UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)
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Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
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Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Section 2 - Financial Information
Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.
Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the third quarter of 2019 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on October 29, 2019. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.
The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.
Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(a) | Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable. |
(b) | Pro forma financial information. Not applicable. |
(c) | Shell company transactions. Not applicable |
(d) | Exhibits |
Exhibit No. |
Description | |||
99.1 |
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99.2 |
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101 |
Cover Page Interactive Data File - The cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document. | |||
104 |
The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted as Inline XBRL. |
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. | ||||||
Date: October 30, 2019 |
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By: |
/s/ Karl J. Grafe | |||||
Karl J. Grafe | ||||||
Vice President |
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Exhibit 99.1
American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Results
| Net earnings per share of $1.62 includes ($0.25) per share of after-tax A&E reserve strengthening, ($0.23) per share related to Annuity non-core items and ($0.15) per share in after-tax realized losses on securities. |
| Third quarter core net operating earnings of $2.25 per share |
| Third quarter annualized ROE of 11.0%; annualized core operating ROE of 15.3% |
| Full year 2019 core net operating earnings guidance revised to a narrowed range of $8.50 to $8.70 per share |
CINCINNATI October 29, 2019 American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2019 third quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $147 million ($1.62 per share) compared to $204 million ($2.26 per share) for the 2018 third quarter. Net earnings for the quarter include after-tax charges of $23 million ($0.25 per share) to strengthen the Companys asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserves and $14 million ($0.15 per share) in after-tax realized losses on securities, including $20 million ($0.22 per share) in holding losses to adjust equity securities to fair value. Net earnings for the third quarter of 2019 also included a negative impact of $21 million ($0.23 per share) for annuity non-core items, including the impact of fair value accounting for fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs), the unlocking of actuarial assumptions and other items related to changes in the stock market and interest rates. Comparatively, net earnings in the 2018 third quarter included net after-tax non-core earnings of $6 million ($0.07 per share). Other details may be found in the table below. Book value per share was $70.14 per share at September 30, 2019. Annualized return on equity was 11.0% and 16.3% for the third quarters of 2019 and 2018, respectively.
Core net operating earnings were $205 million ($2.25 per share) for the 2019 third quarter, compared to $198 million ($2.19 per share) in the 2018 third quarter. Higher underwriting profit in our Specialty Property and Casualty (P&C) insurance operations and higher P&C net investment income were partially offset by lower core operating earnings in our Annuity Segment. In connection with AFGs new definition of annuity core operating earnings, AFGs core net operating earnings for the third quarter of 2019 exclude the impact of items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, and include an expense for the amortization of FIA option costs, which AFG believes better reflects the cost of funds for FIAs and AFGs evaluation of the financial performance of its Annuity business. Book value per share, excluding unrealized gains related to fixed maturities, was $59.65 per share at September 30, 2019. Core net operating earnings for the third quarters of 2019 and 2018 generated annualized returns on equity of 15.3% and 15.8%, respectively.
As previously announced, beginning with the second quarter of 2019, AFG changed the way it defines annuity core operating earnings to exclude the impact of items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. Core net operating earnings for periods prior to the change have not been adjusted, however results for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2018 are reconciled to historically reported Annuity Segment core operating earnings on page 5 of this release. As a result, reported core net operating earnings for periods beginning with the second quarter of 2019 are not directly comparable to prior year periods.
AFGs net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core
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operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, ratings agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized gains and losses, annuity non-core earnings and losses, and special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFGs management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFGs management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.
Dollars in millions, except per share amounts | Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders: |
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Core operating earnings before income taxes |
$ | 251 | $ | 237 | $ | 716 | $ | 733 | ||||||||
Pretax non-core items: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(18 | ) | 34 | 222 | (28 | ) | ||||||||||
Annuity non-core earnings (losses) |
(27 | ) | | (60 | ) | | ||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(29 | ) | (27 | ) | (29 | ) | (27 | ) | ||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes |
177 | 244 | 849 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes: |
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Core operating earnings |
50 | 40 | 143 | 138 | ||||||||||||
Non-core items |
(16 | ) | 1 | 28 | (12 | ) | ||||||||||
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Total provision (benefit) for income taxes |
34 | 41 | 171 | 126 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests |
143 | 203 | 678 | 552 | ||||||||||||
Less net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests: |
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Core operating earnings (losses) |
(4 | ) | (1 | ) | (8 | ) | (7 | ) | ||||||||
Non-core items |
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Total net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
(4 | ) | (1 | ) | (8 | ) | (7 | ) | ||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 147 | $ | 204 | $ | 686 | $ | 559 | ||||||||
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Net earnings: |
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Core net operating earnings(a) |
$ | 205 | $ | 198 | $ | 581 | $ | 602 | ||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(14 | ) | 27 | 176 | (22 | ) | ||||||||||
Annuity non-core earnings (losses) |
(21 | ) | | (48 | ) | | ||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(23 | ) | (21 | ) | (23 | ) | (21 | ) | ||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 147 | $ | 204 | $ | 686 | $ | 559 | ||||||||
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Components of Earnings Per Share: |
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Core net operating earnings(a) |
$ | 2.25 | $ | 2.19 | $ | 6.39 | $ | 6.65 | ||||||||
Non-core Items: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(0.15 | ) | 0.31 | 1.93 | (0.24 | ) | ||||||||||
Annuity non-core earnings (losses) |
(0.23 | ) | | (0.52 | ) | | ||||||||||
Special A&E charges(b) |
(0.25 | ) | (0.24 | ) | (0.25 | ) | (0.24 | ) | ||||||||
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Diluted Earnings Per Share |
$ | 1.62 | $ | 2.26 | $ | 7.55 | $ | 6.17 | ||||||||
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Footnotes (a) and (b) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFGs Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: Our Specialty P&C and Annuity Segments both produced strong operating profitability and investment results during the quarter, which helped us to achieve an annualized core operating return on equity in excess of 15%.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2019, AFGs annualized growth in adjusted book value per share plus dividends was 18.2%. AFG had approximately $865 million of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $270 million) at September 30, 2019. Where appropriate, our excess capital will be deployed into AFGs core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. In addition, returning capital to shareholders in the form of regular and special cash dividends and opportunistic share repurchases is also an important and effective component of our capital management strategy. We will evaluate our excess capital position again before the end of
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the year, and note that the special cash dividend paid in May does not preclude our consideration of additional special dividends and opportunistic share repurchases.
We now expect AFGs core net operating earnings in 2019 to be in the range of $8.50 to $8.70 per share, narrowed from the range of $8.40 to $8.80 announced previously. This revised range gives effect to our results of operations through the first nine months of 2019, as well as our expectations that we will not recognize any profits from the 2019 crop year in the fourth quarter of 2019. Our core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, annuity non-core earnings and other significant items that are not able to be estimated with reasonable precision, or that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.
Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations
Pretax core operating earnings in AFGs P&C Insurance Segment were $194 million in the third quarter of 2019, compared to $158 million in the prior year period, an increase of $36 million, or 23%. Higher P&C underwriting profit and higher P&C net investment income, primarily the result of higher earnings on limited partnerships and similar investments, both contributed to the year-over-year improvement. The strong performance of these investments should not necessarily be expected to repeat in future periods.
The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $88 million in the 2019 third quarter, compared to $55 million in the third quarter of 2018. Higher year-over-year underwriting profits in our Property and Transportation and Specialty Financial Groups were partially offset by lower underwriting profit in our Specialty Casualty Group. The third quarter 2019 combined ratio of 94.0% was 1.7 points lower than the 95.7% reported in the comparable prior year period, and includes 1.6 points in catastrophe losses. By comparison, catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2018 added 2.6 points. Third quarter 2019 results include 3.1 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 3.7 points in the comparable prior year period.
Gross written and net written premiums were up 12% and 11%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2019, when compared to the same period in 2018. As previously reported, delayed planting of spring crops resulted in late acreage reporting in our crop operations, which increased overall third quarter premiums. Excluding the impact of the timing of the crop premiums, gross and net written premiums each increased 9%. Average renewal pricing across the entire P&C Group was up in excess of 3% for the quarter. Excluding our workers compensation business, renewal pricing was up approximately 6% in the third quarter, reflecting a continued improvement from renewal rate increases achieved during the first half of 2019. Pricing in our Specialty P&C group overall is the highest we have achieved in over five years, meeting or exceeding our expectations in each of our Specialty P&C sub-segments.
Further details about AFGs Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.
The Property and Transportation Group reported 2019 third quarter underwriting profit of $38 million, compared to break-even underwriting results in the third quarter of 2018. Although nearly all businesses in this group reported higher year-over-year underwriting profits, the increase was driven by higher underwriting profit in our transportation and property & inland marine businesses. These increases were partially offset by lower underwriting profitability in our crop business. Overall results include 2.8 points of favorable prior year reserve development in the third quarter of 2019, compared to 0.8 points in the year-ago period. Catastrophe losses for this group were $8 million in the third quarter of 2019, compared to $13 million in the comparable prior year period.
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Gross and net written premiums for the third quarter of 2019 were 17% and 18% higher, respectively, than the comparable 2018 period. The increase was largely the result of higher year-over-year premiums in our transportation businesses and the timing of recording of crop premiums as a result of delayed acreage reporting from insureds due to excess moisture and late planting of corn and soybean crops. Gross and net written premiums excluding crop grew by 13% and 14%, respectively, year-over-year. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 4% on average for the third quarter of 2019, with continued strong renewal rate momentum.
The Specialty Casualty Group reported a 2019 third quarter underwriting profit of $23 million, compared to $49 million in the third quarter of 2018. Higher profitability in our workers compensation and social services businesses was more than offset by higher underwriting losses in Neon and adverse prior year reserve development in our excess and surplus businesses. Underwriting profitability in our workers compensation business continues to be very strong. Catastrophe losses for this group were $10 million and $12 million in the third quarters of 2019 and 2018.
Gross and net written premiums increased 8% and 7%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2019 when compared to the same prior year period. The addition of premiums from ABA Insurance services, which was acquired in the fourth quarter of 2018, along with growth in our excess and surplus lines and excess liability businesses, primarily the result of new business opportunities, rate increases and higher retentions on renewal business, were the primary drivers of the higher premiums. Lower premiums in Neon, primarily due to foreign currency translation, and in our workers compensation businesses, due to rate decreases, partially offset this growth. Excluding workers compensation, year-over-year growth in third quarter gross and net written premiums was 12% and 13%, respectively. Renewal pricing for this group was up 4% in the third quarter. Excluding rate decreases in our workers compensation businesses, renewal rates in this group were up approximately 9%. With the exception of workers compensation, renewal rates in this group are the highest we have seen in more than five years.
The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $26 million in the third quarter of 2019, compared to $9 million in the third quarter of 2018. Higher underwriting profit in our financial institutions business was the primary driver of the increase. Catastrophe losses for this group were $3 million and $13 million in the third quarters of 2019 and 2018, respectively. All of the businesses in this group continued to achieve excellent underwriting margins.
Gross and net written premiums increased by 6% and 9%, respectively, in the 2019 third quarter when compared to the same 2018 period, primarily as a result of higher premiums in our fidelity and crime and equipment leasing businesses. Renewal pricing in this group was flat for the quarter.
Carl Lindner III stated, Im excited to see continued momentum in our renewal pricing, with double digit rate increases in several of our Specialty Casualty businesses during the quarter. We now expect growth in net written premiums to be in the range of 4% to 7%, up from our previous guidance of 2% to 5%, when compared to the $5.0 billion reported in 2018. Our Specialty P&C businesses produced excellent underwriting margins and strong growth during the quarter; based on results through the first nine months of the year and our expectations of no crop earnings in the fourth quarter, we have narrowed our 2019 calendar year combined ratio guidance to a range of 93% to 94% from our previous range of 92% to 94%.
Further details about AFGs Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
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Annuity Segment
Annuity Operating Earnings For all periods presented, the table below reflects core operating earnings under AFGs new definition. For periods prior to the second quarter of 2019, new core operating earnings are reconciled to previously reported operating results.
In millions | Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Pretax Annuity Core Operating Earnings: |
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Pretax earnings before certain items below |
$ | 150 | $ | 139 | $ | 441 | $ | 418 | ||||||||
Investments marked to market through core operating earnings, net of DAC |
25 | 26 | 80 | 88 | ||||||||||||
Amortization of option costs, net of DAC |
(75 | ) | (65 | ) | (216 | ) | (183 | ) | ||||||||
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Pretax Annuity core operating earnings new method |
100 | 100 | 305 | 323 | ||||||||||||
Other amounts previously reported as operating, net * |
n/a | 17 | (11 | ) | 18 | |||||||||||
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Pretax Annuity core operating earnings, as reported |
$ | 100 | $ | 117 | $ | 294 | $ | 341 | ||||||||
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Year over year growth in quarterly average invested assets |
11 | % | 10 | % | 11 | % | 10 | % | ||||||||
Yield on investments marked to market through core operating earnings |
9.5 | % | 11.7 | % | 10.5 | % | 14.3 | % |
* | Other primarily reflects (i) the impact of fair value accounting, (ii) the impact of changes in the stock market on the liability for guaranteed benefits and deferred acquisition costs (DAC), and (iii) unlocking. |
Pretax earnings before certain items increased primarily as a result of the growth in AFGs annuity business. Earnings from investments marked to market through core operating earnings vary from quarter to quarter based on the reported results of the underlying investments. Higher amortization of option costs reflects growth in AFGs annuity business, as well as higher costs of options.
2019 Annuity Core Operating Earnings Guidance Taking into account the new definition of Annuity core operating earnings beginning in the second quarter of 2019, and based on the $294 million of operating earnings reported by the Annuity Segment in the first nine months of 2019, AFG now expects its full year 2019 pretax Annuity core operating earnings to be in the range of $380 million to $400 million. This compares to the most recent guidance of $375 million to $405 million.
This updated guidance reflects: (i) an assumed annualized return of 8% in the fourth quarter on investments required to be marked to market through operating earnings, in contrast to the 10.5% earned on an annualized basis in the first nine months of 2019 and (ii) the impact of lower interest rates in particular, the impact of lower short term rates, which will have a negative impact on the Annuity Segments approximately $3 billion net investment in floating rate securities.
Annuity Premiums AFGs Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $1.08 billion in the third quarter of 2019, compared to $1.38 billion in the third quarter of 2018, a decrease of 22%. Higher traditional fixed annuity premiums were more than offset by lower fixed-indexed annuity (FIA) premiums.
In response to the continued drop in market interest rates in 2019, AFG has implemented numerous crediting rate decreases in order to maintain appropriate returns on its annuity sales. Based on the results to date, AFG believes that its 2019 Annuity premiums will be down 9% to 10% from its record $5.4 billion of premiums in 2018.
Craig Lindner stated, I am pleased with our results in this difficult interest rate environment. Our third quarter Annuity Segment results reflect a core operating return on equity in excess of 12%. We continue to believe that our consumer-centric model provides both value to policyholders and protection to AFG.
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Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Loss) In the third quarter of 2019, AFG reported an after-tax Annuity non-core loss of $21 million or ($0.23) per share; this amount reflects primarily the negative impact that the decrease in market interest rates in the third quarter of 2019 had on fair value accounting for FIAs.
Due to the significant decrease in both long-term and short-term interest rates throughout 2019, AFG performed a detailed review (unlocking) of the actuarial assumptions underlying its annuity operations in the third quarter of 2019; this review resulted in a net after-tax unlocking charge of $1 million ($0.01 per share), which is also included in the Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Loss) amount discussed above. Lower interest rates resulted in (i) a negative impact related to lower expected future investment income, (ii) a negative impact related to higher assumed persistency on certain blocks of business, and (iii) a positive impact related to lower expected costs for FIA renewal options, including anticipated renewal rate actions.
AFG monitors the major actuarial assumptions underlying its annuity operations throughout the year. Historically, the Company conducted detailed reviews (unlocking) of its assumptions in the fourth quarter of each year. Beginning with the third quarter of 2019, AFG will conduct this review in the third quarter of each year.
More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in AFGs Quarterly Investor Supplement.
A&E Reserves
During the third quarter of 2019, AFG completed an in-depth comprehensive review of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its P&C Group and its exposures related to former railroad and manufacturing operations and sites. This years review resulted in non-core after-tax special charges of $23 million ($29 million pretax) to increase AFGs A&E reserves.
The P&C Groups asbestos reserves were increased by $3 million (net of reinsurance) and its environmental reserves were increased by $15 million (net of reinsurance). At September 30, 2019, the P&C Groups insurance reserves include A&E reserves of $389 million, net of reinsurance recoverables. At September 30, 2019, the property and casualty insurance segments three-year survival ratios were 19.9 times paid losses for asbestos reserves, 12.1 times paid losses for environmental reserves and 15.6 times paid losses for total A&E reserves. These ratios compare favorably with industry data compiled by A.M. Best as of December 31, 2018, which indicate that industry survival ratios were 7.0 for asbestos, 8.3 for environmental, and 7.3 for total A&E reserves.
In addition, the 2019 review encompassed reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures of our former railroad and manufacturing operations. As a result of the review, AFG increased its reserve for environmental exposures by $8 million, due primarily to relatively small movements across several sites that primarily reflect changes in the scope and costs of investigation; AFG also increased its reserve for asbestos and toxic substance exposures arising out of these operations by $3 million.
Investments
AFG recorded third quarter 2019 net realized losses on securities of $14 million ($0.15 per share) after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), which included $20 million ($0.22 per share) in after-tax, after-DAC net losses to adjust equity securities that the Company continued to own, to fair value. By comparison, AFG recorded net realized gains on securities of $27 million ($0.31 per share) in the comparable 2018 period.
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Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $920 million after tax and after DAC at September 30, 2019, an increase of $837 million since year end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 91% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 98% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners designation of NAIC 1or 2, its highest two categories.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2019, P&C net investment income was approximately 9% higher than the comparable 2018 period.
More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
About American Financial Group, Inc.
American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets over $65 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of traditional fixed, fixed-indexed and variable-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions, broker-dealer and registered investment advisor markets. Great American Insurance Groups roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Companys expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.
Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets, including the cost of equity index options; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFGs investment portfolio; the availability of capital; changes in insurance law or regulation, including changes in statutory accounting rules and changes in regulation of the Lloyds market, including modifications to the establishment of capital requirements for and approval of business plans for syndicate participation; changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes, including the impact of recent changes in U.S. corporate tax law; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; disruption caused by cyber-attacks or other technology breaches or failures by AFG or its business partners and service providers, which could negatively impact AFGs business and/or expose AFG to litigation; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in
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persistency and mortality; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFGs credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFGs operating subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy relating to AFGs international operations; and other factors identified in AFGs filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.
Conference Call
The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2019 third quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, October 30, 2019. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 1894955. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.
A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on November 6, 2019. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 1894955.
The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To access the event, click the following link: https://www.afginc.com/news-and-events/event-calendar. Alternatively, you can choose Events from the Investor Relations page at www.AFGinc.com.
An archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on our website until November 6, 2019 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.
Contact:
Diane P. Weidner, IRC
Assistant Vice President Investor & Media Relations
(513) 369-5713
Websites:
www.AFGinc.com
www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com
# # #
(Financial summaries follow)
This earnings release and AFGs Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFGs website: www.AFGinc.com.
AFG19-23
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AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA
(Dollars in Millions, Except Per Share Data)
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Revenues |
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P&C insurance net earned premiums |
$ | 1,442 | $ | 1,327 | $ | 3,815 | $ | 3,595 | ||||||||
Life, accident & health net earned premiums |
6 | 6 | 17 | 18 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income |
588 | 527 | 1,710 | 1,552 | ||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(18 | ) | 34 | 222 | (28 | ) | ||||||||||
Income (loss) of managed investment entities: |
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Investment income |
67 | 65 | 206 | 187 | ||||||||||||
Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities |
(14 | ) | (5 | ) | (16 | ) | (10 | ) | ||||||||
Other income |
52 | 54 | 153 | 146 | ||||||||||||
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Total revenues |
2,123 | 2,008 | 6,107 | 5,460 | ||||||||||||
Costs and expenses |
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P&C insurance losses & expenses |
1,394 | 1,296 | 3,634 | 3,411 | ||||||||||||
Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses |
379 | 303 | 1,107 | 899 | ||||||||||||
Interest charges on borrowed money |
17 | 15 | 50 | 46 | ||||||||||||
Expenses of managed investment entities |
54 | 52 | 168 | 154 | ||||||||||||
Other expenses |
102 | 98 | 299 | 272 | ||||||||||||
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Total costs and expenses |
1,946 | 1,764 | 5,258 | 4,782 | ||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes |
177 | 244 | 849 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes |
34 | 41 | 171 | 126 | ||||||||||||
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Net earnings including noncontrolling interests |
143 | 203 | 678 | 552 | ||||||||||||
Less: Net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
(4 | ) | (1 | ) | (8 | ) | (7 | ) | ||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to shareholders |
$ | 147 | $ | 204 | $ | 686 | $ | 559 | ||||||||
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Diluted Earnings per Common Share |
$ | 1.62 | $ | 2.26 | $ | 7.55 | $ | 6.17 | ||||||||
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Average number of diluted shares |
91.1 | 90.7 | 90.9 | 90.6 | ||||||||||||
September 30, | December 31, | |||||||||||||||
Selected Balance Sheet Data: |
2019 | 2018 | ||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
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$ | 54,207 | $ | 48,498 | |||||||||||
Long-term debt |
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$ | 1,423 | $ | 1,302 | |||||||||||
Shareholders equity(c) |
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$ | 6,321 | $ | 4,970 | |||||||||||
Shareholders equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(c) |
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$ | 5,376 | $ | 4,898 | |||||||||||
Book value per share |
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$ | 70.14 | $ | 55.66 | |||||||||||
Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities) |
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$ | 59.65 | $ | 54.86 | |||||||||||
Common Shares Outstanding |
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90.1 | 89.3 |
Footnote (c) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
Page 9
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS
(Dollars in Millions)
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 2,351 | $ | 2,104 | 12 | % | $ | 5,550 | $ | 5,227 | 6 | % | ||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
$ | 1,618 | $ | 1,456 | 11 | % | $ | 4,029 | $ | 3,815 | 6 | % | ||||||||||||
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Ratios (GAAP): |
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Loss & LAE ratio |
63.1 | % | 64.3 | % | 60.9 | % | 60.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.9 | % | 31.4 | % | 32.9 | % | 33.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Specialty Combined Ratio |
94.0 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.8 | % | 93.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Combined Ratio P&C Segment |
96.3 | % | 97.2 | % | 94.7 | % | 94.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Supplemental Information:(d) |
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Gross Written Premiums: |
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Property & Transportation |
$ | 1,113 | $ | 953 | 17 | % | $ | 2,131 | $ | 1,994 | 7 | % | ||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
1,031 | 956 | 8 | % | 2,839 | 2,667 | 6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
207 | 195 | 6 | % | 580 | 566 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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$ | 2,351 | $ | 2,104 | 12 | % | $ | 5,550 | $ | 5,227 | 6 | % | |||||||||||||
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Net Written Premiums: |
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Property & Transportation |
$ | 661 | $ | 560 | 18 | % | $ | 1,427 | $ | 1,306 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
744 | 695 | 7 | % | 2,032 | 1,928 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
167 | 153 | 9 | % | 461 | 460 | | |||||||||||||||||
Other |
46 | 48 | (4 | %) | 109 | 121 | (10 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
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$ | 1,618 | $ | 1,456 | 11 | % | $ | 4,029 | $ | 3,815 | 6 | % | |||||||||||||
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Combined Ratio (GAAP): |
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Property & Transportation |
93.5 | % | 100.0 | % | 93.8 | % | 95.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
96.5 | % | 92.1 | % | 94.5 | % | 93.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
83.7 | % | 94.4 | % | 86.8 | % | 90.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group |
94.0 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.8 | % | 93.8 | % |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse: |
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Property & Transportation |
$ | (17 | ) | $ (4 | ) | $ | (49 | ) | $ | (43 | ) | |||||
Specialty Casualty |
(19 | ) | (37 | ) | (63 | ) | (87 | ) | ||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(9 | ) | (8 | ) | (24 | ) | (19 | ) | ||||||||
Other Specialty |
(1 | ) | | 2 | (2 | ) | ||||||||||
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Specialty Group |
(46 | ) | (49 | ) | (134 | ) | (151 | ) | ||||||||
Special A&E Reserve Charge P&C Run-off |
18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | ||||||||||||
Other |
16 | | 18 | 2 | ||||||||||||
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Total Reserve Development |
$ | (12 | ) | $ | (31 | ) | $ | (98 | ) | $ | (131 | ) | ||||
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Points on Combined Ratio: |
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Property & Transportation |
(2.8 | ) | (0.8 | ) | (3.7 | ) | (3.5 | ) | ||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
(2.9 | ) | (6.0 | ) | (3.2 | ) | (4.8 | ) | ||||||||
Specialty Financial |
(5.5 | ) | (5.1 | ) | (5.3 | ) | (4.1 | ) | ||||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group |
(3.1 | ) | (3.7 | ) | (3.5 | ) | (4.3 | ) | ||||||||
Total P&C Segment |
(0.8 | ) | (2.2 | ) | (2.6 | ) | (3.7 | ) |
Footnote (d) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.
Page 10
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
ANNUITY SEGMENT
(Dollars in Millions)
Components of Statutory Premiums
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity Premiums: |
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Financial Institutions |
$ | 627 | $ | 574 | 9 | % | $ | 2,137 | $ | 1,671 | 28 | % | ||||||||||||
Retail |
228 | 371 | (39 | %) | 868 | 1,086 | (20 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Broker-Dealer |
143 | 325 | (56 | %) | 573 | 946 | (39 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Pension Risk Transfer |
39 | 56 | nm | 99 | 57 | nm | ||||||||||||||||||
Education Market |
35 | 46 | nm | 128 | 146 | nm | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable Annuities |
5 | 6 | nm | 16 | 19 | nm | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total Annuity Premiums |
$ | 1,077 | $ | 1,378 | (22 | %) | $ | 3,821 | $ | 3,925 | (3 | %) | ||||||||||||
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Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes
Three months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
Nine months ended September 30, |
Pct. Change |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
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Net investment income |
$ | 448 | $ | 413 | 8 | % | $ | 1,334 | $ | 1,219 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
Other income |
28 | 27 | 4 | % | 82 | 80 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Total revenues |
476 | 440 | 8 | % | 1,416 | 1,299 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Costs and Expenses: |
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Annuity benefits |
250 | 222 | 13 | % | 900 | 664 | 36 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
118 | 69 | 71 | % | 177 | 199 | (11 | %) | ||||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
35 | 32 | 9 | % | 105 | 95 | 11 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Total costs and expenses |
403 | 323 | 25 | % | 1,182 | 958 | 23 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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Annuity earnings before income taxes |
$ | 73 | $ | 117 | (38 | %) | 234 | $ | 341 | (31 | %) | |||||||||||||
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Supplemental Annuity Information
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Core net interest spread on fixed annuities new method |
1.97 | % | 2.08 | % | 2.02 | % | 2.22 | % | ||||||||
Core net spread earned on fixed annuities new method |
1.06 | % | 1.16 | % | 1.08 | % | 1.28 | % |
Further details may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Page 11
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Notes to Financial Schedules
a) | Components of core net operating earnings (dollars in millions): |
Three months ended September 30, |
Nine months ended September 30, |
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2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes: |
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P&C insurance segment |
$ | 194 | $ | 158 | $ | 554 | $ | 526 | ||||||||
Annuity segment, new method |
100 | 100 | 305 | 323 | ||||||||||||
Annuity results previously reported as operating earnings |
| 17 | (11 | ) | 18 | |||||||||||
Interest and other corporate expenses* |
(39 | ) | (37 | ) | (124 | ) | (127 | ) | ||||||||
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Core operating earnings before income taxes |
255 | 238 | 724 | 740 | ||||||||||||
Related income taxes |
50 | 40 | 143 | 138 | ||||||||||||
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Core net operating earnings |
$ | 205 | $ | 198 | $ | 581 | $ | 602 | ||||||||
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* | Other Corporate Expenses includes income and expenses associated with AFGs run-off businesses. |
b) | Reflects the following effects of special A&E charges during the third quarter and first nine months of 2019 and 2018 (dollars in millions, except per share amounts): |
Pretax | After-tax | EPS | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
A&E Charges: |
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P&C insurance run-off operations |
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Asbestos |
$ | 3 | $ | 6 | $ | 2 | $ | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
Environmental |
15 | 12 | 12 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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$ | 18 | $ | 18 | $ | 14 | $ | 14 | $ | 0.15 | $ | 0.16 | |||||||||||||
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Former railroad & manufacturing operations |
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Asbestos |
$ | 3 | $ | | $ | 2 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||
Environmental |
8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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$ | 11 | $ | 9 | $ | 9 | $ | 7 | $ | 0.10 | $ | 0.08 | |||||||||||||
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Total A&E |
$ | 29 | $ | 27 | $ | 23 | $ | 21 | $ | 0.25 | $ | 0.24 | ||||||||||||
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c) | Shareholders Equity at September 30, 2019 includes $920 million ($10.21 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $25 million ($0.28 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. Shareholders Equity at December 31, 2018 includes $83 million ($0.93 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $11 million ($0.13 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. |
d) | Supplemental Notes: |
| Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other commercial property coverages. |
| Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers compensation insurance. |
| Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including equipment leasing and collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance. |
| Other includes an internal reinsurance facility. |
Page 12
Exhibit 99.2
American Financial Group, Inc.
Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2019
October 29, 2019
American Financial Group, Inc. Corporate Headquarters Great American Insurance Group Tower 301 E Fourth Street Cincinnati, OH 45202 513 579 6739 | ||
American Financial Group, Inc. Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2019 |
Section |
Page | |||
Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2019 |
2 | |||
Financial Highlights |
3 | |||
Summary of Earnings |
4 | |||
Earnings Per Share Summary |
5 | |||
Property and Casualty Insurance Segment |
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Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
6 | |||
Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
7 | |||
Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
8 | |||
Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
9 | |||
Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
10 | |||
Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) |
11 | |||
Annuity Segment |
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Annuity Earnings |
12 | |||
Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense |
13 | |||
Core Net Spread on Fixed Annuities - New Method |
14 | |||
Statutory Annuity Premiums |
15 | |||
Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) |
16 | |||
Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate Analysis |
17 | |||
Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses) |
18 | |||
Reconciliation from Core to GAAP Annuity Pretax Earnings |
19 | |||
Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt |
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Consolidated Balance Sheet |
20 | |||
Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary |
21 | |||
Capitalization |
22 | |||
Additional Supplemental Information |
23 | |||
Consolidated Investment Supplement |
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Total Cash and Investments |
24 | |||
Net Investment Income |
25 | |||
Significant Investments Marked-to-Market Through Investment Income and Investments Accounted For Using the Equity Method |
26 | |||
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated |
27 | |||
Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio |
28 | |||
Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating |
29 | |||
Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated |
30 | |||
Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio |
31 | |||
Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating |
32 | |||
Appendix |
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A. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type |
33 |
Page 2
American Financial Group, Inc. Financial Highlights (in millions, except per share information) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Highlights |
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Net earnings (loss) |
$ | 147 | $ | 210 | $ | 329 | $ | (29 | ) | $ | 204 | $ | 686 | $ | 559 | |||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
205 | 192 | 184 | 159 | 198 | 581 | 602 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets |
69,067 | 67,697 | 66,132 | 63,456 | 64,190 | 69,067 | 64,190 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted shareholders equity (a) |
5,376 | 5,260 | 5,201 | 4,898 | 5,103 | 5,376 | 5,103 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty net written premiums |
1,618 | 1,264 | 1,147 | 1,208 | 1,456 | 4,029 | 3,815 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity statutory premiums |
1,077 | 1,349 | 1,395 | 1,482 | 1,378 | 3,821 | 3,925 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Per share data |
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Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 1.62 | $ | 2.31 | $ | 3.63 | $ | (0.33 | ) | $ | 2.26 | $ | 7.55 | $ | 6.17 | |||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings per share |
2.25 | 2.12 | 2.02 | 1.75 | 2.19 | 6.39 | 6.65 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted book value per share (a) |
59.65 | 58.49 | 58.02 | 54.86 | 57.22 | 59.65 | 57.22 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash dividends per common share |
0.4000 | 1.9000 | 0.4000 | 1.9000 | 0.3500 | 2.7000 | 2.5500 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Financial ratios |
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Annualized return on equity (b) |
11.0 | % | 16.0 | % | 25.9 | % | (2.3 | %) | 16.3 | % | 17.6 | % | 15.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Annualized core operating return on equity (b) |
15.3 | % | 14.7 | % | 14.5 | % | 12.6 | % | 15.8 | % | 14.9 | % | 16.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty: |
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Loss & LAE ratio |
63.1 | % | 60.2 | % | 58.9 | % | 62.7 | % | 64.3 | % | 60.9 | % | 60.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.9 | % | 34.8 | % | 33.6 | % | 29.3 | % | 31.4 | % | 32.9 | % | 33.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio - Specialty |
94.0 | % | 95.0 | % | 92.5 | % | 92.0 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.8 | % | 93.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Net spread on fixed annuities: |
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Net interest spread on fixed annuities - new method |
1.97 | % | 2.08 | % | 2.01 | % | 1.94 | % | 2.08 | % | 2.02 | % | 2.22 | % | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned on fixed annuities: |
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Core operating - new method |
1.06 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.98 | % | 1.16 | % | 1.08 | % | 1.28 | % | ||||||||||||||
Non-core - new method: |
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Previously reported in core operating |
n/a | n/a | (0.12 | %) | (0.73 | %) | 0.19 | % | (0.04 | %) | 0.07 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Currently reported in non-core |
(0.28 | %) | (0.35 | %) | n/a | n/a | n/a | (0.21 | %) | n/a |
(a) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, a reconciliation to the GAAP measure is on page 21. |
(b) | Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income. |
Page 3
American Financial Group, Inc. Summary of Earnings ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 09/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 72 | $ | 59 | $ | 87 | $ | 101 | $ | 56 | $ | 218 | $ | 219 | ||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
124 | 124 | 104 | 115 | 108 | 352 | 323 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other income (expense) |
(2 | ) | (8 | ) | (6 | ) | (2 | ) | (6 | ) | (16 | ) | (16 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings |
194 | 175 | 185 | 214 | 158 | 554 | 526 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity earnings |
100 | 104 | 90 | 20 | 117 | 294 | 341 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense of parent holding companies |
(17 | ) | (17 | ) | (16 | ) | (16 | ) | (15 | ) | (50 | ) | (46 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Other expense |
(22 | ) | (25 | ) | (27 | ) | (13 | ) | (22 | ) | (74 | ) | (81 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Pre-tax core operating earnings |
255 | 237 | 232 | 205 | 238 | 724 | 740 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense |
50 | 45 | 48 | 46 | 40 | 143 | 138 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Core net operating earnings |
205 | 192 | 184 | 159 | 198 | 581 | 602 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Non-core items, net of tax: |
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Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(14 | ) | 45 | 145 | (188 | ) | 27 | 176 | (22 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Annuity non-core earnings (losses), net of taxes |
(21 | ) | (27 | ) | | | | (48 | ) | | ||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges: |
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Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations |
(14 | ) | | | | (14 | ) | (14 | ) | (14 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations |
(9 | ) | | | | (7 | ) | (9 | ) | (7 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
$ | 147 | $ | 210 | $ | 329 | $ | (29 | ) | $ | 204 | $ | 686 | $ | 559 | |||||||||||||
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Page 4
American Financial Group, Inc. Earnings Per Share Summary (in millions, except per share information) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings |
$ | 205 | $ | 192 | $ | 184 | $ | 159 | $ | 198 | $ | 581 | $ | 602 | ||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
$ | 147 | $ | 210 | $ | 329 | $ | (29 | ) | $ | 204 | $ | 686 | $ | 559 | |||||||||||||
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Average number of diluted shares - core |
91.137 | 90.981 | 90.695 | 90.668 | 90.731 | 90.940 | 90.610 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Average number of diluted shares - net |
91.137 | 90.981 | 90.695 | 89.278 | 90.731 | 90.940 | 90.610 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted earnings per share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Core net operating earnings per share |
$ | 2.25 | $ | 2.12 | $ | 2.02 | $ | 1.75 | $ | 2.19 | $ | 6.39 | $ | 6.65 | ||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities |
(0.15 | ) | 0.48 | 1.61 | (2.08 | ) | 0.31 | 1.93 | (0.24 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Annuity non-core earnings (losses), net of taxes |
(0.23 | ) | (0.29 | ) | | | | (0.52 | ) | | ||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges: |
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Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations |
(0.15 | ) | | | | (0.16 | ) | (0.15 | ) | (0.16 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations |
(0.10 | ) | | | | (0.08 | ) | (0.10 | ) | (0.08 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
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Diluted earnings per share |
$ | 1.62 | $ | 2.31 | $ | 3.63 | $ | (0.33 | ) | $ | 2.26 | $ | 7.55 | $ | 6.17 | |||||||||||||
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Page 5
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Transportation |
$ | 38 | $ | 4 | $ | 39 | $ | 64 | $ | | $ | 81 | $ | 56 | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
23 | 47 | 36 | 22 | 49 | 106 | 119 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
26 | 21 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 60 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other Specialty |
1 | (12 | ) | | (4 | ) | (3 | ) | (11 | ) | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit - Specialty |
88 | 60 | 88 | 102 | 55 | 236 | 220 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other core charges, included in loss and LAE |
(16 | ) | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | 1 | (18 | ) | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit - Core |
72 | 59 | 87 | 101 | 56 | 218 | 219 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE |
(18 | ) | | | | (18 | ) | (18 | ) | (18 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit (loss) - Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 54 | $ | 59 | $ | 87 | $ | 101 | $ | 38 | $ | 200 | $ | 201 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
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Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | | $ | 3 | |||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
22 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 35 | 46 | 64 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 22 | $ | 12 | $ | 12 | $ | 38 | $ | 38 | $ | 46 | $ | 67 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (12 | ) | $ | (41 | ) | $ | (45 | ) | $ | (61 | ) | $ | (31 | ) | $ | (98 | ) | $ | (131 | ) | |||||||
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Combined ratio: |
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Property and Transportation |
93.5 | % | 99.1 | % | 89.0 | % | 86.5 | % | 100.0 | % | 93.8 | % | 95.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Casualty |
96.5 | % | 92.5 | % | 94.2 | % | 96.5 | % | 92.1 | % | 94.5 | % | 93.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Specialty Financial |
83.7 | % | 85.6 | % | 91.4 | % | 85.5 | % | 94.4 | % | 86.8 | % | 90.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other Specialty |
98.5 | % | 135.1 | % | 98.9 | % | 112.3 | % | 103.0 | % | 110.2 | % | 100.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Combined ratio - Specialty |
94.0 | % | 95.0 | % | 92.5 | % | 92.0 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.8 | % | 93.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other core charges |
1.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.5 | % | 0.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Special A&E charges |
1.2 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 1.5 | % | 0.4 | % | 0.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
96.3 | % | 95.1 | % | 92.6 | % | 92.0 | % | 97.2 | % | 94.7 | % | 94.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
95.5 | % | 97.5 | % | 95.4 | % | 93.7 | % | 96.8 | % | 96.1 | % | 96.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance |
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Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
64.6 | % | 62.7 | % | 61.8 | % | 64.4 | % | 65.4 | % | 63.2 | % | 63.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(0.8 | %) | (3.3 | %) | (3.9 | %) | (4.7 | %) | (2.2 | %) | (2.6 | %) | (3.7 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.6 | % | 0.9 | % | 1.1 | % | 3.0 | % | 2.6 | % | 1.2 | % | 1.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
65.4 | % | 60.3 | % | 59.0 | % | 62.7 | % | 65.8 | % | 61.8 | % | 61.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 6
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 2,351 | $ | 1,664 | $ | 1,535 | $ | 1,613 | $ | 2,104 | $ | 5,550 | $ | 5,227 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(733 | ) | (400 | ) | (388 | ) | (405 | ) | (648 | ) | (1,521 | ) | (1,412 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
1,618 | 1,264 | 1,147 | 1,208 | 1,456 | 4,029 | 3,815 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(176 | ) | (64 | ) | 26 | 62 | (129 | ) | (214 | ) | (220 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
1,442 | 1,200 | 1,173 | 1,270 | 1,327 | 3,815 | 3,595 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
910 | 722 | 691 | 796 | 855 | 2,323 | 2,187 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
444 | 418 | 394 | 372 | 417 | 1,256 | 1,188 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 88 | $ | 60 | $ | 88 | $ | 102 | $ | 55 | $ | 236 | $ | 220 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
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Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | | $ | 3 | |||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
22 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 35 | 46 | 64 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 22 | $ | 12 | $ | 12 | $ | 38 | $ | 38 | $ | 46 | $ | 67 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (46 | ) | $ | (42 | ) | $ | (46 | ) | $ | (61 | ) | $ | (49 | ) | $ | (134 | ) | $ | (151 | ) | |||||||
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Combined ratio: |
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Loss and LAE ratio |
63.1 | % | 60.2 | % | 58.9 | % | 62.7 | % | 64.3 | % | 60.9 | % | 60.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
30.9 | % | 34.8 | % | 33.6 | % | 29.3 | % | 31.4 | % | 32.9 | % | 33.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
94.0 | % | 95.0 | % | 92.5 | % | 92.0 | % | 95.7 | % | 93.8 | % | 93.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
95.5 | % | 97.5 | % | 95.4 | % | 93.7 | % | 96.8 | % | 96.1 | % | 96.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
64.6 | % | 62.7 | % | 61.8 | % | 64.4 | % | 65.4 | % | 63.2 | % | 63.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(3.1 | %) | (3.4 | %) | (4.0 | %) | (4.7 | %) | (3.7 | %) | (3.5 | %) | (4.3 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.6 | % | 0.9 | % | 1.1 | % | 3.0 | % | 2.6 | % | 1.2 | % | 1.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
63.1 | % | 60.2 | % | 58.9 | % | 62.7 | % | 64.3 | % | 60.9 | % | 60.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 7
American Financial Group, Inc. Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 1,113 | $ | 579 | $ | 439 | $ | 651 | $ | 953 | $ | 2,131 | $ | 1,994 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(452 | ) | (157 | ) | (95 | ) | (203 | ) | (393 | ) | (704 | ) | (688 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
661 | 422 | 344 | 448 | 560 | 1,427 | 1,306 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(78 | ) | (43 | ) | 17 | 31 | (34 | ) | (104 | ) | (56 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
583 | 379 | 361 | 479 | 526 | 1,323 | 1,250 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
421 | 259 | 225 | 327 | 406 | 905 | 865 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
124 | 116 | 97 | 88 | 120 | 337 | 329 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 38 | $ | 4 | $ | 39 | $ | 64 | $ | | $ | 81 | $ | 56 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
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Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
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Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 1 | $ | | $ | 1 | |||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
8 | 8 | 9 | (1 | ) | 12 | 25 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 8 | $ | 8 | $ | 9 | $ | (2 | ) | $ | 13 | $ | 25 | $ | 28 | |||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (17 | ) | $ | (6 | ) | $ | (26 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (49 | ) | $ | (43 | ) | |||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
72.1 | % | 68.4 | % | 62.2 | % | 68.2 | % | 77.1 | % | 68.3 | % | 69.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
21.4 | % | 30.7 | % | 26.8 | % | 18.3 | % | 22.9 | % | 25.5 | % | 26.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
93.5 | % | 99.1 | % | 89.0 | % | 86.5 | % | 100.0 | % | 93.8 | % | 95.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
94.9 | % | 98.7 | % | 93.6 | % | 88.2 | % | 98.5 | % | 95.6 | % | 96.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
73.5 | % | 68.0 | % | 66.8 | % | 69.9 | % | 75.6 | % | 70.1 | % | 70.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(2.8 | %) | (1.6 | %) | (7.2 | %) | (1.5 | %) | (0.8 | %) | (3.7 | %) | (3.5 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.4 | % | 2.0 | % | 2.6 | % | (0.2 | %) | 2.3 | % | 1.9 | % | 2.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
72.1 | % | 68.4 | % | 62.2 | % | 68.2 | % | 77.1 | % | 68.3 | % | 69.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 8
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 1,031 | $ | 896 | $ | 912 | $ | 778 | $ | 956 | $ | 2,839 | $ | 2,667 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(287 | ) | (234 | ) | (286 | ) | (197 | ) | (261 | ) | (807 | ) | (739 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
744 | 662 | 626 | 581 | 695 | 2,032 | 1,928 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(86 | ) | (28 | ) | 3 | 32 | (79 | ) | (111 | ) | (138 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
658 | 634 | 629 | 613 | 616 | 1,921 | 1,790 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
416 | 380 | 388 | 389 | 364 | 1,184 | 1,087 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
219 | 207 | 205 | 202 | 203 | 631 | 584 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Underwriting profit |
$ | 23 | $ | 47 | $ | 36 | $ | 22 | $ | 49 | $ | 106 | $ | 119 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | | $ | 1 | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
10 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 10 | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | $ | 28 | $ | 12 | $ | 12 | $ | 18 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (19 | ) | $ | (31 | ) | $ | (13 | ) | $ | (52 | ) | $ | (37 | ) | $ | (63 | ) | $ | (87 | ) | |||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
63.1 | % | 60.0 | % | 61.6 | % | 63.5 | % | 59.2 | % | 61.6 | % | 60.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
33.4 | % | 32.5 | % | 32.6 | % | 33.0 | % | 32.9 | % | 32.9 | % | 32.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
96.5 | % | 92.5 | % | 94.2 | % | 96.5 | % | 92.1 | % | 94.5 | % | 93.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
97.8 | % | 97.1 | % | 96.3 | % | 100.3 | % | 96.4 | % | 97.1 | % | 97.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
64.4 | % | 64.6 | % | 63.7 | % | 67.3 | % | 63.5 | % | 64.2 | % | 64.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(2.9 | %) | (4.7 | %) | (2.2 | %) | (8.5 | %) | (6.0 | %) | (3.2 | %) | (4.8 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
1.6 | % | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 4.7 | % | 1.7 | % | 0.6 | % | 0.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE ratio |
63.1 | % | 60.0 | % | 61.6 | % | 63.5 | % | 59.2 | % | 61.6 | % | 60.7 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 9
American Financial Group, Inc. Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | 207 | $ | 189 | $ | 184 | $ | 184 | $ | 195 | $ | 580 | $ | 566 | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
(40 | ) | (40 | ) | (39 | ) | (42 | ) | (42 | ) | (119 | ) | (106 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
167 | 149 | 145 | 142 | 153 | 461 | 460 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(6 | ) | 2 | 1 | (1 | ) | (4 | ) | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
161 | 151 | 146 | 141 | 149 | 458 | 457 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
47 | 49 | 56 | 51 | 60 | 152 | 174 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
88 | 81 | 77 | 70 | 80 | 246 | 237 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit |
$ | 26 | $ | 21 | $ | 13 | $ | 20 | $ | 9 | $ | 60 | $ | 46 | ||||||||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | | $ | 1 | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 3 | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 10 | $ | 13 | $ | 8 | $ | 19 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (9 | ) | $ | (9 | ) | $ | (6 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | (8 | ) | $ | (24 | ) | $ | (19 | ) | |||||||
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Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
29.7 | % | 32.3 | % | 38.2 | % | 36.4 | % | 40.1 | % | 33.3 | % | 38.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
54.0 | % | 53.3 | % | 53.2 | % | 49.1 | % | 54.3 | % | 53.5 | % | 52.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio |
83.7 | % | 85.6 | % | 91.4 | % | 85.5 | % | 94.4 | % | 86.8 | % | 90.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
87.2 | % | 89.7 | % | 94.3 | % | 83.6 | % | 91.5 | % | 90.3 | % | 90.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Loss and LAE components: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss |
33.2 | % | 36.4 | % | 41.1 | % | 34.5 | % | 37.2 | % | 36.8 | % | 38.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Prior accident year loss reserve development |
(5.5 | %) | (5.9 | %) | (4.3 | %) | (5.2 | %) | (5.1 | %) | (5.3 | %) | (4.1 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe loss |
2.0 | % | 1.8 | % | 1.4 | % | 7.1 | % | 8.0 | % | 1.8 | % | 3.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
29.7 | % | 32.3 | % | 38.2 | % | 36.4 | % | 40.1 | % | 33.3 | % | 38.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 10
American Financial Group, Inc. Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Ceded reinsurance premiums |
46 | 31 | 32 | 37 | 48 | 109 | 121 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Net written premiums |
46 | 31 | 32 | 37 | 48 | 109 | 121 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in unearned premiums |
(6 | ) | 5 | 5 | | (12 | ) | 4 | (23 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
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Net earned premiums |
40 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 36 | 113 | 98 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE |
26 | 34 | 22 | 29 | 25 | 82 | 61 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense |
13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 38 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Underwriting profit (loss) |
$ | 1 | $ | (12 | ) | $ | | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (11 | ) | $ | (1 | ) | |||||||||
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Included in results above: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe reinstatement premium |
$ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | $ | | ||||||||||||||
Catastrophe loss |
1 | | | 2 | | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Total current accident year catastrophe losses |
$ | 1 | $ | | $ | | $ | 2 | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | 2 | ||||||||||||||
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Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse |
$ | (1 | ) | $ | 4 | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 5 | $ | | $ | 2 | $ | (2 | ) | |||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE ratio |
64.0 | % | 96.0 | % | 59.7 | % | 76.5 | % | 65.5 | % | 72.7 | % | 62.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
34.5 | % | 39.1 | % | 39.2 | % | 35.8 | % | 37.5 | % | 37.5 | % | 37.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
98.5 | % | 135.1 | % | 98.9 | % | 112.3 | % | 103.0 | % | 110.2 | % | 100.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development |
99.0 | % | 123.4 | % | 100.8 | % | 95.6 | % | 103.7 | % | 107.3 | % | 100.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 11
American Financial Group, Inc. Annuity Earnings ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
$ | 421 | $ | 420 | $ | 406 | $ | 401 | $ | 385 | $ | 1,247 | $ | 1,123 | ||||||||||||||
Investments marked to market through core operating earnings |
27 | 31 | 29 | 18 | 28 | 87 | 96 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees |
17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 50 | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Total revenues |
475 | 478 | 462 | 446 | 440 | 1,415 | 1,299 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits |
276 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 248 | 814 | 703 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
64 | 67 | 60 | 64 | 60 | 191 | 178 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
35 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 32 | 105 | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total costs and expenses |
375 | 374 | 361 | 360 | 340 | 1,110 | 976 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - new method |
$ | 100 | $ | 104 | $ | 101 | $ | 86 | $ | 100 | $ | 305 | $ | 323 | ||||||||||||||
Other amounts previously reported as core operating, net (a) |
n/a | n/a | (11 | ) | (66 | ) | 17 | (11 | ) | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - as reported |
$ | 100 | $ | 104 | $ | 90 | $ | 20 | $ | 117 | $ | 294 | $ | 341 | ||||||||||||||
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(a) | Other primarily reflects (1) the impact of fair value accounting, (2) the impact of changes in the stock market on the liability for guaranteed benefits and DAC, and (3) unlocking. |
Page 12
American Financial Group, Inc. Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Detail of annuity benefits expense: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of funds: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of options (a) |
$ | 149 | $ | 146 | $ | 141 | $ | 141 | $ | 132 | $ | 436 | $ | 365 | ||||||||||||||
Traditional fixed annuities |
62 | 61 | 59 | 58 | 59 | 182 | 176 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed component of fixed-indexed annuities |
24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 69 | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Immediate annuities |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Pension risk transfer (PRT) |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 4 | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Federal Home Loan Bank |
7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total cost of funds - new method |
250 | 244 | 236 | 233 | 222 | 730 | 630 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve |
21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 60 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of sales inducements |
3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Change in expected death and annuitization reserve and other |
2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | | 13 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total other annuity benefits |
26 | 28 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 84 | 73 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total annuity benefits expensenew method |
$ | 276 | $ | 272 | $ | 266 | $ | 260 | $ | 248 | $ | 814 | $ | 703 | ||||||||||||||
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(a) Amortizaton of options, net of DAC and reserve offsets: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortization of options |
$ | 149 | $ | 146 | $ | 141 | $ | 141 | $ | 132 | $ | 436 | $ | 365 | ||||||||||||||
DAC and reserve offsets |
(74 | ) | (74 | ) | (72 | ) | (72 | ) | (67 | ) | (220 | ) | (182 | ) | ||||||||||||||
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Amortization of options, net of DAC and reserve offsets |
$ | 75 | $ | 72 | $ | 69 | $ | 69 | $ | 65 | $ | 216 | $ | 183 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 13
American Financial Group, Inc. Core Net Spread on Fixed Annuities - New Method ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost) (a) |
$ | 38,650 | $ | 37,907 | $ | 36,991 | $ | 35,993 | $ | 34,955 | $ | 37,849 | $ | 33,964 | ||||||||||||||
Average annuity benefits accumulated |
38,946 | 38,202 | 37,078 | 36,103 | 35,226 | 38,075 | 34,240 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments (a) |
$ | (296 | ) | $ | (295 | ) | $ | (87 | ) | $ | (110 | ) | $ | (271 | ) | $ | (226 | ) | $ | (276 | ) | |||||||
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As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net investment income (as % of investments) |
4.34 | % | 4.40 | % | 4.37 | % | 4.44 | % | 4.38 | % | 4.37 | % | 4.38 | % | ||||||||||||||
Investments marked to market through core operating earnings (as % of investments) |
0.28 | % | 0.33 | % | 0.31 | % | 0.20 | % | 0.32 | % | 0.31 | % | 0.38 | % | ||||||||||||||
Cost of funds |
(2.57 | %) | (2.55 | %) | (2.54 | %) | (2.58 | %) | (2.52 | %) | (2.56 | %) | (2.45 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Other annuity benefits, net of guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees |
(0.08 | %) | (0.10 | %) | (0.13 | %) | (0.12 | %) | (0.10 | %) | (0.10 | %) | (0.09 | %) | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Core net interest spread on fixed annuities - new method |
1.97 | % | 2.08 | % | 2.01 | % | 1.94 | % | 2.08 | % | 2.02 | % | 2.22 | % | ||||||||||||||
Policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
0.08 | % | 0.08 | % | 0.08 | % | 0.08 | % | 0.09 | % | 0.08 | % | 0.10 | % | ||||||||||||||
Acquisition expenses |
(0.65 | %) | (0.68 | %) | (0.65 | %) | (0.66 | %) | (0.65 | %) | (0.66 | %) | (0.67 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Other expenses |
(0.34 | %) | (0.37 | %) | (0.36 | %) | (0.38 | %) | (0.36 | %) | (0.36 | %) | (0.37 | %) | ||||||||||||||
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|
|||||||||||||||
Core net spread earned on fixed annuities - new method |
1.06 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.98 | % | 1.16 | % | 1.08 | % | 1.28 | % | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned on items previously reported as core operating |
n/a | n/a | (0.12 | %) | (0.73 | %) | 0.19 | % | (0.04 | %) | 0.07 | % | ||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Core net spread earned on fixed annuities - as reported |
1.06 | % | 1.11 | % | 0.96 | % | 0.25 | % | 1.35 | % | 1.04 | % | 1.35 | % | ||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||||
Average annuity benefits accumulated |
$ | 38,946 | $ | 38,202 | $ | 37,078 | $ | 36,103 | $ | 35,226 | $ | 38,075 | $ | 34,240 | ||||||||||||||
Net spread earned on fixed annuities - core |
1.06 | % | 1.11 | % | 1.08 | % | 0.98 | % | 1.16 | % | 1.08 | % | 1.28 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated - core |
$ | 103 | $ | 106 | $ | 100 | $ | 88 | $ | 102 | $ | 309 | $ | 330 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments |
$ | (296 | ) | $ | (295 | ) | $ | (87 | ) | $ | (110 | ) | $ | (271 | ) | $ | (226 | ) | $ | (276 | ) | |||||||
Net investment income (as % of investments) |
4.62 | % | 4.73 | % | 4.68 | % | 4.64 | % | 4.70 | % | 4.68 | % | 4.76 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Earnings/(loss) on annuity benefits accumulated in excess of investments |
$ | (3 | ) | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (1 | ) | $ | (1 | ) | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (7 | ) | $ | (10 | ) | |||||||
Variable annuity earnings |
| 1 | 2 | (1 | ) | 1 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - new method |
100 | 104 | 101 | 86 | 100 | 305 | 323 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other amounts previously reported as core operating, net |
n/a | n/a | (11 | ) | (66 | ) | 17 | (11 | ) | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Pretax Annuity core operating earnings - as reported |
$ | 100 | $ | 104 | $ | 90 | $ | 20 | $ | 117 | $ | 294 | $ | 341 | ||||||||||||||
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(a) | Excludes non-investment assets such as deferred acquisition costs, FIA options, accrued investment income and company owned life insurance. |
Page 14
American Financial Group, Inc. Statutory Annuity Premiums ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed |
$ | 325 | $ | 429 | $ | 424 | $ | 455 | $ | 460 | $ | 1,178 | $ | 1,321 | ||||||||||||||
Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed |
302 | 313 | 344 | 142 | 114 | 959 | 350 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Retail single premium annuities - indexed |
198 | 274 | 301 | 392 | 354 | 773 | 1,026 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Retail single premium annuities - fixed |
30 | 36 | 29 | 27 | 17 | 95 | 60 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Broker dealer single premium annuities - indexed |
134 | 189 | 227 | 335 | 322 | 550 | 936 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Broker dealer single premium annuities - fixed |
9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Pension risk transfer (PRT) |
39 | 50 | 10 | 75 | 56 | 99 | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Education market - fixed and indexed annuities |
35 | 44 | 49 | 46 | 46 | 128 | 146 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal fixed annuity premiums |
1,072 | 1,343 | 1,390 | 1,476 | 1,372 | 3,805 | 3,906 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuities |
5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total annuity premiums |
$ | 1,077 | $ | 1,349 | $ | 1,395 | $ | 1,482 | $ | 1,378 | $ | 3,821 | $ | 3,925 | ||||||||||||||
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Summary by Distribution Channel: |
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Financial institutions |
$ | 627 | $ | 742 | $ | 768 | $ | 597 | $ | 574 | $ | 2,137 | $ | 1,671 | ||||||||||||||
Retail |
228 | 310 | 330 | 419 | 371 | 868 | 1,086 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Broker dealer |
143 | 197 | 233 | 339 | 325 | 573 | 946 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other |
79 | 100 | 64 | 127 | 108 | 243 | 222 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total annuity premiums |
$ | 1,077 | $ | 1,349 | $ | 1,395 | $ | 1,482 | $ | 1,378 | $ | 3,821 | $ | 3,925 | ||||||||||||||
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Summary by Product Type: |
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Total indexed |
$ | 675 | $ | 917 | $ | 980 | $ | 1,211 | $ | 1,164 | $ | 2,572 | $ | 3,369 | ||||||||||||||
Total fixed |
397 | 426 | 410 | 265 | 208 | 1,233 | 537 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable |
5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Total annuity premiums |
$ | 1,077 | $ | 1,349 | $ | 1,395 | $ | 1,482 | $ | 1,378 | $ | 3,821 | $ | 3,925 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 15
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP) ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 38,680 | $ | 37,724 | $ | 36,431 | $ | 35,774 | $ | 34,678 | $ | 36,431 | $ | 33,005 | ||||||||||||||
Premiums |
1,072 | 1,343 | 1,390 | 1,476 | 1,372 | 3,805 | 3,906 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) advances (paydowns) |
| | | 225 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||||
Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals |
(808 | ) | (862 | ) | (761 | ) | (796 | ) | (707 | ) | (2,431 | ) | (2,040 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Interest and other annuity benefit expenses: |
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Cost of funds |
250 | 244 | 236 | 233 | 222 | 730 | 630 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Embedded derivative mark-to-market |
111 | 251 | 462 | (490 | ) | 223 | 824 | 242 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
(75 | ) | | | 4 | | (75 | ) | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other |
(18 | ) | (20 | ) | (34 | ) | 5 | (14 | ) | (72 | ) | (24 | ) | |||||||||||||||
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Ending fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 39,212 | $ | 38,680 | $ | 37,724 | $ | 36,431 | $ | 35,774 | $ | 39,212 | $ | 35,774 | ||||||||||||||
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Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated: |
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Ending fixed annuity reserves |
$ | 39,212 | $ | 38,680 | $ | 37,724 | $ | 36,431 | $ | 35,774 | $ | 39,212 | $ | 35,774 | ||||||||||||||
Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves |
269 | 192 | 108 | 10 | 8 | 269 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed component of variable annuities |
170 | 172 | 174 | 175 | 176 | 170 | 176 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet |
$ | 39,651 | $ | 39,044 | $ | 38,006 | $ | 36,616 | $ | 35,958 | $ | 39,651 | $ | 35,958 | ||||||||||||||
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Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves |
8.4 | % | 9.1 | % | 8.4 | % | 8.9 | % | 8.2 | % | 8.9 | % | 8.2 | % | ||||||||||||||
Rider reserves included in ending fixed annuity reserves above |
$ | 611 | $ | 491 | $ | 478 | $ | 472 | $ | 428 | $ | 611 | $ | 428 | ||||||||||||||
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Embedded Derivative liability included in ending fixed annuity reserves above |
$ | 3,469 | $ | 3,541 | $ | 3,247 | $ | 2,720 | $ | 3,105 | $ | 3,469 | $ | 3,105 | ||||||||||||||
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Page 16
American Financial Group, Inc. Guaranteed Minimum Interest Rate (GMIR) Analysis ($ in millions) |
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 6/30/18 | |||||||||||||||||||
GMIR |
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1 - 1.99% |
81 | % | 80 | % | 79 | % | 79 | % | 78 | % | 78 | % | ||||||||||||
2 - 2.99% |
3 | % | 4 | % | 4 | % | 4 | % | 4 | % | 4 | % | ||||||||||||
3 - 3.99% |
7 | % | 7 | % | 8 | % | 8 | % | 9 | % | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
4.00% and above |
9 | % | 9 | % | 9 | % | 9 | % | 9 | % | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
Annuity Benefits Accumulated |
$ | 39,651 | $ | 39,044 | $ | 38,006 | $ | 36,616 | $ | 35,958 | $ | 34,886 | ||||||||||||
Traditional Fixed and FIA Surrender Value (a) |
$ | 30,292 | $ | 29,891 | $ | 29,163 | $ | 27,842 | $ | 27,434 | $ | 26,502 | ||||||||||||
Ability to Lower Average Crediting Rates by (a) (b) |
1.20 | % | 1.20 | % | 1.20 | % | 1.19 | % | 1.16 | % | 1.09 | % | ||||||||||||
Pretax earnings impact of crediting guaranteed minimums (a) |
$ | 363 | $ | 359 | $ | 350 | $ | 331 | $ | 317 | $ | 288 | ||||||||||||
(assumes net DAC impact over time = $0) |
(a) | Excludes Annuities with Guaranteed Withdrawal Benefits, FHLB advances, immediate reserves and certain other reserves. |
(b) | Weighted Average Crediting Rate less GMIR |
Page 17
American Financial Group, Inc. Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses) ($ in millions) |
Reported in Non-Core Earnings |
Reported in Core Earnings Prior to Second Quarter of 2019 |
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Three Months Ended | Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 9/30/19 | 9/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses): |
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Stock market impact on: |
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Liability for guaranteed benefits (a) |
$ | 2 | $ | 6 | $ | 14 | $ | (22 | ) | $ | 7 | $ | 22 | $ | 8 | |||||||||||||
DAC and sales inducements (b) |
1 | 1 | 5 | (8 | ) | 3 | 7 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fair Value (FV) accounting |
1 | | 14 | (27 | ) | 12 | 15 | 16 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal impact of changes in stock market |
4 | 7 | 33 | (57 | ) | 22 | 44 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Impact of changes in interest rates on FV accounting |
(30 | ) | (38 | ) | (45 | ) | (4 | ) | (2 | ) | (113 | ) | 37 | |||||||||||||||
Other FIA items |
| (2 | ) | 1 | (1 | ) | (3 | ) | (1 | ) | (20 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
(1 | ) | | | (4 | ) | | (1 | ) | (27 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
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Annuity Non-Core Earnings (Losses) |
$ | (27 | ) | $ | (33 | ) | $ | (11 | ) | $ | (66 | ) | $ | 17 | $ | (71 | ) | $ | 18 | |||||||||
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Reported as |
Non-core | Non-core | Core | Core | Core | |
Q1 Core = Q2/Q3 Non-core = |
($11) ($60) |
Core | |||||||||||||||||||
Annuity Non-Core Net Spread Earned: |
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Stock market impact on: |
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Liability for guaranteed benefits (a) |
0.02 | % | 0.06 | % | 0.15 | % | (0.24 | %) | 0.08 | % | 0.08 | % | 0.03 | % | ||||||||||||||
DAC and sales inducements (b) |
0.01 | % | 0.01 | % | 0.06 | % | (0.09 | %) | 0.03 | % | 0.02 | % | 0.02 | % | ||||||||||||||
Fair Value (FV) accounting |
0.01 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.15 | % | (0.30 | %) | 0.14 | % | 0.05 | % | 0.06 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Subtotal impact of changes in stock market |
0.04 | % | 0.07 | % | 0.36 | % | (0.63 | %) | 0.25 | % | 0.15 | % | 0.11 | % | ||||||||||||||
Impact of changes in interest rates on FV accounting |
(0.31 | %) | (0.40 | %) | (0.49 | %) | (0.05 | %) | (0.03 | %) | (0.40 | %) | 0.15 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other FIA items |
0.00 | % | (0.02 | %) | 0.01 | % | (0.01 | %) | (0.03 | %) | 0.00 | % | (0.08 | %) | ||||||||||||||
Unlockings |
(0.01 | %) | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | (0.04 | %) | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | (0.11 | %) | ||||||||||||||
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Non-core net spread earned on fixed annuities |
(0.28 | %) | (0.35 | %) | (0.12 | %) | (0.73 | %) | 0.19 | % | (0.25 | %) | 0.07 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Reported as |
Non-core | Non-core | Core | Core | Core | |
Q1 Core = (.04%) Q2/Q3 Non-core = (.21%) |
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Core |
(a) | Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on AFGs liability for fixed-indexed annuities with guaranteed benefits. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact. |
(b) | Reflects the impact of changes in the stock market on the current and projected lifetime profitability of AFGs annuity business. Increases in the stock market will generally have a favorable earnings impact; decreases in the stock market will generally have an unfavorable impact. |
S&P 500 |
2,977 | 2,942 | 2,834 | 2,507 | 2,914 | 2,977 | 2,914 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Average 5 and 15 year Corp A2 rates |
2.71 | % | 2.97 | % | 3.41 | % | 3.90 | % | 3.97 | % | 2.71 | % | 3.97 | % | ||||||||||||||
Non-core earnings sensitivities: |
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Incremental +/- 1% change in S&P 500 |
~ +/- $2mm to $4mm | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incremental +/- 10bps change in interest rates |
~ +/- $9mm to $11mm | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Assumes parallel shift in rates (primarily Corporate A2 rates)) |
Page 18
American Financial Group, Inc. Reconciliation from Core to GAAP Annuity Pretax Earnings ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity Earnings |
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Core annuity operating earnings - as reported (see page 12) |
$ | 100 | $ | 104 | $ | 90 | $ | 20 | $ | 117 | $ | 294 | $ | 341 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity non-core earnings (losses) |
(27 | ) | (33 | ) | | | | (60 | ) | | ||||||||||||||||||
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Earnings before income taxes - GAAP |
$ | 73 | $ | 71 | $ | 90 | $ | 20 | $ | 117 | $ | 234 | $ | 341 | ||||||||||||||
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Policy Charges and Other Miscellaneous Income |
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Policy charges and other miscellaneous income - new method (see page 12) |
$ | 10 | $ | 10 | $ | 11 | $ | 10 | $ | 11 | $ | 31 | $ | 32 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity non-core policy charges and other miscellaneous income |
1 | | | | | 1 | | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Policy Charges and Other Miscellaneous Income - GAAP |
$ | 11 | $ | 10 | $ | 11 | $ | 10 | $ | 11 | $ | 32 | $ | 32 | ||||||||||||||
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Annuity Benefit Expense |
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Annuity benefits expense - new method (see page 13) |
$ | 276 | $ | 272 | $ | 266 | $ | 260 | $ | 248 | $ | 814 | $ | 703 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity non-core annuity benefits |
(26 | ) | 67 | 45 | 74 | (26 | ) | 86 | (39 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
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Annuity Benefit Expense - GAAP |
$ | 250 | $ | 339 | $ | 311 | $ | 334 | $ | 222 | $ | 900 | $ | 664 | ||||||||||||||
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Acquisition Expenses |
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Acquisition expenses - new method (see page 12) |
$ | 64 | $ | 67 | $ | 60 | $ | 64 | $ | 60 | $ | 191 | $ | 178 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity non-core acquisition expenses |
54 | (34 | ) | (34 | ) | (8 | ) | 9 | (14 | ) | 21 | |||||||||||||||||
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Acquisition Expenses - GAAP |
$ | 118 | $ | 33 | $ | 26 | $ | 56 | $ | 69 | $ | 177 | $ | 199 | ||||||||||||||
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Net Spread on Fixed Annuities |
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Core net spread earned on fixed annuities - as reported (see page 14) |
1.06 | % | 1.11 | % | 0.96 | % | 0.25 | % | 1.35 | % | 1.04 | % | 1.35 | % | ||||||||||||||
Non-core net spread earned on fixed annuities |
(0.28 | %) | (0.35 | %) | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | 0.00 | % | (0.21 | %) | 0.00 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Net Spread on Fixed Annuities |
0.78 | % | 0.76 | % | 0.96 | % | 0.25 | % | 1.35 | % | 0.83 | % | 1.35 | % | ||||||||||||||
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Page 19
American Financial Group, Inc. Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ in millions) |
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 6/30/18 | |||||||||||||||||||
Assets: |
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Total cash and investments |
$ | 54,207 | $ | 52,907 | $ | 51,040 | $ | 48,498 | $ | 47,841 | $ | 46,779 | ||||||||||||
Recoverables from reinsurers |
3,261 | 3,150 | 3,258 | 3,349 | 3,352 | 3,073 | ||||||||||||||||||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
781 | 651 | 636 | 610 | 717 | 645 | ||||||||||||||||||
Agents balances and premiums receivable |
1,403 | 1,398 | 1,283 | 1,234 | 1,299 | 1,266 | ||||||||||||||||||
Deferred policy acquisition costs |
964 | 1,203 | 1,447 | 1,682 | 1,669 | 1,582 | ||||||||||||||||||
Assets of managed investment entities |
4,702 | 4,781 | 4,786 | 4,700 | 4,998 | 5,032 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other receivables |
1,187 | 999 | 1,011 | 1,090 | 1,633 | 1,048 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuity assets (separate accounts) |
601 | 616 | 610 | 557 | 650 | 636 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other assets |
1,754 | 1,785 | 1,854 | 1,529 | 1,832 | 1,574 | ||||||||||||||||||
Goodwill |
207 | 207 | 207 | 207 | 199 | 199 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Total assets |
$ | 69,067 | $ | 67,697 | $ | 66,132 | $ | 63,456 | $ | 64,190 | $ | 61,834 | ||||||||||||
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Liabilities and Equity: |
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Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses |
$ | 9,847 | $ | 9,577 | $ | 9,623 | $ | 9,741 | $ | 9,670 | $ | 9,093 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums |
2,986 | 2,683 | 2,605 | 2,595 | 2,740 | 2,539 | ||||||||||||||||||
Annuity benefits accumulated |
39,651 | 39,044 | 38,006 | 36,616 | 35,958 | 34,886 | ||||||||||||||||||
Life, accident and health reserves |
613 | 619 | 632 | 635 | 643 | 647 | ||||||||||||||||||
Payable to reinsurers |
867 | 755 | 730 | 752 | 932 | 721 | ||||||||||||||||||
Liabilities of managed investment entities |
4,523 | 4,590 | 4,593 | 4,512 | 4,807 | 4,840 | ||||||||||||||||||
Long-term debt |
1,423 | 1,423 | 1,423 | 1,302 | 1,302 | 1,301 | ||||||||||||||||||
Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts) |
601 | 616 | 610 | 557 | 650 | 636 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities |
2,235 | 2,300 | 2,245 | 1,774 | 2,324 | 2,087 | ||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total liabilities |
$ | 62,746 | $ | 61,607 | $ | 60,467 | $ | 58,484 | $ | 59,026 | $ | 56,750 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders equity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common stock |
$ | 90 | $ | 90 | $ | 90 | $ | 89 | $ | 89 | $ | 89 | ||||||||||||
Capital surplus |
1,292 | 1,277 | 1,256 | 1,245 | 1,231 | 1,220 | ||||||||||||||||||
Retained earnings |
4,022 | 3,914 | 3,875 | 3,588 | 3,800 | 3,628 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains - fixed maturities |
920 | 812 | 464 | 83 | 93 | 191 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized gains (losses) - fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges |
25 | 18 | | (11 | ) | (32 | ) | (27 | ) | |||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, net of tax |
(28 | ) | (21 | ) | (20 | ) | (24 | ) | (17 | ) | (17 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total shareholders equity |
6,321 | 6,090 | 5,665 | 4,970 | 5,164 | 5,084 | ||||||||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests |
| | | 2 | | | ||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total liabilities and equity |
$ | 69,067 | $ | 67,697 | $ | 66,132 | $ | 63,456 | $ | 64,190 | $ | 61,834 | ||||||||||||
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Page 20
American Financial Group, Inc. Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary (in millions, except per share information) |
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 6/30/18 | |||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders equity |
$ | 6,321 | $ | 6,090 | $ | 5,665 | $ | 4,970 | $ | 5,164 | $ | 5,084 | ||||||||||||
Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturities |
(945 | ) | (830 | ) | (464 | ) | (72 | ) | (61 | ) | (164 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|||||||||||||
Adjusted shareholders equity |
5,376 | 5,260 | 5,201 | 4,898 | 5,103 | 4,920 | ||||||||||||||||||
Goodwill |
(207 | ) | (207 | ) | (207 | ) | (207 | ) | (199 | ) | (199 | ) | ||||||||||||
Intangibles |
(45 | ) | (48 | ) | (51 | ) | (54 | ) | (31 | ) | (34 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|||||||||||||
Tangible adjusted shareholders equity |
$ | 5,124 | $ | 5,005 | $ | 4,943 | $ | 4,637 | $ | 4,873 | $ | 4,687 | ||||||||||||
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|
|
|||||||||||||
Common shares outstanding |
90.127 | 89.918 | 89.638 | 89.292 | 89.189 | 89.072 | ||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Book value per share |
$ | 70.14 | $ | 67.72 | $ | 63.20 | $ | 55.66 | $ | 57.90 | $ | 57.08 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted (a) |
59.65 | 58.49 | 58.02 | 54.86 | 57.22 | 55.24 | ||||||||||||||||||
Tangible, adjusted (b) |
56.84 | 55.65 | 55.14 | 51.93 | 54.64 | 52.63 | ||||||||||||||||||
Market capitalization |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
AFGs closing common share price |
$ | 107.85 | $ | 102.47 | $ | 96.21 | $ | 90.53 | $ | 110.97 | $ | 107.33 | ||||||||||||
Market capitalization |
$ | 9,720 | $ | 9,214 | $ | 8,624 | $ | 8,084 | $ | 9,897 | $ | 9,560 | ||||||||||||
Price / Adjusted book value ratio |
1.81 | 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.65 | 1.94 | 1.94 |
(a) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments. |
(b) | Excludes unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles. |
Page 21
American Financial Group, Inc. Capitalization ($ in millions) |
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 6/30/18 | |||||||||||||||||||
AFG senior obligations |
$ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | ||||||||||||
Borrowings drawn under credit facility |
| | | | | | ||||||||||||||||||
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|||||||||||||
Debt excluding subordinated debt |
$ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,018 | ||||||||||||
AFG subordinated debentures |
425 | 425 | 425 | 300 | 300 | 300 | ||||||||||||||||||
|
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|||||||||||||
Total principal amount of long-term debt |
$ | 1,443 | $ | 1,443 | $ | 1,443 | $ | 1,318 | $ | 1,318 | $ | 1,318 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders equity |
6,321 | 6,090 | 5,665 | 4,970 | 5,164 | 5,084 | ||||||||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests (including redeemable NCI) |
| | | 2 | | | ||||||||||||||||||
Less: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Unrealized (gains) related to fixed maturity investments |
(945 | ) | (830 | ) | (464 | ) | (72 | ) | (61 | ) | (164 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|||||||||||||
Total adjusted capital |
$ | 6,819 | $ | 6,703 | $ | 6,644 | $ | 6,218 | $ | 6,421 | $ | 6,238 | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|||||||||||||
Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Including subordinated debt |
21.2 | % | 21.5 | % | 21.7 | % | 21.2 | % | 20.5 | % | 21.1 | % | ||||||||||||
Excluding subordinated debt |
14.9 | % | 15.2 | % | 15.3 | % | 16.4 | % | 15.9 | % | 16.3 | % |
Page 22
American Financial Group, Inc. Additional Supplemental Information ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Paid Losses (GAAP) |
$ | 769 | $ | 666 | $ | 704 | $ | 719 | $ | 614 | $ | 2,139 | $ | 1,883 | ||||||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 06/30/18 | |||||||||||||||||||
GAAP Equity (excluding AOCI) |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 4,094 | $ | 3,959 | $ | 3,868 | $ | 3,638 | $ | 3,664 | $ | 3,535 | ||||||||||||
Annuity |
2,613 | 2,612 | 2,553 | 2,443 | 2,513 | 2,397 | ||||||||||||||||||
Parent and other subsidiaries |
(1,303 | ) | (1,290 | ) | (1,200 | ) | (1,159 | ) | (1,057 | ) | (995 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
AFG GAAP Equity (excluding AOCI) |
$ | 5,404 | $ | 5,281 | $ | 5,221 | $ | 4,922 | $ | 5,120 | $ | 4,937 | ||||||||||||
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|||||||||||||
Allowable dividends without regulatory approval |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 529 | $ | 529 | $ | 529 | $ | 529 | $ | 563 | $ | 563 | ||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off |
768 | 768 | 768 | 768 | 263 | 263 | ||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,297 | $ | 1,297 | $ | 1,297 | $ | 1,297 | $ | 826 | $ | 826 | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Page 23
American Financial Group, Inc. Total Cash and Investments ($ in millions) |
Carrying Value - September 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and | Parent and | % of | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Casualty | Annuity and | Other Non- | Consolidate | Total AFG | Investment | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Run-off | Insurance | CLOs | Consolidated | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 1,622 | $ | 779 | $ | 292 | $ | | $ | 2,693 | 5 | % | ||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
7,893 | 37,599 | 11 | | 45,503 | 84 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
54 | 54 | | | 108 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
1,138 | 801 | 65 | | 2,004 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method |
625 | 910 | | | 1,535 | 3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans |
293 | 881 | | | 1,174 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Policy loans |
| 166 | | | 166 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity index call options |
| 750 | | | 750 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Real estate and other investments |
129 | 274 | 49 | (178 | ) | 274 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 11,754 | $ | 42,214 | $ | 417 | $ | (178) | $ | 54,207 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Carrying Value - December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and | Parent and | % of | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Casualty | Annuity and | Other Non- | Consolidate | Total AFG | Investment | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Run-off | Insurance | CLOs | Consolidated | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||||||
Total cash and investments: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ | 1,007 | $ | 339 | $ | 169 | $ | | $ | 1,515 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
7,853 | 34,132 | 12 | | 41,997 | 87 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
50 | 55 | | | 105 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity securities |
1,017 | 744 | 53 | | 1,814 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method |
557 | 817 | | | 1,374 | 3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Mortgage loans |
289 | 779 | | | 1,068 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Policy loans |
| 174 | | | 174 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Equity index call options |
| 184 | | | 184 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Real estate and other investments |
134 | 276 | 44 | (187 | ) | 267 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Total cash and investments |
$ | 10,907 | $ | 37,500 | $ | 278 | $ | (187 | ) | $ | 48,498 | 100 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 24
American Financial Group, Inc. Net Investment Income ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
$ | 75 | $ | 79 | $ | 77 | $ | 74 | $ | 72 | $ | 231 | $ | 210 | ||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Trading |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities - dividends |
12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 37 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities - MTM |
7 | 1 | 2 | 9 | (1 | ) | 10 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Equity in investees |
20 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs |
(2 | ) | 2 | 3 | (1 | ) | 1 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other investments (a) |
12 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
125 | 126 | 106 | 118 | 110 | 357 | 329 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(1 | ) | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (3 | ) | (2 | ) | (5 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 124 | $ | 124 | $ | 104 | $ | 115 | $ | 108 | $ | 352 | $ | 323 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average cash and investments (b) |
$ | 11,387 | $ | 11,193 | $ | 10,997 | $ | 10,651 | $ | 10,388 | $ | 11,192 | $ | 10,405 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average yield (c) |
4.36 | % | 4.43 | % | 3.78 | % | 4.32 | % | 4.16 | % | 4.19 | % | 4.14 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities - Available for sale |
$ | 393 | $ | 391 | $ | 384 | $ | 376 | $ | 361 | $ | 1,168 | $ | 1,049 | ||||||||||||||
Equity securities - dividends |
9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities - MTM |
7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | | 13 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Equity in investees |
23 | 25 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 66 | 77 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs |
(3 | ) | 3 | 8 | (3 | ) | 3 | 8 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other investments (a) |
21 | 22 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 58 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Gross investment income |
450 | 452 | 437 | 421 | 414 | 1,339 | 1,221 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Investment expenses |
(4 | ) | (4 | ) | (4 | ) | (4 | ) | (3 | ) | (12 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 446 | $ | 448 | $ | 433 | $ | 417 | $ | 411 | $ | 1,327 | $ | 1,212 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average cash and investments (b) |
$ | 38,650 | $ | 37,907 | $ | 36,991 | $ | 35,993 | $ | 34,955 | $ | 37,849 | $ | 33,964 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Average yield (c) |
4.62 | % | 4.73 | % | 4.68 | % | 4.64 | % | 4.70 | % | 4.68 | % | 4.76 | % | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
AFG consolidated net investment income: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property & Casualty |
$ | 124 | $ | 124 | $ | 104 | $ | 115 | $ | 108 | $ | 352 | $ | 323 | ||||||||||||||
Annuity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity |
446 | 448 | 433 | 417 | 411 | 1,327 | 1,212 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Variable Annuity |
2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Parent & other |
11 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidate CLOs |
5 | (5 | ) | (11 | ) | 4 | (4 | ) | (11 | ) | (11 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total net investment income |
$ | 588 | $ | 580 | $ | 542 | $ | 542 | $ | 527 | $ | 1,710 | $ | 1,552 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) | Includes income from mortgage loans, real estate, policy loans, short-term investments, and cash equivalents. |
(b) | Average cash and investments is the average of the beginning and ending quarter balances, or the average of the five quarters balances. |
(c) | Average yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cash and investment balance over the quarter. |
Page 25
American Financial Group, Inc. Significant Investments Marked-to-Market Through Investment Income and Investments Accounted For Using the Equity Method ($ in millions) |
Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9/30/19 | 6/30/19 | 3/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 9/30/18 | 09/30/19 | 09/30/18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities MTM through investment income (a) |
$ | 7 | $ | 1 | $ | 2 | $ | 9 | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 10 | $ | 4 | |||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method (b) |
20 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation) |
(2 | ) | 2 | 3 | (1 | ) | 1 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total Property & Casualty |
$ | 25 | $ | 23 | $ | 8 | $ | 22 | $ | 16 | $ | 56 | $ | 58 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Investments |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities MTM through investment income (a) |
$ | 77 | $ | 57 | $ | 52 | $ | 50 | $ | 40 | $ | 77 | $ | 40 | ||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method (b) |
625 | 614 | 578 | 557 | 520 | 625 | 520 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation) |
53 | 56 | 57 | 56 | 57 | 53 | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total Property & Casualty |
$ | 755 | $ | 727 | $ | 687 | $ | 663 | $ | 617 | $ | 755 | $ | 617 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annualized Yield - Property & Casualty |
13.5 | % | 13.0 | % | 4.7 | % | 13.8 | % | 10.8 | % | 10.5 | % | 13.9 | % | ||||||||||||||
Fixed Annuity: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities MTM through investment income (a) |
$ | 7 | $ | 3 | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | | $ | 13 | $ | 11 | ||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method (b) |
23 | 25 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 66 | 77 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation) |
(3 | ) | 3 | 8 | (3 | ) | 3 | 8 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total Fixed Annuity |
$ | 27 | $ | 31 | $ | 29 | $ | 18 | $ | 28 | $ | 87 | $ | 96 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Investments |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities MTM through investment income (a) |
$ | 120 | $ | 101 | $ | 88 | $ | 84 | $ | 79 | $ | 120 | $ | 79 | ||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method (b) |
910 | 892 | 862 | 817 | 769 | 910 | 769 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation) |
125 | 135 | 136 | 132 | 134 | 125 | 134 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total Fixed Annuity |
$ | 1,155 | $ | 1,128 | $ | 1,086 | $ | 1,033 | $ | 982 | $ | 1,155 | $ | 982 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annualized Yield - Fixed Annuity |
9.5 | % | 11.2 | % | 10.9 | % | 7.1 | % | 11.7 | % | 10.5 | % | 14.3 | % | ||||||||||||||
Combined (includes Parent amounts not shown above): |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Investment Income |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities MTM through investment income (a) |
$ | 17 | $ | 8 | $ | 11 | $ | 6 | $ | 1 | $ | 36 | $ | 16 | ||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method (b) |
43 | 45 | 21 | 33 | 41 | 109 | 128 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation) |
(5 | ) | 5 | 11 | (4 | ) | 4 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total Combined (including Parent) |
$ | 55 | $ | 58 | $ | 43 | $ | 35 | $ | 46 | $ | 156 | $ | 155 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Investments |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equity securities MTM through investment income (a) |
$ | 262 | $ | 220 | $ | 198 | $ | 187 | $ | 176 | $ | 262 | $ | 176 | ||||||||||||||
Investments accounted for using the equity method (b) |
1,535 | 1,506 | 1,440 | 1,374 | 1,289 | 1,535 | 1,289 | |||||||||||||||||||||
AFG managed CLOs (eliminated in consolidation) |
178 | 191 | 193 | 188 | 191 | 178 | 191 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Total Combined (including Parent) |
$ | 1,975 | $ | 1,917 | $ | 1,831 | $ | 1,749 | $ | 1,656 | $ | 1,975 | $ | 1,656 | ||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Annualized Yield - Combined |
11.3 | % | 12.4 | % | 9.6 | % | 8.2 | % | 11.4 | % | 11.1 | % | 13.7 | % |
(a) | AFG carries the small portion of its equity securities previously classified as trading and investments in limited partnerships and similar investments that arent accounted for using the equity method at fair value through net investment income. |
(b) | The majority of AFGs investments accounted for using the equity method mark their underlying assets to market through net income. |
Page 26
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions ) |
% of | ||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Investment | |||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 230 | $ | 234 | $ | 4 | 1 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
6,543 | 6,988 | 445 | 15 | % | 13 | % | |||||||||||||
Foreign government |
194 | 198 | 4 | 0 | % | 0 | % | |||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
2,276 | 2,564 | 288 | 6 | % | 5 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
928 | 966 | 38 | 2 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Collateralized loan obligations |
4,319 | 4,314 | (5 | ) | 9 | % | 8 | % | ||||||||||||
Other asset-backed securities |
5,540 | 5,731 | 191 | 13 | % | 11 | % | |||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
23,412 | 24,616 | 1,204 | 54 | % | 45 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 43,442 | $ | 45,611 | $ | 2,169 | 100 | % | 84 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.39 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.35 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6 years | |||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
4.5 years | |||||||||||||||||||
% of | ||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Investment | |||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2018 |
Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Portfolio | |||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 245 | $ | 243 | $ | (2 | ) | 1 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
6,850 | 6,964 | 114 | 17 | % | 14 | % | |||||||||||||
Foreign government |
166 | 168 | 2 | 0 | % | 0 | % | |||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
2,478 | 2,746 | 268 | 7 | % | 6 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
905 | 920 | 15 | 2 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Collateralized loan obligations |
4,350 | 4,278 | (72 | ) | 10 | % | 9 | % | ||||||||||||
Other asset-backed securities |
5,431 | 5,533 | 102 | 13 | % | 11 | % | |||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
21,517 | 21,250 | (267 | ) | 50 | % | 44 | % | ||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 41,942 | $ | 42,102 | $ | 160 | 100 | % | 87 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
|
|||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.47 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.42 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6 years | |||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
4.5 years |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances. |
Page 27
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio ($ in millions ) |
September 30, 2019 | December 31, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Amortized | Unrealized | % of | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance: | Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 192 | $ | 195 | 3 | 2 | % | $ | 203 | $ | 202 | $ | (1 | ) | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
2,456 | 2,555 | 99 | 32 | % | 2,630 | 2,642 | 12 | 33 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government |
163 | 164 | 1 | 2 | % | 155 | 156 | 1 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
660 | 726 | 66 | 9 | % | 725 | 784 | 59 | 10 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
93 | 96 | 3 | 1 | % | 83 | 84 | 1 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Collateralized loan obligations |
898 | 897 | (1 | ) | 11 | % | 910 | 895 | (15 | ) | 12 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Other asset-backed securities |
1,283 | 1,303 | 20 | 17 | % | 1,365 | 1,364 | (1 | ) | 17 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
1,961 | 2,011 | 50 | 26 | % | 1,792 | 1,776 | (16 | ) | 22 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Property and Casualty Insurance |
$ | 7,706 | $ | 7,947 | $ | 241 | 100 | % | $ | 7,863 | $ | 7,903 | $ | 40 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
3.86 | % | 3.91 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
3.79 | % | 3.81 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b) |
4.00 | % | 3.99 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
4.5 years | 4.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
3.5 years | 3.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
September 30, 2019 | December 31, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amortized | Unrealized | % of | Amortized | Unrealized | % of | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Annuity and Run-off: | Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | Cost | Fair Value | Gain (Loss) | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Government and government agencies |
$ | 38 | $ | 39 | $ | 1 | 0 | % | $ | 42 | $ | 41 | $ | (1 | ) | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||
States, municipalities and political subdivisions |
4,087 | 4,433 | 346 | 12 | % | 4,220 | 4,322 | 102 | 13 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Foreign government |
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 | % | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities |
1,614 | 1,827 | 213 | 5 | % | 1,750 | 1,950 | 200 | 6 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities |
835 | 870 | 35 | 2 | % | 822 | 836 | 14 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Collateralized loan obligations |
3,421 | 3,417 | (4 | ) | 9 | % | 3,440 | 3,383 | (57 | ) | 10 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Other asset-backed securities |
4,257 | 4,428 | 171 | 12 | % | 4,066 | 4,169 | 103 | 12 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate and other bonds |
21,451 | 22,605 | 1,154 | 60 | % | 19,725 | 19,474 | (251 | ) | 57 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Annuity and Run-off |
$ | 35,734 | $ | 37,653 | $ | 1,919 | 100 | % | $ | 34,076 | $ | 34,187 | $ | 111 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excluding investment expense (a) |
4.50 | % | 4.59 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net of investment expense (a) |
4.47 | % | 4.55 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life and duration: |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate average life |
6 years | 6.5 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Approximate duration |
4.5 years | 4.5 years |
(a) | Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances. |
(b) | Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield. |
Page 28
American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 7,669 | $ | 7,872 | $ | 203 | 17 | % | ||||||||
AA |
8,493 | 8,931 | 438 | 20 | % | |||||||||||
A |
10,426 | 10,988 | 562 | 24 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
12,956 | 13,654 | 698 | 30 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
39,544 | 41,445 | 1,901 | 91 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
709 | 711 | 2 | 2 | % | |||||||||||
B |
198 | 196 | (2 | ) | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Other (b) |
2,991 | 3,259 | 268 | 7 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
3,898 | 4,166 | 268 | 9 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 43,442 | $ | 45,611 | $ | 2,169 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 7,367 | $ | 7,359 | $ | (8) | 17 | % | ||||||||
AA |
8,714 | 8,831 | 117 | 21 | % | |||||||||||
A |
10,006 | 9,989 | (17 | ) | 24 | % | ||||||||||
BBB |
12,206 | 12,053 | (153 | ) | 29 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Investment grade |
38,293 | 38,232 | (61 | ) | 91 | % | ||||||||||
BB |
703 | 685 | (18 | ) | 2 | % | ||||||||||
B |
261 | 254 | (7 | ) | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Other (b) |
2,685 | 2,931 | 246 | 7 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
3,649 | 3,870 | 221 | 9 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 41,942 | $ | 42,102 | $ | 160 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98% of the fixed maturity portfolio is NAIC designated 1 or 2.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
(b) | See page 33 for more information. |
Page 29
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2019 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 148 | $ | 150 | $ | 2 | 4 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
881 | 1,006 | 125 | 29 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
933 | 1,058 | 125 | 30 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
314 | 350 | 36 | 10 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
928 | 966 | 38 | 27 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 3,204 | $ | 3,530 | $ | 326 | 100 | % | 7 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Substantially all of AFGs MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations. |
| The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 82%; Alt-A 81%; Subprime 82%; CMBS 100%. |
| The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 733; Alt-A 695; Subprime 630. |
| 96% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (83% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 36%. |
| The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 4.5 years; Commercial 3.5 years. |
December 31, 2018 |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Investment Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 170 | $ | 168 | $ | (2 | ) | 5 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
967 | 1,098 | 131 | 30 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
972 | 1,074 | 102 | 29 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
369 | 406 | 37 | 11 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
905 | 920 | 15 | 25 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total AFG consolidated |
$ | 3,383 | $ | 3,666 | $ | 283 | 100 | % | 8 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 30
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio ($ in millions) |
Property and Casualty Insurance:
September 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 117 | $ | 119 | $ | 2 | 14 | % | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
128 | 143 | 15 | 18 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
276 | 312 | 36 | 38 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
139 | 152 | 13 | 18 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
93 | 96 | 3 | 12 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 753 | $ | 822 | $ | 69 | 100 | % | 7 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 137 | $ | 134 | $ | (3 | ) | 15 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
138 | 155 | 17 | 18 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
289 | 319 | 30 | 37 | % | 3 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
161 | 176 | 15 | 20 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
83 | 84 | 1 | 10 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 808 | $ | 868 | $ | 60 | 100 | % | 8 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annuity and Run-off:
September 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 31 | $ | 31 | $ | | 1 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
751 | 852 | 101 | 32 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
657 | 746 | 89 | 28 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
175 | 198 | 23 | 7 | % | 0 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
835 | 870 | 35 | 32 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 2,449 | $ | 2,697 | $ | 248 | 100 | % | 6 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||
By Asset Type |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
% of Inv Portfolio |
|||||||||||||||
Residential |
||||||||||||||||||||
Agency |
$ | 33 | $ | 34 | $ | 1 | 1 | % | 0 | % | ||||||||||
Prime (Non-Agency) |
826 | 931 | 105 | 34 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Alt-A |
683 | 755 | 72 | 27 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
Subprime |
208 | 230 | 22 | 8 | % | 1 | % | |||||||||||||
Commercial |
822 | 836 | 14 | 30 | % | 2 | % | |||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Total |
$ | 2,572 | $ | 2,786 | $ | 214 | 100 | % | 7 | % | ||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 31
American Financial Group, Inc. Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating ($ in millions) |
September 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 1,147 | $ | 1,192 | $ | 45 | 34 | % | ||||||||
AA |
151 | 159 | 8 | 5 | % | |||||||||||
A |
275 | 296 | 21 | 8 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
198 | 212 | 14 | 6 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - investment grade |
1,771 | 1,859 | 88 | 53 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
105 | 106 | 1 | 3 | % | |||||||||||
B |
114 | 115 | 1 | 3 | % | |||||||||||
Other (b) |
1,214 | 1,450 | 236 | 41 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 3,204 | $ | 3,530 | $ | 326 | 100 | % | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
Amortized Cost |
Fair Value | Unrealized Gain (Loss) |
% of Fair Value |
||||||||||||
Investment grade |
||||||||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 1,107 | $ | 1,119 | $ | 12 | 31 | % | ||||||||
AA |
143 | 147 | 4 | 4 | % | |||||||||||
A |
263 | 270 | 7 | 7 | % | |||||||||||
BBB |
232 | 243 | 11 | 7 | % | |||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Subtotal - investment grade |
1,745 | 1,779 | 34 | 49 | % | |||||||||||
BB |
128 | 131 | 3 | 3 | % | |||||||||||
B |
155 | 154 | (1 | ) | 4 | % | ||||||||||
Other (b) |
1,355 | 1,602 | 247 | 44 | % | |||||||||||
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Total |
$ | 3,383 | $ | 3,666 | $ | 283 | 100 | % | ||||||||
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96% of the mortgage-backed security portfolio has an NAIC 1 designation.
(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
(b) | See page 33 for more information. |
Page 32
Appendix A American Financial Group, Inc. Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating by Type ($ in millions) |
Fair Value - September 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
US Gov | Munis | Frgn Gov | RMBS | CMBS | CLOs | Other ABS | Corp/Oth | Total | % Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment grade |
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AAA |
$ | 225 | $ | 2,032 | $ | 108 | $ | 391 | $ | 801 | $ | 2,904 | $ | 1,228 | $ | 183 | $ | 7,872 | 17 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
AA |
9 | 4,368 | 74 | 136 | 23 | 1,096 | 1,438 | 1,787 | 8,931 | 20 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A |
| 422 | | 274 | 22 | 243 | 2,001 | 8,026 | 10,988 | 24 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BBB |
| 97 | 3 | 133 | 79 | 49 | 726 | 12,567 | 13,654 | 30 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal - Investment grade |
234 | 6,919 | 185 | 934 | 925 | 4,292 | 5,393 | 22,563 | 41,445 | 91 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BB |
| 9 | | 75 | 31 | | 28 | 568 | 711 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B |
| | | 115 | | | 7 | 74 | 196 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCC, CC, C |
| | | 588 | 4 | | 2 | 35 | 629 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D |
| | | 201 | 6 | | | | 207 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
| 9 | | 979 | 41 | | 37 | 677 | 1,743 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Rated |
| 60 | 13 | 651 | | 22 | 301 | 1,376 | 2,423 | 5 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total |
$ | 234 | $ | 6,988 | $ | 198 | $ | 2,564 | $ | 966 | $ | 4,314 | $ | 5,731 | $ | 24,616 | $ | 45,611 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Fair Value - December 31, 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By Credit Rating (a) |
US Gov | Munis | Frgn Gov | RMBS | CMBS | CLOs | Other ABS | Corp/Oth | Total | % Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Investment grade |
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AAA |
$ | 213 | $ | 1,889 | $ | 98 | $ | 367 | $ | 752 | $ | 2,679 | $ | 1,191 | $ | 170 | $ | 7,359 | 17 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
AA |
22 | 4,456 | 53 | 129 | 18 | 1,244 | 1,326 | 1,583 | 8,831 | 21 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A |
| 448 | | 248 | 22 | 250 | 1,836 | 7,185 | 9,989 | 24 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BBB |
| 110 | | 169 | 74 | 84 | 685 | 10,931 | 12,053 | 29 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal - Investment grade |
235 | 6,903 | 151 | 913 | 866 | 4,257 | 5,038 | 19,869 | 38,232 | 91 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BB |
| | | 97 | 34 | | 23 | 531 | 685 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B |
| 8 | | 151 | 3 | | 4 | 88 | 254 | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCC, CC, C |
| | | 670 | 5 | | 2 | 12 | 689 | 2 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D |
| 3 | | 230 | | | | 1 | 234 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Subtotal - Non-Investment grade |
| 11 | | 1,148 | 42 | | 29 | 632 | 1,862 | 5 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not Rated |
8 | 50 | 17 | 685 | 12 | 21 | 466 | 749 | 2,008 | 4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total |
$ | 243 | $ | 6,964 | $ | 168 | $ | 2,746 | $ | 920 | $ | 4,278 | $ | 5,533 | $ | 21,250 | $ | 42,102 | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
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(a) | If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest. |
Page 33