UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)
of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 1, 2016
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Ohio | 1-13653 | 31-1544320 | ||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH | 45202 | |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
☐ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
☐ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
☐ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Section 2 - Financial Information
Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.
Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the Company) relating to the announcement of the Companys results of operations for the third quarter of 2016 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Companys website. The press release was issued on November 1, 2016. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.
The information contained herein shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.
Section 8 - Other Events
Item 8.01 Other Events.
In the press release issued on November 1, 2015, the Company also announced that it declared a special cash dividend of $1.00 per share of American Financial Group Common Stock. The dividend is payable on December 7, 2016 to Company shareholders of record on November 23, 2016. The aggregate amount of the payment to be made in connection with this special dividend will be approximately $87 million. This special dividend is in addition to the Companys regular quarterly cash dividend.
Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(a) | Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable. |
(b) | Pro forma financial information. Not applicable. |
(c) | Shell company transactions. Not applicable |
(d) | Exhibits |
Exhibit |
Description | |
99.1 | Earnings Release dated November 1, 2016, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarter ended September 30, 2016 and announcing the declaration of a special dividend. | |
99.2 | Investor Supplement Third Quarter 2016 |
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. | ||||||
Date: November 2, 2016 | ||||||
By: | /s/ Karl J. Grafe | |||||
Karl J. Grafe | ||||||
Vice President |
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Exhibit 99.1
American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Results
| Net earnings of $1.23 per share; includes $0.30 per share A&E reserve strengthening |
| Core net operating earnings $1.51 per share |
| Announced special cash dividend of $1.00 per share, payable December 7, 2016 |
| Full year 2016 core net operating earnings guidance revised to $5.55 - $5.75 per share |
CINCINNATI November 1, 2016 American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2016 third quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $109 million ($1.23 per share) compared to $63 million ($0.71 per share) for the 2015 third quarter. Net earnings for the quarter include after-tax charges of $26 million ($0.30 per share) to strengthen the Companys asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserves and $1 million ($0.02 per share) in after-tax realized gains. Comparatively, net earnings in the 2015 third quarter included net after-tax charges of $60 million ($0.67 per share). Details may be found in the table below. Book value per share increased by $1.88 to $59.45 per share during the third quarter of 2016. Annualized return on equity was 9.9% and 5.9% for the third quarters of 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Core net operating earnings were $134 million ($1.51 per share) for the 2016 third quarter, compared to $123 million ($1.38 per share) in the 2015 third quarter. The $1.51 per share established a new high for third quarter core EPS. The improved results were attributable to significantly higher operating earnings in our Annuity Segment and higher net investment income in our Specialty Property and Casualty (P&C) insurance operations, which were partially offset by lower Specialty P&C underwriting profit. Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains on fixed maturities, increased by $1.51 to $51.73 per share during the third quarter of 2016. Core net operating earnings for the third quarters of 2016 and 2015 generated annualized core returns on equity of 12.2% and 11.6%, respectively.
During the third quarter of 2016, AFG repurchased approximately 358,000 shares of common stock at an average price per share of $73.98.
The Company also announced today that it declared a special cash dividend of $1.00 per share of American Financial Group Common Stock. The dividend is payable on December 7, 2016 to shareholders of record on November 23, 2016. The aggregate amount of this special dividend will be approximately $87 million. This special dividend is in addition to the Companys regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.3125 per share, which was increased in August 2016 for the eleventh consecutive year.
AFGs net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, rating agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized investment gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFGs management uses core net operating earnings to
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evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFGs management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.
In millions, except per share amounts | Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||
Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders: |
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Core operating earnings before income taxes |
$ | 217 | $ | 193 | $ | 574 | $ | 542 | ||||||||
Pretax non-core items: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
2 | (16 | ) | (32 | ) | 2 | ||||||||||
Realized gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries: |
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Long-term care business |
| | 2 | (162 | ) | |||||||||||
Other |
| 5 | | 5 | ||||||||||||
Gain on sale of apartment property and hotel |
| | 32 | 51 | ||||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(41 | ) | (79 | ) | (41 | ) | (79 | ) | ||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| | (65 | ) | | |||||||||||
Loss on early retirement of debt |
| (4 | ) | | (4 | ) | ||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes |
178 | 99 | 470 | 355 | ||||||||||||
Provision (credit) for income taxes: |
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Core operating earnings |
79 | 66 | 202 | 180 | ||||||||||||
Non-core items |
(14 | ) | (33 | ) | (12 | ) | (65 | ) | ||||||||
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Total provision (credit) for income taxes |
65 | 33 | 190 | 115 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests |
113 | 66 | 280 | 240 | ||||||||||||
Less net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests: |
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Core operating earnings |
4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | ||||||||||||
Non-core items |
| (1 | ) | 2 | 5 | |||||||||||
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Total net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests |
4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 109 | $ | 63 | $ | 264 | $ | 223 | ||||||||
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Net earnings: |
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Core net operating earnings(a) |
$ | 134 | $ | 123 | $ | 358 | $ | 350 | ||||||||
Non-core items |
(25 | ) | (60 | ) | (94 | ) | (127 | ) | ||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 109 | $ | 63 | $ | 264 | $ | 223 | ||||||||
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Components of Earnings Per Share: |
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Core net operating earnings(a) |
$ | 1.51 | $ | 1.38 | $ | 4.04 | $ | 3.92 | ||||||||
Non-core Items: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
0.02 | (0.10 | ) | (0.21 | ) | 0.03 | ||||||||||
Realized gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries: |
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Long-term care business |
| | 0.01 | (1.18 | ) | |||||||||||
Other |
| 0.04 | | 0.04 | ||||||||||||
Gain on sale of apartment property and hotel |
| | 0.17 | 0.29 | ||||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(0.30 | ) | (0.58 | ) | (0.30 | ) | (0.58 | ) | ||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| | (0.73 | ) | | |||||||||||
Loss on early retirement of debt |
| (0.03 | ) | | (0.03 | ) | ||||||||||
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Diluted Earnings Per Share |
$ | 1.23 | $ | 0.71 | $ | 2.98 | $ | 2.49 | ||||||||
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Footnotes (a) and (b) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFGs Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: We are pleased with our core net operating earnings for the quarter, which include record earnings in our Annuity Segment and strong profitability in our P&C operations. We believe these results showcase the solid fundamentals underlying our business and the value within our diversified specialty insurance franchise.
Returning capital to shareholders in the form of a $1.00 special cash dividend reflects AFGs strong financial position and our confidence in the Companys financial future. AFG had approximately $1.1 billion of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $170 million) at September 30, 2016. Our excess capital will be deployed into AFGs core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. Our recently announced agreement to purchase the outstanding minority shares of National Interstate, which is subject to approval in a vote of National Interstate shareholders next week, will use approximately $300 million of AFGs
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excess capital. In addition, share repurchases, particularly when executed at attractive valuations, are an important and effective component of our capital management strategy. We will continue to make opportunistic share repurchases and return capital to shareholders through dividends.
Based on results for the first nine months of 2016, we now estimate that AFGs core net operating earnings will be in the range of $5.55 to $5.75 per share, revised from the range of $5.35 to $5.75 announced previously. Our revised guidance includes the estimated impact of losses from Hurricane Matthew. Our core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses as well as other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.
Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations
The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $78 million in the 2016 third quarter, compared to $84 million in the third quarter of 2015. Higher underwriting profitability in our Property and Transportation Group was more than offset by lower underwriting profitability in our Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial Groups. The third quarter 2016 combined ratio of 93.2% was slightly higher than the 92.9% reported in the comparable prior year period. Results in the third quarter of 2016 include 1.1 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 1.2 points in the comparable prior year period. Third quarter 2016 results include 1.2 points in catastrophe losses, compared to 0.9 points in the 2015 third quarter.
Gross and net written premiums were down 3% and 4%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2016, when compared to the same period in 2015. Pricing across our entire P&C Group was up 1% for the quarter. Further details of AFGs Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.
The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $44 million in the third quarter of 2016, compared to $20 million in the third quarter of 2015. Higher underwriting profits in our crop, transportation and property & inland marine businesses were the drivers of the improved results. Catastrophe losses for this group were $7 million in the third quarter of 2016, comparable to the prior year period.
Gross and net written premiums for the third quarter of 2016 were 7% and 4% lower, respectively, than the comparable 2015 period. The decrease was largely the result of lower year-over-year premiums in our crop businesses, primarily the result of lower spring commodity pricing and timing differences in the recording of crop premiums. Excluding crop, third quarter 2016 gross and net written premiums were virtually unchanged from the prior year period. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 4% on average for the third quarter of 2016, including a 6% increase in National Interstates renewal rates.
The Specialty Casualty Group reported 2016 third quarter underwriting profit of $13 million, compared to $31 million in the third quarter of 2015. Higher underwriting profitability in our workers compensation businesses, primarily the result of higher favorable prior year reserve development, was more than offset by higher adverse prior year reserve development in our excess and surplus lines businesses, lower underwriting profitability in our targeted markets businesses and continued underwriting losses in our Lloyds business, Neon.
Gross and net written premiums decreased 2% and 8%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2016 when compared to the same prior year period. Higher premiums in our workers compensation businesses were more than offset by Neons exit of certain lines of business and implementation of tougher underwriting standards at Neon. In addition, net written premiums were impacted by higher
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ceded premiums within Neon. Renewal pricing for this group decreased by 1% in the third quarter, including a decrease of approximately 4% in our workers compensation businesses. Excluding workers compensation, renewal pricing in this group was up approximately 1% for the quarter.
The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $19 million in the third quarter of 2016, compared to $26 million in the third quarter of 2015. The decrease was due primarily to lower underwriting profit in our financial institutions business, primarily the result of August storms and flooding in Louisiana. Nearly all of the businesses in this group continued to achieve excellent underwriting margins.
Gross and net written premiums increased 13% and 9%, respectively, in the 2016 third quarter when compared to the same 2015 period, primarily as a result of higher premiums in our financial institutions business. Renewal pricing in this group was flat for the quarter.
Carl Lindner III stated, Results in each of our Specialty P&C Groups have been very good through the first nine months of year. Based on these results, we continue to expect an overall 2016 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 92% to 94%, and net written premium growth for the full year of 2016 in the range of 0% to 2%. Our combined ratio guidance includes the estimated impact of losses from Hurricane Matthew.
Further details about AFGs Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Annuity Segment
As shown in the following table, AFGs Annuity Segment contributed a record $107 million in pretax operating earnings in the third quarter of 2016 compared to $67 million in the third quarter of 2015, an increase of 60%. Earnings before the impact of fair value accounting on fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs) were $106 million in the third quarter of 2016 compared to $89 million in the third quarter of 2015, an increase of 19%, as shown in the table that follows:
Components of Annuity Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes
Dollars in millions | Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs |
$ | 106 | $ | 89 | 19 | % | $ | 292 | $ | 258 | 13 | % | ||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs |
1 | (22 | ) | nm | (56 | ) | (28 | ) | nm | |||||||||||||||
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Pretax Annuity Operating Earnings |
$ | 107 | $ | 67 | 60 | % | $ | 236 | $ | 230 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||
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Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs AFGs third quarter 2016 earnings benefited from favorable investment results, including the positive impact of certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings. In addition, AFGs quarterly average annuity investments and reserves grew 11.3% and 12.7% year-over-year, respectively; however, the benefit of this growth was partially offset by the run-off of higher yielding investments. Furthermore, AFGs third quarter 2016 earnings were favorably impacted by better stock market performance during the quarter, compared to a negative impact from a significant drop in the stock market in the third quarter of 2015.
Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs Variances from expectations of certain items (such as projected interest rates, option costs and surrenders), as well as changes in the stock market, have an impact on the accounting for FIAs; these accounting adjustments are recognized through AFGs
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reported core earnings. Many of these adjustments are not economic in nature, but rather impact the timing of reported results. In the third quarter of 2016, the impact from changes in the stock market and interest rates was moderate. Conversely, in the third quarter of 2015, the significant stock market decrease resulted in a large unfavorable impact on annuity earnings. In addition, interest rates decreased during the 2015 third quarter, compared to the expectation that they would rise, which also had a negative impact on annuity earnings in the prior year period. These impacts are included within the Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs amounts shown in the table above.
Annuity Premiums As expected, AFGs annuity premiums decreased significantly in the third quarter of 2016 as compared to the third quarter of 2015. Annuity sales of $941 million in the third quarter of 2016 were down 29% from last year. Medium to longer term market interest rates dropped 80 to 90 basis points in the first nine months of 2016; accordingly, AFG reduced its crediting rates on its annuities several times during 2016 in order to maintain appropriate returns on new business. Management believes these rate decreases had a negative impact on sales, particularly in the retail channel.
Craig Lindner stated, Im very pleased with our record pretax annuity operating earnings in the quarter. Our core business fundamentals remain very strong we continue to achieve appropriate returns on new business and the interest spread on our inforce business continues to exceed our plan by several basis points. We remain committed to disciplined pricing of our products, consumer-friendly product design, careful expense management and growing our business only when we can achieve desired long-term returns. We believe this business model, which we adopted many years ago, positions us well in a changing regulatory environment.
For earnings before the impact of fair value accounting for FIAs, AFG is increasing its 2016 full year expectations to a range of $377 to $387 million, up from the previous estimate of $370 to $385 million. This new guidance includes a more normalized run rate of investment income going forward, as compared to the unusually high amount achieved in the second and third quarters of this year.
Including the impact of fair value accounting for FIAs, we believe that full year 2016 pretax annuity operating earnings will be in the range of $310 to $345 million, both up $5 million from previous guidance. Significant changes in market interest rates and/or the stock market, as compared to our expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segments results. These earnings expectations do not reflect any potential earnings impact from our annual fourth quarter review (unlocking) of the major actuarial assumptions in our fixed annuity business.
Finally, based on premiums through the first nine months of the year and our recent levels of sales, we now expect that premiums for the full year of 2016 will be in line with or slightly higher than the $4.1 billion in 2015.
More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in AFGs Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Department of Labor Rule The Company continues to make product and process changes needed to comply with the Department of Labor (DOL) fiduciary rule adopted earlier this year. AFGs goal is to minimize disruption resulting from the implementation of the rule in April 2017. The Company is proceeding under the premise that the DOL rule will not be impacted by the pending litigation. Most of the Companys largest independent marketing organizations (IMOs) are making adjustments to their operations to provide a long-term solution to their need to have a Financial Institution sign the Best Interest agreement, and a number of these entities have made application to the DOL to serve as a Financial Institution. AFG believes the biggest impact of the new rule will be on insurance-only licensed agents whose sales represented less than 10% of our third quarter premiums. While AFG management continues to believe the adjustments required of the Company and its distribution partners to comply with the DOL rule will have a negative impact on premiums next year, management does not believe the new rule will have a material impact on AFGs business.
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A&E Reserves
During the third quarter of 2016, AFG completed an in-depth internal review of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its P&C Group and its exposures related to former railroad and manufacturing operations and sites. This years internal review resulted in non-core after-tax special charges of $26 million ($41 million pretax) to increase AFGs A&E reserves.
The P&C Groups asbestos reserves were increased by $5 million (net of reinsurance) and its environmental reserves were increased by $31 million (net of reinsurance). At September 30, 2016, the P&C Groups insurance reserves include A&E reserves of $340 million, net of reinsurance recoverables.
Over the past few years, the focus of AFGs asbestos claims litigation has shifted to smaller companies and companies with ancillary exposures. AFGs insureds with these exposures have been the driver of our P&C asbestos reserve increases in recent years. AFG is seeing modestly increasing estimates for indemnity and defense compared to prior studies. Overall, the rate of new asbestos cases received is down modestly.
The increase in P&C environmental reserves was primarily associated with updated estimates of site investigation costs with respect to existing sites and newly identified sites. AFG is seeing increased legal defense costs in environmental claims generally, as well as a number of claims and sites where the estimated investigation and remediation costs have increased. As in past years, there were no new or emerging broad industry trends that were identified in this review.
In addition, the 2016 internal review encompassed reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures of our former railroad and manufacturing operations. As a result of the review, AFG increased its reserve for these asbestos and environmental exposures by $5 million, due primarily to relatively small movements across several sites that primarily reflect changes in the scope and costs of investigation.
Investments
AFG recorded third quarter 2016 net realized gains of $1 million after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), compared to net realized losses of $6 million in the comparable prior year period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $669 million, after tax, after DAC at September 30, 2016, an increase of $391 million since year-end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 89% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 97% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners designation of NAIC 1 or 2, its highest two categories.
For the three months ended September 30, 2016, P&C net investment income was approximately 12% higher than the comparable 2015 period, reflecting the positive impact of certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings.
More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
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National Interstate Merger
A Definitive Proxy Statement has been mailed in connection with a special meeting of the shareholders of National Interstate Corporation, to be held on November 10, 2016. At the special meeting, holders of National Interstate common shares will be asked to consider and vote on a proposal to adopt the Agreement and Plan of Merger. The Merger will become effective upon an affirmative vote of at least a majority of the outstanding common shares owned by shareholders other than AFG and its affiliates. If approved, at completion of the Merger each National Interstate common share issued and outstanding at the effective time of the Merger will be cancelled and converted into the right to receive $32.00 in cash. In addition, the Merger Agreement provides that National Interstate will declare a special cash dividend of $0.50 per common share payable immediately prior to the effective time of the merger to all shareholders of record as of such time. The proposed Merger will allow National Interstate and its subsidiaries to become members of the AFG consolidated tax group, which will result in a non-core tax benefit of approximately $66 million to AFG at the time the transaction is consummated, which is expected to be during the fourth quarter of 2016.
About American Financial Group, Inc.
American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets over $50 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Groups roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Companys expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.
Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFGs investment portfolio; the availability of capital; the possibility that the proposal to acquire all shares of National Interstate Corporation that are not currently owned by AFGs wholly-owned subsidiary, Great American Insurance Company is not consummated; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and mortality; competitive pressures; the
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ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFGs credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to our operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy (including those associated with the United Kingdoms expected withdrawal from the European Union, or Brexit) relating to our international operations; and other factors identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.
Conference Call
The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2016 third quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, November 2, 2016. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 94327001. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.
A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on November 9, 2016. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 94327001.
The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFGs website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions at the Webcasts and Presentations link.
The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until November 9, 2016 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.
Contact:
Diane P. Weidner
Asst. Vice President Investor Relations
(513) 369-5713
Websites:
www.AFGinc.com
www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com
# # #
(Financial summaries follow)
This earnings release and AFGs Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFGs website: www.AFGinc.com.
AFG16-22
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AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA
(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||
Revenues |
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P&C insurance net earned premiums |
$ | 1,159 | $ | 1,173 | $ | 3,184 | $ | 3,104 | ||||||||
Life, accident & health net earned premiums |
6 | 28 | 18 | 80 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income |
433 | 425 | 1,267 | 1,217 | ||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on: |
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Securities |
2 | (16 | ) | (32 | ) | 2 | ||||||||||
Subsidiaries |
| 5 | 2 | (157 | ) | |||||||||||
Income (loss) of managed investment entities: |
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Investment income |
48 | 40 | 141 | 112 | ||||||||||||
Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities |
11 | (11 | ) | 9 | (16 | ) | ||||||||||
Other income |
46 | 43 | 172 | 185 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total revenues |
1,705 | 1,687 | 4,761 | 4,527 | ||||||||||||
Costs and expenses |
||||||||||||||||
P&C insurance losses & expenses |
1,121 | 1,161 | 3,071 | 2,989 | ||||||||||||
Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses |
251 | 288 | 797 | 795 | ||||||||||||
Interest charges on borrowed money |
19 | 18 | 56 | 58 | ||||||||||||
Expenses of managed investment entities |
38 | 28 | 109 | 80 | ||||||||||||
Other expenses |
98 | 93 | 258 | 250 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total costs and expenses |
1,527 | 1,588 | 4,291 | 4,172 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Earnings before income taxes |
178 | 99 | 470 | 355 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes(c) |
65 | 33 | 190 | 115 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net earnings including noncontrolling interests |
113 | 66 | 280 | 240 | ||||||||||||
Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests |
4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 109 | $ | 63 | $ | 264 | $ | 223 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Diluted earnings per common share |
$ | 1.23 | $ | 0.71 | $ | 2.98 | $ | 2.49 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Average number of diluted shares |
88.5 | 89.3 | 88.4 | 89.4 |
Selected Balance Sheet Data: |
September 30, 2016 |
December 31, 2015 |
||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 41,805 | $ | 37,736 | ||||
Long-term debt(d) |
$ | 1,300 | $ | 998 | ||||
Shareholders equity(e) |
$ | 5,161 | $ | 4,592 | ||||
Shareholders equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities)(e) |
$ | 4,492 | $ | 4,314 | ||||
Book value per share |
$ | 59.45 | $ | 52.50 | ||||
Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities) |
$ | 51.73 | $ | 49.33 | ||||
Common Shares Outstanding |
86.8 | 87.5 |
Footnotes (c), (d) and (e) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
Page 9
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS
(Dollars in Millions)
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 1,899 | $ | 1,962 | (3 | %) | $ | 4,540 | $ | 4,476 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
$ | 1,268 | $ | 1,319 | (4 | %) | $ | 3,303 | $ | 3,271 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Ratios (GAAP): |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss & LAE ratio |
62.9 | % | 64.5 | % | 61.0 | % | 62.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.3 | % | 28.4 | % | 31.9 | % | 31.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Specialty Combined Ratio |
93.2 | % | 92.9 | % | 92.9 | % | 93.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Combined Ratio P&C Segment |
96.3 | % | 98.7 | % | 96.0 | % | 96.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Supplemental Information:(f) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Written Premiums: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property & Transportation |
$ | 991 | $ | 1,064 | (7 | %) | $ | 1,927 | $ | 1,940 | (1 | %) | ||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
722 | 734 | (2 | %) | 2,108 | 2,078 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
186 | 164 | 13 | % | 505 | 458 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
$ | 1,899 | $ | 1,962 | (3 | %) | $ | 4,540 | $ | 4,476 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Net Written Premiums: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property & Transportation |
$ | 585 | $ | 608 | (4 | %) | $ | 1,278 | $ | 1,258 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
504 | 545 | (8 | %) | 1,526 | 1,549 | (1 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
149 | 137 | 9 | % | 418 | 388 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other |
30 | 29 | 3 | % | 81 | 76 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
$ | 1,268 | $ | 1,319 | (4 | %) | $ | 3,303 | $ | 3,271 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Combined Ratio (GAAP): |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property & Transportation |
91.1 | % | 96.2 | % | 92.4 | % | 98.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
97.4 | % | 93.8 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
86.4 | % | 80.6 | % | 84.5 | % | 81.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group |
93.2 | % | 92.9 | % | 92.9 | % | 93.7 | % |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||
Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse: |
||||||||||||||||
Property & Transportation |
$ | (5 | ) | $ | (2 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | $ | 7 | |||||
Specialty Casualty |
(2 | ) | 3 | (16 | ) | (4 | ) | |||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(6 | ) | (8 | ) | (17 | ) | (25 | ) | ||||||||
Other |
(1 | ) | (7 | ) | (4 | ) | (10 | ) | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Specialty Group Excluding A&E and Neon Charge |
(14 | ) | (14 | ) | (71 | ) | (32 | ) | ||||||||
Special A&E Reserve Charge - P&C Run-off |
36 | 67 | 36 | 67 | ||||||||||||
Neon Exited Lines Charge and Other |
| 2 | 57 | 3 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total Reserve Development |
$ | 22 | $ | 55 | $ | 22 | $ | 38 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Points on Combined Ratio: |
||||||||||||||||
Property & Transportation |
(1.2 | ) | (0.4 | ) | (2.8 | ) | 0.5 | |||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
(0.3 | ) | 0.6 | (1.1 | ) | (0.2 | ) | |||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(3.9 | ) | (5.8 | ) | (4.0 | ) | (6.5 | ) | ||||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group |
(1.1 | ) | (1.2 | ) | (2.1 | ) | (1.0 | ) | ||||||||
Total P&C Segment |
2.0 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
Footnote (f) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
Page 10
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
ANNUITY SEGMENT
(Dollars in Millions)
Components of Statutory Premiums
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity Premiums: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Financial Institutions |
$ | 532 | $ | 625 | (15 | %) | $ | 1,792 | $ | 1,436 | 25 | % | ||||||||||||
Retail |
358 | 639 | (44 | %) | 1,359 | 1,422 | (4 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Education Market |
42 | 47 | (11 | %) | 144 | 143 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Variable Annuities |
9 | 10 | (10 | %) | 29 | 32 | (9 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Annuity Premiums |
$ | 941 | $ | 1,321 | (29 | %) | $ | 3.324 | $ | 3,033 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Components of Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 351 | $ | 317 | 11 | % | $ | 1,010 | $ | 915 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||
Other income |
26 | 24 | 8 | % | 76 | 75 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
377 | 341 | 11 | % | 1,086 | 990 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Costs and Expenses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits |
189 | 208 | (9 | %) | 640 | 543 | 18 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
53 | 44 | 20 | % | 127 | 143 | (11 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
28 | 22 | 27 | % | 83 | 74 | 12 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total costs and expenses |
270 | 274 | (1 | %) | 850 | 760 | 12 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Operating earnings before income taxes |
$ | 107 | $ | 67 | 60 | % | $ | 236 | $ | 230 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Supplemental Fixed Annuity Information
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
|||||||||||||||||||||
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Operating earnings before impact of fair value accounting on FIAs |
$ | 106 | $ | 89 | 19 | % | $ | 292 | $ | 258 | 13 | % | ||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting |
1 | (22 | ) | nm | (56 | ) | (28 | ) | nm | |||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Operating earnings before income taxes |
$ | 107 | $ | 67 | 60 | % | $ | 236 | $ | 230 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Average Fixed Annuity Reserves* |
$ | 28,538 | $ | 25,316 | 13 | % | $ | 27,778 | $ | 24,514 | 13 | % | ||||||||||||
Net Interest Spread* |
2.85 | % | 2.80 | % | 2.75 | % | 2.75 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Net Spread Earned Before Impact of Fair Value Accounting* |
1.46 | % | 1.37 | % | 1.37 | % | 1.36 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Net Spread Earned After Impact of Fair Value Accounting* |
1.47 | % | 1.02 | % | 1.10 | % | 1.21 | % |
* | Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business. |
Page 11
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Notes to Financial Schedules
a) | Components of core net operating earnings (in millions): |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
|||||||||||||||
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||
Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes: |
||||||||||||||||
P&C insurance segment |
$ | 153 | $ | 153 | $ | 450 | $ | 403 | ||||||||
Annuity segment, before impact of fair value accounting |
106 | 89 | 292 | 258 | ||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting |
1 | (22 | ) | (56 | ) | (28 | ) | |||||||||
Run-off long-term care and life segment |
1 | 6 | | 14 | ||||||||||||
Interest & other corporate expense |
(48 | ) | (37 | ) | (126 | ) | (117 | ) | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Core operating earnings before income taxes |
213 | 189 | 560 | 530 | ||||||||||||
Related income taxes |
79 | 66 | 202 | 180 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
$ | 134 | $ | 123 | $ | 358 | $ | 350 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
b) | Reflects the following effects of special A&E charges during the third quarter and first nine months of 2016 and 2015 (dollars in millions, except per share amounts): |
Pretax | After-tax | EPS | ||||||||||||||||||||||
A&E Charges: |
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||
P&C insurance run-off operations |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asbestos |
$ | 5 | $ | 25 | $ | 3 | $ | 17 | ||||||||||||||||
Environmental |
31 | 42 | 20 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||||||
$ | 36 | $ | 67 | $ | 23 | $ | 44 | $ | 0.26 | $ | 0.49 | |||||||||||||
Former railroad & manufacturing operations |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asbestos |
$ | | $ | 1 | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||||
Environmental |
5 | 11 | 3 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
$ | 5 | $ | 12 | $ | 3 | $ | 8 | $ | 0.04 | $ | 0.09 | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total A&E |
$ | 41 | $ | 79 | $ | 26 | $ | 52 | $ | 0.30 | $ | 0.58 | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
c) | Excluding the impact of the Neon Exited Lines Charge that was reported in the second quarter of 2016, AFGs effective tax rate for the nine months ended September 30, 2016 was 36%. AFG maintains a full valuation allowance against the deferred tax benefits associated with losses related to AFGs specialist Lloyds insurance business, Neon (formerly known as Marketform). |
d) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. The impact of this adjustment was to reduce the carrying value of long-term debt on AFGs balance sheet by $22 million at December 31, 2015, from amounts originally reported. Adjustments to the income statement increased interest charges on borrowed money by $1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2015. |
e) | Shareholders Equity at September 30, 2016 includes $669 million ($7.72 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities. Shareholders Equity at December 31, 2015 includes $278 million ($3.17 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities. |
f) | Supplemental Notes: |
| Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages. |
| Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers compensation insurance. |
Page 12
| Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for leasing and financing institutions (including collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance. |
| Other includes an internal reinsurance facility. |
Page 13
Exhibit 99.2
American Financial Group, Inc.
Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2016 | ||
November 1, 2016 | ||
American Financial Group, Inc. | ||
Corporate Headquarters | ||
Great American Insurance Group Tower | ||
301 E Fourth Street | ||
Cincinnati, OH 45202 | ||
513 579 6739 |
American Financial Group, Inc. |
||
Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2016 |
Section |
Page | |
Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2016 |
2 | |
Financial Highlights |
3 | |
Summary of Earnings |
4 | |
Earnings Per Share Summary |
5 | |
Property and Casualty Insurance Segment |
||
Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
6 | |
Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
7 | |
Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
8 | |
Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
9 | |
Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
10 | |
Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
11 | |
Annuity Segment |
||
Annuity Earnings (GAAP) |
12 | |
Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP) |
13 | |
Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP) |
14 | |
Annuity Premiums (Statutory) |
15 | |
Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) |
16 | |
Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt |
||
Consolidated Balance Sheet |
17 | |
Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary |
18 | |
Capitalization |
19 | |
Additional Supplemental Information |
20 | |
Consolidated Investment Supplement |
||
Total Cash and Investments |
21 | |
Net Investment Income |
22 | |
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated |
23 | |
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio |
24 | |
Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating |
25 | |
Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated |
26 | |
Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio |
27 | |
Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating |
28 | |
Appendix |
||
A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type |
29 |
Page 2
American Financial Group, Inc. Financial Highlights (in millions, except per share information) |
||
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 9/30/2016 | 9/30/2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Highlights |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net earnings |
$ | 109 | $ | 54 | $ | 101 | $ | 129 | $ | 63 | $ | 264 | $ | 223 | ||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
134 | 113 | 111 | 136 | 123 | 358 | 350 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets |
54,845 | 52,733 | 51,038 | 49,837 | 50,540 | 54,845 | 50,540 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted shareholders equity (a) |
4,492 | 4,361 | 4,329 | 4,314 | 4,279 | 4,492 | 4,279 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty net written premiums |
1,268 | 1,056 | 979 | 1,056 | 1,319 | 3,303 | 3,271 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity statutory premiums |
941 | 1,098 | 1,285 | 1,107 | 1,321 | 3,324 | 3,033 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Per share data |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 1.23 | $ | 0.62 | $ | 1.14 | $ | 1.45 | $ | 0.71 | $ | 2.98 | $ | 2.49 | ||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings per share |
1.51 | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.52 | 1.38 | 4.04 | 3.92 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted book value per share (a) |
51.73 | 50.22 | 49.77 | 49.33 | 49.01 | 51.73 | 49.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash dividends per common share |
0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 1.280 | 0.250 | 0.840 | 0.750 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial ratios |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annualized return on equity (b) |
9.9 | % | 5.1 | % | 9.4 | % | 12.1 | % | 5.9 | % | 8.1 | % | 7.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
Annualized core operating return on equity (b) |
12.2 | % | 10.5 | % | 10.3 | % | 12.7 | % | 11.6 | % | 11.0 | % | 11.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss & LAE ratio |
62.9 | % | 61.2 | % | 58.3 | % | 61.8 | % | 64.5 | % | 61.0 | % | 62.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.3 | % | 32.7 | % | 33.0 | % | 29.2 | % | 28.4 | % | 31.9 | % | 31.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio - Specialty |
93.2 | % | 93.9 | % | 91.3 | % | 91.0 | % | 92.9 | % | 92.9 | % | 93.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net spread on fixed annuities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net interest spread |
2.85 | % | 2.84 | % | 2.54 | % | 2.53 | % | 2.80 | % | 2.75 | % | 2.75 | % | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Before impact of fair value accounting |
1.46 | % | 1.45 | % | 1.20 | % | 1.31 | % | 1.37 | % | 1.37 | % | 1.36 | % | ||||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting (c) |
0.01 | % | (0.37 | %) | (0.46 | %) | 0.08 | % | (0.35 | %) | (0.27 | %) | (0.15 | %) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
After impact of fair value accounting |
1.47 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.74 | % | 1.39 | % | 1.02 | % | 1.10 | % | 1.21 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 18. |
(b) | Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income. |
(c) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
Page 3
American Financial Group, Inc. Summary of Earnings ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 78 | $ | 62 | $ | 87 | $ | 100 | $ | 82 | $ | 227 | $ | 192 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
93 | 89 | 83 | 74 | 83 | 265 | 245 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other expense |
(18 | ) | (12 | ) | (12 | ) | (11 | ) | (12 | ) | (42 | ) | (34 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings |
153 | 139 | 158 | 163 | 153 | 450 | 403 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings |
107 | 76 | 53 | 101 | 67 | 236 | 230 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Run-off Long-Term Care and Life earnings |
1 | | (1 | ) | | 6 | | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense of parent holding companies (a) |
(19 | ) | (19 | ) | (18 | ) | (16 | ) | (18 | ) | (56 | ) | (57 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Other expense (a) |
(29 | ) | (19 | ) | (22 | ) | (29 | ) | (19 | ) | (70 | ) | (60 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Pre-tax core operating earnings |
213 | 177 | 170 | 219 | 189 | 560 | 530 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense |
79 | 64 | 59 | 83 | 66 | 202 | 180 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Core net operating earnings |
134 | 113 | 111 | 136 | 123 | 358 | 350 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Non-core items, net of tax: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries |
| 1 | | (7 | ) | 4 | 1 | (101 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of hotel and apartment properties |
| 15 | | 10 | | 15 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities |
1 | (10 | ) | (10 | ) | (10 | ) | (10 | ) | (19 | ) | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| (65 | ) | | | | (65 | ) | | |||||||||||||||||||
Significant A&E charges: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations |
(23 | ) | | | | (44 | ) | (23 | ) | (44 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations |
(3 | ) | | | | (8 | ) | (3 | ) | (8 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Other |
| | | | (2 | ) | | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
$ | 109 | $ | 54 | $ | 101 | $ | 129 | $ | 63 | $ | 264 | $ | 223 | ||||||||||||||
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(a) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. |
Page 4
American Financial Group, Inc. Earnings Per Share Summary (in millions, except per share information) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
$ | 134 | $ | 113 | $ | 111 | $ | 136 | $ | 123 | $ | 358 | $ | 350 | ||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
$ | 109 | $ | 54 | $ | 101 | $ | 129 | $ | 63 | $ | 264 | $ | 223 | ||||||||||||||
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Average number of diluted shares |
88.457 | 88.390 | 88.495 | 89.228 | 89.343 | 88.447 | 89.407 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted earnings per share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings per share |
$ | 1.51 | $ | 1.28 | $ | 1.25 | $ | 1.52 | $ | 1.38 | $ | 4.04 | $ | 3.92 | ||||||||||||||
Gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries |
| 0.01 | | (0.03 | ) | 0.04 | 0.01 | (1.14 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Gain on sale of hotel and apartment properties |
| 0.17 | | 0.11 | | 0.17 | 0.29 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities |
0.02 | (0.11 | ) | (0.11 | ) | (0.15 | ) | (0.10 | ) | (0.21 | ) | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge |
| (0.73 | ) | | | | (0.73 | ) | | |||||||||||||||||||
Significant A&E charges: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations |
(0.26 | ) | | | | (0.49 | ) | (0.26 | ) | (0.49 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations |
(0.04 | ) | | | | (0.09 | ) | (0.04 | ) | (0.09 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Other |
| | | | (0.03 | ) | | (0.03 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 1.23 | $ | 0.62 | $ | 1.14 | $ | 1.45 | $ | 0.71 | $ | 2.98 | $ | 2.49 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 5
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Transportation |
$ | 44 | $ | 15 | $ | 32 | $ | 34 | $ | 20 | $ | 91 | $ | 14 | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
13 | 23 | 29 | 50 | 31 | 65 | 96 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
19 | 22 | 23 | 15 | 26 | 64 | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other Specialty |
2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit - Specialty |
78 | 63 | 86 | 100 | 84 | 227 | 195 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other core charges, included in loss and LAE |
| 1 | (1 | ) | | 2 | | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit - Core |
78 | 62 | 87 | 100 | 82 | 227 | 192 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE |
(36 | ) | | | | (67 | ) | (36 | ) | (67 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, included in loss and LAE |
| (57 | ) | | | | (57 | ) | | |||||||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, included in underwriting expenses |
| (8 | ) | | | | (8 | ) | | |||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 42 | $ | (3 | ) | $ | 87 | $ | 100 | $ | 15 | $ | 126 | $ | 125 | |||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
14 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 14 | $ | 21 | $ | 8 | $ | 9 | $ | 10 | $ | 43 | $ | 26 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | 22 | $ | 28 | $ | (28 | ) | $ | (5 | ) | $ | 55 | $ | 22 | $ | 38 | ||||||||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Transportation |
91.1 | % | 95.9 | % | 90.6 | % | 92.4 | % | 96.2 | % | 92.4 | % | 98.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
97.4 | % | 95.3 | % | 94.3 | % | 90.2 | % | 93.8 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
86.4 | % | 84.4 | % | 82.6 | % | 88.7 | % | 80.6 | % | 84.5 | % | 81.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other Specialty |
91.5 | % | 89.2 | % | 89.7 | % | 97.1 | % | 67.3 | % | 90.1 | % | 81.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Combined ratio - Specialty |
93.2 | % | 93.9 | % | 91.3 | % | 91.0 | % | 92.9 | % | 92.9 | % | 93.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other core charges |
0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | (0.1 | %) | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, loss and LAE |
0.0 | % | 5.5 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 1.8 | % | 0.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Neon exited lines charge, underwriting expenses |
0.0 | % | 0.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.2 | % | 0.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges |
3.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 5.7 | % | 1.1 | % | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
96.3 | % | 100.3 | % | 91.2 | % | 91.0 | % | 98.7 | % | 96.0 | % | 96.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
93.1 | % | 94.8 | % | 93.2 | % | 90.6 | % | 93.2 | % | 93.7 | % | 93.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
62.8 | % | 62.1 | % | 60.2 | % | 61.4 | % | 64.8 | % | 61.8 | % | 62.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
2.0 | % | 2.7 | % | (2.8 | %) | (0.4 | %) | 4.6 | % | 0.7 | % | 1.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.2 | % | 2.0 | % | 0.8 | % | 0.8 | % | 0.9 | % | 1.3 | % | 0.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
66.0 | % | 66.8 | % | 58.2 | % | 61.8 | % | 70.3 | % | 63.8 | % | 64.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 6
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 1,899 | $ | 1,398 | $ | 1,243 | $ | 1,356 | $ | 1,962 | $ | 4,540 | $ | 4,476 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(631 | ) | (342 | ) | (264 | ) | (300 | ) | (643 | ) | (1,237 | ) | (1,205 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
1,268 | 1,056 | 979 | 1,056 | 1,319 | 3,303 | 3,271 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(109 | ) | (29 | ) | 19 | 64 | (146 | ) | (119 | ) | (167 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
1,159 | 1,027 | 998 | 1,120 | 1,173 | 3,184 | 3,104 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
729 | 629 | 582 | 693 | 756 | 1,940 | 1,932 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
352 | 335 | 330 | 327 | 333 | 1,017 | 977 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 78 | $ | 63 | $ | 86 | $ | 100 | $ | 84 | $ | 227 | $ | 195 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
14 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 14 | $ | 21 | $ | 8 | $ | 9 | $ | 10 | $ | 43 | $ | 26 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (14 | ) | $ | (30 | ) | $ | (27 | ) | $ | (5 | ) | $ | (14 | ) | $ | (71 | ) | $ | (32 | ) | |||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
62.9 | % | 61.2 | % | 58.3 | % | 61.8 | % | 64.5 | % | 61.0 | % | 62.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.3 | % | 32.7 | % | 33.0 | % | 29.2 | % | 28.4 | % | 31.9 | % | 31.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
93.2 | % | 93.9 | % | 91.3 | % | 91.0 | % | 92.9 | % | 92.9 | % | 93.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
93.1 | % | 94.8 | % | 93.2 | % | 90.6 | % | 93.2 | % | 93.7 | % | 93.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
62.8 | % | 62.1 | % | 60.2 | % | 61.4 | % | 64.8 | % | 61.8 | % | 62.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(1.1 | %) | (2.9 | %) | (2.7 | %) | (0.4 | %) | (1.2 | %) | (2.1 | %) | (1.0 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.2 | % | 2.0 | % | 0.8 | % | 0.8 | % | 0.9 | % | 1.3 | % | 0.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
62.9 | % | 61.2 | % | 58.3 | % | 61.8 | % | 64.5 | % | 61.0 | % | 62.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 7
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 991 | $ | 538 | $ | 398 | $ | 515 | $ | 1,064 | $ | 1,927 | $ | 1,940 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(406 | ) | (156 | ) | (87 | ) | (137 | ) | (456 | ) | (649 | ) | (682 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
585 | 382 | 311 | 378 | 608 | 1,278 | 1,258 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(92 | ) | (17 | ) | 28 | 64 | (91 | ) | (81 | ) | (101 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
493 | 365 | 339 | 442 | 517 | 1,197 | 1,157 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
339 | 245 | 211 | 317 | 391 | 795 | 842 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
110 | 105 | 96 | 91 | 106 | 311 | 301 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 44 | $ | 15 | $ | 32 | $ | 34 | $ | 20 | $ | 91 | $ | 14 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
7 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 7 | $ | 12 | $ | 6 | $ | 3 | $ | 7 | $ | 25 | $ | 18 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (5 | ) | $ | (12 | ) | $ | (17 | ) | $ | 8 | $ | (2 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | $ | 7 | |||||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
68.8 | % | 67.0 | % | 62.2 | % | 71.7 | % | 75.7 | % | 66.4 | % | 72.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
22.3 | % | 28.9 | % | 28.4 | % | 20.7 | % | 20.5 | % | 26.0 | % | 26.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
91.1 | % | 95.9 | % | 90.6 | % | 92.4 | % | 96.2 | % | 92.4 | % | 98.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
90.7 | % | 95.8 | % | 94.1 | % | 89.9 | % | 95.1 | % | 93.1 | % | 96.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
68.4 | % | 66.9 | % | 65.7 | % | 69.2 | % | 74.6 | % | 67.1 | % | 70.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(1.2 | %) | (3.2 | %) | (5.2 | %) | 1.8 | % | (0.4 | %) | (2.8 | %) | 0.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.6 | % | 3.3 | % | 1.7 | % | 0.7 | % | 1.5 | % | 2.1 | % | 1.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
68.8 | % | 67.0 | % | 62.2 | % | 71.7 | % | 75.7 | % | 66.4 | % | 72.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 8
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 722 | $ | 688 | $ | 698 | $ | 661 | $ | 734 | $ | 2,108 | $ | 2,078 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(218 | ) | (185 | ) | (179 | ) | (158 | ) | (189 | ) | (582 | ) | (529 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
504 | 503 | 519 | 503 | 545 | 1,526 | 1,549 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(7 | ) | (6 | ) | (17 | ) | 12 | (42 | ) | (30 | ) | (53 | ) | |||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums |
497 | 497 | 502 | 515 | 503 | 1,496 | 1,496 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
330 | 329 | 313 | 315 | 323 | 972 | 950 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
154 | 145 | 160 | 150 | 149 | 459 | 450 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 13 | $ | 23 | $ | 29 | $ | 50 | $ | 31 | $ | 65 | $ | 96 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 2 | $ | 3 | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | $ | 6 | $ | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (2 | ) | $ | (10 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | (16 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | ||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
66.5 | % | 66.1 | % | 62.4 | % | 61.1 | % | 64.2 | % | 65.0 | % | 63.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.9 | % | 29.2 | % | 31.9 | % | 29.1 | % | 29.6 | % | 30.7 | % | 30.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
97.4 | % | 95.3 | % | 94.3 | % | 90.2 | % | 93.8 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
97.4 | % | 96.6 | % | 94.9 | % | 91.4 | % | 92.9 | % | 96.4 | % | 93.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
66.5 | % | 67.4 | % | 63.0 | % | 62.3 | % | 63.3 | % | 65.7 | % | 63.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(0.3 | %) | (2.0 | %) | (0.7 | %) | (1.4 | %) | 0.6 | % | (1.1 | %) | (0.2 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
0.3 | % | 0.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.2 | % | 0.3 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
66.5 | % | 66.1 | % | 62.4 | % | 61.1 | % | 64.2 | % | 65.0 | % | 63.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 9
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 186 | $ | 172 | $ | 147 | $ | 179 | $ | 164 | $ | 505 | $ | 458 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(37 | ) | (28 | ) | (22 | ) | (27 | ) | (27 | ) | (87 | ) | (70 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
149 | 144 | 125 | 152 | 137 | 418 | 388 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(4 | ) | (5 | ) | 7 | (15 | ) | (6 | ) | (2 | ) | (8 | ) | |||||||||||||||
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|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums |
145 | 139 | 132 | 137 | 131 | 416 | 380 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
45 | 42 | 45 | 46 | 36 | 132 | 108 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
81 | 75 | 64 | 76 | 69 | 220 | 200 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 19 | $ | 22 | $ | 23 | $ | 15 | $ | 26 | $ | 64 | $ | 72 | ||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 5 | $ | 3 | $ | 1 | $ | 5 | $ | 1 | $ | 9 | $ | 4 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (6 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (5 | ) | $ | (8 | ) | $ | (17 | ) | $ | (25 | ) | |||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
31.6 | % | 30.1 | % | 34.0 | % | 32.8 | % | 27.7 | % | 31.8 | % | 28.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
54.8 | % | 54.3 | % | 48.6 | % | 55.9 | % | 52.9 | % | 52.7 | % | 52.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
86.4 | % | 84.4 | % | 82.6 | % | 88.7 | % | 80.6 | % | 84.5 | % | 81.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
87.0 | % | 87.0 | % | 84.8 | % | 88.8 | % | 85.8 | % | 86.3 | % | 86.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
32.2 | % | 32.7 | % | 36.2 | % | 32.9 | % | 32.9 | % | 33.6 | % | 33.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(3.9 | %) | (4.6 | %) | (3.3 | %) | (3.6 | %) | (5.8 | %) | (4.0 | %) | (6.5 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
3.3 | % | 2.0 | % | 1.1 | % | 3.5 | % | 0.6 | % | 2.2 | % | 1.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
31.6 | % | 30.1 | % | 34.0 | % | 32.8 | % | 27.7 | % | 31.8 | % | 28.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 10
American Financial Group, Inc. Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
30 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 29 | 81 | 76 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
30 | 27 | 24 | 23 | 29 | 81 | 76 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(6 | ) | (1 | ) | 1 | 3 | (7 | ) | (6 | ) | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums |
24 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 75 | 71 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 41 | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 2 | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 1 | $ | 7 | $ | 7 | $ | 13 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
| 3 | | | 1 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | | $ | 3 | $ | | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | 1 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (1 | ) | $ | (1 | ) | $ | (2 | ) | $ | (1 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (10 | ) | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
55.2 | % | 52.5 | % | 52.1 | % | 61.0 | % | 29.4 | % | 53.2 | % | 45.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
36.3 | % | 36.7 | % | 37.6 | % | 36.1 | % | 37.9 | % | 36.9 | % | 36.1 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
91.5 | % | 89.2 | % | 89.7 | % | 97.1 | % | 67.3 | % | 90.1 | % | 81.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
95.1 | % | 86.4 | % | 96.0 | % | 98.1 | % | 97.6 | % | 92.5 | % | 95.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 11
American Financial Group, Inc. Annuity Earnings (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 351 | $ | 344 | $ | 315 | $ | 309 | $ | 317 | $ | 1,010 | $ | 915 | ||||||||||||||
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees |
14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 39 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
12 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
377 | 368 | 341 | 332 | 341 | 1,086 | 990 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits expense |
189 | 223 | 228 | 189 | 208 | 640 | 543 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
53 | 40 | 34 | 20 | 44 | 127 | 143 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
28 | 29 | 26 | 22 | 22 | 83 | 74 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total costs and expenses |
270 | 292 | 288 | 231 | 274 | 850 | 760 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings before income taxes |
$ | 107 | $ | 76 | $ | 53 | $ | 101 | $ | 67 | $ | 236 | $ | 230 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Detail of Annuity earnings before income taxes |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting |
$ | 106 | $ | 102 | $ | 84 | $ | 96 | $ | 89 | $ | 292 | $ | 258 | ||||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting (a) |
1 | (26 | ) | (31 | ) | 5 | (22 | ) | (56 | ) | (28 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings before income taxes |
$ | 107 | $ | 76 | $ | 53 | $ | 101 | $ | 67 | $ | 236 | $ | 230 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
(a) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
Page 12
American Financial Group, Inc. Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Detail of annuity benefits expense: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest credited - fixed |
$ | 145 | $ | 142 | $ | 139 | $ | 138 | $ | 135 | $ | 426 | $ | 394 | ||||||||||||||
Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in expected death and annuitization reserve |
5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of sales inducements |
6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve |
18 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 49 | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in other benefit reserves |
10 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Unlockings (a) |
| | | 19 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting |
185 | 177 | 171 | 189 | 171 | 533 | 498 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivative mark-to-market (b) |
109 | 62 | 17 | 88 | (130 | ) | 188 | (99 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Equity option mark-to-market |
(105 | ) | (16 | ) | 40 | (88 | ) | 167 | (81 | ) | 144 | |||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Subtotal impact of fair value accounting |
4 | 46 | 57 | | 37 | 107 | 45 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total annuity benefits expense |
$ | 189 | $ | 223 | $ | 228 | $ | 189 | $ | 208 | $ | 640 | $ | 543 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
|
(a) | Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking income of $29 million in 2015 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses. In total, AFG recorded an unlocking expense reduction of $10 million in 2015. |
(b) | Excludes unlocking impact of $28 million in 2015. |
Page 13
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) |
$ | 28,548 | $ | 27,964 | $ | 27,186 | $ | 26,401 | $ | 25,642 | $ | 27,899 | $ | 24,765 | ||||||||||||||
Average annuity benefits accumulated |
28,538 | 27,861 | 26,935 | 26,048 | 25,316 | 27,778 | 24,514 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 10 | $ | 103 | $ | 251 | $ | 353 | $ | 326 | $ | 121 | $ | 251 | ||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income (as % of investments) |
4.88 | % | 4.88 | % | 4.60 | % | 4.65 | % | 4.92 | % | 4.79 | % | 4.89 | % | ||||||||||||||
Interest credited |
(2.03 | %) | (2.04 | %) | (2.06 | %) | (2.12 | %) | (2.12 | %) | (2.04 | %) | (2.14 | %) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net interest spread on fixed annuities |
2.85 | % | 2.84 | % | 2.54 | % | 2.53 | % | 2.80 | % | 2.75 | % | 2.75 | % | ||||||||||||||
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
0.14 | % | 0.13 | % | 0.16 | % | 0.15 | % | 0.16 | % | 0.14 | % | 0.19 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other annuity benefit expenses, net |
(0.36 | %) | (0.30 | %) | (0.27 | %) | (0.31 | %) | (0.36 | %) | (0.31 | %) | (0.36 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
(0.72 | %) | (0.55 | %) | (0.47 | %) | (0.75 | %) | (0.65 | %) | (0.58 | %) | (0.74 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
(0.39 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.32 | %) | (0.34 | %) | (0.39 | %) | (0.38 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Change in fair value of derivatives |
(0.05 | %) | (0.66 | %) | (0.84 | %) | 0.02 | % | (0.59 | %) | (0.51 | %) | (0.25 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.07 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Net spread earned on fixed annuities |
1.47 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.74 | % | 1.39 | % | 1.02 | % | 1.10 | % | 1.21 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 28,538 | $ | 27,861 | $ | 26,935 | $ | 26,048 | $ | 25,316 | $ | 27,778 | $ | 24,514 | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned on fixed annuities |
1.47 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.74 | % | 1.39 | % | 1.02 | % | 1.10 | % | 1.21 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 105 | $ | 75 | $ | 50 | $ | 91 | $ | 65 | $ | 230 | $ | 222 | ||||||||||||||
Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 10 | $ | 103 | $ | 251 | $ | 353 | $ | 326 | $ | 121 | $ | 251 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income (as % of investments) |
4.88 | % | 4.88 | % | 4.60 | % | 4.65 | % | 4.92 | % | 4.79 | % | 4.89 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Earnings on investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | | $ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | 4 | $ | 4 | $ | 4 | $ | 9 | ||||||||||||||
Variable annuity earnings |
2 | | | 6 | (2 | ) | 2 | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes |
$ | 107 | $ | 76 | $ | 53 | $ | 101 | $ | 67 | $ | 236 | $ | 230 | ||||||||||||||
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Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities |
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Net spread earned - before impact of fair value accounting |
1.46 | % | 1.45 | % | 1.20 | % | 1.31 | % | 1.37 | % | 1.37 | % | 1.36 | % | ||||||||||||||
Impact of fair value accounting (a) |
0.01 | % | (0.37 | %) | (0.46 | %) | 0.08 | % | (0.35 | %) | (0.27 | %) | (0.15 | %) | ||||||||||||||
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Net spread earned - after impact of fair value accounting |
1.47 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.74 | % | 1.39 | % | 1.02 | % | 1.10 | % | 1.21 | % | ||||||||||||||
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(a) | Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs. |
Page 14
American Financial Group Annuity Premiums (Statutory) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Retail single premium annuities - indexed |
$ | 340 | $ | 413 | $ | 546 | $ | 494 | $ | 617 | $ | 1,299 | $ | 1,370 | ||||||||||||||
Retail single premium annuities - fixed |
18 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 60 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed |
435 | 507 | 534 | 462 | 554 | 1,476 | 1,279 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed |
97 | 100 | 119 | 72 | 71 | 316 | 157 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Education market - fixed and indexed annuities |
42 | 45 | 57 | 51 | 47 | 144 | 143 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal fixed annuity premiums |
932 | 1,087 | 1,276 | 1,097 | 1,311 | 3,295 | 3,001 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuities |
9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total annuity premiums |
$ | 941 | $ | 1,098 | $ | 1,285 | $ | 1,107 | $ | 1,321 | $ | 3,324 | $ | 3,033 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 15
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 28,222 | $ | 27,499 | $ | 26,371 | $ | 25,725 | $ | 24,906 | $ | 26,371 | $ | 23,462 | ||||||||||||||
Premiums |
932 | 1,087 | 1,276 | 1,097 | 1,311 | 3,295 | 3,001 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Federal Home Loan Bank advances |
| | 150 | 45 | | 150 | 300 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals |
(586 | ) | (596 | ) | (483 | ) | (515 | ) | (526 | ) | (1,665 | ) | (1,417 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Sale of subsidiaries |
| | | (261 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||||||
Interest and other annuity benefit expenses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest credited |
145 | 142 | 139 | 138 | 135 | 426 | 394 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivative mark-to-market |
109 | 62 | 17 | 88 | (130 | ) | 188 | (99 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Change in other benefit reserves |
31 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 88 | 84 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
| | | 23 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Ending fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 28,853 | $ | 28,222 | $ | 27,499 | $ | 26,371 | $ | 25,725 | $ | 28,853 | $ | 25,725 | ||||||||||||||
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Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ending fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 28,853 | $ | 28,222 | $ | 27,499 | $ | 26,371 | $ | 25,725 | $ | 28,853 | $ | 25,725 | ||||||||||||||
Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves |
180 | 188 | 127 | 64 | 113 | 180 | 113 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed component of variable annuities |
189 | 186 | 186 | 187 | 188 | 189 | 188 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet |
$ | 29,222 | $ | 28,596 | $ | 27,812 | $ | 26,622 | $ | 26,026 | $ | 29,222 | $ | 26,026 | ||||||||||||||
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Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves |
8.3 | % | 8.7 | % | 7.3 | % | 8.0 | % | 8.4 | % | 8.4 | % | 8.1 | % |
Page 16
American Financial Group, Inc. Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ in millions) |
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 06/30/15 | |||||||||||||||||||
Assets: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 41,805 | $ | 40,639 | $ | 39,437 | $ | 37,736 | $ | 38,132 | $ | 37,644 | ||||||||||||
Recoverables from reinsurers |
2,814 | 2,576 | 2,561 | 2,636 | 3,151 | 3,075 | ||||||||||||||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
634 | 521 | 475 | 480 | 604 | 499 | ||||||||||||||||||
Agents balances and premiums receivable |
1,029 | 992 | 936 | 937 | 976 | 959 | ||||||||||||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
867 | 881 | 1,055 | 1,184 | 993 | 965 | ||||||||||||||||||
Assets of managed investment entities |
4,312 | 4,410 | 3,906 | 4,047 | 3,613 | 3,629 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other receivables |
1,391 | 788 | 693 | 820 | 1,241 | 660 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuity assets (separate accounts) |
606 | 595 | 595 | 608 | 595 | 655 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other assets (a) |
1,188 | 1,132 | 1,181 | 1,190 | 1,034 | 1,116 | ||||||||||||||||||
Goodwill |
199 | 199 | 199 | 199 | 201 | 201 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total assets |
$ | 54,845 | $ | 52,733 | $ | 51,038 | $ | 49,837 | $ | 50,540 | $ | 49,403 | ||||||||||||
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Liabilities and Equity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 8,661 | $ | 8,203 | $ | 8,108 | $ | 8,127 | $ | 8,061 | $ | 7,744 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums |
2,328 | 2,109 | 2,051 | 2,060 | 2,238 | 2,004 | ||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits accumulated |
29,222 | 28,596 | 27,812 | 26,622 | 26,026 | 25,203 | ||||||||||||||||||
Life, accident and health reserves |
700 | 702 | 708 | 705 | 2,159 | 2,156 | ||||||||||||||||||
Payable to reinsurers |
835 | 588 | 501 | 591 | 724 | 511 | ||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities of managed investment entities |
4,067 | 4,192 | 3,656 | 3,781 | 3,287 | 3,309 | ||||||||||||||||||
Long-term debt (a) |
1,300 | 998 | 998 | 998 | 863 | 1,003 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts) |
606 | 595 | 595 | 608 | 595 | 655 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities |
1,768 | 1,557 | 1,672 | 1,575 | 1,681 | 1,834 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total liabilities |
$ | 49,487 | $ | 47,540 | $ | 46,101 | $ | 45,067 | $ | 45,634 | $ | 44,419 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders equity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock |
$ | 87 | $ | 87 | $ | 87 | $ | 87 | $ | 87 | $ | 88 | ||||||||||||
Capital surplus |
1,242 | 1,228 | 1,218 | 1,214 | 1,195 | 1,183 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unappropriated retained earnings |
3,079 | 3,016 | 3,002 | 2,987 | 2,981 | 2,968 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains - fixed maturities |
669 | 639 | 426 | 278 | 445 | 457 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains - equities |
103 | 45 | 40 | 54 | 44 | 130 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, net of tax |
(19 | ) | (15 | ) | (18 | ) | (28 | ) | (28 | ) | (24 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Total shareholders equity |
5,161 | 5,000 | 4,755 | 4,592 | 4,724 | 4,802 | ||||||||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
197 | 193 | 182 | 178 | 182 | 182 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total liabilities and equity |
$ | 54,845 | $ | 52,733 | $ | 51,038 | $ | 49,837 | $ | 50,540 | $ | 49,403 | ||||||||||||
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(a) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. |
Page 17
American Financial Group, Inc. Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary (in millions, except per share information) |
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 06/30/15 | |||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders equity |
$ | 5,161 | $ | 5,000 | $ | 4,755 | $ | 4,592 | $ | 4,724 | $ | 4,802 | ||||||||||||
Unrealized (gains) on fixed maturities |
(669 | ) | (639 | ) | (426 | ) | (278 | ) | (445 | ) | (457 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Adjusted shareholders equity |
4,492 | 4,361 | 4,329 | 4,314 | 4,279 | 4,345 | ||||||||||||||||||
Goodwill |
(199 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | (201 | ) | (201 | ) | ||||||||||||
Intangibles |
(44 | ) | (46 | ) | (47 | ) | (49 | ) | (51 | ) | (53 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Tangible adjusted shareholders equity |
$ | 4,249 | $ | 4,116 | $ | 4,083 | $ | 4,066 | $ | 4,027 | $ | 4,091 | ||||||||||||
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Common shares outstanding |
86.813 | 86.850 | 86.966 | 87.474 | 87.327 | 87.540 | ||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share |
$ | 59.45 | $ | 57.57 | $ | 54.67 | $ | 52.50 | $ | 54.10 | $ | 54.86 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted (a) |
51.73 | 50.22 | 49.77 | 49.33 | 49.01 | 49.63 | ||||||||||||||||||
Tangible, adjusted (b) |
48.94 | 47.41 | 46.94 | 46.49 | 46.12 | 46.73 | ||||||||||||||||||
Market capitalization |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
AFGs closing common share price |
$ | 75.00 | $ | 73.93 | $ | 70.37 | $ | 72.08 | $ | 68.91 | $ | 65.04 | ||||||||||||
Market capitalization |
$ | 6,511 | $ | 6,421 | $ | 6,120 | $ | 6,305 | $ | 6,018 | $ | 5,694 | ||||||||||||
Price / Adjusted book value ratio |
1.45 | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.41 | 1.31 |
(a) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments. |
(b) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles. |
Page 18
American Financial Group, Inc. Capitalization ($ in millions) |
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 06/30/15 | |||||||||||||||||||
AFG senior obligations (a) |
$ | 1,008 | $ | 708 | $ | 708 | $ | 708 | $ | 708 | $ | 840 | ||||||||||||
Borrowings drawn under credit facility |
| | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||
Obligations of subsidiaries - other |
18 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Debt excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate |
$ | 1,026 | $ | 720 | $ | 720 | $ | 720 | $ | 720 | $ | 852 | ||||||||||||
AFG subordinated debentures |
300 | 300 | 300 | 300 | 150 | 150 | ||||||||||||||||||
Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate |
| | | | 10 | 22 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total principal amount of long-term debt |
$ | 1,326 | $ | 1,020 | $ | 1,020 | $ | 1,020 | $ | 880 | $ | 1,024 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders equity |
5,161 | 5,000 | 4,755 | 4,592 | 4,724 | 4,802 | ||||||||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
197 | 193 | 182 | 178 | 182 | 182 | ||||||||||||||||||
Less: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments |
(669 | ) | (639 | ) | (426 | ) | (278 | ) | (445 | ) | (457 | ) | ||||||||||||
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Total adjusted capital |
$ | 6,015 | $ | 5,574 | $ | 5,531 | $ | 5,512 | $ | 5,341 | $ | 5,551 | ||||||||||||
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Less: |
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Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate |
| | | | (10 | ) | (22 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Total adjusted capital excluding obligations secured by real estate |
$ | 6,015 | $ | 5,574 | $ | 5,531 | $ | 5,512 | $ | 5,331 | $ | 5,529 | ||||||||||||
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Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital: |
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Including subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate |
22.0 | % | 18.3 | % | 18.4 | % | 18.5 | % | 16.5 | % | 18.4 | % | ||||||||||||
Excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate |
17.1 | % | 12.9 | % | 13.0 | % | 13.1 | % | 13.5 | % | 15.4 | % |
(a) | December 2015 and prior periods have been adjusted for adoption of FASB Accounting Standard Update 2015-03, which impacted the presentation of debt issue costs and long-term debt. |
Page 19
American Financial Group, Inc. Additional Supplemental Information ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
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Paid Losses (GAAP) |
$ | 537 | $ | 586 | $ | 547 | $ | 675 | $ | 585 | $ | 1,670 | $ | 1,728 |
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 6/30/2015 | |||||||||||||||||||
Statutory Surplus |
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Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 3,038 | $ | 2,601 | $ | 2,574 | $ | 2,488 | $ | 2,356 | $ | 2,399 | ||||||||||||
AFGs principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital) |
$ | 2,216 | $ | 2,089 | $ | 2,032 | $ | 1,918 | $ | 1,816 | $ | 1,911 | ||||||||||||
Allowable dividends without regulatory approval |
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Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 434 | $ | 434 | $ | 434 | $ | 434 | $ | 315 | $ | 315 | ||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off |
375 | 375 | 375 | 375 | 358 | 358 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total |
$ | 809 | $ | 809 | $ | 809 | $ | 809 | $ | 673 | $ | 673 | ||||||||||||
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Page 20
American Financial Group, Inc. Total Cash and Investments ($ in millions) |
Carrying Value - September 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
Annuity and Run-off |
Parent and Other Non- Insurance |
Consolidate CLOs |
Total AFG Consolidated |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 1,281 | $ | 175 | $ | 183 | $ | | $ | 1,639 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
6,791 | 28,590 | 13 | | 35,394 | 85 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
222 | 126 | | | 348 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
1,110 | 482 | 47 | | 1,639 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Policy loans |
| 194 | | | 194 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans |
280 | 900 | | | 1,180 | 3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Real estate and other investments |
472 | 1,132 | 51 | (244 | ) | 1,411 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 10,156 | $ | 31,599 | $ | 294 | $ | (244 | ) | $ | 41,805 | 100 | % | |||||||||||
|
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|
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Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities |
$ | 122 | $ | 39 | $ | | $ | | $ | 161 | ||||||||||||||
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|
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Carrying Value - December 31, 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
Annuity and Run-off |
Parent and Other Non- Insurance |
Consolidate CLOs |
Total AFG Consolidated |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 708 | $ | 282 | $ | 230 | $ | | $ | 1,220 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
6,784 | 25,486 | 14 | | 32,284 | 85 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
140 | 114 | | | 254 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
1,182 | 488 | 49 | | 1,719 | 5 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Policy loans |
| 201 | | | 201 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans |
191 | 876 | | | 1,067 | 3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Real estate and other investments |
457 | 781 | 18 | (265 | ) | 991 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 9,462 | $ | 28,228 | $ | 311 | $ | (265 | ) | $ | 37,736 | 100 | % | |||||||||||
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|
|
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Unrealized gain/(loss) on equity securities |
$ | 87 | $ | (3 | ) | $ | | $ | | $ | 84 | |||||||||||||
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Page 21
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Investment Income ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09/30/16 | 06/30/16 | 03/31/16 | 12/31/15 | 09/30/15 | 09/30/16 | 09/30/15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
$ | 63 | $ | 66 | $ | 64 | $ | 63 | $ | 62 | $ | 193 | $ | 185 | ||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
2 | 1 | 1 | | | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity in investees |
7 | 2 | 6 | (1 | ) | 7 | 15 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments |
10 | 10 | 1 | | 4 | 21 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
95 | 91 | 85 | 76 | 85 | 271 | 251 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(2 | ) | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (6 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 93 | $ | 89 | $ | 83 | $ | 74 | $ | 83 | $ | 265 | $ | 245 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average cash and investments (a) |
$ | 9,647 | $ | 9,465 | $ | 9,366 | $ | 9,113 | $ | 8,984 | $ | 9,507 | $ | 8,880 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average yield (b) |
3.86 | % | 3.76 | % | 3.54 | % | 3.25 | % | 3.70 | % | 3.72 | % | 3.68 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
$ | 307 | $ | 307 | $ | 294 | $ | 294 | $ | 288 | $ | 908 | $ | 832 | ||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
| | | | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity in investees |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments |
27 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 67 | 54 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
349 | 344 | 315 | 309 | 318 | 1,008 | 916 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(1 | ) | (2 | ) | (3 | ) | (2 | ) | (3 | ) | (6 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 348 | $ | 342 | $ | 312 | $ | 307 | $ | 315 | $ | 1,002 | $ | 908 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average cash and investments (a) |
$ | 28,548 | $ | 27,964 | $ | 27,186 | $ | 26,401 | $ | 25,642 | $ | 27,899 | $ | 24,765 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average yield (b) |
4.88 | % | 4.88 | % | 4.60 | % | 4.65 | % | 4.92 | % | 4.79 | % | 4.89 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
AFG consolidated net investment income: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property & Casualty |
$ | 93 | $ | 89 | $ | 83 | $ | 74 | $ | 83 | $ | 265 | $ | 245 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity |
348 | 342 | 312 | 307 | 315 | 1,002 | 908 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable Annuity |
3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Run-off |
5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 61 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other |
1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidate CLOs |
(17 | ) | (19 | ) | 7 | 11 | 3 | (29 | ) | (5 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 433 | $ | 423 | $ | 411 | $ | 416 | $ | 425 | $ | 1,267 | $ | 1,217 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) | Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances. |
(b) | Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter. |
Page 22
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2016 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 342 | $ | 346 | $ | 4 | 1 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
6,626 | 7,076 | 450 | 20 | % | 17 | % | |||||||||||||
Foreign government |
264 | 271 | 7 | 1 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
3,534 | 3,820 | 286 | 11 | % | 9 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
1,763 | 1,848 | 85 | 5 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
5,845 | 5,890 | 45 | 16 | % | 14 | % | |||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
15,560 | 16,491 | 931 | 46 | % | 40 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 33,934 | $ | 35,742 | $ | 1,808 | 100 | % | 86 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.53 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.48 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6.5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2015 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 319 | $ | 321 | $ | 2 | 1 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
6,671 | 6,885 | 214 | 21 | % | 18 | % | |||||||||||||
Foreign government |
225 | 232 | 7 | 1 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
3,241 | 3,534 | 293 | 11 | % | 9 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
2,112 | 2,188 | 76 | 7 | % | 6 | % | |||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
4,961 | 4,934 | (27 | ) | 15 | % | 13 | % | ||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
14,290 | 14,444 | 154 | 44 | % | 38 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 31,819 | $ | 32,538 | $ | 719 | 100 | % | 86 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.74 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.69 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6.5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
5 years |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. |
Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances. |
Page 23
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2016 | December 31, 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 289 | $ | 291 | $ | 2 | 4 | % | $ | 255 | $ | 257 | $ | 2 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
2,596 | 2,697 | 101 | 38 | % | 2,807 | 2,891 | 84 | 42 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government |
253 | 258 | 5 | 4 | % | 213 | 219 | 6 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
1,013 | 1,062 | 49 | 15 | % | 893 | 932 | 39 | 13 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
183 | 188 | 5 | 3 | % | 209 | 213 | 4 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
1,514 | 1,520 | 6 | 22 | % | 1,453 | 1,442 | (11 | ) | 21 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
966 | 997 | 31 | 14 | % | 979 | 970 | (9 | ) | 14 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 6,814 | $ | 7,013 | $ | 199 | 100 | % | $ | 6,809 | $ | 6,924 | $ | 115 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
3.81 | % | 3.82 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
3.71 | % | 3.71 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b) |
4.24 | % | 4.31 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
4.5 years | 5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
3.5 years | 4 years |
September 30, 2016 | December 31, 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 52 | $ | 54 | $ | 2 | 0 | % | $ | 62 | $ | 62 | $ | | 0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
4,030 | 4,379 | 349 | 15 | % | 3,864 | 3,994 | 130 | 15 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government |
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | % | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
2,520 | 2,746 | 226 | 10 | % | 2,347 | 2,590 | 243 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
1,580 | 1,660 | 80 | 6 | % | 1,903 | 1,975 | 72 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities |
4,331 | 4,370 | 39 | 15 | % | 3,508 | 3,492 | (16 | ) | 14 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
14,594 | 15,494 | 900 | 54 | % | 13,311 | 13,474 | 163 | 53 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Annuity and Run-off |
$ | 27,118 | $ | 28,716 | $ | 1,598 | 100 | % | $ | 25,007 | $ | 25,600 | $ | 593 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.70 | % | 4.98 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.67 | % | 4.94 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6.5 years | 6.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
5 years | 5.5 years |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances. |
(b) | Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield. |
Page 24
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 6,394 | $ | 6,634 | $ | 240 | 19 | % | ||||||||
AA |
7,046 | 7,454 | 408 | 21 | % | |||||||||||
A |
8,206 | 8,643 | 437 | 24 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
8,554 | 9,012 | 458 | 25 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
30,200 | 31,743 | 1,543 | 89 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
717 | 723 | 6 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
B |
476 | 476 | | 1 | % | |||||||||||
Other (b) |
2,541 | 2,800 | 259 | 8 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
3,734 | 3,999 | 265 | 11 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 33,934 | $ | 35,742 | $ | 1,808 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
December 31, 2015 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 6,519 | $ | 6,655 | $ | 136 | 20 | % | ||||||||
AA |
6,785 | 6,954 | 169 | 22 | % | |||||||||||
A |
7,780 | 7,969 | 189 | 25 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
7,478 | 7,507 | 29 | 23 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
28,562 | 29,085 | 523 | 90 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
790 | 765 | (25 | ) | 2 | % | ||||||||||
B |
438 | 417 | (21 | ) | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Other (b) |
2,029 | 2,271 | 242 | 7 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
3,257 | 3,453 | 196 | 10 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 31,819 | $ | 32,538 | $ | 719 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
(b) | See page 28 and 29 for more information. |
Page 25
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2016 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 236 | $ | 240 | $ | 4 | 4 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,475 | 1,637 | 162 | 29 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
1,148 | 1,226 | 78 | 21 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
675 | 717 | 42 | 13 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
1,763 | 1,848 | 85 | 33 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 5,297 | $ | 5,668 | $ | 371 | 100 | % | 13 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Substantially all of AFGs MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations. |
| The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 79%; Subprime 85%; CMBS 99%. |
| The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 740; Alt-A 710; Subprime 641. |
| 96% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (81% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 38%. |
| The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 4 years; Commercial 4 years. |
December 31, 2015 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 260 | $ | 269 | $ | 9 | 5 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,489 | 1,651 | 162 | 29 | % | 4 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
794 | 872 | 78 | 15 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
698 | 742 | 44 | 13 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
2,112 | 2,188 | 76 | 38 | % | 6 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 5,353 | $ | 5,722 | $ | 369 | 100 | % | 15 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 26
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio ($ in millions) |
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
September 30, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 180 | $ | 183 | $ | 3 | 15 | % | 2 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
201 | 216 | 15 | 17 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
357 | 375 | 18 | 30 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
275 | 288 | 13 | 23 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
183 | 188 | 5 | 15 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,196 | $ | 1,250 | $ | 54 | 100 | % | 12 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
December 31, 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 151 | $ | 153 | $ | 2 | 13 | % | 2 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
218 | 231 | 13 | 20 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
241 | 257 | 16 | 23 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
283 | 291 | 8 | 25 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
209 | 213 | 4 | 19 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,102 | $ | 1,145 | $ | 43 | 100 | % | 12 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annuity and Run-off: |
September 30, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 56 | $ | 57 | $ | 1 | 1 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,273 | 1,409 | 136 | 32 | % | 5 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
791 | 851 | 60 | 19 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
400 | 429 | 29 | 10 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
1,580 | 1,660 | 80 | 38 | % | 5 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 4,100 | $ | 4,406 | $ | 306 | 100 | % | 14 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
December 31, 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 109 | $ | 116 | $ | 7 | 3 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
1,270 | 1,408 | 138 | 31 | % | 5 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
553 | 615 | 62 | 13 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
415 | 451 | 36 | 10 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
1,903 | 1,975 | 72 | 43 | % | 7 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 4,250 | $ | 4,565 | $ | 315 | 100 | % | 16 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 27
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 1,937 | $ | 2,038 | $ | 101 | 36 | % | ||||||||
AA |
197 | 203 | 6 | 4 | % | |||||||||||
A |
301 | 315 | 14 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
264 | 280 | 16 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
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|
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Subtotal - investment grade |
2,699 | 2,836 | 137 | 50 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
237 | 238 | 1 | 4 | % | |||||||||||
B |
334 | 336 | 2 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
Other |
2,027 | 2,258 | 231 | 40 | % | |||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 5,297 | $ | 5,668 | $ | 371 | 100 | % | ||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
96% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
December 31, 2015 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 2,409 | $ | 2,494 | $ | 85 | 43 | % | ||||||||
AA |
255 | 263 | 8 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
A |
329 | 345 | 16 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
272 | 292 | 20 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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Subtotal - investment grade |
3,265 | 3,394 | 129 | 59 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
253 | 258 | 5 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
B |
305 | 311 | 6 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
Other |
1,530 | 1,759 | 229 | 31 | % | |||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 5,353 | $ | 5,722 | $ | 369 | 100 | % | ||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
Page 28
Appendix A American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type ($ in millions) |
Fair Value - September 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
US Gov | Munis | Frgn gov | RMBS | CMBS | ABS | Corp/Oth | Total | % Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 296 | $ | 1,765 | $ | 179 | $ | 543 | $ | 1,495 | $ | 2,127 | $ | 229 | $ | 6,634 | 19 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
AA |
42 | 4,592 | 31 | 140 | 63 | 1,463 | 1,123 | 7,454 | 21 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A |
| 516 | 57 | 169 | 146 | 1,647 | 6,108 | 8,643 | 24 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BBB |
| 76 | 3 | 204 | 76 | 599 | 8,054 | 9,012 | 25 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
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Subtotal - Investment grade |
338 | 6,949 | 270 | 1,056 | 1,780 | 5,836 | 15,514 | 31,743 | 89 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BB |
| 7 | | 196 | 42 | 16 | 462 | 723 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B |
| 9 | | 310 | 26 | 1 | 130 | 476 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCC, CC, C |
| 9 | | 953 | | 4 | 13 | 979 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D |
| | | 827 | | | | 827 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
| 25 | | 2,286 | 68 | 21 | 605 | 3,005 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Rated |
8 | 102 | 1 | 478 | | 33 | 372 | 994 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 346 | $ | 7,076 | $ | 271 | $ | 3,820 | $ | 1,848 | $ | 5,890 | $ | 16,491 | $ | 35,742 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||||||
Fair Value - December 31, 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
US Gov | Munis | Frgn gov | RMBS | CMBS | ABS | Corp/Oth | Total | % Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 262 | $ | 1,607 | $ | 138 | $ | 640 | $ | 1,854 | $ | 1,986 | $ | 168 | $ | 6,655 | 20 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
AA |
44 | 4,488 | 32 | 151 | 112 | 1,239 | 888 | 6,954 | 21 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A |
| 569 | 62 | 173 | 172 | 1,252 | 5,741 | 7,969 | 25 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BBB |
| 92 | | 248 | 44 | 429 | 6,694 | 7,507 | 23 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
306 | 6,756 | 232 | 1,212 | 2,182 | 4,906 | 13,491 | 29,085 | 88 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BB |
| 20 | | 258 | | 14 | 473 | 765 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B |
| | | 306 | 6 | 2 | 103 | 417 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCC, CC, C |
| 9 | | 894 | | 4 | 11 | 918 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D |
| | | 445 | | | 3 | 448 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
| 29 | | 1,903 | 6 | 20 | 590 | 2,548 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Rated |
15 | 100 | | 419 | | 8 | 363 | 905 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 321 | $ | 6,885 | $ | 232 | $ | 3,534 | $ | 2,188 | $ | 4,934 | $ | 14,444 | $ | 32,538 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
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(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
Page 29