9 | $ | 73 | $ | 79 | $ | 110 | $ | 78 | $ | 161 | $ | 227 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
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Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
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Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | 6 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 6 | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
107 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 132 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 113 | $ | 18 | $ | 7 | $ | 12 | $ | 14 | $ | 138 | $ | 43 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (38 | ) | $ | (23 | ) | $ | (29 | ) | $ | 10 | $ | (14 | ) | $ | (90 | ) | $ | (71 | ) | ||||||||
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Combined ratio: |
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Loss and LAE ratio |
71.4 | % | 59.5 | % | 59.5 | % | 63.7 | % | 62.9 | % | 64.0 | % | 61.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
27.9 | % | 33.7 | % | 32.7 | % | 26.7 | % | 30.3 | % | 31.2 | % | 31.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
99.3 | % | 93.2 | % | 92.2 | % | 90.4 | % | 93.2 | % | 95.2 | % | 92.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
93.8 | % | 93.7 | % | 94.3 | % | 88.4 | % | 93.1 | % | 93.9 | % | 93.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
65.9 | % | 60.0 | % | 61.6 | % | 61.7 | % | 62.8 | % | 62.7 | % | 61.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(2.9 | %) | (2.2 | %) | (2.8 | %) | 0.9 | % | (1.1 | %) | (2.6 | %) | (2.1 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
8.4 | % | 1.7 | % | 0.7 | % | 1.1 | % | 1.2 | % | 3.9 | % | 1.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
71.4 | % | 59.5 | % | 59.5 | % | 63.7 | % | 62.9 | % | 64.0 | % | 61.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 7
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 1,073 | $ | 573 | $ | 416 | $ | 577 | $ | 991 | $ | 2,062 | $ | 1,927 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(449 | ) | (180 | ) | (92 | ) | (183 | ) | (406 | ) | (721 | ) | (649 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
624 | 393 | 324 | 394 | 585 | 1,341 | 1,278 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(97 | ) | (36 | ) | 18 | 71 | (92 | ) | (115 | ) | (81 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
527 | 357 | 342 | 465 | 493 | 1,226 | 1,197 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
407 | 232 | 208 | 319 | 339 | 847 | 795 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
114 | 104 | 91 | 71 | 110 | 309 | 311 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 6 | $ | 21 | $ | 43 | $ | 75 | $ | 44 | $ | 70 | $ | 91 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
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Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
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Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | 2 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 2 | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
23 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 25 | $ | 11 | $ | 5 | $ | 6 | $ | 7 | $ | 41 | $ | 25 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (8 | ) | $ | (11 | ) | $ | (17 | ) | $ | 13 | $ | (5 | ) | $ | (36 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | ||||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
77.3 | % | 64.9 | % | 60.8 | % | 68.6 | % | 68.8 | % | 69.1 | % | 66.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
21.6 | % | 29.3 | % | 26.5 | % | 15.3 | % | 22.3 | % | 25.2 | % | 26.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
98.9 | % | 94.2 | % | 87.3 | % | 83.9 | % | 91.1 | % | 94.3 | % | 92.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
96.0 | % | 94.3 | % | 90.7 | % | 79.7 | % | 90.7 | % | 94.1 | % | 93.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
74.4 | % | 65.0 | % | 64.2 | % | 64.4 | % | 68.4 | % | 68.9 | % | 67.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(1.5 | %) | (3.1 | %) | (4.8 | %) | 3.0 | % | (1.2 | %) | (3.0 | %) | (2.8 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
4.4 | % | 3.0 | % | 1.4 | % | 1.2 | % | 1.6 | % | 3.2 | % | 2.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
77.3 | % | 64.9 | % | 60.8 | % | 68.6 | % | 68.8 | % | 69.1 | % | 66.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 8
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 850 | $ | 756 | $ | 744 | $ | 684 | $ | 722 | $ | 2,350 | $ | 2,108 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(226 | ) | (195 | ) | (204 | ) | (174 | ) | (218 | ) | (625 | ) | (582 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
624 | 561 | 540 | 510 | 504 | 1,725 | 1,526 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(56 | ) | (24 | ) | (32 | ) | | (7 | ) | (112 | ) | (30 | ) | |||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums |
568 | 537 | 508 | 510 | 497 | 1,613 | 1,496 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
402 | 339 | 331 | 348 | 330 | 1,072 | 972 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
164 | 169 | 162 | 149 | 154 | 495 | 459 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 2 | $ | 29 | $ | 15 | $ | 13 | $ | 13 | $ | 46 | $ | 65 | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | 2 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 2 | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
54 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 56 | $ | 2 | $ | 1 | $ | 4 | $ | 2 | $ | 59 | $ | 6 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|||||||||||||||
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (23 | ) | $ | (5 | ) | $ | (6 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | (2 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | $ | (16 | ) | ||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
70.7 | % | 63.1 | % | 65.2 | % | 68.2 | % | 66.5 | % | 66.4 | % | 65.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
28.8 | % | 31.6 | % | 31.8 | % | 29.2 | % | 30.9 | % | 30.7 | % | 30.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
99.5 | % | 94.7 | % | 97.0 | % | 97.4 | % | 97.4 | % | 97.1 | % | 95.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
94.0 | % | 95.2 | % | 97.9 | % | 96.1 | % | 97.4 | % | 95.7 | % | 96.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
65.2 | % | 63.6 | % | 66.1 | % | 66.9 | % | 66.5 | % | 65.0 | % | 65.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(4.0 | %) | (0.9 | %) | (1.1 | %) | 0.5 | % | (0.3 | %) | (2.1 | %) | (1.1 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
9.5 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.2 | % | 0.8 | % | 0.3 | % | 3.5 | % | 0.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
70.7 | % | 63.1 | % | 65.2 | % | 68.2 | % | 66.5 | % | 66.4 | % | 65.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 9
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 181 | $ | 174 | $ | 164 | $ | 180 | $ | 186 | $ | 519 | $ | 505 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(31 | ) | (25 | ) | (23 | ) | (26 | ) | (37 | ) | (79 | ) | (87 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
150 | 149 | 141 | 154 | 149 | 440 | 418 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(8 | ) | (3 | ) | 6 | (13 | ) | (4 | ) | (5 | ) | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums |
142 | 146 | 147 | 141 | 145 | 435 | 416 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
79 | 49 | 52 | 46 | 45 | 180 | 132 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
66 | 74 | 73 | 75 | 81 | 213 | 220 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit (loss) |
$ | (3 | ) | $ | 23 | $ | 22 | $ | 20 | $ | 19 | $ | 42 | $ | 64 | |||||||||||||
|
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|
|||||||||||||||
Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | 2 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 2 | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 31 | $ | 5 | $ | 1 | $ | 2 | $ | 5 | $ | 37 | $ | 9 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (5 | ) | $ | (8 | ) | $ | (9 | ) | $ | (6 | ) | $ | (6 | ) | $ | (22 | ) | $ | (17 | ) | |||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
56.0 | % | 33.1 | % | 35.6 | % | 32.4 | % | 31.6 | % | 41.4 | % | 31.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
46.2 | % | 51.3 | % | 49.4 | % | 53.6 | % | 54.8 | % | 49.0 | % | 52.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
102.2 | % | 84.4 | % | 85.0 | % | 86.0 | % | 86.4 | % | 90.4 | % | 84.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
84.9 | % | 86.5 | % | 90.6 | % | 88.8 | % | 87.0 | % | 87.4 | % | 86.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
38.7 | % | 35.2 | % | 41.2 | % | 35.2 | % | 32.2 | % | 38.4 | % | 33.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(3.1 | %) | (5.4 | %) | (6.4 | %) | (4.5 | %) | (3.9 | %) | (5.0 | %) | (4.0 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
20.4 | % | 3.3 | % | 0.8 | % | 1.7 | % | 3.3 | % | 8.0 | % | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
56.0 | % | 33.1 | % | 35.6 | % | 32.4 | % | 31.6 | % | 41.4 | % | 31.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
Page 10
American Financial Group, Inc. Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
35 | 27 | 22 | 25 | 30 | 84 | 81 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
35 | 27 | 22 | 25 | 30 | 84 | 81 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(5 | ) | (2 | ) | 3 | 3 | (6 | ) | (4 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums |
30 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 80 | 75 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
17 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit (loss) |
$ | 4 | $ | | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 2 | $ | 2 | $ | 3 | $ | 7 | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
1 | | | | | 1 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 1 | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (2 | ) | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 2 | $ | (4 | ) | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
52.6 | % | 62.0 | % | 68.0 | % | 59.5 | % | 55.2 | % | 60.4 | % | 53.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
32.5 | % | 36.3 | % | 37.8 | % | 35.4 | % | 36.3 | % | 35.4 | % | 36.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
85.1 | % | 98.3 | % | 105.8 | % | 94.9 | % | 91.5 | % | 95.8 | % | 90.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
90.4 | % | 93.5 | % | 93.4 | % | 93.7 | % | 95.1 | % | 92.3 | % | 92.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
Page 11
American Financial Group, Inc. Annuity Earnings (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 375 | $ | 360 | $ | 347 | $ | 346 | $ | 351 | $ | 1,082 | $ | 1,010 | ||||||||||||||
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees |
15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 43 | 39 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 37 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
401 | 386 | 374 | 373 | 377 | 1,161 | 1,086 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits expense |
215 | 224 | 196 | 160 | 189 | 635 | 640 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
54 | 47 | 52 | 54 | 53 | 153 | 127 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
30 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 90 | 83 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total costs and expenses |
299 | 301 | 278 | 241 | 270 | 878 | 850 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings before income taxes |
$ | 102 | $ | 85 | $ | 96 | $ | 132 | $ | 107 | $ | 283 | $ | 236 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Detail of Annuity earnings before income taxes |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting |
$ | 106 | $ | 101 | $ | 98 | $ | 103 | $ | 106 | $ | 305 | $ | 292 | ||||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting (a) |
(4 | ) | (16 | ) | (2 | ) | 29 | 1 | (22 | ) | (56 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings before income taxes |
$ | 102 | $ | 85 | $ | 96 | $ | 132 | $ | 107 | $ | 283 | $ | 236 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
(a) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
Page 12
American Financial Group, Inc. Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Detail of annuity benefits expense: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest credited - fixed |
$ | 160 | $ | 157 | $ | 152 | $ | 148 | $ | 145 | $ | 469 | $ | 426 | ||||||||||||||
Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in expected death and annuitization reserve |
5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of sales inducements |
4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve |
18 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 51 | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in other benefit reserves |
16 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Unlockings (a) |
| | | 23 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting |
204 | 193 | 190 | 214 | 185 | 587 | 533 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivative mark-to-market (b) |
127 | 112 | 147 | 6 | 109 | 386 | 188 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity option mark-to-market |
(116 | ) | (81 | ) | (141 | ) | (60 | ) | (105 | ) | (338 | ) | (81 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Subtotal impact of fair value accounting |
11 | 31 | 6 | (54 | ) | 4 | 48 | 107 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total annuity benefits expense |
$ | 215 | $ | 224 | $ | 196 | $ | 160 | $ | 189 | $ | 635 | $ | 640 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) | Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $24 million in 2016 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses and other income. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense reduction of $1 million in 2016. |
(b) | Excludes unlocking impact of $17 million in 2016. |
Page 13
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) (a) |
$ | 31,713 | $ | 30,988 | $ | 30,055 | $ | 29,192 | $ | 28,548 | $ | 30,919 | $ | 27,899 | ||||||||||||||
Average annuity benefits accumulated |
32,029 | 31,212 | 30,183 | 29,250 | 28,538 | 31,141 | 27,778 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments (a) |
$ | (316 | ) | $ | (224 | ) | $ | (128 | ) | $ | (58 | ) | $ | 10 | $ | (222 | ) | $ | 121 | |||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income (as % of investments) |
4.70 | % | 4.62 | % | 4.59 | % | 4.72 | % | 4.88 | % | 4.64 | % | 4.79 | % | ||||||||||||||
Interest credited |
(2.01 | %) | (2.01 | %) | (2.01 | %) | (2.02 | %) | (2.03 | %) | (2.01 | %) | (2.04 | %) | ||||||||||||||
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Net interest spread on fixed annuities |
2.69 | % | 2.61 | % | 2.58 | % | 2.70 | % | 2.85 | % | 2.63 | % | 2.75 | % | ||||||||||||||
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
0.10 | % | 0.12 | % | 0.14 | % | 0.15 | % | 0.14 | % | 0.12 | % | 0.14 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other annuity benefit expenses, net |
(0.33 | %) | (0.27 | %) | (0.31 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.36 | %) | (0.31 | %) | (0.31 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
(0.65 | %) | (0.58 | %) | (0.67 | %) | (1.06 | %) | (0.72 | %) | (0.63 | %) | (0.58 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
(0.36 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.35 | %) | (0.39 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.39 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivatives |
(0.14 | %) | (0.39 | %) | (0.08 | %) | 0.73 | % | (0.05 | %) | (0.20 | %) | (0.51 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.03 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Net spread earned on fixed annuities |
1.31 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.28 | % | 1.82 | % | 1.47 | % | 1.23 | % | 1.10 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Average annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 32,029 | $ | 31,212 | $ | 30,183 | $ | 29,250 | $ | 28,538 | $ | 31,141 | $ | 27,778 | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned on fixed annuities |
1.31 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.28 | % | 1.82 | % | 1.47 | % | 1.23 | % | 1.10 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 105 | $ | 87 | $ | 96 | $ | 133 | $ | 105 | $ | 288 | $ | 230 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments |
$ | (316 | ) | $ | (224 | ) | $ | (128 | ) | $ | (58 | ) | $ | 10 | $ | (222 | ) | $ | 121 | |||||||||
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Net investment income (as % of investments) |
4.70 | % | 4.62 | % | 4.59 | % | 4.72 | % | 4.88 | % | 4.64 | % | 4.79 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Earnings on annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments |
$ | (4 | ) | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (1 | ) | $ | | $ | | $ | (8 | ) | $ | 4 | ||||||||||
Variable annuity earnings (loss) |
1 | 1 | 1 | (1 | ) | 2 | 3 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes - core |
$ | 102 | $ | 85 | $ | 96 | $ | 132 | $ | 107 | $ | 283 | $ | 236 | ||||||||||||||
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Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities - core |
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Net spread earned core - before impact of fair value accounting |
1.36 | % | 1.32 | % | 1.31 | % | 1.42 | % | 1.46 | % | 1.32 | % | 1.37 | % | ||||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivatives |
(0.14 | %) | (0.39 | %) | (0.08 | %) | 0.73 | % | (0.05 | %) | (0.20 | %) | (0.51 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Estimated net offsets to deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs |
0.09 | % | 0.18 | % | 0.05 | % | (0.33 | %) | 0.06 | % | 0.11 | % | 0.24 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Net spread earned core - after impact of fair value accounting |
1.31 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.28 | % | 1.82 | % | 1.47 | % | 1.23 | % | 1.10 | % | ||||||||||||||
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(a) | Excludes non-investment assets such as deferred acquisition costs, FIA options, accrued investment income and company owned life insurance. |
Page 14
American Financial Group, Inc. Annuity Premiums (Statutory) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Retail single premium annuities - indexed |
$ | 367 | $ | 474 | $ | 469 | $ | 415 | $ | 340 | $ | 1,310 | $ | 1,299 | ||||||||||||||
Retail single premium annuities - fixed |
19 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 61 | 60 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed |
360 | 500 | 487 | 474 | 435 | 1,347 | 1,476 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed |
82 | 215 | 262 | 152 | 97 | 559 | 316 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Education market - fixed and indexed annuities |
41 | 47 | 45 | 40 | 42 | 133 | 144 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal fixed annuity premiums |
869 | 1,258 | 1,283 | 1,103 | 932 | 3,410 | 3,295 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuities |
7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total annuity premiums |
$ | 876 | $ | 1,266 | $ | 1,290 | $ | 1,111 | $ | 941 | $ | 3,432 | $ | 3,324 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 15
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 31,704 | $ | 30,719 | $ | 29,647 | $ | 28,853 | $ | 28,222 | $ | 29,647 | $ | 26,371 | ||||||||||||||
Premiums |
869 | 1,258 | 1,283 | 1,103 | 932 | 3,410 | 3,295 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Federal Home Loan Bank advances |
| | | | | | 150 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals |
(540 | ) | (571 | ) | (539 | ) | (524 | ) | (586 | ) | (1,650 | ) | (1,665 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Interest and other annuity benefit expenses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest credited |
160 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 145 | 469 | 426 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivative mark-to-market |
127 | 112 | 147 | 6 | 109 | 386 | 188 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in other benefit reserves |
34 | 29 | 29 | 34 | 31 | 92 | 88 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
| | | 27 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Ending fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 32,354 | $ | 31,704 | $ | 30,719 | $ | 29,647 | $ | 28,853 | $ | 32,354 | $ | 28,853 | ||||||||||||||
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Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ending fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 32,354 | $ | 31,704 | $ | 30,719 | $ | 29,647 | $ | 28,853 | $ | 32,354 | $ | 28,853 | ||||||||||||||
Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves |
138 | 128 | 100 | 76 | 180 | 138 | 180 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed component of variable annuities |
179 | 182 | 183 | 184 | 189 | 179 | 189 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet |
$ | 32,671 | $ | 32,014 | $ | 31,002 | $ | 29,907 | $ | 29,222 | $ | 32,671 | $ | 29,222 | ||||||||||||||
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Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves |
6.8 | % | 7.4 | % | 7.3 | % | 7.3 | % | 8.3 | % | 7.4 | % | 8.4 | % |
Page 16
American Financial Group, Inc. Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ in millions) |
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | |||||||||||||||||||
Assets: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 45,253 | $ | 44,779 | $ | 43,350 | $ | 41,433 | $ | 41,805 | $ | 40,639 | ||||||||||||
Recoverables from reinsurers |
3,262 | 2,839 | 2,735 | 2,737 | 2,814 | 2,576 | ||||||||||||||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
691 | 587 | 533 | 539 | 634 | 521 | ||||||||||||||||||
Agents balances and premiums receivable |
1,173 | 1,124 | 989 | 997 | 1,029 | 992 | ||||||||||||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
1,119 | 1,156 | 1,205 | 1,239 | 867 | 881 | ||||||||||||||||||
Assets of managed investment entities |
4,767 | 4,873 | 5,331 | 4,765 | 4,312 | 4,410 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other receivables |
1,545 | 923 | 875 | 908 | 1,391 | 788 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuity assets (separate accounts) |
628 | 620 | 614 | 600 | 606 | 595 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other assets |
1,526 | 1,518 | 1,633 | 1,655 | 1,188 | 1,132 | ||||||||||||||||||
Goodwill |
199 | 199 | 199 | 199 | 199 | 199 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total assets |
$ | 60,163 | $ | 58,618 | $ | 57,464 | $ | 55,072 | $ | 54,845 | $ | 52,733 | ||||||||||||
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Liabilities and Equity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 9,563 | $ | 8,730 | $ | 8,621 | $ | 8,563 | $ | 8,661 | $ | 8,203 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums |
2,567 | 2,294 | 2,174 | 2,171 | 2,328 | 2,109 | ||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits accumulated |
32,671 | 32,014 | 31,002 | 29,907 | 29,222 | 28,596 | ||||||||||||||||||
Life, accident and health reserves |
667 | 676 | 687 | 691 | 700 | 702 | ||||||||||||||||||
Payable to reinsurers |
906 | 681 | 621 | 634 | 835 | 588 | ||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities of managed investment entities |
4,506 | 4,685 | 5,101 | 4,549 | 4,067 | 4,192 | ||||||||||||||||||
Long-term debt |
1,284 | 1,405 | 1,283 | 1,283 | 1,300 | 998 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts) |
628 | 620 | 614 | 600 | 606 | 595 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities |
1,992 | 2,201 | 2,166 | 1,755 | 1,768 | 1,557 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total liabilities |
$ | 54,784 | $ | 53,306 | $ | 52,269 | $ | 50,153 | $ | 49,487 | $ | 47,540 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders equity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock |
$ | 88 | $ | 88 | $ | 88 | $ | 87 | $ | 87 | $ | 87 | ||||||||||||
Capital surplus |
1,167 | 1,158 | 1,138 | 1,111 | 1,242 | 1,228 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unappropriated retained earnings |
3,435 | 3,451 | 3,466 | 3,343 | 3,079 | 3,016 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains - equities |
173 | 158 | 145 | 98 | 103 | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains - fixed maturities |
533 | 481 | 384 | 306 | 669 | 639 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains (losses) - fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges |
(6 | ) | (6 | ) | (8 | ) | (7 | ) | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, net of tax |
(11 | ) | (18 | ) | (22 | ) | (22 | ) | (24 | ) | (21 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Total shareholders equity |
5,379 | 5,312 | 5,191 | 4,916 | 5,161 | 5,000 | ||||||||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
| | 4 | 3 | 197 | 193 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total liabilities and equity |
$ | 60,163 | $ | 58,618 | $ | 57,464 | $ | 55,072 | $ | 54,845 | $ | 52,733 | ||||||||||||
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Page 17
American Financial Group, Inc. Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary (in millions, except per share information) |
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | |||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders equity |
$ | 5,379 | $ | 5,312 | $ | 5,191 | $ | 4,916 | $ | 5,161 | $ | 5,000 | ||||||||||||
Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturities |
(527 | ) | (475 | ) | (376 | ) | (299 | ) | (674 | ) | (644 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted shareholders equity |
4,852 | 4,837 | 4,815 | 4,617 | 4,487 | 4,356 | ||||||||||||||||||
Goodwill |
(199 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | ||||||||||||
Intangibles |
(29 | ) | (30 | ) | (32 | ) | (34 | ) | (44 | ) | (46 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Tangible adjusted shareholders equity |
$ | 4,624 | $ | 4,608 | $ | 4,584 | $ | 4,384 | $ | 4,244 | $ | 4,111 | ||||||||||||
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Common shares outstanding |
88.093 | 88.007 | 87.592 | 86.924 | 86.813 | 86.850 | ||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share |
$ | 61.06 | $ | 60.36 | $ | 59.26 | $ | 56.55 | $ | 59.45 | $ | 57.57 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted (a) |
55.08 | 54.97 | 54.98 | 53.11 | 51.68 | 50.16 | ||||||||||||||||||
Tangible, adjusted (b) |
52.50 | 52.36 | 52.34 | 50.43 | 48.89 | 47.34 | ||||||||||||||||||
Market capitalization |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
AFGs closing common share price |
$ | 103.45 | $ | 99.37 | $ | 95.42 | $ | 88.12 | $ | 75.00 | $ | 73.93 | ||||||||||||
Market capitalization |
$ | 9,113 | $ | 8,745 | $ | 8,358 | $ | 7,660 | $ | 6,511 | $ | 6,421 | ||||||||||||
Price / Adjusted book value ratio |
1.88 | 1.81 | 1.74 | 1.66 | 1.45 | 1.47 |
(a) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments. |
(b) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles. |
Page 18
American Financial Group, Inc. Capitalization ($ in millions) |
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | |||||||||||||||||||
AFG senior obligations |
$ | 1,003 | $ | 1,128 | $ | 1,008 | $ | 1,008 | $ | 1,008 | $ | 708 | ||||||||||||
Borrowings drawn under credit facility |
| | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||
Obligations of subsidiaries - other |
| | | | 18 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Debt excluding subordinated debt |
$ | 1,003 | $ | 1,128 | $ | 1,008 | $ | 1,008 | $ | 1,026 | $ | 720 | ||||||||||||
AFG subordinated debentures |
300 | 300 | 300 | 300 | 300 | 300 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total principal amount of long-term debt |
$ | 1,303 | $ | 1,428 | $ | 1,308 | $ | 1,308 | $ | 1,326 | $ | 1,020 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders equity |
5,379 | 5,312 | 5,191 | 4,916 | 5,161 | 5,000 | ||||||||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
| | 4 | 3 | 197 | 193 | ||||||||||||||||||
Less: |
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Unrealized (gains) - fixed maturity investments |
(533 | ) | (481 | ) | (384 | ) | (306 | ) | (669 | ) | (639 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Total adjusted capital |
$ | 6,149 | $ | 6,259 | $ | 6,119 | $ | 5,921 | $ | 6,015 | $ | 5,574 | ||||||||||||
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Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital: |
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Including subordinated debt |
21.2 | % | 22.8 | % | 21.4 | % | 22.1 | % | 22.0 | % | 18.3 | % | ||||||||||||
Excluding subordinated debt |
16.3 | % | 18.0 | % | 16.5 | % | 17.0 | % | 17.1 | % | 12.9 | % |
Page 19
American Financial Group, Inc. Additional Supplemental Information ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
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Paid Losses (GAAP) |
$ | 596 | $ | 652 | $ | 554 | $ | 683 | $ | 537 | $ | 1,802 | $ | 1,670 | ||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Statutory Surplus |
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Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 2,817 | $ | 2,882 | $ | 3,013 | $ | 2,939 | $ | 3,038 | $ | 2,601 | ||||||||||||||||
AFGs principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital) |
$ | 2,433 | $ | 2,389 | $ | 2,341 | $ | 2,234 | $ | 2,216 | $ | 2,089 | ||||||||||||||||
Allowable dividends without regulatory approval |
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Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 496 | $ | 496 | $ | 496 | $ | 496 | $ | 434 | $ | 434 | ||||||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off |
197 | 197 | 197 | 197 | 375 | 375 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total |
$ | 693 | $ | 693 | $ | 693 | $ | 693 | $ | 809 | $ | 809 | ||||||||||||||||
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Page 20
American Financial Group, Inc. Total Cash and Investments ($ in millions) |
Carrying Value - September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and | Parent and | % of | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Casualty | Annuity and | Other Non- | Consolidate | Total AFG | Investment | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Run-off | Insurance | CLOs | Consolidated | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 1,074 | $ | 825 | $ | 450 | $ | | $ | 2,349 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
6,969 | 30,836 | 13 | | 37,818 | 84 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
233 | 117 | | | 350 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
1,046 | 539 | 54 | | 1,639 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Policy loans |
| 186 | | | 186 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans |
255 | 788 | | | 1,043 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity index call options |
| 629 | | | 629 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Real estate and other investments |
552 | 895 | 53 | (261 | ) | 1,239 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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|
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Total cash and investments |
$ | 10,129 | $ | 34,815 | $ | 570 | $ | (261 | ) | $ | 45,253 | 100 | % | |||||||||||
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Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities |
$ | 167 | $ | 100 | $ | | $ | | $ | 267 | ||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Carrying Value - December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and | Parent and | % of | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Casualty | Annuity and | Other Non- | Consolidate | Total AFG | Investment | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Run-off | Insurance | CLOs | Consolidated | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 1,383 | $ | 511 | $ | 213 | $ | | $ | 2,107 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
6,510 | 28,021 | 13 | | 34,544 | 83 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
242 | 117 | | | 359 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
1,013 | 496 | 49 | | 1,558 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Policy loans |
| 192 | | | 192 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans |
261 | 886 | | | 1,147 | 3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity index call options |
| 492 | | | 492 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Real estate and other investments |
497 | 705 | 48 | (216 | ) | 1,034 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 9,906 | $ | 31,420 | $ | 323 | $ | (216 | ) | $ | 41,433 | 100 | % | |||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities |
$ | 102 | $ | 49 | $ | | $ | | $ | 151 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 21
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Investment Income ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/17 | 06/30/17 | 03/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/17 | 09/30/16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
$ | 65 | $ | 65 | $ | 63 | $ | 64 | $ | 63 | $ | 193 | $ | 193 | ||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
| 2 | 1 | (1 | ) | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 38 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity in investees |
8 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments |
11 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
96 | 98 | 88 | 89 | 95 | 282 | 271 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(2 | ) | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (4 | ) | (2 | ) | (6 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 94 | $ | 96 | $ | 86 | $ | 85 | $ | 93 | $ | 276 | $ | 265 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average cash and investments (a) |
$ | 9,851 | $ | 9,947 | $ | 9,855 | $ | 9,779 | $ | 9,647 | $ | 9,853 | $ | 9,507 | ||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Average yield (b) |
3.82 | % | 3.86 | % | 3.49 | % | 3.48 | % | 3.86 | % | 3.73 | % | 3.72 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
$ | 332 | $ | 322 | $ | 318 | $ | 315 | $ | 307 | $ | 972 | $ | 908 | ||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
| | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity in investees |
12 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments |
26 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 27 | 67 | 67 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
375 | 359 | 348 | 348 | 349 | 1,082 | 1,008 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(2 | ) | (2 | ) | (3 | ) | (4 | ) | (1 | ) | (7 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 373 | $ | 357 | $ | 345 | $ | 344 | $ | 348 | $ | 1,075 | $ | 1,002 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average cash and investments (a) |
$ | 31,713 | $ | 30,988 | $ | 30,055 | $ | 29,192 | $ | 28,548 | $ | 30,919 | $ | 27,899 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average yield (b) |
4.70 | % | 4.62 | % | 4.59 | % | 4.72 | % | 4.88 | % | 4.64 | % | 4.79 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
AFG consolidated net investment income: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property & Casualty |
$ | 94 | $ | 96 | $ | 86 | $ | 85 | $ | 93 | $ | 276 | $ | 265 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity |
373 | 357 | 345 | 344 | 348 | 1,075 | 1,002 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable Annuity |
2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Run-off |
6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other |
1 | 4 | 3 | | 1 | 8 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidate CLOs |
(5 | ) | (5 | ) | (6 | ) | (8 | ) | (17 | ) | (16 | ) | (29 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 471 | $ | 460 | $ | 435 | $ | 429 | $ | 433 | $ | 1,366 | $ | 1,267 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
(a) | Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances. |
(b) | Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter. |
Page 22
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions ) |
% of | ||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Investment | |||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2017 |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 309 | $ | 309 | $ | | 1 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
6,788 | 7,024 | 236 | 18 | % | 15 | % | |||||||||||||
Foreign government |
251 | 254 | 3 | 1 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
3,065 | 3,399 | 334 | 9 | % | 8 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
967 | 1,010 | 43 | 3 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
7,362 | 7,490 | 128 | 19 | % | 17 | % | |||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
18,020 | 18,682 | 662 | 49 | % | 41 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 36,762 | $ | 38,168 | $ | 1,406 | 100 | % | 85 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.45 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.41 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6.5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
% of | ||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Investment | |||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2016 |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 348 | $ | 348 | $ | | 1 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
6,677 | 6,808 | 131 | 19 | % | 16 | % | |||||||||||||
Foreign government |
256 | 261 | 5 | 1 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
3,371 | 3,639 | 268 | 11 | % | 9 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
1,446 | 1,493 | 47 | 4 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
5,962 | 5,959 | (3 | ) | 17 | % | 14 | % | ||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
16,034 | 16,395 | 361 | 47 | % | 40 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 34,094 | $ | 34,903 | $ | 809 | 100 | % | 84 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.56 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.48 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6.5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
5 years |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances. |
Page 23
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio ($ in millions ) |
September 30, 2017 | December 31, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Amortized | Unrealized | % of | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 260 | $ | 260 | $ | | 4 | % | $ | 295 | $ | 295 | $ | | 4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
2,607 | 2,661 | 54 | 37 | % | 2,588 | 2,605 | 17 | 39 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government |
240 | 241 | 1 | 3 | % | 245 | 249 | 4 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
894 | 964 | 70 | 13 | % | 980 | 1,026 | 46 | 15 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
97 | 100 | 3 | 1 | % | 142 | 144 | 2 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
1,630 | 1,641 | 11 | 23 | % | 1,445 | 1,440 | (5 | ) | 21 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
1,308 | 1,335 | 27 | 19 | % | 976 | 993 | 17 | 15 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 7,036 | $ | 7,202 | $ | 166 | 100 | % | $ | 6,671 | $ | 6,752 | $ | 81 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
3.77 | % | 3.88 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
3.67 | % | 3.67 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b) |
4.15 | % | 4.20 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
5 years | 4.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
4 years | 3.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2017 | December 31, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Amortized | Unrealized | % of | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 48 | $ | 48 | $ | | 0 | % | $ | 52 | $ | 52 | $ | | 0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
4,181 | 4,363 | 182 | 14 | % | 4,089 | 4,203 | 114 | 15 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government |
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | % | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
2,170 | 2,423 | 253 | 8 | % | 2,390 | 2,601 | 211 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
870 | 910 | 40 | 3 | % | 1,304 | 1,349 | 45 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
5,732 | 5,849 | 117 | 19 | % | 4,517 | 4,519 | 2 | 16 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
16,712 | 17,347 | 635 | 56 | % | 15,058 | 15,402 | 344 | 55 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Annuity and Run-off |
$ | 29,724 | $ | 30,953 | $ | 1,229 | 100 | % | $ | 27,421 | $ | 28,138 | $ | 717 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.60 | % | 4.72 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.57 | % | 4.67 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
7 years | 6.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
5 years | 5 years |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances. |
(b) | Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield. |
Page 24
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | ||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 6,106 | $ | 6,221 | $ | 115 | 16 | % | ||||||||
AA |
8,108 | 8,375 | 267 | 22 | % | |||||||||||
A |
8,873 | 9,195 | 322 | 24 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
10,063 | 10,447 | 384 | 28 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
33,150 | 34,238 | 1,088 | 90 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
708 | 725 | 17 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
B |
335 | 340 | 5 | 1 | % | |||||||||||
Other (b) |
2,569 | 2,865 | 296 | 7 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
3,612 | 3,930 | 318 | 10 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 36,762 | $ | 38,168 | $ | 1,406 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | ||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 6,117 | $ | 6,189 | $ | 72 | 18 | % | ||||||||
AA |
7,123 | 7,257 | 134 | 21 | % | |||||||||||
A |
8,323 | 8,487 | 164 | 24 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
8,999 | 9,193 | 194 | 26 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
30,562 | 31,126 | 564 | 89 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
687 | 695 | 8 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
B |
446 | 445 | (1 | ) | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Other (b) |
2,399 | 2,637 | 238 | 8 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
3,532 | 3,777 | 245 | 11 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 34,094 | $ | 34,903 | $ | 809 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
(b) | See page 29 for more information. |
Page 25
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2017 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 218 | $ | 218 | $ | | 5 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,283 | 1,452 | 169 | 33 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
1,049 | 1,167 | 118 | 26 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
515 | 562 | 47 | 13 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
967 | 1,010 | 43 | 23 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 4,032 | $ | 4,409 | $ | 377 | 100 | % | 10 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Substantially all of AFGs MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.
- The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 79%; Subprime 85%; CMBS 99%.
- The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 733; Alt-A 703; Subprime 632.
- 95% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (82% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 31%.
- The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 4.5 years; Commercial 5.5 years.
December 31, 2016 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 243 | $ | 243 | $ | | 5 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,406 | 1,557 | 151 | 30 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
1,093 | 1,170 | 77 | 23 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
629 | 669 | 40 | 13 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
1,446 | 1,493 | 47 | 29 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 4,817 | $ | 5,132 | $ | 315 | 100 | % | 12 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 26
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio ($ in millions) |
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 175 | $ | 174 | $ | (1 | ) | 17 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
183 | 203 | 20 | 19 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
317 | 351 | 34 | 33 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
219 | 236 | 17 | 22 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
97 | 100 | 3 | 9 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 991 | $ | 1,064 | $ | 73 | 100 | % | 11 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 192 | $ | 191 | $ | (1 | ) | 17 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
187 | 202 | 15 | 17 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
342 | 361 | 19 | 31 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
259 | 272 | 13 | 23 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
142 | 144 | 2 | 12 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,122 | $ | 1,170 | $ | 48 | 100 | % | 12 | % | ||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off: |
September 30, 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 43 | $ | 44 | $ | 1 | 1 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,099 | 1,237 | 138 | 37 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
732 | 816 | 84 | 25 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
296 | 326 | 30 | 10 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
870 | 910 | 40 | 27 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 3,040 | $ | 3,333 | $ | 293 | 100 | % | 10 | % | ||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 51 | $ | 52 | $ | 1 | 1 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,218 | 1,343 | 125 | 34 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
751 | 809 | 58 | 21 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
370 | 397 | 27 | 10 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
1,304 | 1,349 | 45 | 34 | % | 5 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 3,694 | $ | 3,950 | $ | 256 | 100 | % | 13 | % | ||||||||||
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|
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|
|
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|
Page 27
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | ||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 1,259 | $ | 1,306 | $ | 47 | 30 | % | ||||||||
AA |
94 | 98 | 4 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
A |
219 | 233 | 14 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
229 | 243 | 14 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - investment grade |
1,801 | 1,880 | 79 | 43 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
189 | 192 | 3 | 4 | % | |||||||||||
B |
249 | 257 | 8 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
Other (b) |
1,793 | 2,080 | 287 | 47 | % | |||||||||||
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|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 4,032 | $ | 4,409 | $ | 377 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | ||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 1,668 | $ | 1,720 | $ | 52 | 34 | % | ||||||||
AA |
164 | 169 | 5 | 3 | % | |||||||||||
A |
256 | 268 | 12 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
274 | 288 | 14 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - investment grade |
2,362 | 2,445 | 83 | 48 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
211 | 212 | 1 | 4 | % | |||||||||||
B |
330 | 333 | 3 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
Other (b) |
1,914 | 2,142 | 228 | 42 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 4,817 | $ | 5,132 | $ | 315 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
(b) | See page 29 for more information. |
Page 28
Appendix A American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type ($ in millions) |
Fair Value - September 30, 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
US Gov | Munis | Frgn gov | RMBS | CMBS | ABS | Corp/Oth | Total | % Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 217 | $ | 1,810 | $ | 180 | $ | 476 | $ | 830 | $ | 2,495 | $ | 213 | $ | 6,221 | 16 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
AA |
84 | 4,564 | 67 | 79 | 19 | 2,170 | 1,392 | 8,375 | 22 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A |
| 504 | 3 | 206 | 27 | 1,703 | 6,752 | 9,195 | 24 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BBB |
| 49 | 4 | 155 | 88 | 846 | 9,305 | 10,447 | 28 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
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|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
301 | 6,927 | 254 | 916 | 964 | 7,214 | 17,662 | 34,238 | 90 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BB |
| 4 | | 173 | 19 | 5 | 524 | 725 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B |
| 7 | | 253 | 4 | | 76 | 340 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCC, CC, C |
| 1 | | 936 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 971 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D |
| 7 | | 534 | | | | 541 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
| 19 | | 1,896 | 26 | 7 | 629 | 2,577 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Rated |
8 | 78 | | 587 | 20 | 269 | 391 | 1,353 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 309 | $ | 7,024 | $ | 254 | $ | 3,399 | $ | 1,010 | $ | 7,490 | $ | 18,682 | $ | 38,168 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Fair Value - December 31, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
US Gov | Munis | Frgn gov | RMBS | CMBS | ABS | Corp/Oth | Total | % Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 299 | $ | 1,727 | $ | 171 | $ | 508 | $ | 1,213 | $ | 2,053 | $ | 218 | $ | 6,189 | 18 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
AA |
41 | 4,388 | 30 | 127 | 42 | 1,480 | 1,149 | 7,257 | 21 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A |
| 501 | 55 | 170 | 98 | 1,593 | 6,070 | 8,487 | 24 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BBB |
| 69 | 5 | 202 | 86 | 813 | 8,018 | 9,193 | 26 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
340 | 6,685 | 261 | 1,007 | 1,439 | 5,939 | 15,455 | 31,126 | 89 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BB |
| 4 | | 184 | 29 | 16 | 462 | 695 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B |
| 8 | | 307 | 25 | 1 | 104 | 445 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCC, CC, C |
| 11 | | 963 | | 3 | 32 | 1,009 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D |
| | | 679 | | | | 679 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
| 23 | | 2,133 | 54 | 20 | 598 | 2,828 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Rated |
8 | 100 | | 499 | | | 342 | 949 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 348 | $ | 6,808 | $ | 261 | $ | 3,639 | $ | 1,493 | $ | 5,959 | $ | 16,395 | $ | 34,903 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
Page 29