American Financial Group, Inc. Announces First Quarter Results
- Net earnings per share of
$1.60 ; includes$0.82 per share in realized losses on securities after adopting new accounting standard related to equity securities previously classified as “available for sale” - Core net operating earnings of
$2.42 per share, an increase of 43% from the prior year period - First quarter annualized ROE of 12.3%; core operating ROE of 18.6%
- Announced special cash dividend of
$1.50 per share, payableMay 25, 2018 - Full year 2018 core net operating earnings guidance maintained
at
$7.90 - $8.40 per share
Core net operating earnings were
The Company also announced today that its Board of Directors has
declared a special cash dividend of
AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The table below identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes that its core net operating earnings provides management, financial analysts, ratings agencies and investors with an understanding of the results from the ongoing operations of the Company by excluding the impact of net realized gains and losses and other special items that are not necessarily indicative of operating trends. AFG’s management uses core net operating earnings to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business. Core net operating earnings is also used by AFG’s management as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.
In millions, except per share amounts | Three months ended | ||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2018 | 2017 | ||||||
Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders: | |||||||
Core operating earnings before income taxes | $ | 267 | $ | 220 | |||
Pretax non-core item: | |||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities | (93 | ) | 3 | ||||
Earnings before income taxes | 174 | 223 | |||||
Provision (credit) for income taxes: | |||||||
Core operating earnings | 52 | 67 | |||||
Non-core item: | |||||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities | (19 | ) | 1 | ||||
Total provision (credit) for income taxes | 33 | 68 | |||||
Net earnings, including noncontrolling interests | 141 | 155 | |||||
Less net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests: | |||||||
Core operating earnings | (4 | ) | 2 | ||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities | - | - | |||||
Total net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests | (4 | ) | 2 | ||||
Net earnings attributable to shareholders | $ | 145 | $ | 153 | |||
Net earnings: | |||||||
Core net operating earnings(a) | $ | 219 | $ | 151 | |||
Realized gains (losses) on securities | (74 | ) | 2 | ||||
Net earnings attributable to shareholders | $ | 145 | $ | 153 | |||
Components of Earnings Per Share: | |||||||
Core net operating earnings(a) | $ | 2.42 | $ | 1.69 | |||
Realized gains (losses) on securities | (0.82 | ) | 0.03 | ||||
Diluted Earnings Per Share | $ | 1.60 | $ | 1.72 | |||
Footnote (a) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release. |
“AFG had approximately
“We continue to expect core net operating earnings in 2018 to be between
Core operating earnings in AFG’s P&C insurance operations were
The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit
of
The first quarter 2018 combined ratio of 91.7% improved 0.5% from the prior year period. First quarter 2018 results include 5.1 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 2.8 points of favorable development in the comparable prior year period. Catastrophe losses were 1.2 points of the combined ratio in the first quarter of 2018; by comparison, catastrophe losses added 0.7 points in the prior year period.
Gross and net written premiums were up 10% and 7%, respectively, in the
2018 first quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier, with
each of our Specialty P&C groups reporting growth during the quarter.
Average renewal pricing across our entire
The
First quarter 2018 gross written premiums in this group were 2% higher than the comparable prior year period, while net written premiums were flat year-over-year. The growth in gross written premiums is primarily attributable to new business opportunities in our property & inland marine and transportation businesses. Higher cessions of crop insurance impacted net written premiums. Overall renewal rates in this group increased 4% in the first quarter of 2018.
The
Gross and net written premiums for the first quarter of 2018 were up 15% and 10%, respectively, compared to the same period in 2018, primarily as a result of growth within Neon. Higher premiums in our executive liability and targeted markets businesses also contributed to growth during the quarter. Neon continues to purchase a significant reinsurance program, which impacted year-over-year growth in net written premium. Renewal pricing for this group was down 1% during the first quarter. Excluding rate decreases in our workers’ compensation businesses, renewal rates in this group were up 2%.
The
First quarter 2018 gross and net written premiums were up 9% and 5%, respectively, when compared to the prior year period, primarily as a result of higher premiums in our lender services and leasing businesses, which were largely ceded. Renewal pricing in this group was up approximately 2% for the quarter.
Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
Annuity Segment
As shown in the following table, AFG's Annuity Segment reported
Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes |
||||||||||
Dollars In millions | Three months ended | Pct. | ||||||||
March 31, | Change | |||||||||
2018 | 2017 | |||||||||
Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs | $ | 112 | $ | 98 | 14% | |||||
Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs: |
|
|||||||||
Interest accreted on embedded derivative | (7 | ) | (3 | ) | nm | |||||
Renewal option costs lower (higher) than expected | (4 | ) | 2 | nm | ||||||
Other changes in fair value | 24 | (1 | ) |
nm |
||||||
Pretax annuity earnings | $ | 125 | $ | 96 |
30% |
|||||
Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs – Annuity
earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs of
Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs –Under GAAP, a
portion of the reserves for FIAs (
The impact of fair value accounting for FIAs includes an expense for annuity interest accreted on the FIA embedded derivative reserve. The amount of interest accreted in any period is generally based on the size of the embedded derivative and current short-term interest rates.
“Other Changes in Fair Value” of
AFG’s Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of
“Furthermore, we expect to continue to see the negative impact of higher
FIA option costs, which impact fair value accounting. We will continue
to closely monitor these costs, which have been elevated over the last
two quarters. If this trend continues, we will likely need to adjust
renewal rates on our inforce indexed annuity policies to help mitigate
the higher costs. Our original estimate for 2018 pretax annuity earnings
remains unchanged and is in the range of
“Finally, due to stronger than expected first quarter sales in our
Retail channel, we now expect that 2018 full year annuity premiums will
be up 6% to 12% when compared to the
Annuity Segment 2018 guidance assumes (i) interest rates and the stock market rise moderately from today’s levels, (ii) more normalized income from certain investments required to be marked to market through earnings, and (iii) higher option costs. Fluctuations in the returns on investments, large changes in interest rates and/or the stock market, and higher or lower FIA option costs, as compared to our expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segment’s results.
More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may also be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement.
Investments and Recently Adopted Accounting Standards
Effective
Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were
Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 89% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 98% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1or 2, its highest two categories.
For the three months ended
In
More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.
About
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company's expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.
Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from
those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a
variety of reasons including, but not limited to: changes in financial,
political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and
inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions
or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities
markets, including FIA option costs; new legislation or declines in
credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on
the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the
availability of capital; regulatory actions (including changes in
statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting
AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural
catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any
nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war
or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses;
development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other
reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos
and environmental claims; availability of reinsurance and ability of
reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency and
mortality; competitive pressures; the ability to obtain adequate rates
and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial
strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFG’s operating
subsidiaries; the impact of the conditions in the international
financial markets and the global economy (including those associated
with the
The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.
Conference Call
The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2018 first quarter
results at
A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the
call and will remain available until
The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the internet. To access the event, click the following link: https://www.afginc.com/news-and-events/event-calendar. Alternatively, you can choose Events from the Investor Relations page at www.AFGinc.com.
An archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the
same link on our website until
(Financial summaries follow)
This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES | |||||||
SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA | |||||||
(In Millions, Except Per Share Data) | |||||||
Three months ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2018 | 2017 | ||||||
Revenues | |||||||
P&C insurance net earned premiums | $ | 1,107 | $ | 1,022 | |||
Life, accident & health net earned premiums | 6 | 6 | |||||
Net investment income | 495 | 435 | |||||
Realized gains (losses) on securities | (93 | ) | 3 | ||||
Income (loss) of managed investment entities: | |||||||
Investment income | 58 | 51 | |||||
Loss on change in fair value of assets/liabilities | (3 | ) | - | ||||
Other income | 49 | 59 | |||||
Total revenues | 1,619 | 1,576 | |||||
Costs and expenses |
|||||||
P&C insurance losses & expenses | 1,022 | 948 | |||||
Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses | 275 | 258 | |||||
Interest charges on borrowed money | 15 | 21 | |||||
Expenses of managed investment entities | 48 | 41 | |||||
Other expenses | 85 | 85 | |||||
Total costs and expenses | 1,445 | 1,353 | |||||
Earnings before income taxes |
174 |
223 |
|||||
Provision for income taxes(b) | 33 | 68 | |||||
Net earnings including noncontrolling interests | 141 | 155 | |||||
Less: Net earnings (losses) attributable to noncontrolling interests |
(4 | ) | 2 | ||||
Net earnings attributable to shareholders | $ | 145 | $ | 153 | |||
Diluted earnings per Common Share | $ | 1.60 | $ | 1.72 | |||
Average number of diluted shares | 90.4 | 89.3 |
March 31, | December 31, | |||||
Selected Balance Sheet Data: |
2018 | 2017 | ||||
Total cash and investments | $ | 45,949 | $ | 46,048 | ||
Long-term debt | $ | 1,301 | $ | 1,301 | ||
Shareholders’ equity(c) | $ | 5,183 | $ | 5,330 | ||
Shareholders’ equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities)(c) |
$ |
4,865 |
$ |
4,724 |
||
Book value per share | $ | 58.32 | $ | 60.38 | ||
Book value per share (excluding unrealized gains/losses related to fixed maturities) |
$ | 54.74 | $ | 53.51 | ||
Common Shares Outstanding |
88.9 |
88.3 |
||||
Footnotes (b) and (c) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release. |
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. | |||||||||||
SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS | |||||||||||
(Dollars in Millions) | |||||||||||
Three months ended | Pct. | ||||||||||
March 31, | Change | ||||||||||
2018 | 2017 | ||||||||||
Gross written premiums | $ | 1.458 | $ | 1,324 | 10 | % | |||||
Net written premiums | $ | 1,102 | $ | 1,027 | 7 | % | |||||
Ratios (GAAP): | |||||||||||
Loss & LAE ratio | 57.8 | % | 59.5 | % | |||||||
Underwriting expense ratio | 33.9 | % | 32.7 | % | |||||||
Specialty Combined Ratio | 91.7 | % | 92.2 | % | |||||||
Combined Ratio – P&C Segment | 91.8 | % | 92.3 | % | |||||||
Supplemental Information:(d) |
|||||||||||
Gross Written Premiums: | |||||||||||
Property & Transportation | $ | 426 | $ | 416 | 2 | % | |||||
Specialty Casualty | 853 | 744 | 15 | % | |||||||
Specialty Financial | 179 | 164 | 9 | % | |||||||
$ | 1,458 | $ | 1,324 | 10 | % | ||||||
Net Written Premiums: | |||||||||||
Property & Transportation | $ | 324 | $ | 324 | - | % | |||||
Specialty Casualty | 594 | 540 | 10 | % | |||||||
Specialty Financial | 148 | 141 | 5 | % | |||||||
Other | 36 | 22 | 64 | % | |||||||
$ | 1,102 | $ | 1,027 | 7 | % | ||||||
Combined Ratio (GAAP): | |||||||||||
Property & Transportation | 90.4 | % | 87.3 | % | |||||||
Specialty Casualty | 92.9 | % | 97.0 | % | |||||||
Specialty Financial | 90.2 | % | 85.0 | % | |||||||
Aggregate Specialty Group | 91.7 | % | 92.2 | % |
Three months ended | ||||||||
March 31, | ||||||||
2018 | 2017 | |||||||
Reserve Development (Favorable) / Adverse: | ||||||||
Property & Transportation | $ | (18 | ) | $ | (17 | ) | ||
Specialty Casualty | (35 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||
Specialty Financial | (3 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||
Other | (1 | ) | 3 | |||||
$ | (57 | ) | $ | (29 | ) | |||
Points on Combined Ratio: | ||||||||
Property & Transportation | (5.1 | ) | (4.8 | ) | ||||
Specialty Casualty | (6.0 | ) | (1.1 | ) | ||||
Specialty Financial | (1.8 | ) | (6.4 | ) | ||||
Aggregate Specialty Group | (5.1 | ) | (2.8 | ) | ||||
Footnote (d) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release. |
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. | |||||||||
ANNUITY SEGMENT | |||||||||
(Dollars in Millions) | |||||||||
Components of Statutory Premiums |
|||||||||
Three months ended | Pct. | ||||||||
March 31, | Change | ||||||||
2018 | 2017 | ||||||||
Annuity Premiums: |
|||||||||
Financial Institutions | $ | 518 | $ | 749 | (31 | %) | |||
Retail | 577 | 489 | 18 | % | |||||
Education Market | 46 | 45 | 2 | % | |||||
Variable Annuities | 7 | 7 | - | ||||||
Total Annuity Premiums | $ | 1,148 | $ | 1,290 | (11 | %) |
Components of Annuity Earnings Before Income Taxes |
|||||||||
Three months ended | Pct. | ||||||||
March 31, | Change | ||||||||
2018 | 2017 | ||||||||
Revenues: | |||||||||
Net investment income | $ | 394 | $ | 347 | 14 | % | |||
Other income | 26 | 27 | (4 | %) | |||||
Total revenues |
420 | 374 | 12 | % | |||||
Costs and Expenses: | |||||||||
Annuity benefits | 182 | 196 | (7 | %) | |||||
Acquisition expenses | 81 | 52 | 56 | % | |||||
Other expenses | 32 | 30 | 7 | % | |||||
Total costs and expenses | 295 | 278 | 6 | % | |||||
Annuity earnings before income taxes |
$ | 125 | $ | 96 | 30 | % | |||
Supplemental Annuity Information |
||||||||||
Three months ended | Pct. | |||||||||
March 31, | Change | |||||||||
2018 | 2017 | |||||||||
Earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs |
$ |
112 |
$ |
98 |
14 % |
|||||
Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs: |
|
|
||||||||
Interest accreted on embedded derivative |
(7 | ) | (3 | ) |
nm |
|||||
Renewal option costs lower (higher) than expected |
(4 | ) | 2 | nm | ||||||
Other changes in fair value | 24 | (1 | ) | nm | ||||||
Earnings before income taxes | $ | 125 | $ | 96 | 30% | |||||
Average fixed annuity reserves* | $ | 33,329 | $ | 30,183 | 10% | |||||
Net interest spread* | 2.75 | % | 2.58 | % | ||||||
Net spread earned before fair value accounting for FIAs* |
1.38 |
% |
1.31 |
% |
||||||
Net spread earned after impact of fair value accounting for FIAs* |
1.54 |
% |
1.28 |
% |
||||||
* Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business. |
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. | ||||||||
Notes to Financial Schedules | ||||||||
a) Components of core net operating earnings (in millions): |
||||||||
|
||||||||
Three months ended | ||||||||
March 31, | ||||||||
2018 | 2017 | |||||||
Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes: |
||||||||
P&C insurance segment | $ | 188 | $ | 169 | ||||
Annuity segment, before fair value accounting for FIAs | 112 | 98 | ||||||
Impact of fair value accounting for FIAs | 13 | (2 | ) | |||||
Interest & other corporate expense * | (42 | ) | (47 | ) | ||||
Core operating earnings before income taxes | 271 | 218 | ||||||
Related income taxes | 52 | 67 | ||||||
Core net operating earnings | $ | 219 | $ | 151 | ||||
* Other Corporate Expense includes income and expenses associated with AFG‘s run-off businesses. | |||
b) |
Excluding the significant tax benefit related to stock-based compensation in the first quarter of 2017, AFG’s effective tax rate was 33%. |
||
c) |
Shareholders’ Equity at March 31, 2018 includes $342 million ($3.85 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $24 million ($0.27 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. Shareholder’s Equity at December 31, 2017 includes $619 million ($7.01 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $13 million ($0.14 per share) in unrealized after-tax losses on fixed maturity-related cash flow hedges. |
||
d) |
Supplemental Notes: |
||
• |
Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages. |
||
• |
Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance. |
||
• |
Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions (including equipment leasing and collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance. |
||
• |
Other includes an internal reinsurance facility. |
||
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20180502006836/en/
Source:
American Financial Group, Inc.
Diane P. Weidner, IRC, 513-369-5713
Asst.
Vice President – Investor Relations
or
Websites:
www.AFGinc.com
www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com